DET @ TBL 2–4 · 2026-11-03

DetroitDETRed Wings2

FinalNov 32026-11-03

Team	1	2	3	SOG
DET	0	1	1	21
TBL	2	1	1	27

Benchmark International Arena

Tampa BayTBLLightning4

CallNo lean · 74% TBL

Star 1B. Point2G 0A
Star 2N. Kucherov0G 2A
Star 3J. Compher1G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

+235Moneyline-290+1.5 -108Puck line-1.5 -112O +114Total 6.5U -135+310RegulationTie +370 -170+1601st period-215+2751st · 3-wayTie +188 +118

Season oddsafter: next morning's run

13%…Playoffs98%…0.1%…Cup16%…

Story

– / 13

Result TBL 4–2Call No lean · TBL 74%Market TBL 73%xG 3.19–3.97 · deserved TBL 62%Swing Point +13 1st 7:54Method

Goals and penalties with TBL win probability
Time	Event	TBL win before	TBL win after
1st 6:53	DET penalty · M. Seider · interference · 2 min
1st 7:54	Goal TBL · B. Point (PP)	72%	85%
1st 8:36	DET penalty · M. Brandsegg-Nygård · holding · 2 min
1st 13:01	Goal TBL · B. Point	85%	93%
2nd 8:41	Goal TBL · A. Cirelli	95%	98%
2nd 10:23	Goal DET · L. Raymond	98%	95%
2nd 11:49	DET penalty · B. Chiarot · hooking · 2 min
2nd 14:10	TBL penalty · P. Holmberg · tripping · 2 min
3rd 3:36	TBL penalty · J. Viel · holding · 2 min
3rd 5:29	Goal DET · J. Compher (PP)	97%	88%
3rd 10:42	TBL penalty · M. Crozier · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 13:52	TBL penalty · E. Cernak · tripping · 2 min
3rd 19:59	Goal TBL · R. McDonagh (EN)	99%	99%

On ice · final horn

DET5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
15S. DriesC	0:01	10:22	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	5-4
18A. CoppC	0:01	19:13	25	0	1	1	1	2	0	2	2	3-7
43J. LeonardL	0:01	11:03	18	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	1	–
42A. JohanssonD	0:01	10:09	14	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	1	–
72J. FaulkD	0:09	19:52	28	0	1	1	1	3	0	2	2	–
80D. TarasovG		36:59	SA13GA1SV%.923xGA1.98GSAx+0.98

TBL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
17D. JamesC	0:01	10:34	19	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	5-4
29P. HolmbergR	0:09	12:05	23	0	0	0	1	3	2	2	0	1-0
95I. MikheyevR	0:34	13:40	24	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	–
24M. CrozierD	0:01	16:26	22	0	0	0	2	5	2	0	2	–
51C. D'AstousD	0:01	18:14	20	0	1	1	2	5	0	2	0	–
88A. VasilevskiyG		60:00	SA21GA2SV%.905xGA3.19GSAx+1.19

Goals

1st
Brayden Point(4)PP
N. Kucherov (15), C. D'Astous (6)
xG 0.19snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 TBL1st 07:54+12.585%
Brayden Point(5)
N. Kucherov (16), E. Cernak (3)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 TBL1st 13:01+8.393%
2nd
Anthony Cirelli(5)
G. Goncalves (3), J. Moser (1)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–3 TBL2nd 08:41+3.898%
Lucas Raymond(6)
J. Compher (4)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 TBL2nd 10:23+3.75%
3rd
J.T. Compher(2)PP
A. Copp (4), J. Faulk (6)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 TBL3rd 05:29+9.212%
Ryan McDonagh(1)EN
Unassisted
xG 0.24snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 TBL3rd 19:59+0.099%

Shots

Shooters

DET3.19 xG33 unblocked · 11 blocked33 unblocked · 11 blocked

TBL3.97 xG45 unblocked · 26 blocked45 unblocked · 26 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

DETTBL2Goals43.19xG3.9721Shots2733Unblocked4544Attempts717High danger91/4Power play1/326Faceoffs2737Hits2126Blocks113Takeaways515Giveaways156PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
53M. SeiderMoritz SeiderD	30:11	0	0	0	1	4	0.18	−0.18	4	7	0	6	—	2	-1
93A. DeBrincatAlex DeBrincatR	22:55	0	0	0	4	9	0.34	−0.34	2	1	0	1	—	0	-2
33V. ArvidssonViktor ArvidssonL	20:36	0	0	0	1	3	0.40	−0.40	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
8B. ChiarotBen ChiarotD	20:30	0	0	0	1	2	0.04	−0.04	1	0	0	1	—	2	0
72J. FaulkJustin FaulkD	19:52	0	1	1	1	3	0.08	−0.08	2	2	0	0	—	0	-2
58E. FinnieEmmitt FinnieC	19:36	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	−0.10	1	1	0	0	57%	0	-1
23L. RaymondLucas RaymondL	19:32	1	0	1	5	6	0.56	+0.44	0	0	1	0	—	0	-1
18A. CoppAndrew CoppC	19:13	0	1	1	1	2	0.06	−0.06	2	2	1	0	30%	0	-1
37J. CompherJ.T. CompherL	16:06	1	1	2	2	3	0.21	+0.79	0	0	0	3	53%	0	0
54W. WallinderWilliam WallinderD	15:55	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	3	0	2	—	0	-1
27M. RasmussenMichael RasmussenC	15:08	0	0	0	2	4	0.84	−0.84	3	3	0	0	—	0	0
28M. Brandsegg-NygårdMichael Brandsegg-NygårdR	13:58	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	−0.11	1	0	0	0	0%	2	0
24A. EnglundAndreas EnglundD	13:51	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	8	0	1	1	—	0	0
43J. LeonardJohn LeonardL	11:03	0	0	0	2	2	0.27	−0.27	3	1	0	0	—	0	0
55K. KolesarKeegan KolesarR	10:34	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	0	0	0	—	0	0
15S. DriesSheldon DriesC	10:22	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	2	0	0	56%	0	0
42A. JohanssonAnton JohanssonD	10:09	0	0	0	1	1	0.00	−0.00	2	1	0	1	—	0	0
34C. MazurCarter MazurL	8:29	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	0	—	0	-1
DET total		2	3	5	21	44	3.19	−1.19	37	23	3	15	49%	6

