UTA @ TOR 3–2 · 2026-11-03

UtahUTAMammoth3

FinalNov 32026-11-03

Team	1	2	3	SOG
UTA	1	1	1	36
TOR	0	1	1	29

Scotiabank Arena

TorontoTORMaple Leafs2

CallNo lean · 44% TOR

Star 1C. Keller0G 3A
Star 2J. Roslovic2G 0A
Star 3M. Sergachev0G 2A

Closing linesDraftKings

-148Moneyline+124-1.5 +164Puck line+1.5 -198O -135Total 6.5U +114+110RegulationTie +330 +165-1351st period+105+1551st · 3-wayTie +195 +185

Season oddsafter: next morning's run

81%…Playoffs13%…1.4%…Cup0.1%…

Story

– / 10

Result UTA 3–2Call No lean · UTA 56%Market UTA 58%xG 3.91–1.74 · deserved UTA 84%Swing Schmaltz +35 3rd 13:12Method

Goals and penalties with TOR win probability
Time	Event	TOR win before	TOR win after
1st 5:47	UTA penalty · L. O'Brien · hooking · 2 min
1st 12:10	UTA penalty · N. Schmaltz · hooking · 2 min
1st 18:58	TOR penalty · J. Roslovic · hooking · 2 min
1st 19:47	Goal UTA · D. Guenther (PP)	45%	28%
2nd 10:20	Goal TOR · J. Roslovic	25%	46%
2nd 13:42	Goal UTA · A. Peeke	46%	24%
2nd 17:45	TOR penalty · N. Paul · hooking · 2 min
3rd 9:05	Goal TOR · J. Roslovic	16%	47%
3rd 11:42	TOR penalty · D. Raddysh · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 13:12	Goal UTA · N. Schmaltz (PP)	47%	12%

On ice · final horn

UTA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
16V. TrocheckC	1:48	18:36	22	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	1	3-7
82K. StenlundC	0:35	12:28	21	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	2	7-4
67L. CrouseL	0:35	17:07	23	0	0	0	3	6	0	2	4	0-1
52M. WeegarD	1:02	24:06	33	0	0	0	3	8	0	1	2	–
98M. SergachevD	1:52	25:52	32	0	2	2	1	5	0	0	1	–
33S. CossaG		59:58	SA29GA2SV%.931xGA1.74GSAx−0.26

TOR6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
15C. SissonsC	0:02	13:55	20	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	1	7-7
34A. MatthewsC	1:52	20:01	21	0	2	2	5	7	0	0	1	11-3
96J. RoslovicC	1:48	18:19	20	2	0	2	4	8	2	1	0	1-1
53E. CowanR	1:48	19:31	22	0	0	0	2	5	0	2	0	–
88W. NylanderR	1:48	21:24	23	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	2	0-1
43D. RaddyshD	1:51	22:48	25	0	0	0	6	11	2	0	1	–

Goals

1st
Dylan Guenther(6)PP
M. Sergachev (13), C. Keller (15)
xG 0.06snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 UTA1st 19:47+17.772%
2nd
Jack Roslovic(7)
A. Matthews (14)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 10:20+20.446%
Andrew Peeke(2)
C. Keller (16), A. Lee (4)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 UTA2nd 13:42+21.576%
3rd
Jack Roslovic(8)
A. Matthews (15), M. Rielly (12)
xG 0.14backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 09:05+30.547%
Nick Schmaltz(8)PP
C. Keller (17), M. Sergachev (14)
xG 0.72backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 UTA3rd 13:12+35.188%

Shots

Shooters

UTA3.91 xG55 unblocked · 17 blocked55 unblocked · 17 blocked

TOR1.74 xG43 unblocked · 19 blocked43 unblocked · 19 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

UTATOR3Goals23.91xG1.7436Shots2955Unblocked4372Attempts625High danger02/3Power play0/223Faceoffs2922Hits2319Blocks170Takeaways727Giveaways154PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
98M. SergachevMikhail SergachevD	25:52	0	2	2	1	5	0.13	−0.13	0	1	3	—	0	0
52M. WeegarMacKenzie WeegarD	24:06	0	0	0	3	8	0.15	−0.15	1	2	4	—	0	0
20A. PeekeAndrew PeekeD	19:41	1	0	1	2	3	0.08	+0.92	0	0	0	—	0	-1
9C. KellerClayton KellerR	18:47	0	3	3	5	5	0.41	−0.41	0	0	2	—	0	+1
92L. CooleyLogan CooleyC	18:39	0	0	0	3	3	0.24	−0.24	6	3	4	0%	0	0
16V. TrocheckVincent TrocheckC	18:36	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	−0.03	2	1	3	30%	0	-1
88N. SchmidtNate SchmidtD	17:55	0	0	0	3	7	0.13	−0.13	1	1	3	—	0	0
67L. CrouseLawson CrouseL	17:07	0	0	0	3	6	0.62	−0.62	2	4	1	0%	0	-1
11D. GuentherDylan GuentherR	16:55	1	0	1	2	7	0.32	+0.68	1	0	1	—	0	-1
8N. SchmaltzNick SchmaltzC	16:53	1	0	1	3	4	0.96	+0.04	0	2	0	43%	2	-1
27B. HaytonBarrett HaytonC	16:22	0	0	0	1	2	0.09	−0.09	0	1	1	50%	0	+1
72A. LeeAnders LeeL	14:46	0	1	1	3	7	0.28	−0.28	0	0	1	50%	0	+1
57N. DeSimoneNick DeSimoneD	14:10	0	0	0	2	2	0.02	−0.02	0	0	0	—	0	-1
26D. SimashevDmitri SimashevD	14:01	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	2	0	0	—	0	0
22J. McBainJack McBainC	13:58	0	0	0	1	2	0.14	−0.14	2	1	2	25%	0	-1
82K. StenlundKevin StenlundC	12:28	0	0	0	1	1	0.12	−0.12	1	1	1	64%	0	0
53M. CarconeMichael CarconeL	8:31	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	2	0	1	—	0	-1
38L. O'BrienLiam O'BrienC	7:15	0	0	0	1	3	0.16	−0.16	2	1	0	—	2	0
UTA total		3	6	9	36	72	3.91	−0.91	22	18	27	44%	4

