TOR @ EDM 7–2 · 2026-10-24

TorontoTORMaple Leafs7

FinalOct 242026-10-24

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TOR	1	2	4	32
EDM	0	1	1	32

Rogers Place

EdmontonEDMOilers2

CallNo lean · 62% EDM

Star 1A. Stolarz.938 SV%
Star 2J. Roslovic1G 1A
Star 3K. Marchenko0G 2A

Closing linesDraftKings

+130Moneyline-155+1.5 -180Puck line-1.5 +150O -155Total 6.5U +130+175RegulationTie +340 +100

Season odds

17%25%+7.7Playoffs98%97%−0.40.1%0.4%+0.3Cup6.4%6.2%−0.2

Story

– / 19

Result TOR 7–2Call No lean · EDM 62%Market EDM 59%xG 3.13–3.13 · deserved TOR 50%Swing Roslovic +18 1st 14:16Method

Goals and penalties with EDM win probability
Time	Event	EDM win before	EDM win after
1st 3:33	TOR penalty · J. Roslovic · tripping · 2 min
1st 14:16	Goal TOR · J. Roslovic	61%	43%
1st 19:04	TOR penalty · T. Stecher · roughing · 2 min
1st 19:04	EDM penalty · A. Formenton · roughing · 2 min
2nd 5:29	Goal TOR · A. Matthews	39%	22%
2nd 6:23	Goal TOR · T. Stecher	21%	10%
2nd 13:11	EDM penalty · C. Murphy · fighting · 5 min
2nd 13:11	TOR penalty · V. Lettieri · fighting · 5 min
2nd 14:39	TOR penalty · E. Cowan · slashing · 2 min
2nd 18:05	TOR penalty · N. Paul · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:05	EDM penalty · O. Michaels · roughing · 2 min
2nd 19:04	Goal EDM · L. Draisaitl	5%	14%
3rd 5:45	EDM penalty · C. Dach · hooking · 2 min
3rd 5:59	Goal TOR · W. Nylander (PP)	9%	2%
3rd 13:39	Goal TOR · Z. MacEwen	0%	0%
3rd 16:12	TOR penalty · C. Sissons · hooking · 2 min
3rd 16:35	Goal EDM · L. Draisaitl (PP)	0%	0%
3rd 17:56	Goal TOR · W. Nylander (EN)	0%	0%
3rd 19:29	Goal TOR · V. Lettieri	0%	0%

On ice · final horn

TOR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
73T. BluegerC	0:33	14:36	21	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	2	7-6
24B. DuhaimeL	0:31	13:29	19	0	1	1	3	5	0	5	0	–
19Z. MacEwenR	0:31	9:39	16	1	0	1	2	4	0	3	0	0-1
36D. MermisD	0:33	14:22	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
95O. Ekman-LarssonD	0:51	19:09	28	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	1	–
41A. StolarzG		60:00	SA32GA2SV%.938xGA3.13GSAx+1.13

EDM5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
26A. FormentonL	0:45	12:49	19	0	0	0	0	0	2	7	0	–
21M. JosephR	0:51	13:52	18	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	–
43O. MichaelsR	0:38	13:24	21	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	0	1-9
5C. MurphyD	0:31	17:53	25	0	0	0	3	5	5	2	2	–
85S. MukhamadullinD	0:57	17:28	24	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	–
35T. JarryG		59:45	SA31GA6SV%.806xGA2.70GSAx−3.30

Goals

1st
Jack Roslovic(5)
Unassisted
xG 0.09Clip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 TOR1st 14:16+17.757%
2nd
Auston Matthews(9)
E. Cowan (7), J. Roslovic (7)
xG 0.17wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 TOR2nd 05:29+17.478%
Troy Stecher(2)
K. Marchenko (7), M. Rielly (9)
xG 0.14snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–0 TOR2nd 06:23+11.590%
Leon Draisaitl(11)
C. McDavid (24), E. Bouchard (13)
xG 0.04wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 TOR2nd 19:04+9.114%
3rd
William Nylander(7)PP
D. Raddysh (6), K. Marchenko (8)
xG 0.11slapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 TOR3rd 05:59+6.598%
Zack MacEwen(1)
B. Duhaime (3)
xG 0.39batClip(opens nhl.com)
5–1 TOR3rd 13:39+0.0100%
Leon Draisaitl(12)PP
C. McDavid (25), E. Bouchard (14)
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–2 TOR3rd 16:35+0.00%
William Nylander(8)EN
J. McCabe (2)
xG 0.43wristClip(opens nhl.com)
6–2 TOR3rd 17:56+0.0100%
Vinni Lettieri(1)
G. McKenna (5)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
7–2 TOR3rd 19:29+0.0100%

Shots

Shooters

TOR3.13 xG45 unblocked · 14 blocked45 unblocked · 14 blocked

EDM3.13 xG53 unblocked · 15 blocked53 unblocked · 15 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TOREDM7Goals23.13xG3.1332Shots3245Unblocked5359Attempts685High danger61/1Power play1/325Faceoffs2523Hits4215Blocks146Takeaways312Giveaways1615PIM11

