STL @ NSH 1–3 · 2026-11-07

St. LouisSTLBlues1

FinalNov 72026-11-07

Team	1	2	3	SOG
STL	1	0	0	25
NSH	1	1	1	29

Bridgestone Arena

NashvilleNSHPredators3

CallNo lean · 48% NSH

Star 1R. Josi0G 2A
Star 2J. Saros.960 SV%
Star 3R. Colton1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

-110Moneyline-110-1.5 +220Puck line+1.5 -270O -122Total 5.5U +102+140RegulationTie +310 +135

Season odds

57%52%−5.5Playoffs47%54%+7.60.8%0.6%−0.2Cup0.4%0.4%±0.0

Story

– / 9

Result NSH 3–1Call No lean · STL 52%Market NSH 50%xG 2.09–3.38 · deserved NSH 72%Swing Colton +22 2nd 9:02Method

Goals and penalties with NSH win probability
Time	Event	NSH win before	NSH win after
1st 10:26	STL penalty · C. Fowler · hooking · 2 min
1st 12:18	NSH penalty · A. Kerfoot · holding the stick · 2 min
1st 13:07	Goal STL · J. Snuggerud (PP)	48%	30%
1st 14:51	STL penalty · A. Jiricek · slashing · 2 min
1st 16:07	Goal NSH · S. Stamkos (PP)	30%	48%
2nd 1:59	NSH penalty · A. Wilsby · interference · 2 min
2nd 5:33	STL penalty · B. Carlo · tripping · 2 min
2nd 9:02	Goal NSH · R. Colton	48%	70%
3rd 18:31	Goal NSH · N. Perbix (EN)	96%	100%

On ice · final horn

STL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
41A. KaskimakiC	0:18	11:43	17	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	1	–
83M. McTavishC	0:17	12:29	18	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	3-5
63J. NeighboursL	0:29	15:36	21	0	0	0	1	3	0	5	1	–
25B. CarloD	0:59	16:20	19	0	0	0	0	5	2	1	1	–
55C. ParaykoD	0:41	20:30	25	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	1	–
30J. HoferG		58:36	SA28GA2SV%.929xGA2.53GSAx+0.53

NSH5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
14A. KerfootC	0:53	14:03	19	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	4-5
22M. BourqueC	0:53	18:35	20	0	1	1	2	3	0	2	3	–
9F. ForsbergL	0:49	20:48	21	0	1	1	3	8	0	1	3	–
48N. PerbixD	0:52	19:02	27	1	0	1	3	5	0	0	2	–
76B. SkjeiD	0:51	20:25	29	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	2	–
74J. SarosG		60:00	SA25GA1SV%.960xGA2.09GSAx+1.09

Goals

1st
Jimmy Snuggerud(9)PP
P. Broberg (9), R. Thomas (9)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 STL1st 13:07+17.570%
Steven Stamkos(10)PP
M. Bourque (3), R. Josi (17)
xG 0.23wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 16:07+18.148%
2nd
Ross Colton(5)
J. Drury (3), R. Josi (18)
xG 0.10snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 NSH2nd 09:02+21.770%
3rd
Nick Perbix(2)EN
S. Stamkos (9), F. Forsberg (15)
xG 0.48wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 NSH3rd 18:31+3.1100%

Shots

Shooters

STL2.09 xG41 unblocked · 20 blocked41 unblocked · 20 blocked

NSH3.38 xG45 unblocked · 20 blocked45 unblocked · 20 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

STLNSH1Goals32.09xG3.3825Shots2941Unblocked4561Attempts652High danger61/2Power play1/332Faceoffs3128Hits1620Blocks207Takeaways312Giveaways186PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
6P. BrobergPhilip BrobergD	28:21	0	1	1	1	3	0.12	−0.12	0	0	1	2	—	0	0
18R. ThomasRobert ThomasC	21:54	0	1	1	0	2	0.12	−0.12	0	1	1	0	52%	0	-1
55C. ParaykoColton ParaykoD	20:30	0	0	0	1	5	0.09	−0.09	0	1	0	1	—	0	0
17C. FowlerCam FowlerD	19:51	0	0	0	2	4	0.03	−0.03	1	1	0	0	—	2	-2
72J. BarronJustin BarronD	19:08	0	0	0	1	2	0.00	−0.00	0	2	0	1	—	0	-1
81D. HollowayDylan HollowayL	18:54	0	0	0	2	2	0.14	−0.14	6	2	0	0	—	0	-1
21J. SnuggerudJimmy SnuggerudR	18:09	1	0	1	5	6	0.42	+0.58	1	0	0	1	0%	0	0
25B. CarloBrandon CarloD	16:20	0	0	0	0	5	0.03	−0.03	1	1	1	0	—	2	0
89P. BuchnevichPavel BuchnevichL	15:58	0	0	0	3	6	0.20	−0.20	0	0	1	3	—	0	-1
22P. SuterPius SuterC	15:39	0	0	0	2	4	0.17	−0.17	3	0	0	0	53%	0	0
63J. NeighboursJake NeighboursL	15:36	0	0	0	1	3	0.06	−0.06	5	0	1	0	—	0	-1
13A. ToropchenkoAlexey ToropchenkoR	13:38	0	0	0	2	5	0.15	−0.15	3	1	0	0	—	0	0
36A. JiricekAdam JiricekD	13:25	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	−0.02	0	0	1	0	—	2	-1
77C. McMichaelConnor McMichaelL	12:48	0	0	0	3	3	0.28	−0.28	1	1	0	2	60%	0	-1
83M. McTavishMason McTavishC	12:29	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	−0.06	2	0	0	0	38%	0	-1
41A. KaskimakiAleksanteri KaskimakiC	11:43	0	0	0	1	3	0.01	−0.01	2	1	0	0	—	0	-1
49R. JohnstonRoss JohnstonL	11:31	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	1	1	0	—	0	0
15D. DvorskyDalibor DvorskyR	10:14	0	0	0	1	3	0.20	−0.20	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
STL total		1	2	3	25	61	2.09	−1.09	28	12	7	10	51%	6

