UTA @ OTT 2–4 · 2026-11-07

UtahUTAMammoth2

FinalNov 72026-11-07

Team	1	2	3	SOG
UTA	1	0	1	33
OTT	1	0	3	21

Canadian Tire Centre

OttawaOTTSenators4

CallOTT50%mkt 48%+100Hit

Star 1N. Cousins1G 0A
Star 2C. Keller1G 1A
Star 3S. Ersson.939 SV%

Closing linesDraftKings

-120Moneyline+100-1.5 +205Puck line+1.5 -250O -118Total 6.5U -102+135RegulationTie +310 +140

Season odds

81%70%−11.3Playoffs63%66%+3.71.7%0.9%−0.8Cup1.4%1.5%+0.1

Story

– / 10

Result OTT 4–2Call OTT 50% Market UTA 52%xG 2.62–3.41 · deserved OTT 64%Swing Cousins +45 3rd 17:42Method

Goals and penalties with OTT win probability
Time	Event	OTT win before	OTT win after
1st 3:27	UTA penalty · L. Cooley · high sticking · 2 min
1st 5:27	Goal OTT · F. Zetterlund (PP)	50%	66%
1st 9:57	Goal UTA · C. Keller	67%	50%
1st 16:21	UTA penalty · M. Weegar · slashing · 2 min
1st 16:44	OTT penalty · T. Stützle · tripping · 2 min
2nd 11:07	OTT penalty · S. Blais · interference · 2 min
3rd 6:29	Goal OTT · M. Amadio	50%	80%
3rd 9:53	Goal UTA · B. Hayton	83%	50%
3rd 17:42	Goal OTT · N. Cousins	50%	95%
3rd 19:44	Goal OTT · S. Pinto (EN)	99%	99%

On ice · final horn

UTA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
38L. O'BrienC	0:16	10:35	17	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	0	–
82K. StenlundC	0:16	13:27	21	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	1	9-4
53M. CarconeL	0:16	11:29	18	0	0	0	3	4	0	2	0	–
20A. PeekeD	0:16	20:30	32	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	1	–
26D. SimashevD	0:16	21:49	31	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	2	–
70K. VejmelkaG		58:07	SA20GA3SV%.850xGA2.50GSAx−0.50

OTT5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
34S. HallidayC	0:16	13:35	22	0	1	1	1	3	0	2	1	2-5
79S. BlaisL	0:16	8:17	16	0	0	0	1	2	2	2	1	0-1
42H. HodgsonR	0:16	5:40	12	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	1	–
33N. MatinpaloD	0:16	16:39	25	0	0	0	2	3	0	4	0	–
43T. KlevenD	0:16	15:37	26	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	3	–
30S. ErssonG		60:00	SA33GA2SV%.939xGA2.62GSAx+0.62

Goals

1st
Fabian Zetterlund(2)PP
S. Halliday (3), P. Tomasino (3)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 OTT1st 05:27+16.266%
Clayton Keller(5)
A. Lee (5)
xG 0.23wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 09:57+16.850%
3rd
Michael Amadio(6)
C. Giroux (8), T. Kleven (2)
xG 0.16wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 OTT3rd 06:29+29.880%
Barrett Hayton(2)
C. Keller (19), M. Weegar (3)
xG 0.05tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 09:53+32.950%
Nick Cousins(2)
T. Chabot (7), S. Pinto (7)
xG 0.02tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 OTT3rd 17:42+44.595%
Shane Pinto(7)EN
T. Stützle (14), M. Amadio (4)
xG 0.91wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 OTT3rd 19:44+0.299%

Shots

Shooters

UTA2.62 xG49 unblocked · 12 blocked49 unblocked · 12 blocked

OTT3.41 xG45 unblocked · 15 blocked45 unblocked · 15 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

UTAOTT2Goals42.62xG3.4133Shots2149Unblocked4561Attempts605High danger50/2Power play1/233Faceoffs2723Hits4015Blocks126Takeaways327Giveaways234PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
98M. SergachevMikhail SergachevD	25:52	0	0	0	5	6	0.05	−0.05	0	3	1	0	—	0	-1
26D. SimashevDmitri SimashevD	21:49	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	−0.07	2	2	1	3	—	0	0
52M. WeegarMacKenzie WeegarD	20:41	0	1	1	2	4	0.16	−0.16	2	3	0	2	—	2	-1
20A. PeekeAndrew PeekeD	20:30	0	0	0	2	4	0.02	−0.02	0	1	0	3	—	0	+1
92L. CooleyLogan CooleyC	20:18	0	0	0	2	3	0.24	−0.24	2	0	0	0	0%	2	-1
16V. TrocheckVincent TrocheckC	19:38	0	0	0	1	1	0.05	−0.05	3	0	0	3	50%	0	-1
9C. KellerClayton KellerR	18:34	1	1	2	6	9	0.58	+0.42	1	0	0	3	—	0	+1
67L. CrouseLawson CrouseL	16:16	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	−0.02	2	1	0	0	—	0	0
8N. SchmaltzNick SchmaltzC	15:40	0	0	0	1	3	0.15	−0.15	0	0	0	3	71%	0	-2
11D. GuentherDylan GuentherR	15:10	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	1	1	—	0	-2
72A. LeeAnders LeeL	14:43	0	1	1	1	4	0.17	−0.17	0	1	0	1	100%	0	+1
27B. HaytonBarrett HaytonC	14:23	1	0	1	3	3	0.13	+0.87	0	1	2	1	44%	0	+1
84A. DudaArtem DudaD	14:09	0	0	0	2	6	0.23	−0.23	0	0	0	2	—	0	0
82K. StenlundKevin StenlundC	13:27	0	0	0	2	4	0.12	−0.12	1	1	1	2	69%	0	-1
57N. DeSimoneNick DeSimoneD	12:48	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	−0.18	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
22J. McBainJack McBainC	11:51	0	0	0	2	2	0.03	−0.03	4	0	0	1	50%	0	-1
53M. CarconeMichael CarconeL	11:29	0	0	0	3	4	0.14	−0.14	2	0	0	0	—	0	0
38L. O'BrienLiam O'BrienC	10:35	0	0	0	1	2	0.28	−0.28	4	0	0	1	—	0	0
UTA total		2	3	5	33	61	2.62	−0.62	23	13	6	27	55%	4

