NSH @ PIT 2–3 · 2026-10-24

NashvilleNSHPredators2

Final/OTOct 242026-10-24

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
NSH	1	1	0	0	26
PIT	0	1	1	1	37

PPG Paints Arena

PittsburghPITPenguins3

CallNo lean · 62% PIT

Star 1V. Koivunen1G 0A
Star 2R. Rakell1G 0A
Star 3J. Saros.919 SV%

Closing linesDraftKings

+105Moneyline-125+1.5 -230Puck line-1.5 +190O -108Total 6.5U -112+145RegulationTie +310 +130

Season odds

11%17%+5.4Playoffs41%42%+0.80.1%0.0%−0.1Cup1.3%1.4%+0.1

Story

– / 7

Result PIT 3–2 OTCall No lean · PIT 62%Market PIT 54%xG 3.13–3.86 · deserved PIT 62%Swing Rakell +52 3rd 18:54Method

Goals and penalties with PIT win probability
Time	Event	PIT win before	PIT win after
1st 9:24	Goal NSH · S. Stamkos	61%	44%
1st 17:16	NSH penalty · R. Josi · holding · 2 min
2nd 0:18	Goal PIT · C. Dewar	40%	60%
2nd 6:40	Goal NSH · J. Struble	59%	38%
3rd 10:44	PIT penalty · C. Dewar · tripping · 2 min
3rd 18:54	Goal PIT · R. Rakell	3%	55%
OT 3:44	Goal PIT · V. Koivunen	55%	100%

On ice · final horn

NSH3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18J. DruryC	0:34	17:26	24	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	4-6
81J. MarchessaultR	0:38	15:56	18	0	0	0	0	2	0	5	1	–
59R. JosiD	1:26	28:37	25	0	0	0	2	3	2	0	3	–
74J. SarosG		63:44	SA36GA2SV%.944xGA3.76GSAx+1.76

PIT3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
22H. LapierreC	0:22	16:26	22	0	0	0	4	5	0	0	1	5-3
41V. KoivunenR	0:19	16:28	19	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	–
58K. LetangD	0:55	22:33	24	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	1	–
37A. SilovsG		62:25	SA26GA2SV%.923xGA2.57GSAx+0.57

Goals

1st
Steven Stamkos(5)
M. Wood (2), R. O'Reilly (4)
xG 0.21deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 NSH1st 09:24+17.456%
2nd
Connor Dewar(2)
E. Soderblom (1)
xG 0.13wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 00:18+19.660%
Jayden Struble(1)
N. Hoglander (1)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 NSH2nd 06:40+21.462%
3rd
Rickard Rakell(2)6v5
S. Crosby (4), E. Karlsson (11)
xG 0.07snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 18:54+51.655%
OT
Ville Koivunen(2)
H. Lapierre (4), K. Letang (6)
xG 0.10snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 PITOT 03:44+45.2100%

Shots

Shooters

NSH3.13 xG36 unblocked · 9 blocked36 unblocked · 9 blocked

PIT3.86 xG53 unblocked · 20 blocked53 unblocked · 20 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NSHPIT2Goals33.13xG3.8626Shots3736Unblocked5345Attempts739High danger70/1Power play0/133Faceoffs2726Hits1120Blocks95Takeaways524Giveaways132PIM2

Skaters

Player

Player
59R. JosiRoman JosiD	28:37	0	0	0	2	3	0.06	−0.06	0	3	1	1	—	2	-2
2A. WilsbyAdam WilsbyD	23:10	0	0	0	3	3	0.09	−0.09	0	1	0	3	—	0	-1
76B. SkjeiBrady SkjeiD	20:42	0	0	0	1	1	0.00	−0.00	2	4	0	2	—	0	+1
90R. O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyC	19:42	0	1	1	2	3	0.22	−0.22	1	2	0	1	75%	0	-1
9F. ForsbergFilip ForsbergL	19:28	0	0	0	1	5	0.30	−0.30	1	0	0	3	—	0	0
91S. StamkosSteven StamkosC	19:00	1	0	1	3	5	0.49	+0.51	0	0	0	1	64%	0	-1
22M. BourqueMavrik BourqueC	18:06	0	0	0	2	3	0.33	−0.33	1	0	2	2	38%	0	0
18J. DruryJack DruryC	17:26	0	0	0	1	1	0.14	−0.14	0	1	1	1	40%	0	-1
14A. KerfootAlexander KerfootC	17:19	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	2	0	3	57%	0	0
48N. PerbixNick PerbixD	17:16	0	0	0	2	5	0.02	−0.02	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
41N. HagueNicolas HagueD	16:32	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	—	0	0
79R. ColtonRoss ColtonC	16:27	0	0	0	2	3	0.16	−0.16	5	2	0	1	100%	0	+1
3J. StrubleJayden StrubleD	16:09	1	0	1	2	2	0.13	+0.87	2	1	1	2	—	0	0
81J. MarchessaultJonathan MarchessaultR	15:56	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	−0.22	5	1	0	1	—	0	-1
84A. EdstromAdam EdstromC	14:26	0	0	0	2	5	0.50	−0.50	4	0	0	1	0%	0	0
71M. WoodMatthew WoodR	14:18	0	1	1	3	3	0.46	−0.46	1	1	0	0	—	0	0
21N. HoglanderNils HoglanderL	9:28	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	0	—	0	+1
51V. PinchukVitali PinchukC	5:10	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
NSH total		2	3	5	26	45	3.13	−1.13	26	19	5	24	55%	2