Skaters

Player

Player
28T. StecherTroy StecherD	24:21	1	0	1	3	5	0.16	+0.84	0	1	1	5	—	2	+2
22J. McCabeJake McCabeD	21:40	0	1	1	3	3	0.08	−0.08	0	1	0	1	—	0	+3
43D. RaddyshDarren RaddyshD	21:39	0	1	1	0	7	0.06	−0.06	0	2	0	1	—	0	+2
95O. Ekman-LarssonOliver Ekman-LarssonD	19:09	0	0	0	2	2	0.03	−0.03	0	1	1	1	—	0	0
44M. RiellyMorgan RiellyD	18:51	0	1	1	0	2	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	1	—	0	+2
34A. MatthewsAuston MatthewsC	17:13	1	0	1	2	3	0.35	+0.65	1	0	1	1	43%	0	+2
20N. PaulNick PaulL	15:59	0	0	0	1	2	0.13	−0.13	3	2	0	0	60%	2	+1
88W. NylanderWilliam NylanderR	15:59	2	0	2	3	4	0.58	+1.42	1	0	0	1	0%	0	+2
86K. MarchenkoKirill MarchenkoR	15:47	0	2	2	1	2	0.02	−0.02	0	1	0	1	—	0	+1
96J. RoslovicJack RoslovicC	15:37	1	1	2	2	4	0.13	+0.87	0	0	0	0	0%	2	+1
15C. SissonsColton SissonsC	15:30	0	0	0	2	3	0.11	−0.11	2	0	0	0	60%	2	+1
53E. CowanEaston CowanR	15:20	0	1	1	1	3	0.14	−0.14	1	0	0	0	—	2	+2
73T. BluegerTeddy BluegerC	14:36	0	0	0	1	2	0.28	−0.28	4	2	1	0	54%	0	+2
36D. MermisDakota MermisD	14:22	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	+2
24B. DuhaimeBrandon DuhaimeL	13:29	0	1	1	3	5	0.24	−0.24	5	0	1	0	—	0	+1
92G. McKennaGavin McKennaL	11:29	0	1	1	1	1	0.03	−0.03	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
71V. LettieriVinni LettieriC	10:57	1	0	1	5	7	0.21	+0.79	1	0	0	0	—	5	+1
19Z. MacEwenZack MacEwenR	9:39	1	0	1	2	4	0.56	+0.44	3	0	1	0	0%	0	+1
TOR total		7	9	16	32	59	3.13	+3.87	23	11	6	12	50%	15

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

MacEwen7.7

McKenna7.4

Lettieri7.4

Duhaime7.0

Marchenko7.0

Nylander6.8

Matthews6.7

Roslovic6.2

Blueger5.6

Cowan5.5

Paul4.2

Sissons2.5

Defence

Stecher7.6

Raddysh7.4

McCabe6.0

Ekman-Larsson5.2

Rielly5.1

Mermis4.0

Goalie

Stolarz6.5

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Paul·Marchenko·Nylander	12:08	17	6	14	30.0%	3	4	1	0	0.30	0.16	65.5%	+0.14	2	0	100%
Matthews·Roslovic·Cowan	12:00	19	12	19	38.7%	7	10	2	0	0.68	0.96	41.2%	−0.29	2	2	50%
McKenna·Sissons·Lettieri	8:53	14	11	4	73.3%	8	3	0	0	0.32	0.02	93.7%	+0.29	1	0	100%
Duhaime·Blueger·MacEwen	8:22	15	12	5	70.6%	6	2	1	0	0.92	0.05	95.0%	+0.87	0	2	0%
Occasional · 5 groups
Duhaime·Matthews·Roslovic	0:45	2	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.07	0.0%	−0.07	0	0	—
Duhaime·Sissons·Blueger	0:42	1	2	1	66.7%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	1	0%
McKenna·Lettieri·Blueger	0:35	5	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Sissons·Marchenko·Nylander	0:35	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	0	0	—
McKenna·Blueger·MacEwen	0:30	4	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	0	0	—
Other 40 brief groups	6:38		6	7	46.2%	2	3	1	0	0.08	0.49	14.1%	−0.41
TOR 5v5	51:08		53	52	50.5%	28	23	5	0	2.38	1.75	57.6%	+0.62

Goalies

Anthony Stolarz

TOR · 60:00

Saves: 30/32
SV%: .938
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 3.13
GSAx: +1.13

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	27/28	.964	2.39	+1.39
Power play	3/4	.750	0.74	−0.26
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/2	.500	1.07	+0.07

Tristan Jarry

EDM · 59:45

Saves: 25/31
SV%: .806
GAA: 6.03
xGA: 2.70
GSAx: −3.30

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	24/29	.828	2.41	−2.59
Power play	0/1	.000	0.11	−0.89
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.18	+0.18
High danger	1/3	.333	0.87	−1.13

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Toronto Maple Leafs

Minutes

24:21Stecher
21:40McCabe
21:39Raddysh
19:09Ekman-Larsson
18:51Rielly
14:22Mermis

17:13Matthews
15:59Paul
15:59Nylander
15:47Marchenko
15:37Roslovic
15:30Sissons
15:20Cowan
14:36Blueger
13:29Duhaime
11:29McKenna
10:57Lettieri
9:39MacEwen

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTOREDMGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

25–2550%

D 38%6–10N 52%12–11O 64%7–4 7 won into a shot

EDM attacks610TOR DZ 38% EDM OZ

Neutral1211TOR NZ 52% EDM NZ

TOR attacks74TOR OZ 64% EDM DZ

25–2550%

D 36%4–7N 48%11–12O 63%10–6 7 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MermisD1 O2
Ekman-LarssonD3 O2
RiellyD1 O0
McCabeD4 O2
RaddyshD3 O1
StecherD5 O0
MarchenkoD0 O4
PaulD1 O3
NylanderD1 O3
RoslovicD1 O3
MatthewsD2 O3
LettieriD0 O1
McKennaD0 O1
CowanD2 O2
MacEwenD2 O0
SissonsD5 O1
DuhaimeD4 O0
BluegerD5 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period