BUF @ WSH 3–4 · 2026-10-24

BuffaloBUFSabres3

Final/OTOct 242026-10-24

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
BUF	2	0	1	0	21
WSH	1	2	0	1	34

Capital One Arena

WashingtonWSHCapitals4

CallNo lean · 52% WSH

Star 1A. Tuch2G 0A
Star 2D. Strome2G 1A
Star 3J. Kyrou0G 2A

Closing linesDraftKings

+100Moneyline-120+1.5 -238Puck line-1.5 +195O -130Total 6.5U +110+140RegulationTie +310 +135

Season odds

57%49%−7.4Playoffs70%75%+5.52.1%1.5%−0.6Cup2.9%3.2%+0.3

Story

– / 12

Result WSH 4–3 OTCall No lean · WSH 52%Market WSH 52%xG 2.17–4.02 · deserved WSH 78%Swing Tuch +49 OT 3:42Method

Goals and penalties with WSH win probability
Time	Event	WSH win before	WSH win after
1st 6:27	Goal BUF · J. Quinn	52%	35%
1st 10:36	Goal BUF · J. Doan	35%	20%
1st 16:10	Goal WSH · A. Tuch	19%	33%
2nd 0:55	BUF penalty · M. Samuelsson · slashing · 2 min
2nd 2:59	Goal WSH · D. Strome	32%	52%
2nd 14:46	BUF penalty · O. Zellweger · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
2nd 17:24	Goal WSH · D. Strome	51%	75%
3rd 2:20	Goal BUF · N. Ostlund	78%	51%
3rd 4:27	WSH penalty · T. Wilson · tripping · 2 min
3rd 7:26	WSH penalty · A. Tuch · slashing · 2 min
3rd 13:59	BUF penalty · K. Helenius · high sticking · 2 min
OT 3:42	Goal WSH · A. Tuch	51%	100%

On ice · final horn

BUF3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
86N. OstlundC	0:33	16:25	24	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	1	4-4
22J. QuinnR	0:49	17:24	24	1	0	1	3	5	0	0	0	0-1
25O. PowerD	0:49	30:09	32	0	1	1	2	4	0	0	1	–
1U. LuukkonenG		63:42	SA33GA3SV%.909xGA3.87GSAx+0.87

WSH3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
17D. StromeC	0:49	20:59	25	2	0	2	5	7	0	0	2	11-5
89A. TuchR	0:49	22:32	27	1	0	1	2	4	2	2	1	–
6J. ChychrunD	0:35	25:01	28	0	1	1	4	5	0	0	5	–
79C. LindgrenG		63:42	SA21GA3SV%.857xGA2.17GSAx−0.83

Goals

1st
Jack Quinn(6)
O. Zellweger (2), Z. Benson (7)
xG 0.13wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 BUF1st 06:27+16.665%
Josh Doan(2)
R. McLeod (2)
xG 0.09snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 BUF1st 10:36+14.480%
Alex Tuch(6)
J. Kyrou (5)
xG 0.02backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 BUF1st 16:10+14.833%
2nd
Dylan Strome(2)
J. Kyrou (6), J. Chychrun (5)
xG 0.29backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 02:59+19.852%
Dylan Strome(3)
J. Sourdif (1), M. Fehérváry (2)
xG 0.21snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 WSH2nd 17:24+24.275%
3rd
Noah Ostlund(3)
O. Power (7), R. Dahlin (3)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 02:20+26.749%
OT
Alex Tuch(7)
D. Strome (6), J. Chychrun (6)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 WSHOT 03:42+49.2100%