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Compher8.3

Raymond6.5

Rasmussen6.3

Copp6.2

Finnie5.7

Dries5.2

Kolesar5.1

Leonard5.0

Mazur4.3

Arvidsson3.4

DeBrincat3.4

Brandsegg-Nygård2.1

Defence

Faulk6.4

Seider6.2

Wallinder5.9

Johansson3.9

Englund3.2

Chiarot1.7

Goalie

Tarasov6.2

Gibson4.6

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Arvidsson·Finnie·DeBrincat	11:02	16	11	15	42.3%	2	5	0	1	0.55	0.33	62.1%	+0.21	2	1	67%
Raymond·Copp·Brandsegg-Nygård	6:15	11	1	13	7.1%	1	5	0	0	0.00	0.86	0.2%	−0.85	1	2	33%
Compher·Leonard·Rasmussen	4:40	10	1	9	10.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.37	0.0%	−0.37	0	4	0%
Raymond·Compher·Rasmussen	3:42	6	4	4	50.0%	3	1	1	0	0.31	0.16	65.4%	+0.14	0	1	0%
Mazur·Dries·Kolesar	3:41	6	0	4	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	1	0	100%
Leonard·Dries·Kolesar	3:25	5	1	5	16.7%	1	2	0	0	0.07	0.36	16.5%	−0.29	0	0	—
Mazur·Copp·Brandsegg-Nygård	2:19	4	3	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.12	0.00	100.0%	+0.12	0	0	—
Occasional · 6 groups
Arvidsson·Compher·DeBrincat	1:06	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Leonard·Finnie·DeBrincat	0:47	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.11	0.0%	−0.11	0	0	—
Dries·Brandsegg-Nygård·Kolesar	0:35	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Mazur·Copp·DeBrincat	0:33	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.23	0.0%	−0.23	0	0	—
Arvidsson·Finnie·Brandsegg-Nygård	0:30	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.17	0.0%	−0.17	0	0	—
Raymond·Mazur·Copp	0:24	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.17	0.0%	−0.17	0	1	0%
Other 38 brief groups	5:06		6	1	85.7%	5	0	0	0	0.73	0.11	86.6%	+0.62
DET 5v5	44:05		27	57	32.1%	13	21	1	2	1.77	2.94	37.6%	−1.16

Goalies

Daniil Tarasov

DET · 36:59

Saves: 12/13
SV%: .923
GAA: 1.62
xGA: 1.98
GSAx: +0.98

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	10/11	.909	1.74	+0.74
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.24	+0.24
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.00	+0.00
High danger	4/5	.800	1.07	+0.07

John Gibson

DET · 20:00

Saves: 11/13
SV%: .846
GAA: 6.00
xGA: 1.74
GSAx: −0.26

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	9/10	.900	1.20	+0.20
Power play	2/3	.667	0.55	−0.45
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/2	.500	0.36	−0.64

Andrei Vasilevskiy

TBL · 60:00

Saves: 19/21
SV%: .905
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 3.19
GSAx: +1.19

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/16	.938	2.41	+1.41
Power play	4/5	.800	0.78	−0.22
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	4/5	.800	1.59	+0.59

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Detroit Red Wings

Minutes

30:11Seider
20:30Chiarot
19:52Faulk
15:55Wallinder
13:51Englund
10:09Johansson

22:55DeBrincat
20:36Arvidsson
19:36Finnie
19:32Raymond
19:13Copp
16:06Compher
15:08Rasmussen
13:58Brandsegg-Nygård
11:03Leonard
10:34Kolesar
10:22Dries
8:29Mazur

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareDETTBLGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

26–2749%

D 30%6–14N 70%14–6O 46%6–7 3 won into a shot

TBL attacks614DET DZ 30% TBL OZ

Neutral146DET NZ 70% TBL NZ

DET attacks67DET OZ 46% TBL DZ

27–2651%

D 54%7–6N 30%6–14O 70%14–6 9 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JohanssonD0 O1
EnglundD1 O1
SeiderD4 O4
WallinderD3 O2
FaulkD5 O3
ChiarotD4 O1
DeBrincatD1 O6
ArvidssonD1 O5
FinnieD2 O4
KolesarD1 O1
MazurD1 O1
DriesD2 O1
RaymondD4 O3
Brandsegg-NygårdD2 O0
CoppD4 O1
LeonardD4 O1
RasmussenD5 O0
CompherD7 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period