FLA @ WPG 5–1 · 2026-10-27

FloridaFLAPanthers5

FinalOct 272026-10-27

Team	1	2	3	SOG
FLA	3	1	1	24
WPG	0	1	0	25

Canada Life Centre

WinnipegWPGJets1

CallFLA51%mkt 54%-130Hit

Star 1B. Tkachuk1G 2A
Star 2C. Verhaeghe2G 0A
Star 3M. Tkachuk0G 4A

Closing linesDraftKings

-130Moneyline+110-1.5 +190Puck line+1.5 -230O +114Total 6.5U -135+125RegulationTie +320 +150-1251st period-105+1701st · 3-wayTie +176 +190

Season odds

46%52%+6.1Playoffs16%17%+1.00.8%1.1%+0.3Cup0.0%0.0%±0.0

Story

– / 15

Result FLA 5–1Call FLA 51% Market FLA 54%xG 3.08–3.14 · deserved WPG 51%Swing Verhaeghe +17 1st 7:27Method

Goals and penalties with WPG win probability
Time	Event	WPG win before	WPG win after
1st 5:59	WPG penalty · C. Koepke · holding · 2 min
1st 7:27	Goal FLA · C. Verhaeghe (PP)	49%	32%
1st 8:42	Goal FLA · N. Mikkola	32%	18%
1st 10:02	WPG penalty · C. Perfetti · too many men on the ice · 2 min
1st 10:18	Goal FLA · C. Verhaeghe (PP)	18%	9%
1st 15:26	FLA penalty · C. Verhaeghe · hooking · 2 min
2nd 3:01	FLA penalty · M. Tkachuk · roughing · 2 min
2nd 3:01	WPG penalty · T. Bauer · roughing · 2 min
2nd 4:43	WPG penalty · D. DeMelo · tripping · 2 min
2nd 11:58	WPG penalty · M. Scheifele · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 12:27	Goal WPG · A. Lowry (SH)	4%	11%
2nd 13:14	Goal FLA · S. Reinhart (PP)	11%	4%
2nd 15:24	FLA penalty · N. Mikkola · interference · 2 min
3rd 6:26	WPG penalty · A. Iafallo · slashing · 2 min
3rd 12:10	Goal FLA · B. Tkachuk	0%	0%

On ice · final horn

FLA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
14B. ImamaL	1:00	11:11	12	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	1	–
21G. HathawayR	1:00	14:15	17	0	0	0	0	1	0	6	2	–
79C. SchwindtR	1:03	11:18	13	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6-2
6R. GudasD	0:43	14:55	21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	–
7D. KulikovD	0:43	15:53	21	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	–
40A. SchmidG		60:00	SA25GA1SV%.960xGA3.14GSAx+2.14

WPG5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
36M. BarronC	0:09	14:33	20	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	0	6-8
9A. IafalloL	0:10	10:59	17	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	0	–
45C. KoepkeL	0:32	11:18	15	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	–
4N. PionkD	1:19	21:28	24	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	0	–
77T. BauerD	1:18	13:10	20	0	0	0	2	3	2	2	0	–
33C. StevensonG		60:00	SA24GA5SV%.792xGA3.08GSAx−1.92

Goals

1st
Carter Verhaeghe(7)PP
B. Tkachuk (6), S. Jones (12)
xG 0.19backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 FLA1st 07:27+16.968%
Niko Mikkola(2)
S. Jones (13), M. Tkachuk (13)
xG 0.02wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 FLA1st 08:42+13.982%
Carter Verhaeghe(8)PP
M. Tkachuk (14), S. Jones (14)
xG 0.09slapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–0 FLA1st 10:18+9.291%
2nd
Adam Lowry(2)SH
Unassisted
xG 0.44wrap-aroundClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 FLA2nd 12:27+7.511%
Sam Reinhart(6)PP
B. Tkachuk (7), M. Tkachuk (15)
xG 0.19snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 FLA2nd 13:14+7.496%
3rd
Brady Tkachuk(8)
M. Tkachuk (16), N. Mikkola (2)
xG 0.08tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
5–1 FLA3rd 12:10+0.0100%

Shots

Shooters

FLA3.08 xG40 unblocked · 9 blocked40 unblocked · 9 blocked

WPG3.14 xG41 unblocked · 11 blocked41 unblocked · 11 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

FLAWPG5Goals13.08xG3.1424Shots2540Unblocked4149Attempts526High danger53/5Power play0/232Faceoffs2428Hits2311Blocks93Takeaways714Giveaways146PIM12

