MTL @ TOR 4–2 · 2026-11-07

MontréalMTLCanadiens4

FinalNov 72026-11-07

Team	1	2	3	SOG
MTL	2	1	1	28
TOR	0	0	2	28

Scotiabank Arena

TorontoTORMaple Leafs2

CallNo lean · 44% TOR

Star 1A. Newhook2G 0A
Star 2J. Fowler.929 SV%
Star 3W. Nylander1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

-122Moneyline+102-1.5 +205Puck line+1.5 -250O -115Total 6.5U -105+135RegulationTie +320 +140

Season odds

72%80%+8.4Playoffs12%4.5%−7.72.2%1.9%−0.3Cup0.1%0.0%−0.1

Story

– / 11

Result MTL 4–2Call No lean · MTL 56%Market MTL 53%xG 2.95–3.31 · deserved TOR 56%Swing Newhook +16 1st 5:56Method

Goals and penalties with TOR win probability
Time	Event	TOR win before	TOR win after
1st 5:56	Goal MTL · A. Newhook	44%	29%
1st 13:06	Goal MTL · A. Newhook	28%	15%
1st 17:25	TOR penalty · T. Stecher · boarding · 2 min
2nd 2:50	MTL penalty · A. Carrier · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 12:57	Goal MTL · C. Kreider	10%	3%
3rd 4:40	MTL penalty · A. Xhekaj · unsportsmanlike conduct · 2 min
3rd 6:19	Goal TOR · W. Nylander (PP)	1%	5%
3rd 7:14	Goal TOR · G. McKenna	4%	18%
3rd 11:37	TOR penalty · T. Stecher · hooking · 2 min
3rd 12:15	Goal MTL · Z. Bolduc (PP)	13%	2%
3rd 16:27	MTL penalty · J. Slafkovský · high sticking double minor · 4 min

On ice · final horn

MTL4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
24P. DanaultC	1:15	17:09	22	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5-4
71J. EvansC	1:14	15:15	19	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	8-5
45A. CarrierD	1:15	24:02	29	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	–
72A. XhekajD	1:15	12:23	17	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	–
32J. FowlerG		60:00	SA28GA2SV%.929xGA3.31GSAx+1.31

TOR6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	Hit	Blk	FO
34A. MatthewsC	3:33	22:57	20	0	1	1	3	12	1	2	8-9
91J. TavaresC	3:33	21:09	21	0	0	0	4	6	1	0	3-8
96J. RoslovicC	2:24	20:04	21	0	0	0	3	6	0	1	1-0
92G. McKennaL	3:54	15:52	15	1	0	1	4	4	0	1	–
88W. NylanderR	3:33	22:54	23	1	0	1	4	8	0	0	1-0
43D. RaddyshD	3:33	29:43	25	0	1	1	1	9	1	0	–

Goals

1st
Alex Newhook(4)
O. Kapanen (1)
xG 0.17wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 MTL1st 05:56+15.571%
Alex Newhook(5)
K. Guhle (4), K. Dach (5)
xG 0.06tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 MTL1st 13:06+12.885%
2nd
Chris Kreider(3)
Unassisted
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–0 MTL2nd 12:57+6.797%
3rd
William Nylander(11)PP
D. Raddysh (10), A. Matthews (16)
xG 0.10slapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 MTL3rd 06:19+3.95%
Gavin McKenna(6)
D. Joshua (1), C. Sissons (4)
xG 0.18wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 MTL3rd 07:14+13.018%
Zachary Bolduc(6)PP
L. Hutson (14), C. Caufield (5)
xG 0.09slapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 MTL3rd 12:15+10.798%

Shots

Shooters

MTL2.95 xG41 unblocked · 9 blocked41 unblocked · 9 blocked

TOR3.31 xG49 unblocked · 15 blocked49 unblocked · 15 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

