STL @ NYR 1–3 · 2026-11-03

St. LouisSTLBlues1

FinalNov 32026-11-03

Team	1	2	3	SOG
STL	0	0	1	33
NYR	0	1	2	31

Madison Square Garden

New YorkNYRRangers3

CallNYR51%mkt 52%-120Hit

Star 1D. Garand.970 SV%
Star 2A. Fox1G 1A
Star 3O. Bjorkstrand1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

+100Moneyline-120+1.5 -250Puck line-1.5 +205O -130Total 5.5U +110+140RegulationTie +320 +135-1051st period-125+1851st · 3-wayTie +175 +173

Season oddsafter: next morning's run

73%…Playoffs30%…1.2%…Cup0.5%…

Story

– / 13

Result NYR 3–1Call NYR 51% Market NYR 52%xG 3.14–4.78 · deserved NYR 75%Swing Fox +19 2nd 1:49Method

Goals and penalties with NYR win probability
Time	Event	NYR win before	NYR win after
1st 7:44	NYR penalty · S. Morrow · high sticking · 2 min
1st 11:29	NYR penalty · J. Chmelar · hooking · 2 min
1st 14:41	STL penalty · T. Lindstein · tripping · 2 min
1st 19:06	NYR penalty · J. Miller · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 1:49	Goal NYR · A. Fox	50%	70%
2nd 15:20	STL penalty · J. Neighbours · tripping · 2 min
2nd 18:18	NYR penalty · N. Laba · slashing · 2 min
3rd 1:17	STL penalty · C. McMichael · holding · 2 min
3rd 4:42	NYR penalty · M. Zibanejad · hooking · 2 min
3rd 9:01	Goal NYR · O. Bjorkstrand	83%	96%
3rd 17:59	Goal NYR · E. Tolvanen (EN)	100%	100%
3rd 19:01	Goal STL · P. Suter	100%	100%
3rd 19:38	NYR penalty · A. Smits · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min

On ice · final horn

STL6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18R. ThomasC	0:22	22:05	27	2	3	0	0	0	8-15
83M. McTavishC	0:22	18:55	22	1	4	0	3	0	5-3
63J. NeighboursL	0:59	18:14	21	1	2	2	1	1	–
89P. BuchnevichL	0:22	18:49	22	3	4	0	1	1	0-1
21J. SnuggerudR	0:22	20:03	24	2	3	0	3	0	–
6P. BrobergD	0:22	27:34	27	4	8	0	0	5	–

NYR4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
10J. MillerC	0:22	20:10	28	0	2	2	4	5	2	1	2	15-6
17E. TolvanenR	0:22	13:22	21	1	1	2	1	1	0	1	2	0-1
23A. FoxD	0:22	23:40	26	1	1	2	3	6	0	0	0	–
44V. GavrikovD	0:22	21:24	26	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	1	–
33D. GarandG		60:00	SA33GA1SV%.970xGA3.14GSAx+2.14

Goals

2nd
Adam Fox(2)
T. Kartye (7), J. Miller (7)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 NYR2nd 01:49+19.470%
3rd
Oliver Bjorkstrand(6)
E. Tolvanen (2), W. Cuylle (5)
xG 0.23wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 NYR3rd 09:01+13.496%
Eeli Tolvanen(4)EN
J. Miller (8), A. Fox (17)
xG 0.66wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–3 NYR3rd 17:59+0.0100%
Pius Suter(4)
A. Toropchenko (2), T. Lindstein (2)
xG 0.01backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 NYR3rd 19:01+0.00%

Shots

Shooters

STL3.14 xG44 unblocked · 18 blocked44 unblocked · 18 blocked

NYR4.78 xG45 unblocked · 19 blocked45 unblocked · 19 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

STLNYR1Goals33.14xG4.7833Shots3144Unblocked4562Attempts647High danger70/6Power play0/330Faceoffs3721Hits2319Blocks186Takeaways519Giveaways186PIM12

Skaters

Player

Player
6P. BrobergPhilip BrobergD	27:34	0	0	0	4	8	0.32	−0.32	0	5	0	3	—	0	-1
18R. ThomasRobert ThomasC	22:05	0	0	0	2	3	0.28	−0.28	0	0	1	0	35%	0	-1
21J. SnuggerudJimmy SnuggerudR	20:03	0	0	0	2	3	0.21	−0.21	3	0	0	1	—	0	-1
17C. FowlerCam FowlerD	19:12	0	0	0	2	6	0.02	−0.02	1	2	0	2	—	0	-2
83M. McTavishMason McTavishC	18:55	0	0	0	1	4	0.33	−0.33	3	0	1	1	63%	0	-3
89P. BuchnevichPavel BuchnevichL	18:49	0	0	0	3	4	0.42	−0.42	1	1	0	1	0%	0	0
72J. BarronJustin BarronD	18:46	0	0	0	3	3	0.08	−0.08	2	1	1	1	—	0	-1
63J. NeighboursJake NeighboursL	18:14	0	0	0	1	2	0.19	−0.19	1	1	1	2	—	2	-1
81D. HollowayDylan HollowayL	17:28	0	0	0	5	7	0.54	−0.54	2	0	0	2	0%	0	-1
25B. CarloBrandon CarloD	17:20	0	0	0	1	4	0.01	−0.01	2	2	1	1	—	0	+1
36A. JiricekAdam JiricekD	17:17	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	−0.10	0	0	0	0	—	0	-2
77C. McMichaelConnor McMichaelL	14:22	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	50%	2	-2
4T. LindsteinTheo LindsteinD	12:55	0	1	1	2	3	0.03	−0.03	0	0	1	0	—	2	+1
22P. SuterPius SuterC	12:17	1	0	1	2	5	0.38	+0.62	1	0	0	1	36%	0	+1
29J. BerggrenJonatan BerggrenR	11:28	0	0	0	2	3	0.17	−0.17	0	0	0	2	—	0	-1
13A. ToropchenkoAlexey ToropchenkoR	10:55	0	1	1	1	1	0.01	−0.01	3	3	0	1	0%	0	+1
15D. DvorskyDalibor DvorskyR	10:26	0	0	0	1	2	0.05	−0.05	0	0	0	0	67%	0	0
49R. JohnstonRoss JohnstonL	7:21	0	0	0	1	1	0.00	−0.00	2	3	0	0	—	0	+1
STL total		1	2	3	33	62	3.14	−2.14	21	18	6	18	45%	6

