WPG @ MTL 5–4 · 2026-11-03

WinnipegWPGJets5

Final/OTNov 32026-11-03

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
WPG	0	0	4	1	47
MTL	2	1	1	0	22

Centre Bell

MontréalMTLCanadiens4

CallMTL64%mkt 61%-166Miss

Star 1K. Connor2G 0A
Star 2C. Caufield2G 0A
Star 3D. Samberg1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

+140Moneyline-166+1.5 -170Puck line-1.5 +142O -130Total 5.5U +110+200RegulationTie +330 -105+1201st period-160+2201st · 3-wayTie +178 +148

Season oddsafter: next morning's run

5.6%…Playoffs71%…0.0%…Cup2.0%…

Story

– / 24

Result WPG 5–4 OTCall MTL 64% Market MTL 61%xG 4.80–3.04 · deserved WPG 75%Swing Samberg +56 OT 3:30Method

Goals and penalties with MTL win probability
Time	Event	MTL win before	MTL win after
1st 3:05	Goal MTL · O. Beck	64%	78%
1st 7:25	MTL penalty · N. Dobson · hooking · 2 min
1st 11:15	WPG penalty · N. Pionk · roughing · 2 min
1st 18:18	Goal MTL · J. Anderson	79%	90%
2nd 2:18	WPG penalty · E. Salomonsson · interference · 2 min
2nd 3:03	WPG penalty · M. Barron · interference · 2 min
2nd 4:00	Goal MTL · C. Caufield (PP)	91%	97%
2nd 5:59	MTL penalty · L. Hutson · tripping · 2 min
2nd 16:04	MTL penalty · A. Xhekaj · interference · 2 min
3rd 0:15	WPG penalty · M. Scheifele · tripping · 2 min
3rd 0:46	Goal MTL · C. Caufield (PP)	99%	99%
3rd 10:40	MTL penalty · A. Xhekaj · fighting · 5 min
3rd 10:40	WPG penalty · T. Bauer · fighting · 5 min
3rd 12:50	WPG penalty · N. Pionk · roughing · 2 min
3rd 12:50	MTL penalty · F. Xhekaj · roughing · 2 min
3rd 15:02	MTL penalty · F. Xhekaj · roughing · 2 min
3rd 15:02	MTL penalty · F. Xhekaj · fighting · 5 min
3rd 15:02	WPG penalty · A. Lowry · fighting · 5 min
3rd 17:21	Goal WPG · T. Bauer	99%	99%
3rd 18:03	Goal WPG · M. Barron	99%	99%
3rd 19:00	Goal WPG · K. Connor	99%	98%
3rd 19:25	MTL penalty · A. Carrier · tripping · 2 min
3rd 19:27	Goal WPG · K. Connor (PP)	99%	56%
OT 3:30	Goal WPG · D. Samberg	56%	0%

On ice · final horn

WPG3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
13G. VilardiC	0:21	25:14	25	0	0	0	3	5	0	1	1	7-3
17A. LowryC	0:21	16:07	27	0	0	0	3	6	5	3	0	7-15
54D. SambergD	0:21	18:02	26	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	–
74S. SkinnerG		62:18	SA22GA4SV%.818xGA3.04GSAx−0.96

MTL3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71J. EvansC	0:21	19:24	22	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16-9
13C. CaufieldR	0:21	17:22	21	2	0	2	4	6	0	0	0	–
48L. HutsonD	1:04	24:14	29	0	1	1	1	2	2	0	2	–
32J. FowlerG		63:30	SA46GA4SV%.913xGA4.63GSAx+0.63

Goals

1st
Owen Beck(1)
F. Xhekaj (2), A. Xhekaj (2)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 MTL1st 03:05+14.378%
Josh Anderson(7)
C. Kreider (6), K. Guhle (3)
xG 0.10backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 MTL1st 18:18+11.390%
2nd
Cole Caufield(9)PP
N. Dobson (6), J. Slafkovský (8)
xG 0.36slapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–3 MTL2nd 04:00+5.897%
3rd
Cole Caufield(10)PP
L. Hutson (11), J. Slafkovský (9)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–4 MTL3rd 00:46+0.799%
Tyrel Bauer(1)
C. Koepke (1), D. DeMelo (4)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 MTL3rd 17:21+0.01%
Morgan Barron(2)
T. Bauer (1), D. DeMelo (5)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 MTL3rd 18:03+0.01%
Kyle Connor(12)6v5
M. Scheifele (11)
xG 0.03slapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 MTL3rd 19:00+1.32%
Kyle Connor(13)PP6v4
M. Scheifele (12), M. Barron (3)
xG 0.01snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–4 Tied3rd 19:27+43.344%
OT
Dylan Samberg(2)
A. Lowry (4), G. Vilardi (6)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–4 WPGOT 03:30+55.6100%

Shots

Shooters

WPG4.80 xG63 unblocked · 24 blocked63 unblocked · 24 blocked

MTL3.04 xG38 unblocked · 9 blocked38 unblocked · 9 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

WPGMTL5Goals44.80xG3.0447Shots2263Unblocked3887Attempts4710High danger61/5Power play2/442Faceoffs3920Hits169Blocks244Takeaways310Giveaways1420PIM22

