FLA @ WSH 3–4 · 2026-11-07

FloridaFLAPanthers3

FinalNov 72026-11-07

Team	1	2	3	SOG
FLA	2	0	1	29
WSH	1	2	1	31

Capital One Arena

WashingtonWSHCapitals4

CallNo lean · 60% WSH

Star 1P. Dubois1G 1A
Star 2A. Protas1G 1A
Star 3B. Tkachuk2G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

+102Moneyline-122+1.5 -230Puck line-1.5 +190O +110Total 6.5U -130+160RegulationTie +300 +120

Season odds

48%24%−23.5Playoffs72%78%+6.00.9%0.1%−0.8Cup2.6%2.7%+0.1

Story

– / 17

Result WSH 4–3Call No lean · WSH 60%Market WSH 53%xG 3.57–4.65 · deserved WSH 66%Swing Protas +22 2nd 14:55Method

Goals and penalties with WSH win probability
Time	Event	WSH win before	WSH win after
1st 2:21	Goal WSH · J. St. Ivany	60%	74%
1st 3:13	Goal FLA · B. Tkachuk	74%	59%
1st 5:04	FLA penalty · S. Reinhart · hooking · 2 min
1st 8:55	WSH penalty · T. Wilson · boarding · 5 min
1st 8:55	WSH penalty · T. Wilson · game misconduct · 10 min
1st 10:00	Goal FLA · B. Tkachuk (PP)	59%	42%
1st 17:29	FLA penalty · C. Verhaeghe · holding the stick · 2 min
2nd 4:39	Goal WSH · A. Tuch	37%	58%
2nd 6:48	WSH penalty · M. Roy · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 14:55	Goal WSH · A. Protas	57%	79%
2nd 15:45	WSH penalty · M. Fehérváry · roughing · 2 min
2nd 15:45	FLA penalty · M. Tkachuk · roughing · 2 min
3rd 4:42	Goal WSH · P. Dubois	82%	95%
3rd 9:10	WSH penalty · C. Hutson · holding the stick · 2 min
3rd 14:35	WSH penalty · C. Hutson · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 15:59	FLA penalty · U. Balinskis · holding · 2 min
3rd 19:13	Goal FLA · S. Bennett	99%	98%

On ice · final horn

FLA6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
9S. BennettC	2:07	18:43	21	1	0	1	3	6	0	2	1	13-8
13S. ReinhartC	1:39	24:45	24	0	1	1	2	3	2	0	0	4-6
23C. VerhaegheC	1:44	21:22	21	0	0	0	2	6	2	3	1	2-0
8B. TkachukL	0:06	21:29	22	2	0	2	7	9	0	3	0	3-4
19M. TkachukL	2:08	23:55	23	0	3	3	3	7	2	2	0	–
3S. JonesD	1:19	26:31	26	0	1	1	1	6	0	2	1	–

WSH5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
80P. DuboisC	0:47	15:15	21	1	1	2	3	4	0	0	1	7-9
21A. ProtasL	0:47	15:44	25	1	1	2	2	2	0	1	0	0-1
89A. TuchR	1:19	24:01	27	1	0	1	3	7	0	0	1	2-1
3M. RoyD	2:07	24:38	27	0	0	0	1	2	2	2	0	–
42M. FehérváryD	1:51	22:35	25	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	–
48L. ThompsonG		60:00	SA29GA3SV%.897xGA3.57GSAx+0.57

Goals

1st
Jack St. Ivany(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.00snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 WSH1st 02:21+14.674%
Brady Tkachuk(9)
M. Tkachuk (19)
xG 0.09snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 03:13+14.741%
Brady Tkachuk(10)PP
M. Tkachuk (20), S. Jones (17)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 FLA1st 10:00+17.358%
2nd
Alex Tuch(11)
Unassisted
xG 0.28snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 04:39+20.558%
Aliaksei Protas(2)
P. Dubois (7), R. Leonard (6)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 WSH2nd 14:55+21.779%
3rd
Pierre-Luc Dubois(2)
A. Protas (5)
xG 0.20wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 WSH3rd 04:42+12.795%
Sam Bennett(5)6v5
M. Tkachuk (21), S. Reinhart (8)
xG 0.12deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 WSH3rd 19:13+1.22%

Shots

Shooters

FLA3.57 xG41 unblocked · 16 blocked41 unblocked · 16 blocked

WSH4.65 xG47 unblocked · 15 blocked47 unblocked · 15 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

FLAWSH3Goals43.57xG4.6529Shots3141Unblocked4757Attempts626High danger151/5Power play0/329Faceoffs2731Hits815Blocks167Takeaways621Giveaways198PIM23