MTLTOR4Goals22.95xG3.3128Shots2841Unblocked4950Attempts647High danger51/2Power play1/431Faceoffs1914Hits2115Blocks97Takeaways415Giveaways188PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
21K. GuhleKaiden GuhleD	26:13	0	1	1	2	4	0.06	−0.06	3	1	0	1	—	0	+1
45A. CarrierAlexandre CarrierD	24:02	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	1	3	2	—	2	0
48L. HutsonLane HutsonD	22:55	0	1	1	2	5	0.12	−0.12	0	1	0	1	—	0	0
53N. DobsonNoah DobsonD	21:27	0	0	0	3	4	0.03	−0.03	0	3	0	1	—	0	+1
14N. SuzukiNick SuzukiC	18:24	0	0	0	1	3	0.23	−0.23	0	1	1	0	67%	0	+1
24P. DanaultPhillip DanaultC	17:09	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	1	0	56%	0	0
20J. SlafkovskýJuraj SlafkovskýL	16:29	0	0	0	2	2	0.01	−0.01	1	1	0	1	—	4	0
13C. CaufieldCole CaufieldR	16:28	0	1	1	3	5	0.82	−0.82	1	0	0	1	100%	0	0
76Z. BolducZachary BolducR	16:08	1	0	1	3	3	0.10	+0.90	3	1	0	1	—	0	0
71J. EvansJake EvansC	15:15	0	0	0	1	3	0.19	−0.19	0	0	0	1	62%	0	-1
85A. TexierAlexandre TexierL	14:20	0	0	0	4	6	0.32	−0.32	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
15A. NewhookAlex NewhookC	14:15	2	0	2	2	3	0.53	+1.47	1	2	0	0	33%	0	+2
77K. DachKirby DachC	13:19	0	1	1	1	2	0.18	−0.18	1	0	0	0	100%	0	+2
72A. XhekajArber XhekajD	12:23	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	1	0	0	0	—	2	+1
22C. KreiderChris KreiderL	11:37	1	0	1	3	4	0.22	+0.78	0	1	0	2	—	0	0
91O. KapanenOliver KapanenC	11:19	0	1	1	0	3	0.12	−0.12	0	0	2	0	100%	0	+2
42A. EngstromAdam EngstromD	10:44	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
62O. BeckOwen BeckC	10:21	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	2	0	0	0%	0	0
MTL total		4	5	9	28	50	2.95	+1.05	14	15	7	12	62%	8

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Newhook8.6

Kreider7.3

Kapanen7.0

Bolduc6.6

Caufield5.9

Suzuki5.2

Dach5.1

Beck4.3

Texier4.0

Danault3.1

Evans2.9

Slafkovský2.0

Defence

Hutson7.3

Dobson6.0

Guhle5.5

Engstrom3.8

Xhekaj2.6

Carrier0.7

Goalie

Fowler6.8

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Slafkovský·Suzuki·Caufield	13:16	20	13	13	50.0%	7	2	0	0	0.87	0.36	70.7%	+0.51	3	1	75%
Texier·Danault·Bolduc	10:53	14	9	14	39.1%	6	7	0	0	0.38	0.83	31.6%	−0.44	0	2	0%
Kreider·Beck·Evans	8:46	14	5	13	27.8%	3	5	0	1	0.17	0.53	24.0%	−0.37	0	3	0%
Newhook·Dach·Kapanen	8:28	13	10	4	71.4%	5	3	2	0	0.56	0.21	73.1%	+0.35	4	0	100%
Occasional · 6 groups
Texier·Suzuki·Bolduc	0:47	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Slafkovský·Suzuki·Bolduc	0:37	6	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.15	0.01	91.2%	+0.14	0	0	—
Slafkovský·Danault·Bolduc	0:31	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Suzuki·Beck·Caufield	0:30	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Texier·Evans·Bolduc	0:30	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.05	0.00	100.0%	+0.05	0	0	—
Kreider·Suzuki·Beck	0:18	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	1	0	0.06	0.00	100.0%	+0.06	0	0	—
Other 38 brief groups	5:34		2	3	40.0%	2	2	0	0	0.09	0.16	36.8%	−0.07
MTL 5v5	50:10		43	48	47.3%	26	19	3	1	2.35	2.10	52.7%	+0.24

Goalies

Jacob Fowler

MTL · 60:00

Saves: 26/28
SV%: .929
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 3.31
GSAx: +1.31

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/19	.947	2.10	+1.10
Power play	8/9	.889	1.21	+0.21
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/2	.500	0.87	−0.13

Sergei Bobrovsky

TOR · 57:36

Saves: 24/28
SV%: .857
GAA: 4.17
xGA: 2.64
GSAx: −1.36

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/26	.885	2.35	−0.65
Power play	1/2	.500	0.15	−0.85
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.14	+0.14
High danger	3/4	.750	1.36	+0.36

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Montréal Canadiens

Minutes

26:13Guhle
24:02Carrier
22:55Hutson
21:27Dobson
12:23Xhekaj
10:44Engstrom

18:24Suzuki
17:09Danault
16:29Slafkovský
16:28Caufield
16:08Bolduc
15:15Evans
14:20Texier
14:15Newhook
13:19Dach
11:37Kreider
11:19Kapanen
10:21Beck

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareMTLTORGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

31–1962%

D 54%13–11N 77%10–3O 62%8–5 6 won into a shot

TOR attacks1311MTL DZ 54% TOR OZ

Neutral103MTL NZ 77% TOR NZ

MTL attacks85MTL OZ 62% TOR DZ

19–3138%

D 38%5–8N 23%3–10O 46%11–13 8 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

HutsonD2 O4
XhekajD1 O1
EngstromD0 O0
DobsonD4 O3
CarrierD7 O2
GuhleD9 O1
DachD0 O4
NewhookD0 O4
KapanenD0 O4
CaufieldD1 O4
SuzukiD2 O4
SlafkovskýD2 O4
TexierD2 O0
BolducD2 O0
BeckD3 O0
KreiderD4 O0
DanaultD7 O0
EvansD7 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period