Skaters

Player

Player
55M. ScheifeleMark ScheifeleC	28:09	0	2	2	3	11	0.66	−0.66	1	0	1	0	54%	2	+1
81K. ConnorKyle ConnorL	27:50	2	0	2	8	15	0.77	+1.23	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
13G. VilardiGabriel VilardiC	25:14	0	1	1	3	5	0.37	−0.37	1	1	0	1	70%	0	+2
4N. PionkNeal PionkD	23:32	0	0	0	3	5	0.17	−0.17	3	1	1	1	—	4	+1
91C. PerfettiCole PerfettiC	21:03	0	0	0	6	12	0.55	−0.55	1	1	0	1	—	0	+1
19D. MercerDawson MercerC	19:42	0	0	0	2	5	0.45	−0.45	0	0	1	0	—	0	0
38M. FerraroMario FerraroD	19:13	0	0	0	1	5	0.08	−0.08	2	2	0	1	—	0	0
2D. DeMeloDylan DeMeloD	18:38	0	2	2	1	1	0.29	−0.29	1	0	1	0	—	0	+1
54D. SambergDylan SambergD	18:02	1	0	1	1	3	0.18	+0.82	0	0	0	2	—	0	+1
57E. SalomonssonElias SalomonssonD	17:39	0	0	0	4	6	0.23	−0.23	0	2	0	1	—	2	0
17A. LowryAdam LowryC	16:07	0	1	1	3	6	0.37	−0.37	3	0	0	0	32%	5	+1
36M. BarronMorgan BarronC	15:25	1	1	2	6	6	0.40	+0.60	0	1	0	0	65%	2	+2
9A. IafalloAlex IafalloL	11:06	0	0	0	1	1	0.03	−0.03	1	0	0	0	100%	0	-1
77T. BauerTyrel BauerD	10:44	1	1	2	2	2	0.09	+0.91	2	0	0	0	—	5	+2
61V. BjörckViggo BjörckC	10:11	0	0	0	2	3	0.17	−0.17	1	0	0	0	33%	0	-1
24H. FleuryHaydn FleuryD	7:36	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
45C. KoepkeCole KoepkeL	6:53	0	1	1	1	1	0.00	−0.00	3	0	0	1	—	0	+1
62N. NiederreiterNino NiederreiterR	6:25	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	1	0%	0	-2
WPG total		5	9	14	47	87	4.80	+0.20	20	9	4	9	52%	20

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Connor8.5

Scheifele7.8

Koepke7.1

Lowry6.9

Barron6.8

Vilardi6.4

Mercer6.0

Perfetti5.3

Niederreiter5.1

Björck4.6

Iafallo4.6

Defence

Bauer8.6

Samberg7.8

DeMelo6.5

Salomonsson5.7

Ferraro5.6

Fleury3.6

Pionk3.0

Goalie

Skinner3.8

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Connor·Vilardi·Scheifele	14:36	19	24	6	80.0%	12	1	0	0	1.03	0.09	92.2%	+0.94	7	0	100%
Lowry·Mercer·Perfetti	10:36	19	15	13	53.6%	6	7	0	0	0.19	0.72	21.1%	−0.52	5	1	83%
Iafallo·Barron·Björck	3:58	6	1	4	20.0%	1	1	0	0	0.03	0.12	17.6%	−0.10	1	2	33%
Occasional · 10 groups
Koepke·Barron·Niederreiter	2:43	6	1	4	20.0%	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.12	2.1%	−0.12	2	1	67%
Koepke·Barron·Björck	1:14	2	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	1	0	100%
Iafallo·Mercer·Björck	1:02	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Mercer·Barron·Perfetti	0:56	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Vilardi·Scheifele·Perfetti	0:49	4	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Iafallo·Barron·Niederreiter	0:43	1	0	4	0.0%	0	4	0	1	0.00	0.59	0.0%	−0.59	0	0	—
Iafallo·Lowry·Mercer	0:42	1	3	0	100.0%	3	0	0	0	0.53	0.00	100.0%	+0.53	0	0	—
Iafallo·Lowry·Niederreiter	0:35	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Mercer·Scheifele·Perfetti	0:31	6	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Koepke·Björck·Niederreiter	0:24	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.10	0.0%	−0.10	1	0	100%
Other 25 brief groups	4:43		7	2	77.8%	6	0	2	0	0.48	0.01	97.3%	+0.47
WPG 5v5	43:32		54	38	58.7%	29	16	2	2	2.26	1.78	55.9%	+0.48

Goalies

Stuart Skinner

WPG · 62:18

Saves: 18/22
SV%: .818
GAA: 3.85
xGA: 3.04
GSAx: −0.96

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/17	.882	1.98	−0.02
Power play	3/5	.600	1.06	−0.94
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/4	.750	1.45	+0.45

Jacob Fowler

MTL · 63:30

Saves: 42/47
SV%: .894
GAA: 4.72
xGA: 4.80
GSAx: −0.20

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	33/37	.892	3.23	−0.77
Power play	9/10	.900	1.57	+0.57
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	7/8	.875	2.07	+1.07

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Winnipeg Jets

Minutes

23:32Pionk
19:13Ferraro
18:38DeMelo
18:02Samberg
17:39Salomonsson
10:44Bauer
7:36Fleury

28:09Scheifele
27:50Connor
25:14Vilardi
21:03Perfetti
19:42Mercer
16:07Lowry
15:25Barron
11:06Iafallo
10:11Björck
6:53Koepke
6:25Niederreiter

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareWPGMTLGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

42–3952%

D 50%8–8N 57%13–10O 50%21–21 15 won into a shot

MTL attacks88WPG DZ 50% MTL OZ

Neutral1310WPG NZ 57% MTL NZ

WPG attacks2121WPG OZ 50% MTL DZ

39–4248%

D 50%21–21N 43%10–13O 50%8–8 5 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

PionkD2 O7
FerraroD2 O4
BauerD0 O2
FleuryD1 O2
SambergD3 O4
SalomonssonD2 O3
DeMeloD5 O1
ConnorD0 O11
ScheifeleD0 O10
VilardiD1 O10
PerfettiD1 O9
MercerD2 O6
LowryD4 O7
KoepkeD1 O4
NiederreiterD1 O3
BjörckD2 O3
BarronD5 O5
IafalloD4 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period