NSH @ COL 3–2 · 2026-11-05

NashvilleNSHPredators3

Final/OTNov 52026-11-05

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
NSH	2	0	0	1	25
COL	1	1	0	0	33

Ball Arena

ColoradoCOLAvalanche2

CallNo lean · 71% COL

Star 1S. Stamkos1G 0A
Star 2J. Annunen.939 SV%
Star 3P. Kelly1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

+180Moneyline-218+1.5 -135Puck line-1.5 +114O -115Total 6.5U -105+245RegulationTie +330 -130+1351st period-180+2401st · 3-wayTie +185 +130

Season odds

40%47%+7.1Playoffs99%99%−0.90.3%0.4%+0.1Cup19%17%−2.3

Story

– / 13

Result NSH 3–2 OTCall No lean · COL 71%Market COL 67%xG 3.18–3.29 · deserved COL 52%Swing Stamkos +58 OT 2:18Method

Goals and penalties with COL win probability
Time	Event	COL win before	COL win after
1st 4:01	Goal NSH · R. Colton	70%	54%
1st 9:11	Goal COL · J. Schwartz	53%	69%
1st 14:34	Goal NSH · V. Pinchuk	68%	51%
1st 19:24	NSH penalty · N. Perbix · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 5:08	Goal COL · P. Kelly	46%	67%
2nd 7:22	NSH penalty · V. Pinchuk · hooking · 2 min
2nd 15:47	COL penalty · B. Burns · holding · 2 min
3rd 1:08	COL penalty · B. Kulak · tripping · 2 min
3rd 4:38	COL penalty · B. Kulak · high sticking double minor · 4 min
3rd 6:18	NSH penalty · V. Pinchuk · too many men on the ice · 2 min
3rd 16:53	NSH penalty · S. Stamkos · holding · 2 min
OT 2:02	COL penalty · D. Toews · hooking · 2 min
OT 2:18	Goal NSH · S. Stamkos (PP)	58%	0%

On ice · final horn

NSH4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
90R. O'ReillyC	0:16	24:31	26	0	1	1	2	2	0	0	3	10-7
91S. StamkosC	0:44	19:01	23	0	0	0	2	4	2	2	1	3-5
9F. ForsbergL	0:16	20:07	22	0	0	0	3	6	0	3	0	1-0
59R. JosiD	0:16	28:02	31	0	0	0	2	5	0	2	0	–
29J. AnnunenG		62:18	SA33GA2SV%.939xGA3.29GSAx+1.29

COL3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
11B. NelsonC	0:16	16:47	23	0	1	1	1	3	0	2	1	7-10
27B. KulakD	0:16	18:43	23	0	0	0	0	3	6	2	0	–
84B. BurnsD	0:16	15:40	23	0	0	0	2	5	2	0	0	–
39M. BlackwoodG		62:18	SA24GA2SV%.917xGA3.07GSAx+1.07

Goals

1st
Ross Colton(4)
R. O'Reilly (9)
xG 0.17backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 NSH1st 04:01+15.846%
Jaden Schwartz(7)
M. Necas (12), B. Nelson (6)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 09:11+16.769%
Vitali Pinchuk(1)
R. Schaefer (1)
xG 0.02backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 NSH1st 14:34+17.849%
2nd
Parker Kelly(3)
L. O'Connor (1), N. Juulsen (2)
xG 0.14snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 05:08+20.667%
OT
Steven Stamkos(9)PP
R. Josi (16), R. O'Reilly (10)
xG 0.10slapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 NSHOT 02:18+58.2100%

Shots

Shooters

NSH3.18 xG41 unblocked · 10 blocked41 unblocked · 10 blocked

COL3.29 xG47 unblocked · 30 blocked47 unblocked · 30 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NSHCOL3Goals23.18xG3.2925Shots3341Unblocked4751Attempts778High danger41/5Power play0/330Faceoffs3021Hits2030Blocks103Takeaways310Giveaways138PIM10

Skaters

Player

Player
59R. JosiRoman JosiD	28:02	0	1	1	2	5	0.07	−0.07	2	0	1	2	—	0	0
90R. O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyC	24:31	0	2	2	2	2	0.33	−0.33	0	3	2	0	59%	0	+1
2A. WilsbyAdam WilsbyD	22:42	0	0	0	2	4	0.15	−0.15	1	0	0	1	—	0	0
76B. SkjeiBrady SkjeiD	22:16	0	0	0	1	2	0.00	−0.00	0	5	0	0	—	0	+1
48N. PerbixNick PerbixD	20:32	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	0	0	0	2	—	2	-1
9F. ForsbergFilip ForsbergL	20:07	0	0	0	3	6	0.28	−0.28	3	0	0	0	100%	0	-2
91S. StamkosSteven StamkosC	19:01	1	0	1	3	5	0.37	+0.63	2	1	0	0	38%	2	0
18J. DruryJack DruryC	18:08	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	0	50%	0	0
22M. BourqueMavrik BourqueC	17:15	0	0	0	3	5	0.62	−0.62	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
84A. EdstromAdam EdstromC	17:03	0	0	0	1	5	0.42	−0.42	3	3	0	1	—	0	+1
14A. KerfootAlexander KerfootC	15:16	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	67%	0	+1
79R. ColtonRoss ColtonC	12:44	1	0	1	2	5	0.24	+0.76	0	4	0	0	—	0	+1
15S. WrightShane WrightC	12:29	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	2	0	0	25%	0	-2
3J. StrubleJayden StrubleD	12:23	0	0	0	0	3	0.05	−0.05	1	4	0	1	—	0	0
52D. HuntDaemon HuntD	11:26	0	0	0	2	2	0.24	−0.24	3	0	0	0	—	0	0
49R. SchaeferReid SchaeferL	9:48	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	5	1	0	0	—	0	+1
51V. PinchukVitali PinchukC	9:25	1	0	1	3	5	0.38	+0.62	0	0	0	0	—	2	+1
21N. HoglanderNils HoglanderL	6:07	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	2	—	0	-2
NSH total		3	4	7	25	51	3.18	−0.18	21	25	3	10	50%	6

