ANA @ EDM 5–4 · 2026-11-05

AnaheimANADucks5

FinalNov 52026-11-05

Team	1	2	3	SOG
ANA	1	3	1	22
EDM	1	1	2	27

Rogers Place

EdmontonEDMOilers4

CallNo lean · 66% EDM

Star 1P. Mintyukov2G 1A
Star 2C. McDavid1G 3A
Star 3B. Sennecke2G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

+160Moneyline-192+1.5 -148Puck line-1.5 +124O -148Total 6.5U +124+220RegulationTie +350 -120+1201st period-160+2201st · 3-wayTie +200 +133

Season odds

26%26%+0.2Playoffs99%98%−1.70.1%0.1%±0.0Cup6.6%4.6%−2.0

Story

– / 30

Result ANA 5–4Call No lean · EDM 66%Market EDM 64%xG 4.01–3.34 · deserved ANA 61%Swing Mintyukov +21 2nd 6:15Method

Goals and penalties with EDM win probability
Time	Event	EDM win before	EDM win after
1st 3:50	EDM penalty · E. Bouchard · hooking · 2 min
1st 8:06	EDM penalty · V. Podkolzin · fighting · 5 min
1st 8:06	ANA penalty · D. Helleson · unsportsmanlike conduct · 2 min
1st 8:06	EDM penalty · V. Podkolzin · instigator · 2 min
1st 8:06	EDM penalty · V. Podkolzin · instigator misconduct · 10 min
1st 8:06	EDM penalty · V. Podkolzin · aggressor · 10 min
1st 9:26	Goal ANA · C. Gauthier (PP)	65%	48%
1st 13:21	EDM penalty · M. Jones · cross checking · 2 min
1st 16:38	ANA penalty · N. Warren · interference · 2 min
1st 16:52	EDM penalty · R. Nugent-Hopkins · hooking · 2 min
1st 16:52	ANA penalty · T. Washe · unsportsmanlike conduct · 2 min
1st 16:52	EDM penalty · K. Kapanen · fighting · 5 min
1st 16:52	ANA penalty · P. Mintyukov · fighting · 5 min
1st 19:33	ANA penalty · J. LaCombe · holding · 2 min
1st 19:41	Goal EDM · E. Bouchard (PP)	45%	63%
2nd 0:50	EDM penalty · F. Hallander · hooking · 2 min
2nd 2:34	Goal EDM · C. McDavid (SH)	63%	80%
2nd 3:37	Goal ANA · P. Mintyukov	80%	63%
2nd 4:31	ANA penalty · B. Sennecke · too many men on the ice · 2 min
2nd 4:46	EDM penalty · L. Draisaitl · abuse of officials · 2 min
2nd 6:15	Goal ANA · P. Mintyukov	62%	42%
2nd 9:47	ANA penalty · N. Warren · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 13:06	EDM penalty · R. Nugent-Hopkins · holding · 2 min
2nd 19:22	Goal ANA · B. Sennecke	34%	15%
3rd 1:10	EDM penalty · M. Joseph · tripping · 2 min
3rd 1:42	Goal ANA · B. Sennecke (PP)	13%	4%
3rd 6:24	ANA penalty · N. Warren · hooking · 2 min
3rd 15:33	ANA penalty · T. Mitchell · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 16:24	Goal EDM · K. Kapanen (PP)	0%	1%
3rd 19:15	Goal EDM · L. Draisaitl	0%	3%

On ice · final horn

ANA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
42T. WasheC	0:45	14:32	25	0	0	0	1	2	2	1	0	7-8
91L. CarlssonC	0:45	25:30	26	0	2	2	3	4	0	0	0	3-9
17A. KillornL	0:24	20:12	28	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	–
2J. LaCombeD	0:45	33:09	38	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	–
14D. HellesonD	0:45	23:10	32	0	1	1	0	1	2	3	1	–
31L. BrossoitG		60:00	SA27GA4SV%.852xGA3.34GSAx−0.66