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Hoglander6.9

Wood6.5

Stamkos6.4

Colton6.2

O'Reilly5.2

Edstrom5.0

Pinchuk4.9

Kerfoot3.6

Drury3.5

Marchessault3.2

Forsberg2.4

Bourque1.4

Defence

Struble7.7

Skjei5.5

Hague3.7

Josi3.7

Perbix3.3

Wilsby3.1

Goalie

Saros6.1

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Forsberg·Bourque·Marchessault	10:52	15	6	12	33.3%	3	9	0	0	0.29	0.66	30.6%	−0.37	6	1	86%
O'Reilly·Stamkos·Wood	10:42	15	11	12	47.8%	9	5	1	1	1.19	0.56	68.0%	+0.63	3	3	50%
Drury·Colton·Edstrom	9:12	19	8	4	66.7%	3	1	0	0	0.43	0.04	91.7%	+0.39	0	7	0%
Hoglander·Kerfoot·Pinchuk	3:58	8	0	4	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	2	1	67%
Occasional · 14 groups
Kerfoot·O'Reilly·Stamkos	2:19	6	6	2	75.0%	2	1	0	0	0.01	0.02	25.5%	−0.01	1	2	33%
Forsberg·Drury·Edstrom	1:51	6	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	1	0	100%
Hoglander·Kerfoot·Colton	1:43	2	3	2	60.0%	3	0	1	0	0.29	0.03	90.8%	+0.26	1	0	100%
Forsberg·Kerfoot·Bourque	0:53	1	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	100.0%	+0.00	1	0	100%
Forsberg·Hoglander·Kerfoot	0:45	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Kerfoot·Drury·Colton	0:45	1	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.14	0.00	100.0%	+0.14	0	0	—
Drury·Bourque·Wood	0:42	1	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	0	0	—
Hoglander·Pinchuk·O'Reilly	0:40	2	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.27	0.0%	−0.27	0	0	—
Hoglander·Kerfoot·Stamkos	0:39	2	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.16	0.0%	−0.16	0	0	—
Kerfoot·Drury·Edstrom	0:39	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Bourque·Colton·Marchessault	0:36	1	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.01	0.05	18.5%	−0.04	0	0	—
Hoglander·Drury·Colton	0:33	1	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Forsberg·Bourque·Wood	0:31	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Hoglander·O'Reilly·Stamkos	0:31	2	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.18	0.0%	−0.18	0	0	—
Other 37 brief groups	5:54		3	9	25.0%	2	6	0	0	0.17	1.00	14.2%	−0.83
NSH 5v5	53:45		40	64	38.5%	25	31	2	1	2.52	3.14	44.5%	−0.62

Goalies

Juuse Saros

NSH · 63:44

Saves: 34/37
SV%: .919
GAA: 2.82
xGA: 3.86
GSAx: +0.86

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	32/35	.914	3.39	+0.39
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.36	+0.36
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.11	+0.11
High danger	6/6	1.000	1.62	+1.62

Arturs Silovs

PIT · 62:25

Saves: 24/26
SV%: .923
GAA: 1.92
xGA: 2.57
GSAx: +0.57

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/25	.920	2.52	+0.52
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.06	+0.06
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	4/5	.800	1.40	+0.40

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Nashville Predators

Minutes

28:37Josi
23:10Wilsby
20:42Skjei
17:16Perbix
16:32Hague
16:09Struble

19:42O'Reilly
19:28Forsberg
19:00Stamkos
18:06Bourque
17:26Drury
17:19Kerfoot
16:27Colton
15:56Marchessault
14:26Edstrom
14:18Wood
9:28Hoglander
5:10Pinchuk

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNSHPITGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

33–2755%

D 52%12–11N 73%8–3O 50%13–13 11 won into a shot

PIT attacks1211NSH DZ 52% PIT OZ

Neutral83NSH NZ 73% PIT NZ

NSH attacks1313NSH OZ 50% PIT DZ

27–3345%

D 50%13–13N 27%3–8O 48%11–12 7 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JosiD4 O3
WilsbyD4 O3
SkjeiD3 O1
PerbixD3 O1
HagueD5 O2
StrubleD5 O2
ForsbergD1 O9
MarchessaultD1 O7
BourqueD1 O6
HoglanderD1 O3
WoodD2 O3
PinchukD1 O2
StamkosD5 O5
KerfootD5 O5
O'ReillyD6 O5
DruryD5 O1
ColtonD7 O1
EdstromD6 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period