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Keller8.1

Hayton6.9

Lee6.6

O'Brien5.2

Stenlund5.2

Carcone5.1

Schmaltz3.7

McBain3.7

Guenther3.3

Crouse3.3

Trocheck2.9

Cooley1.8

Defence

Sergachev6.2

Simashev6.0

Weegar5.6

DeSimone4.4

Peeke4.4

Duda4.3

Goalie

Vejmelka4.3

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Crouse·Trocheck·Cooley	12:12	16	7	9	43.8%	2	0	0	0	0.34	0.26	56.8%	+0.08	2	2	50%
Lee·Hayton·Keller	10:48	17	13	18	41.9%	9	5	2	0	0.60	0.68	46.6%	−0.09	2	1	67%
Carcone·O'Brien·Stenlund	9:32	17	19	8	70.4%	10	4	0	0	0.74	0.35	68.0%	+0.39	1	2	33%
Schmaltz·McBain·Guenther	8:44	15	6	6	50.0%	2	3	0	1	0.21	0.39	35.5%	−0.17	2	2	50%
Occasional · 10 groups
Lee·Stenlund·Keller	0:52	6	3	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	100.0%	+0.07	0	0	—
Crouse·Trocheck·McBain	0:44	4	0	3	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.29	0.0%	−0.29	0	0	—
Carcone·Schmaltz·Guenther	0:43	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Crouse·Schmaltz·Cooley	0:41	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Lee·Hayton·Stenlund	0:38	3	0	4	0.0%	0	2	0	1	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	3	0%
Schmaltz·Cooley·Guenther	0:33	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	0	0	—
Trocheck·Cooley·Guenther	0:33	7	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Crouse·Hayton·Cooley	0:31	2	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.26	0.0%	−0.26	0	0	—
Trocheck·O'Brien·Cooley	0:31	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Trocheck·McBain·Guenther	0:30	4	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.02	0.01	62.8%	+0.01	0	0	—
Other 29 brief groups	4:12		1	2	33.3%	0	1	0	0	0.09	0.02	83.7%	+0.07
UTA 5v5	51:44		51	55	48.1%	26	18	2	2	2.07	2.37	46.6%	−0.30

Goalies

Karel Vejmelka

UTA · 58:07

Saves: 17/20
SV%: .850
GAA: 3.10
xGA: 2.50
GSAx: −0.50

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/18	.889	2.37	+0.37
Power play	1/2	.500	0.13	−0.87
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/2	.500	0.72	−0.28

Samuel Ersson

OTT · 60:00

Saves: 31/33
SV%: .939
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 2.62
GSAx: +0.62

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	28/30	.933	2.38	+0.38
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.24	+0.24
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.00	+0.00
High danger	3/4	.750	0.97	−0.03

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Utah Mammoth

Minutes

25:52Sergachev
21:49Simashev
20:41Weegar
20:30Peeke
14:09Duda
12:48DeSimone

20:18Cooley
19:38Trocheck
18:34Keller
16:16Crouse
15:40Schmaltz
15:10Guenther
14:43Lee
14:23Hayton
13:27Stenlund
11:51McBain
11:29Carcone
10:35O'Brien

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareUTAOTTGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

33–2755%

D 50%10–10N 56%14–11O 60%9–6 4 won into a shot

OTT attacks1010UTA DZ 50% OTT OZ

Neutral1411UTA NZ 56% OTT NZ

UTA attacks96UTA OZ 60% OTT DZ

27–3345%

D 40%6–9N 44%11–14O 50%10–10 6 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DeSimoneD0 O3
SimashevD1 O4
DudaD0 O2
PeekeD2 O3
SergachevD8 O2
WeegarD9 O1
TrocheckD2 O3
SchmaltzD2 O3
KellerD1 O2
GuentherD1 O2
CooleyD2 O3
O'BrienD2 O1
CarconeD2 O1
HaytonD3 O2
McBainD2 O1
LeeD5 O3
CrouseD4 O2
StenlundD6 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period