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Keller8.6

Guenther7.8

Schmaltz7.4

Cooley6.1

Lee5.8

Crouse5.7

Stenlund5.5

Carcone5.1

McBain4.6

Hayton4.5

O'Brien4.4

Trocheck3.5

Defence

Sergachev8.2

Peeke7.5

Schmidt5.7

Weegar5.4

DeSimone4.3

Simashev3.7

Goalie

Cossa4.6

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Lee·Hayton·Keller	12:01	18	16	7	69.6%	9	2	1	0	0.52	0.28	64.6%	+0.23	4	0	100%
Crouse·Trocheck·Cooley	11:23	17	12	20	37.5%	7	8	0	0	0.63	0.38	62.7%	+0.26	1	2	33%
Schmaltz·McBain·Guenther	9:20	15	10	9	52.6%	2	4	0	1	0.29	0.27	52.1%	+0.02	2	1	67%
Carcone·O'Brien·Stenlund	6:05	13	9	3	75.0%	4	2	0	0	0.35	0.05	86.7%	+0.30	2	0	100%
Occasional · 7 groups
Schmaltz·McBain·Stenlund	1:02	3	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	2	0%
Crouse·Trocheck·McBain	0:47	2	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Crouse·Lee·Trocheck	0:33	4	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.17	0.00	100.0%	+0.17	0	0	—
Schmaltz·Keller·Guenther	0:32	1	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
Crouse·Stenlund·Cooley	0:32	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.19	0.00	100.0%	+0.19	0	0	—
Carcone·Schmaltz·Guenther	0:31	4	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.05	0.02	75.8%	+0.04	0	0	—
Carcone·Crouse·Trocheck	0:09	2	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.14	0.0%	−0.14	0	0	—
Other 43 brief groups	7:14		2	4	33.3%	2	4	0	0	0.04	0.09	30.6%	−0.05
UTA 5v5	50:09		57	49	53.8%	27	23	1	2	2.28	1.26	64.4%	+1.02

Goalies

Sebastian Cossa

UTA · 59:58

Saves: 27/29
SV%: .931
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 1.74
GSAx: −0.26

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/25	.920	1.46	−0.54
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.28	+0.28
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/0	—	0.00	0.00

Sergei Bobrovsky

TOR · 58:30

Saves: 33/36
SV%: .917
GAA: 3.08
xGA: 3.91
GSAx: +0.91

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	26/27	.963	2.28	+1.28
Power play	5/7	.714	1.45	−0.55
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.17	+0.17
High danger	3/4	.750	1.38	+0.38

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Utah Mammoth

Minutes

25:52Sergachev
24:06Weegar
19:41Peeke
17:55Schmidt
14:10DeSimone
14:01Simashev

18:47Keller
18:39Cooley
18:36Trocheck
17:07Crouse
16:55Guenther
16:53Schmaltz
16:22Hayton
14:46Lee
13:58McBain
12:28Stenlund
8:31Carcone
7:15O'Brien

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareUTATORGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

23–2944%

D 48%10–11N 33%4–8O 47%9–10 7 won into a shot

TOR attacks1011UTA DZ 48% TOR OZ

Neutral48UTA NZ 33% TOR NZ

UTA attacks910UTA OZ 47% TOR DZ

29–2356%

D 53%10–9N 67%8–4O 52%11–10 8 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DeSimoneD0 O4
SimashevD1 O3
PeekeD3 O2
SchmidtD3 O1
SergachevD8 O4
WeegarD9 O1
KellerD0 O5
GuentherD1 O4
O'BrienD0 O2
CarconeD0 O2
CooleyD2 O4
LeeD3 O4
SchmaltzD2 O3
HaytonD4 O4
TrocheckD3 O1
McBainD4 O2
CrouseD6 O1
StenlundD7 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period