CAR @ NSH 1–4 · 2026-11-03

CarolinaCARHurricanes1

FinalNov 32026-11-03

Team	1	2	3	SOG
CAR	0	1	0	30
NSH	1	1	2	20

Bridgestone Arena

NashvilleNSHPredators4

CallCAR66%mkt 65%-198Miss

Star 1J. Saros.967 SV%
Star 2R. Josi1G 1A
Star 3F. Forsberg0G 2A

Closing linesDraftKings

-198Moneyline+164-1.5 +124Puck line+1.5 -148O +105Total 6.5U -125-120RegulationTie +340 +220-1701st period+130+1381st · 3-wayTie +185 +225

Season oddsafter: next morning's run

99%…Playoffs32%…17%…Cup0.1%…

Story

– / 9

Result NSH 4–1Call CAR 66% Market CAR 65%xG 3.18–3.46 · deserved NSH 55%Swing Blake +19 2nd 10:28Method

Goals and penalties with NSH win probability
Time	Event	NSH win before	NSH win after
1st 12:32	Goal NSH · N. Perbix	36%	54%
1st 17:22	NSH penalty · A. Kerfoot · hooking · 2 min
2nd 3:29	Goal NSH · R. Josi	58%	76%
2nd 4:04	CAR penalty · P. Kochetkov · tripping · 2 min
2nd 10:28	Goal CAR · J. Blake	80%	61%
2nd 14:28	NSH penalty · S. Stamkos · tripping · 2 min
3rd 5:40	Goal NSH · A. Edstrom	73%	91%
3rd 8:13	CAR penalty · S. Walker · interference · 2 min
3rd 19:19	Goal NSH · R. Colton (EN)	100%	100%

On ice · final horn

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
82J. KotkaniemiC	0:41	10:48	16	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	3-3
44N. DeslauriersL	0:41	8:06	11	0	0	0	2	2	0	6	0	0-1
50E. RobinsonL	0:41	9:05	13	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	–
4S. GostisbehereD	0:41	20:45	20	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	2	–
8J. VälimäkiD	0:41	17:58	20	0	0	0	1	5	0	2	2	–
52P. KochetkovG		57:12	SA19GA3SV%.842xGA2.69GSAx−0.31

NSH5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
14A. KerfootC	0:41	13:12	17	0	0	0	1	3	2	0	1	5-4
51V. PinchukC	0:41	9:49	13	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	–
49R. SchaeferL	0:41	11:24	15	0	0	0	3	3	0	1	1	–
3J. StrubleD	0:41	14:59	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	–
52D. HuntD	0:41	13:23	18	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	–
74J. SarosG		60:00	SA30GA1SV%.967xGA3.18GSAx+2.18

Goals

1st
Nick Perbix(1)
F. Forsberg (13)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 NSH1st 12:32+18.054%
2nd
Roman Josi(2)
F. Forsberg (14)
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 NSH2nd 03:29+18.276%
Jackson Blake(4)
S. Gostisbehere (10), L. Stankoven (6)
xG 0.09backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 NSH2nd 10:28+19.039%
3rd
Adam Edstrom(6)
R. Josi (15), R. Colton (3)
xG 0.04tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 NSH3rd 05:40+18.591%
Ross Colton(3)EN
B. Skjei (5), J. Drury (2)
xG 0.77wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 NSH3rd 19:19+0.0100%

Shots

Shooters

CAR3.18 xG50 unblocked · 22 blocked50 unblocked · 22 blocked

NSH3.46 xG35 unblocked · 19 blocked35 unblocked · 19 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARNSH1Goals43.18xG3.4630Shots2050Unblocked3572Attempts545High danger70/2Power play0/228Faceoffs2925Hits1819Blocks222Takeaways312Giveaways164PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	20:51	0	0	0	4	10	0.69	−0.69	0	0	0	0	57%	0	-1
4S. GostisbehereShayne GostisbehereD	20:45	0	1	1	1	3	0.00	−0.00	0	2	0	1	—	0	0
24S. JarvisSeth JarvisR	20:30	0	0	0	1	3	0.22	−0.22	2	1	0	0	—	0	-2
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	20:03	0	0	0	3	5	0.04	−0.04	2	2	0	0	—	0	-2
74J. SlavinJaccob SlavinD	19:41	0	0	0	1	3	0.02	−0.02	0	0	1	1	—	0	-1
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	19:29	1	0	1	1	5	0.16	+0.84	0	1	1	3	0%	0	0
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	18:57	0	0	0	3	6	0.42	−0.42	0	0	0	1	100%	0	0
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	18:26	0	0	0	2	6	0.07	−0.07	3	5	0	1	—	2	-3
8J. VälimäkiJuuso VälimäkiD	17:58	0	0	0	1	5	0.07	−0.07	2	2	0	0	—	0	0
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	17:44	0	0	0	2	3	0.07	−0.07	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	17:18	0	1	1	3	6	0.35	−0.35	1	3	0	0	54%	0	0
77M. JankowskiMark JankowskiL	16:33	0	0	0	4	6	0.57	−0.57	0	0	0	0	42%	0	-2
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	16:04	0	0	0	0	5	0.07	−0.07	3	0	0	0	—	0	0
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	14:58	0	0	0	1	1	0.12	−0.12	2	1	0	0	0%	0	-1
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	11:32	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	0	100%	0	0
82J. KotkaniemiJesperi KotkaniemiC	10:48	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	−0.03	1	0	0	1	50%	0	-2
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	9:05	0	0	0	1	1	0.19	−0.19	1	1	0	1	—	0	-1
44N. DeslauriersNicolas DeslauriersL	8:06	0	0	0	2	2	0.09	−0.09	6	0	0	0	0%	0	-1
CAR total		1	2	3	30	72	3.18	−2.18	25	18	2	10	49%	2