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Toropchenko7.5

Suter7.0

Johnston5.7

Dvorsky5.6

Holloway4.9

McTavish4.2

Snuggerud4.1

Berggren3.5

Buchnevich2.9

Thomas2.7

Neighbours2.3

McMichael0.5

Defence

Broberg6.8

Lindstein6.5

Carlo5.1

Barron5.0

Fowler3.3

Jiricek2.1

Goalie

Hofer7.9

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Holloway·Thomas·Snuggerud	9:26	16	10	13	43.5%	5	7	0	0	0.48	0.48	49.9%	−0.00	2	4	33%
Neighbours·Buchnevich·Dvorsky	7:37	12	4	5	44.4%	2	1	0	0	0.12	0.33	27.3%	−0.21	3	2	60%
McMichael·McTavish·Berggren	6:30	12	6	5	54.5%	3	3	0	1	0.32	1.01	24.1%	−0.69	1	3	25%
Johnston·Suter·Toropchenko	6:20	11	9	11	45.0%	6	3	1	0	0.32	0.19	62.7%	+0.13	1	4	20%
Occasional · 12 groups
Holloway·McTavish·Berggren	0:54	3	2	1	66.7%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Suter·Toropchenko·Berggren	0:53	1	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.11	0.00	100.0%	+0.11	0	0	—
Holloway·Buchnevich·Thomas	0:50	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Buchnevich·McTavish·Snuggerud	0:48	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	0	0	—
McMichael·Dvorsky·Berggren	0:46	3	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Neighbours·Buchnevich·McTavish	0:45	3	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.37	0.0%	−0.37	0	0	—
Buchnevich·McTavish·Berggren	0:42	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Neighbours·Dvorsky·Berggren	0:41	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Neighbours·McTavish·Snuggerud	0:39	1	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
McMichael·Buchnevich·Dvorsky	0:36	1	5	0	100.0%	3	0	0	0	0.22	0.00	100.0%	+0.22	1	0	100%
Neighbours·McMichael·Dvorsky	0:34	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
McMichael·Holloway·McTavish	0:03	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	0	0	—
Other 34 brief groups	4:29		4	4	50.0%	3	2	0	0	0.27	0.05	84.4%	+0.22
STL 5v5	42:33		44	46	48.9%	24	19	1	2	1.86	2.68	40.9%	−0.82

Goalies

Joel Hofer

STL · 58:33

Saves: 28/30
SV%: .933
GAA: 2.05
xGA: 4.12
GSAx: +2.12

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	17/19	.895	2.68	+0.68
Power play	11/11	1.000	1.43	+1.43
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	5/6	.833	1.89	+0.89

Dylan Garand

NYR · 60:00

Saves: 32/33
SV%: .970
GAA: 1.00
xGA: 3.14
GSAx: +2.14

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	24/25	.960	1.89	+0.89
Power play	8/8	1.000	1.25	+1.25
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	5/5	1.000	1.23	+1.23

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

St. Louis Blues

Minutes

27:34Broberg
19:12Fowler
18:46Barron
17:20Carlo
17:17Jiricek
12:55Lindstein

22:05Thomas
20:03Snuggerud
18:55McTavish
18:49Buchnevich
18:14Neighbours
17:28Holloway
14:22McMichael
12:17Suter
11:28Berggren
10:55Toropchenko
10:26Dvorsky
7:21Johnston

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareSTLNYRGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

30–3745%

D 32%8–17N 64%9–5O 46%13–15 7 won into a shot

NYR attacks817STL DZ 32% NYR OZ

Neutral95STL NZ 64% NYR NZ

STL attacks1315STL OZ 46% NYR DZ

37–3055%

D 54%15–13N 36%5–9O 68%17–8 8 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

LindsteinD1 O3
JiricekD3 O3
FowlerD5 O4
BrobergD6 O5
BarronD4 O0
CarloD8 O0
NeighboursD2 O6
DvorskyD2 O6
BuchnevichD5 O8
McTavishD3 O6
SnuggerudD4 O7
McMichaelD4 O5
ThomasD6 O5
BerggrenD3 O2
HollowayD5 O3
JohnstonD4 O1
ToropchenkoD5 O1
SuterD8 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period