EDM6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
29L. DraisaitlC	2:53	24:06	26	1	1	2	6	9	2	0	2	11-5
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC	2:53	19:31	26	0	2	2	1	4	4	1	0	6-4
97C. McDavidC	3:13	24:25	23	1	3	4	3	6	0	1	0	6-1
42K. KapanenR	0:38	20:00	28	1	0	1	3	4	5	0	0	–
2E. BouchardD	2:53	24:12	26	1	1	2	3	9	2	0	0	–
6R. SheaD	0:45	23:37	29	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	–

Goals

1st
Cutter Gauthier(11)PP
J. LaCombe (17), L. Carlsson (18)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 ANA1st 09:26+16.652%
Evan Bouchard(10)PP
C. McDavid (32), R. Nugent-Hopkins (6)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 19:41+18.763%
2nd
Connor McDavid(10)SH
L. Draisaitl (17), M. Ekholm (5)
xG 0.04batClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 EDM2nd 02:34+16.680%
Pavel Mintyukov(1)
B. Sennecke (9), D. Helleson (1)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 03:37+16.937%
Pavel Mintyukov(2)
J. Caulfield (5), M. Granlund (10)
xG 0.55wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 ANA2nd 06:15+20.558%
Beckett Sennecke(9)
T. Luneau (9), P. Mintyukov (4)
xG 0.47wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 ANA2nd 19:22+19.285%
3rd
Beckett Sennecke(10)PP
L. Carlsson (19), C. Gauthier (6)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–2 ANA3rd 01:42+9.096%
Kasperi Kapanen(5)PP
R. Nugent-Hopkins (7), C. McDavid (33)
xG 0.13backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
5–3 ANA3rd 16:24+0.71%
Leon Draisaitl(14)6v5
C. McDavid (34), E. Bouchard (20)
xG 0.25snapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–4 ANA3rd 19:15+2.13%

Shots

Shooters

ANA4.01 xG37 unblocked · 9 blocked37 unblocked · 9 blocked

EDM3.34 xG42 unblocked · 15 blocked42 unblocked · 15 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

ANAEDM5Goals44.01xG3.3422Shots2737Unblocked4246Attempts577High danger42/8Power play2/618Faceoffs3423Hits1215Blocks93Takeaways414Giveaways2021PIM46

Skaters

Player

Player
2J. LaCombeJackson LaCombeD	33:09	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	2	1	3	—	2	0
91L. CarlssonLeo CarlssonC	25:30	0	2	2	3	4	0.28	−0.28	0	0	0	1	25%	0	+1
14D. HellesonDrew HellesonD	23:10	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	−0.05	3	1	1	2	—	2	+1
64M. GranlundMikael GranlundC	21:04	0	1	1	1	3	0.09	−0.09	0	0	0	1	27%	0	+1
17A. KillornAlex KillornL	20:12	0	0	0	0	2	0.58	−0.58	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
28J. CaulfieldJudd CaulfieldR	18:20	0	1	1	2	2	0.51	−0.51	5	1	0	2	—	0	0
61C. GauthierCutter GauthierL	17:57	1	1	2	3	8	0.51	+0.49	0	1	0	1	50%	0	+1
45B. SenneckeBeckett SenneckeR	16:36	2	1	3	4	7	0.93	+1.07	0	1	0	2	—	0	+1
98P. MintyukovPavel MintyukovD	16:01	2	1	3	4	6	0.59	+1.41	0	1	1	0	—	5	+2
67T. LuneauTristan LuneauD	15:57	0	1	1	1	4	0.07	−0.07	0	3	0	1	—	0	+1
42T. WasheTim WasheC	14:32	0	0	0	1	2	0.05	−0.05	1	0	0	0	47%	2	0
95R. McQueenRoger McQueenC	11:57	0	0	0	1	1	0.23	−0.23	2	1	0	1	25%	0	-1
47N. WarrenNoah WarrenD	11:32	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	2	1	0	0	—	6	-1
48N. MyatovicNico MyatovicL	10:15	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	−0.02	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
13N. NesterenkoNikita NesterenkoC	9:51	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	2	0	0	0	—	0	-1
34T. MitchellTravis MitchellD	8:46	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	0	—	2	0
12S. ColangeloSam ColangeloR	8:08	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	0	50%	0	0
39J. MalottJeff MalottL	8:04	0	0	0	1	1	0.06	−0.06	5	0	0	0	—	0	0
ANA total		5	10	15	22	46	4.01	+0.99	23	14	3	14	35%	19