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Blake6.5

Robinson5.8

Stankoven5.4

Deslauriers5.0

Carrier4.8

Kotkaniemi4.6

Svechnikov4.3

Jarvis4.0

Jankowski4.0

Martinook3.9

Aho3.8

Ehlers3.2

Defence

Gostisbehere7.6

Välimäki6.7

Miller5.5

Walker4.7

Chatfield3.5

Slavin2.6

Goalie

Kochetkov4.5

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Ehlers·Stankoven·Blake	11:44	15	14	11	56.0%	7	2	1	0	0.60	0.66	47.8%	−0.06	3	2	60%
Martinook·Jankowski·Jarvis	9:05	11	9	4	69.2%	4	2	0	1	0.28	0.11	71.9%	+0.17	1	3	25%
Deslauriers·Robinson·Kotkaniemi	7:11	11	8	5	61.5%	4	4	0	1	0.31	0.35	47.2%	−0.04	3	0	100%
Carrier·Aho·Svechnikov	6:47	12	12	3	80.0%	4	1	0	0	0.32	0.01	98.3%	+0.31	0	0	—
Occasional · 10 groups
Martinook·Jankowski·Svechnikov	1:43	3	4	1	80.0%	1	1	0	0	0.06	0.07	43.8%	−0.02	1	0	100%
Martinook·Stankoven·Jarvis	1:24	5	0	4	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.10	0.0%	−0.10	0	0	—
Carrier·Aho·Blake	1:19	4	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	0	0	—
Carrier·Aho·Jarvis	1:10	3	3	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.06	0.00	100.0%	+0.06	0	0	—
Ehlers·Aho·Svechnikov	0:53	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Aho·Jarvis·Svechnikov	0:50	1	2	1	66.7%	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	100.0%	+0.00	1	0	100%
Carrier·Robinson·Kotkaniemi	0:49	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Carrier·Stankoven·Blake	0:37	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Ehlers·Aho·Jarvis	0:31	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Ehlers·Kotkaniemi·Blake	0:10	1	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.18	0.0%	−0.18	0	0	—
Other 33 brief groups	4:59		6	6	50.0%	2	3	0	0	0.29	0.15	66.1%	+0.14
CAR 5v5	49:12		59	40	59.6%	25	15	1	3	1.93	1.71	53.1%	+0.23

Goalies

Pyotr Kochetkov

CAR · 57:12

Saves: 16/19
SV%: .842
GAA: 3.15
xGA: 2.69
GSAx: −0.31

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	12/15	.800	1.71	−1.29
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.98	+0.98
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	1.09	+0.09

Juuse Saros

NSH · 60:00

Saves: 29/30
SV%: .967
GAA: 1.00
xGA: 3.18
GSAx: +2.18

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	25/26	.962	2.02	+1.02
Power play	4/4	1.000	1.07	+1.07
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.09	+0.09
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.87	+0.87

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

20:45Gostisbehere
20:03Miller
19:41Slavin
18:26Walker
17:58Välimäki
17:44Chatfield

20:51Aho
20:30Jarvis
19:29Blake
18:57Ehlers
17:18Stankoven
16:33Jankowski
16:04Svechnikov
14:58Martinook
11:32Carrier
10:48Kotkaniemi
9:05Robinson
8:06Deslauriers

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARNSHGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

28–2949%

D 27%4–11N 60%12–8O 55%12–10 10 won into a shot

NSH attacks411CAR DZ 27% NSH OZ

Neutral128CAR NZ 60% NSH NZ

CAR attacks1210CAR OZ 55% NSH DZ

29–2851%

D 45%10–12N 40%8–12O 73%11–4 6 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

GostisbehereD0 O6
VälimäkiD1 O4
WalkerD4 O5
MillerD4 O4
SlavinD2 O0
ChatfieldD2 O0
EhlersD2 O5
SvechnikovD0 O3
DeslauriersD0 O2
RobinsonD1 O3
KotkaniemiD1 O3
BlakeD2 O4
AhoD1 O2
CarrierD0 O0
StankovenD3 O2
MartinookD4 O2
JarvisD4 O2
JankowskiD5 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period