VGK @ PIT 3–2 · 2026-11-03

VegasVGKGolden Knights3

FinalNov 32026-11-03

Team	1	2	3	SOG
VGK	1	0	2	23
PIT	0	0	2	25

PPG Paints Arena

PittsburghPITPenguins2

CallNo lean · 52% PIT

Star 1T. Hertl2G 0A
Star 2T. Connelly1G 0A
Star 3R. Rakell1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

-102Moneyline-118+1.5 -250Puck line-1.5 +205O -120Total 6.5U +100+140RegulationTie +320 +135-1101st period-120+1761st · 3-wayTie +190 +170

Season oddsafter: next morning's run

99%…Playoffs33%…8.1%…Cup0.7%…

Story

– / 15

Result VGK 3–2Call No lean · PIT 52%Market PIT 52%xG 2.44–3.23 · deserved PIT 64%Swing Hertl +49 3rd 19:25Method

Goals and penalties with PIT win probability
Time	Event	PIT win before	PIT win after
1st 5:07	VGK penalty · J. Lauzon · holding · 2 min
1st 10:23	VGK penalty · N. Dowd · holding · 2 min
1st 15:27	PIT penalty · H. Lapierre · interference · 2 min
1st 16:36	Goal VGK · T. Hertl (PP)	51%	33%
1st 19:58	PIT penalty · S. Crosby · tripping · 2 min
2nd 8:03	VGK penalty · T. Connelly · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
2nd 12:27	PIT penalty · E. Karlsson · holding · 2 min
3rd 1:09	Goal PIT · T. Novak	25%	51%
3rd 4:21	VGK penalty · J. Lauzon · interference · 2 min
3rd 9:58	Goal PIT · R. Rakell	51%	84%
3rd 11:19	Goal VGK · T. Connelly	85%	51%
3rd 15:57	VGK penalty · J. Lauzon · holding the stick · 2 min
3rd 16:35	VGK penalty · B. McNabb · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 18:43	PIT penalty · T. Novak · tripping · 2 min
3rd 19:25	Goal VGK · T. Hertl (PP)	51%	2%

On ice · final horn

VGK5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
21B. HowdenC	0:35	14:31	18	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	–
71W. KarlssonC	0:35	18:10	21	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	0	10-7
61M. StoneR	1:57	20:40	22	0	1	1	3	4	0	1	1	–
3B. McNabbD	0:35	21:58	25	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	4	–
27S. TheodoreD	0:35	21:24	24	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	–
33A. HillG		59:59	SA25GA2SV%.920xGA3.23GSAx+1.23

PIT6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18T. NovakC	0:35	19:13	22	1	1	2	5	6	2	0	1	–
81B. KindelC	0:11	14:32	17	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	5-4
87S. CrosbyC	0:35	20:30	19	0	0	0	1	3	2	0	0	11-8
67R. RakellR	0:35	21:14	20	1	0	1	2	8	0	0	1	0-1
58K. LetangD	0:35	19:13	21	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	0	–
65E. KarlssonD	0:35	24:44	23	0	0	0	2	7	2	0	0	–

Goals

1st
Tomas Hertl(6)PP
M. Marner (16), J. Eichel (14)
xG 0.06deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 VGK1st 16:36+18.267%
3rd
Tommy Novak(5)
K. Korczak (7), S. Stastney (3)
xG 0.36wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied3rd 01:09+26.551%
Rickard Rakell(5)
T. Novak (7), K. Korczak (8)
xG 0.16wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 PIT3rd 09:58+32.784%
Trevor Connelly(6)
J. Lauzon (1)
xG 0.24wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 11:19+34.249%
Tomas Hertl(7)PP
M. Stone (9), J. Eichel (15)
xG 0.24wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 VGK3rd 19:25+49.198%

Shots

Shooters

VGK2.44 xG31 unblocked · 9 blocked31 unblocked · 9 blocked

PIT3.23 xG37 unblocked · 19 blocked37 unblocked · 19 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