Shots

Shooters

BUF2.17 xG33 unblocked · 22 blocked33 unblocked · 22 blocked

WSH4.02 xG48 unblocked · 10 blocked48 unblocked · 10 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFWSH3Goals42.17xG4.0221Shots3433Unblocked4855Attempts584High danger60/2Power play0/330Faceoffs2315Hits2610Blocks228Takeaways524Giveaways156PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	30:09	0	1	1	2	4	0.07	−0.07	0	1	2	3	—	0	0
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	27:20	0	1	1	3	7	0.28	−0.28	1	1	0	5	—	0	+1
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	25:27	0	0	0	1	4	0.26	−0.26	0	3	1	1	—	2	0
8O. ZellwegerOlen ZellwegerD	21:06	0	1	1	2	8	0.10	−0.10	0	1	0	2	—	2	+1
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	18:32	0	1	1	2	4	0.41	−0.41	0	0	1	2	0%	0	+1
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	17:24	1	0	1	3	5	0.48	+0.52	0	0	0	1	0%	0	-1
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	17:15	0	1	1	1	2	0.11	−0.11	0	0	1	1	69%	0	+1
9J. NorrisJosh NorrisC	17:06	0	0	0	1	4	0.18	−0.18	0	1	0	1	60%	0	-1
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	17:00	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	−0.05	0	0	0	1	50%	0	-1
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	16:25	1	0	1	1	1	0.06	+0.94	0	1	0	0	50%	0	-1
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	15:13	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	3	0	0	1	0%	0	0
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	14:21	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	4	0	0	0	—	0	0
17J. ZuckerJason ZuckerL	13:52	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	2	0	1	2	—	0	-1
48T. KozakTyson KozakC	13:17	0	0	0	1	4	0.01	−0.01	2	0	0	0	63%	0	0
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	12:40	1	0	1	1	3	0.10	+0.90	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
94K. HeleniusKonsta HeleniusC	12:10	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	0	1	0	1	—	2	+1
44D. GilbertDennis GilbertD	8:12	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	1	0	—	0	-2
46L. CrevierLouis CrevierD	7:37	0	0	0	2	2	0.03	−0.03	1	0	1	1	—	0	-2
BUF total		3	5	8	21	55	2.17	+0.83	15	9	8	23	57%	6

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Doan7.0

Ostlund6.7

McLeod6.5

Quinn6.4

Benson4.6

Zucker4.4

Thompson4.0

Krebs3.7

Malenstyn3.5

Kozak3.3

Norris3.1

Helenius3.0

Defence

Dahlin5.3

Power4.3

Crevier4.2

Zellweger4.0

Gilbert3.9

Samuelsson3.7

Goalie

Luukkonen4.9

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Benson·Ostlund·Quinn	11:03	19	9	7	56.3%	4	5	2	1	0.50	0.73	40.6%	−0.23	4	0	100%
Malenstyn·Krebs·Kozak	10:31	19	14	8	63.6%	3	4	0	0	0.05	0.42	11.6%	−0.36	0	3	0%
Zucker·Norris·Thompson	10:07	18	7	8	46.7%	2	4	0	1	0.11	0.57	16.5%	−0.46	5	0	100%
McLeod·Helenius·Doan	9:43	17	6	11	35.3%	2	6	1	0	0.42	0.56	42.8%	−0.14	5	1	83%
Occasional · 4 groups
Krebs·Kozak·Quinn	0:49	4	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.07	0.0%	−0.07	0	0	—
Zucker·McLeod·Helenius	0:42	2	0	4	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.16	0.0%	−0.16	0	0	—
Benson·Norris·Thompson	0:39	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Zucker·Krebs·Thompson	0:32	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Other 43 brief groups	5:54		8	3	72.7%	5	1	0	1	0.53	0.29	64.5%	+0.24
BUF 5v5	50:00		44	45	49.4%	16	23	3	3	1.62	2.85	36.2%	−1.23

Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 63:42

Saves: 30/34
SV%: .882
GAA: 3.77
xGA: 4.02
GSAx: +0.02

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/26	.846	3.27	−0.73
Power play	7/7	1.000	0.62	+0.62
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.13	+0.13
High danger	2/5	.400	1.18	−1.82

Charlie Lindgren

WSH · 63:42

Saves: 18/21
SV%: .857
GAA: 2.83
xGA: 2.17
GSAx: −0.83

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	14/17	.824	1.63	−1.37
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.36	+0.36
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.19	+0.19
High danger	3/3	1.000	0.77	+0.77

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

30:09Power
27:20Dahlin
25:27Samuelsson
21:06Zellweger
8:12Gilbert
7:37Crevier

18:32Benson
17:24Quinn
17:15McLeod
17:06Norris
17:00Thompson
16:25Ostlund
15:13Malenstyn
14:21Krebs
13:52Zucker
13:17Kozak
12:40Doan
12:10Helenius

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFWSHGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

30–2357%

D 56%9–7N 68%13–6O 44%8–10 4 won into a shot

WSH attacks97BUF DZ 56% WSH OZ

Neutral136BUF NZ 68% WSH NZ

BUF attacks810BUF OZ 44% WSH DZ

23–3043%

D 56%10–8N 32%6–13O 44%7–9 3 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

SamuelssonD2 O3
DahlinD3 O4
PowerD4 O5
ZellwegerD2 O3
CrevierD1 O1
GilbertD3 O1
QuinnD0 O7
ZuckerD0 O5
ThompsonD0 O5
OstlundD0 O5
DoanD1 O5
BensonD2 O6
HeleniusD1 O5
NorrisD2 O5
McLeodD3 O5
KrebsD3 O0
KozakD4 O0
MalenstynD5 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period