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Colton7.7

Pinchuk7.6

O'Reilly7.6

Schaefer7.2

Stamkos7.1

Edstrom6.0

Hoglander5.3

Drury5.2

Bourque4.8

Wright4.5

Kerfoot4.4

Forsberg3.7

Defence

Skjei7.3

Struble6.6

Josi6.4

Hunt4.2

Wilsby4.1

Perbix2.6

Goalie

Annunen6.7

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Drury·Colton·Edstrom	10:10	16	9	14	39.1%	2	6	0	0	0.20	0.17	54.2%	+0.03	2	5	29%
Bourque·O'Reilly·Stamkos	9:58	15	5	9	35.7%	2	3	0	0	0.13	0.27	32.3%	−0.14	1	3	25%
Schaefer·Kerfoot·Pinchuk	6:52	13	5	4	55.6%	3	1	1	0	0.39	0.01	97.2%	+0.38	1	1	50%
Forsberg·Hoglander·Wright	5:28	10	4	13	23.5%	3	9	0	2	0.30	0.62	32.8%	−0.32	1	0	100%
Occasional · 12 groups
Forsberg·Kerfoot·Wright	0:59	1	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.07	0.0%	−0.07	1	0	100%
Forsberg·Wright·Colton	0:55	1	1	3	25.0%	1	1	0	0	0.05	0.07	39.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Schaefer·Drury·Edstrom	0:47	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Kerfoot·Wright·Pinchuk	0:42	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Forsberg·Kerfoot·Drury	0:40	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Forsberg·Bourque·O'Reilly	0:38	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	0	0	—
Schaefer·O'Reilly·Stamkos	0:36	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Forsberg·Wright·Drury	0:36	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Schaefer·Kerfoot·Bourque	0:34	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Forsberg·Wright·Edstrom	0:31	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Pinchuk·Edstrom·O'Reilly	0:31	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Colton·Edstrom·O'Reilly	0:29	1	6	0	100.0%	3	0	1	0	0.55	0.00	100.0%	+0.55	0	0	—
Other 29 brief groups	5:34		5	5	50.0%	1	3	0	0	0.09	0.07	55.2%	+0.02
NSH 5v5	46:00		35	59	37.2%	15	28	2	2	1.70	1.50	53.2%	+0.21

Goalies

Justus Annunen

NSH · 62:18

Saves: 31/33
SV%: .939
GAA: 1.93
xGA: 3.29
GSAx: +1.29

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	29/31	.935	2.48	+0.48
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.81	+0.81
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/2	.500	0.93	−0.07

Mackenzie Blackwood

COL · 62:18

Saves: 22/25
SV%: .880
GAA: 2.89
xGA: 3.18
GSAx: +0.18

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/18	.889	1.88	−0.12
Power play	6/7	.857	1.25	+0.25
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.04	+0.04
High danger	4/5	.800	1.55	+0.55

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Nashville Predators

Minutes

28:02Josi
22:42Wilsby
22:16Skjei
20:32Perbix
12:23Struble
11:26Hunt

24:31O'Reilly
20:07Forsberg
19:01Stamkos
18:08Drury
17:15Bourque
17:03Edstrom
15:16Kerfoot
12:44Colton
12:29Wright
9:48Schaefer
9:25Pinchuk
6:07Hoglander

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNSHCOLGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

30–3050%

D 52%13–12N 39%7–11O 59%10–7 3 won into a shot

COL attacks1312NSH DZ 52% COL OZ

Neutral711NSH NZ 39% COL NZ

NSH attacks107NSH OZ 59% COL DZ

30–3050%

D 41%7–10N 61%11–7O 48%12–13 6 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

StrubleD0 O1
HuntD1 O1
JosiD8 O7
SkjeiD4 O2
PerbixD4 O2
WilsbyD7 O3
ForsbergD1 O5
O'ReillyD5 O7
BourqueD3 O5
WrightD0 O2
StamkosD3 O4
HoglanderD0 O1
PinchukD1 O1
SchaeferD2 O1
KerfootD4 O2
ColtonD6 O2
EdstromD8 O2
DruryD10 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period