VGKPIT3Goals22.44xG3.2323Shots2531Unblocked3740Attempts565High danger72/4Power play0/628Faceoffs2829Hits919Blocks97Takeaways314Giveaways1912PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
3B. McNabbBrayden McNabbD	21:58	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	4	4	2	1	—	2	0
93M. MarnerMitch MarnerR	21:34	0	1	1	3	5	0.30	−0.30	0	1	0	1	—	0	-1
27S. TheodoreShea TheodoreD	21:24	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	0	2	1	0	—	0	-1
9J. EichelJack EichelC	21:16	0	2	2	1	3	0.04	−0.04	0	1	1	2	29%	0	-1
61M. StoneMark StoneR	20:40	0	1	1	3	4	0.21	−0.21	1	1	1	1	—	0	-1
15N. HanifinNoah HanifinD	20:31	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	0	2	0	1	—	0	-1
4R. AnderssonRasmus AnderssonD	19:37	0	0	0	3	4	0.20	−0.20	0	3	0	0	—	0	+1
71W. KarlssonWilliam KarlssonC	18:10	0	0	0	2	2	0.02	−0.02	1	0	1	2	59%	0	-1
5J. LauzonJeremy LauzonD	16:33	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	6	1	0	2	—	6	+1
48T. HertlTomas HertlC	15:11	2	0	2	3	4	0.53	+1.47	5	0	0	1	63%	0	+1
21B. HowdenBrett HowdenC	14:31	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	−0.24	1	3	0	0	—	0	-1
24T. ConnellyTrevor ConnellyL	14:26	1	0	1	4	5	0.51	+0.49	1	0	0	0	—	2	+1
42B. BowmanBraeden BowmanR	12:58	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	1	0	—	0	0
52D. CoghlanDylan CoghlanD	12:09	0	0	0	2	3	0.04	−0.04	0	0	0	3	—	0	-1
49I. BarbashevIvan BarbashevL	11:16	0	0	0	1	2	0.13	−0.13	0	0	0	0	0%	0	-1
26N. DowdNic DowdC	9:20	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	−0.21	4	0	0	0	57%	2	0
36R. LavoieRaphael LavoieC	8:37	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	0	—	0	0
17M. GatcombMarc GatcombC	7:52	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	4	0	0	0	—	0	0
VGK total		3	5	8	23	40	2.44	+0.56	29	18	7	14	50%	12

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Hertl8.6

Marner7.3

Stone7.1

Connelly6.9

Lavoie5.5

Gatcomb4.7

Barbashev3.8

Bowman3.7

Eichel3.6

Howden3.5

Dowd3.5

Karlsson3.1

Defence

Andersson5.6

Theodore5.2

McNabb5.1

Coghlan4.3

Hanifin3.9

Lauzon1.9

Goalie

Hill6.6

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Eichel·Howden·Stone	11:08	15	9	19	32.1%	3	8	0	1	0.39	1.15	25.6%	−0.75	1	1	50%
Connelly·Hertl·Bowman	7:57	11	4	4	50.0%	2	2	0	0	0.06	0.13	30.8%	−0.07	0	2	0%
Barbashev·Karlsson·Marner	7:34	10	6	6	50.0%	3	3	0	1	0.10	0.37	21.2%	−0.27	1	4	20%
Gatcomb·Dowd·Lavoie	6:23	10	2	6	25.0%	0	2	0	0	0.21	0.38	35.3%	−0.17	2	1	67%
Occasional · 5 groups
Barbashev·Karlsson·Bowman	1:17	3	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.04	0.06	40.3%	−0.02	0	0	—
Connelly·Hertl·Marner	0:52	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Lavoie·Hertl·Bowman	0:45	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Eichel·Stone·Marner	0:45	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Howden·Hertl·Bowman	0:34	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Other 32 brief groups	5:52		3	4	42.9%	3	3	1	0	0.42	0.07	85.2%	+0.35
VGK 5v5	43:07		25	41	37.9%	12	19	1	2	1.22	2.15	36.1%	−0.93

Goalies

Adin Hill

VGK · 59:59

Saves: 23/25
SV%: .920
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 3.23
GSAx: +1.23

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	17/19	.895	2.15	+0.15
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.90	+0.90
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.18	+0.18
High danger	1/3	.333	1.62	−0.38

Arturs Silovs

PIT · 59:36

Saves: 20/23
SV%: .870
GAA: 3.02
xGA: 2.44
GSAx: −0.56

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	12/13	.923	1.25	+0.25
Power play	7/9	.778	1.01	−0.99
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.18	+0.18
High danger	1/3	.333	1.05	−0.95

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Vegas Golden Knights

Minutes

21:58McNabb
21:24Theodore
20:31Hanifin
19:37Andersson
16:33Lauzon
12:09Coghlan

21:34Marner
21:16Eichel
20:40Stone
18:10W. Karlsson
15:11Hertl
14:31Howden
14:26Connelly
12:58Bowman
11:16Barbashev
9:20Dowd
8:37Lavoie
7:52Gatcomb

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareVGKPITGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

28–2850%

D 45%10–12N 50%8–8O 56%10–8 3 won into a shot

PIT attacks1012VGK DZ 45% PIT OZ

Neutral88VGK NZ 50% PIT NZ

VGK attacks108VGK OZ 56% PIT DZ

28–2850%

D 44%8–10N 50%8–8O 55%12–10 6 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

AnderssonD3 O5
LauzonD2 O2
CoghlanD2 O0
HanifinD5 O1
TheodoreD8 O3
McNabbD9 O1
HertlD2 O6
StoneD1 O3
EichelD2 O4
BowmanD1 O3
ConnellyD2 O4
LavoieD1 O2
GatcombD1 O1
DowdD2 O1
BarbashevD3 O2
HowdenD2 O1
W. KarlssonD7 O3
MarnerD8 O4

Shift starts · darker = later period