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Snuggerud6.7

Holloway5.5

McMichael5.5

Thomas5.3

Dvorsky5.3

Johnston4.6

Kaskimaki4.2

Buchnevich4.2

Toropchenko4.1

McTavish3.7

Neighbours3.3

Suter3.1

Defence

Broberg5.0

Barron4.4

Carlo3.8

Parayko3.7

Fowler2.5

Jiricek2.5

Goalie

Hofer5.6

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Holloway·Thomas·Snuggerud	14:12	20	12	16	42.9%	4	7	0	0	0.40	0.30	57.2%	+0.10	7	4	64%
Johnston·Suter·Toropchenko	10:47	16	12	12	50.0%	4	6	0	0	0.35	0.35	49.7%	−0.00	0	2	0%
Neighbours·Kaskimaki·McTavish	8:49	15	9	5	64.3%	3	2	0	1	0.07	0.21	23.6%	−0.15	3	2	60%
McMichael·Buchnevich·Dvorsky	7:19	13	12	5	70.6%	7	1	0	0	0.63	0.05	93.2%	+0.58	2	0	100%
Occasional · 6 groups
Neighbours·McMichael·Buchnevich	1:27	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	0	0	—
McMichael·Buchnevich·Suter	0:53	3	2	1	66.7%	1	1	0	0	0.14	0.06	71.1%	+0.09	0	1	0%
Buchnevich·Suter·Dvorsky	0:44	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
Neighbours·Thomas·Kaskimaki	0:34	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.14	0.0%	−0.14	0	1	0%
Neighbours·McMichael·McTavish	0:33	1	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	1	0	100%
Holloway·Buchnevich·Thomas	0:32	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Other 42 brief groups	4:49		4	8	33.3%	1	2	0	0	0.04	0.41	9.5%	−0.36
STL 5v5	50:39		55	49	52.9%	21	20	0	1	1.68	1.51	52.6%	+0.17

Goalies

Joel Hofer

STL · 58:36

Saves: 26/28
SV%: .929
GAA: 2.05
xGA: 2.53
GSAx: +0.53

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	19/20	.950	1.51	+0.51
Power play	7/8	.875	1.02	+0.02
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	0.80	−0.20

Juuse Saros

NSH · 60:00

Saves: 24/25
SV%: .960
GAA: 1.00
xGA: 2.09
GSAx: +1.09

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/22	1.000	1.70	+1.70
Power play	2/3	.667	0.34	−0.66
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.05	+0.05
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.37	+0.37

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

St. Louis Blues

Minutes

28:21Broberg
20:30Parayko
19:51Fowler
19:08Barron
16:20Carlo
13:25Jiricek

21:54Thomas
18:54Holloway
18:09Snuggerud
15:58Buchnevich
15:39Suter
15:36Neighbours
13:38Toropchenko
12:48McMichael
12:29McTavish
11:43Kaskimaki
11:31Johnston
10:14Dvorsky

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareSTLNSHGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

32–3151%

D 56%15–12N 58%7–5O 42%10–14 6 won into a shot

NSH attacks1512STL DZ 56% NSH OZ

Neutral75STL NZ 58% NSH NZ

STL attacks1014STL OZ 42% NSH DZ

31–3249%

D 58%14–10N 42%5–7O 44%12–15 13 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JiricekD0 O6
FowlerD2 O5
BarronD1 O4
BrobergD5 O7
ParaykoD2 O3
CarloD3 O1
SnuggerudD4 O9
HollowayD4 O7
NeighboursD3 O6
ThomasD7 O9
McMichaelD2 O3
McTavishD3 O4
DvorskyD0 O1
JohnstonD1 O1
KaskimakiD3 O2
SuterD3 O1
BuchnevichD5 O2
ToropchenkoD4 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period