Skaters

Player

Player
3S. JonesSeth JonesD	26:31	0	1	1	1	6	0.32	−0.32	2	1	1	2	—	0	0
13S. ReinhartSam ReinhartC	24:45	0	1	1	2	3	0.16	−0.16	0	0	1	2	40%	2	-2
19M. TkachukMatthew TkachukL	23:55	0	3	3	3	7	0.53	−0.53	2	0	1	1	—	2	+1
5A. EkbladAaron EkbladD	22:16	0	0	0	3	4	0.30	−0.30	1	3	0	1	—	0	-1
8B. TkachukBrady TkachukL	21:29	2	0	2	7	9	0.80	+1.20	3	0	0	2	43%	0	+1
23C. VerhaegheCarter VerhaegheC	21:22	0	0	0	2	6	0.47	−0.47	3	1	0	0	100%	2	-1
42G. ForslingGustav ForslingD	19:13	0	0	0	1	2	0.09	−0.09	1	1	0	0	—	0	-1
9S. BennettSam BennettC	18:43	1	0	1	3	6	0.28	+0.72	2	1	0	3	62%	0	0
77N. MikkolaNiko MikkolaD	17:43	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
27E. LuostarinenEetu LuostarinenC	16:38	0	0	0	1	2	0.14	−0.14	1	2	1	1	50%	0	0
20L. EllerLars EllerC	16:11	0	0	0	1	3	0.21	−0.21	0	0	0	1	44%	0	0
26U. BalinskisUvis BalinskisD	13:22	0	0	0	1	3	0.14	−0.14	0	0	0	2	—	2	-1
29C. ReinhardtCole ReinhardtL	12:59	0	0	0	3	3	0.12	−0.12	4	0	2	0	—	0	0
7D. KulikovDmitry KulikovD	12:02	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	—	0	-1
21G. HathawayGarnet HathawayR	10:08	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	6	2	1	0	0%	0	0
79C. SchwindtCole SchwindtR	8:24	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	0	50%	0	-1
14B. ImamaBokondji ImamaL	5:13	0	0	0	1	2	0.01	−0.01	3	1	0	0	—	0	-1
95S. VilmanisSandis VilmanisL	2:07	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	1	—	0	-1
FLA total		3	5	8	29	57	3.57	−0.57	31	13	7	17	52%	8

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Tkachuk8.9

Tkachuk8.4

Bennett7.2

Vilmanis7.0

Hathaway5.3

Imama5.2

Verhaeghe3.9

Reinhardt3.8

Luostarinen3.7

Eller3.5

Schwindt3.1

Reinhart0.6

Defence

Ekblad6.0

Jones5.1

Forsling4.6

Mikkola2.3

Kulikov2.3

Balinskis1.7

Goalie

Schmid5.8

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Tkachuk·Tkachuk·Bennett	8:28	16	13	9	59.1%	6	6	1	1	0.69	0.54	56.2%	+0.15	0	1	0%
Reinhardt·Eller·Luostarinen	7:21	10	6	6	50.0%	3	3	0	0	0.27	0.44	37.8%	−0.17	1	1	50%
Imama·Hathaway·Schwindt	3:12	5	2	5	28.6%	1	3	0	0	0.01	0.06	13.7%	−0.05	0	0	—
Vilmanis·Reinhart·Verhaeghe	2:04	4	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	0.0%	−0.00	1	1	50%
Occasional · 13 groups
Tkachuk·Reinhart·Verhaeghe	2:59	6	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	1	0	100%
Reinhart·Verhaeghe·Schwindt	1:57	4	1	5	16.7%	0	2	0	1	0.00	0.39	0.0%	−0.39	0	2	0%
Reinhardt·Reinhart·Verhaeghe	1:25	3	2	1	66.7%	1	1	0	0	0.09	0.00	97.1%	+0.09	0	0	—
Imama·Bennett·Hathaway	1:16	1	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.19	0.0%	−0.19	0	0	—
Reinhardt·Hathaway·Schwindt	1:10	1	0	5	0.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.49	0.0%	−0.49	0	0	—
Reinhart·Eller·Verhaeghe	0:49	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Eller·Luostarinen·Hathaway	0:47	4	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Reinhardt·Luostarinen·Schwindt	0:45	1	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.31	0.0%	−0.31	0	1	0%
Tkachuk·Eller·Luostarinen	0:44	2	3	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.25	0.00	100.0%	+0.25	0	0	—
Reinhardt·Bennett·Luostarinen	0:40	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Reinhardt·Luostarinen·Hathaway	0:35	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Tkachuk·Reinhart·Luostarinen	0:30	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.20	0.0%	−0.20	0	0	—
Imama·Bennett·Reinhart	0:11	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.15	0.0%	−0.15	0	0	—
Other 41 brief groups	5:42		2	4	33.3%	2	2	0	0	0.23	0.64	26.2%	−0.41
FLA 5v5	40:35		30	48	38.5%	14	23	1	4	1.54	3.48	30.6%	−1.94

Goalies

Akira Schmid

FLA · 58:59

Saves: 27/31
SV%: .871
GAA: 4.07
xGA: 4.65
GSAx: +0.65

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	20/24	.833	3.68	−0.32
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.95	+0.95
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.02	+0.02
High danger	7/10	.700	3.39	+0.39

Logan Thompson

WSH · 60:00

Saves: 26/29
SV%: .897
GAA: 3.00
xGA: 3.57
GSAx: +0.57

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/17	.882	1.80	−0.20
Power play	11/12	.917	1.77	+0.77
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/4	.750	1.12	+0.12

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Florida Panthers

Minutes

26:31Jones
22:16Ekblad
19:13Forsling
17:43Mikkola
13:22Balinskis
12:02Kulikov

24:45Reinhart
23:55M. Tkachuk
21:29B. Tkachuk
21:22Verhaeghe
18:43Bennett
16:38Luostarinen
16:11Eller
12:59Reinhardt
10:08Hathaway
8:24Schwindt
5:13Imama
2:07Vilmanis

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareFLAWSHGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

29–2752%

D 50%11–11N 56%10–8O 50%8–8 5 won into a shot

WSH attacks1111FLA DZ 50% WSH OZ

Neutral108FLA NZ 56% WSH NZ

FLA attacks88FLA OZ 50% WSH DZ

27–2948%

D 50%8–8N 44%8–10O 50%11–11 5 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JonesD5 O5
KulikovD2 O0
BalinskisD2 O0
MikkolaD4 O1
ForslingD5 O1
EkbladD5 O0
M. TkachukD1 O4
B. TkachukD1 O3
ReinhartD4 O5
VerhaegheD4 O4
VilmanisD1 O1
ImamaD1 O0
ReinhardtD2 O1
BennettD2 O0
EllerD4 O1
HathawayD3 O0
LuostarinenD5 O1
SchwindtD5 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period