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Sennecke9.5

Caulfield7.8

Gauthier7.5

Carlsson7.2

Killorn5.5

McQueen5.3

Malott5.3

Nesterenko5.1

Colangelo5.0

Myatovic3.0

Granlund2.4

Washe1.7

Defence

Mintyukov10.0

Luneau7.6

Helleson7.3

LaCombe4.8

Mitchell3.9

Warren1.4

Goalie

Brossoit4.1

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Killorn·Carlsson·Caulfield	7:59	13	6	4	60.0%	2	2	0	0	0.61	0.11	84.9%	+0.50	1	2	33%
Myatovic·Washe·Colangelo	6:13	12	3	9	25.0%	0	5	0	0	0.02	0.62	3.4%	−0.60	0	1	0%
Gauthier·Granlund·Sennecke	5:39	11	7	9	43.8%	3	5	1	0	0.21	0.42	33.8%	−0.20	0	2	0%
Malott·Nesterenko·McQueen	5:36	11	6	2	75.0%	3	0	0	0	0.37	0.02	95.9%	+0.35	2	0	100%
Occasional · 4 groups
Killorn·McQueen·Caulfield	1:04	4	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Malott·Myatovic·Washe	0:54	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Gauthier·Carlsson·Sennecke	0:35	3	4	0	100.0%	2	0	1	0	0.62	0.00	100.0%	+0.62	0	0	—
Myatovic·McQueen·Colangelo	0:30	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Other 34 brief groups	6:24		3	8	27.3%	1	3	0	0	0.14	0.59	19.1%	−0.45
ANA 5v5	34:54		29	35	45.3%	11	15	2	0	1.97	1.75	53.0%	+0.22

Goalies

Laurent Brossoit

ANA · 60:00

Saves: 23/27
SV%: .852
GAA: 4.00
xGA: 3.34
GSAx: −0.66

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/19	.947	2.41	+1.41
Power play	2/4	.500	0.72	−1.28
Shorthanded	3/4	.750	0.21	−0.79
High danger	3/4	.750	1.04	+0.04

Matt Tomkins

EDM · 57:14

Saves: 17/22
SV%: .773
GAA: 5.24
xGA: 4.01
GSAx: −0.99

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	10/13	.769	2.85	−0.15
Power play	7/9	.778	1.16	−0.84
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/6	.500	2.49	−0.51

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Anaheim Ducks

Minutes

33:09LaCombe
23:10Helleson
16:01Mintyukov
15:57Luneau
11:32Warren
8:46Mitchell

25:30Carlsson
21:04Granlund
20:12Killorn
18:20Caulfield
17:57Gauthier
16:36Sennecke
14:32Washe
11:57McQueen
10:15Myatovic
9:51Nesterenko
8:08Colangelo
8:04Malott

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareANAEDMGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

18–3435%

D 33%6–12N 33%5–10O 37%7–12 3 won into a shot

EDM attacks612ANA DZ 33% EDM OZ

Neutral510ANA NZ 33% EDM NZ

ANA attacks712ANA OZ 37% EDM DZ

34–1865%

D 63%12–7N 67%10–5O 67%12–6 4 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

LuneauD0 O1
MintyukovD1 O2
WarrenD0 O1
MitchellD1 O0
LaCombeD9 O5
HellesonD9 O1
GranlundD2 O5
GauthierD2 O5
CarlssonD2 O5
McQueenD0 O3
MalottD0 O2
SenneckeD2 O4
CaulfieldD2 O3
NesterenkoD1 O2
ColangeloD1 O0
MyatovicD1 O0
KillornD10 O2
WasheD9 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period