Skaters

Player

Player
3S. JonesSeth JonesD	25:02	0	3	3	3	6	0.23	−0.23	2	0	0	0	—	0	+1
42G. ForslingGustav ForslingD	19:25	0	0	0	1	2	0.04	−0.04	1	3	1	0	—	0	0
5A. EkbladAaron EkbladD	19:20	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	2	0	0	—	0	0
77N. MikkolaNiko MikkolaD	19:16	1	1	2	3	4	0.21	+0.79	2	0	1	1	—	2	+2
13S. ReinhartSam ReinhartC	18:34	1	0	1	2	5	0.43	+0.57	2	0	0	1	45%	0	-1
23C. VerhaegheCarter VerhaegheC	18:26	2	0	2	3	6	0.50	+1.50	2	0	0	0	0%	2	-1
19M. TkachukMatthew TkachukL	16:45	0	4	4	1	1	0.14	−0.14	0	0	0	1	—	2	+1
8B. TkachukBrady TkachukL	16:17	1	2	3	1	5	0.49	+0.51	2	0	0	2	80%	0	+1
27E. LuostarinenEetu LuostarinenC	16:08	0	0	0	1	2	0.11	−0.11	0	0	0	3	—	0	0
15A. LundellAnton LundellC	16:07	0	0	0	4	7	0.37	−0.37	0	1	0	1	65%	0	0
7D. KulikovDmitry KulikovD	15:53	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	1	0	—	0	0
20L. EllerLars EllerC	15:49	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	−0.02	1	0	0	0	0%	0	0
6R. GudasRadko GudasD	14:55	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	1	—	0	0
21G. HathawayGarnet HathawayR	14:15	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	−0.05	6	2	0	0	—	0	0
9S. BennettSam BennettC	12:44	0	0	0	2	2	0.08	−0.08	2	1	0	2	40%	0	+2
95S. VilmanisSandis VilmanisL	12:35	0	0	0	2	3	0.37	−0.37	4	0	0	0	—	0	0
79C. SchwindtCole SchwindtR	11:18	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	1	0	0	0	75%	0	0
14B. ImamaBokondji ImamaL	11:11	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	−0.01	3	1	0	1	—	0	0
FLA total		5	10	15	24	49	3.08	+1.92	28	11	3	13	57%	6

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Tkachuk9.3

Tkachuk8.2

Verhaeghe8.0

Reinhart6.6

Lundell5.2

Bennett4.6

Imama4.6

Schwindt4.6

Hathaway4.4

Vilmanis4.0

Luostarinen4.0

Eller3.5

Defence

Jones7.8

Forsling6.5

Mikkola6.4

Ekblad5.8

Gudas3.3

Kulikov3.2

Goalie

Schmid7.9

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Lundell·Eller·Luostarinen	10:32	16	7	4	63.6%	3	2	0	0	0.22	0.20	52.5%	+0.02	2	3	40%
Imama·Hathaway·Schwindt	9:03	12	6	10	37.5%	1	5	0	0	0.24	0.26	48.1%	−0.02	0	1	0%
Vilmanis·Reinhart·Verhaeghe	8:56	13	2	7	22.2%	1	3	0	0	0.06	0.39	14.1%	−0.32	2	3	40%
Tkachuk·Tkachuk·Bennett	7:34	15	5	11	31.3%	5	4	2	0	0.26	0.59	30.8%	−0.33	1	2	33%
Occasional · 8 groups
Tkachuk·Bennett·Verhaeghe	0:56	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
Vilmanis·Lundell·Luostarinen	0:45	1	2	1	66.7%	2	1	0	0	0.31	0.01	97.5%	+0.30	0	1	0%
Tkachuk·Tkachuk·Reinhart	0:43	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.11	0.0%	−0.11	0	0	—
Tkachuk·Reinhart·Verhaeghe	0:39	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.10	0.0%	−0.10	0	0	—
Tkachuk·Tkachuk·Schwindt	0:34	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Vilmanis·Bennett·Hathaway	0:34	1	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.22	0.0%	−0.22	0	0	—
Tkachuk·Hathaway·Schwindt	0:32	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.0%	−0.00	0	0	—
Vilmanis·Reinhart·Luostarinen	0:31	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.0%	−0.00	0	0	—
Other 33 brief groups	5:58		6	2	75.0%	2	2	0	0	0.08	0.38	18.1%	−0.30
FLA 5v5	47:17		28	43	39.4%	14	20	2	0	1.19	2.32	33.8%	−1.13

Goalies

Akira Schmid

FLA · 60:00

Saves: 24/25
SV%: .960
GAA: 1.00
xGA: 3.14
GSAx: +2.14

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/21	1.000	2.33	+2.33
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.28	+0.28
Shorthanded	1/2	.500	0.53	−0.47
High danger	3/4	.750	1.18	+0.18

Clay Stevenson

WPG · 60:00

Saves: 19/24
SV%: .792
GAA: 5.00
xGA: 3.08
GSAx: −1.92

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	13/15	.867	1.31	−0.69
Power play	4/7	.571	1.64	−1.36
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.13	+0.13
High danger	3/5	.600	1.13	−0.87

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Florida Panthers

Minutes

25:02Jones
19:25Forsling
19:20Ekblad
19:16Mikkola
15:53Kulikov
14:55Gudas

18:34Reinhart
18:26Verhaeghe
16:45M. Tkachuk
16:17B. Tkachuk
16:08Luostarinen
16:07Lundell
15:49Eller
14:15Hathaway
12:44Bennett
12:35Vilmanis
11:18Schwindt
11:11Imama

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareFLAWPGGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

32–2457%

D 60%12–8N 67%12–6O 44%8–10 2 won into a shot

WPG attacks128FLA DZ 60% WPG OZ

Neutral126FLA NZ 67% WPG NZ

FLA attacks810FLA OZ 44% WPG DZ

24–3243%

D 56%10–8N 33%6–12O 40%8–12 4 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JonesD2 O8
KulikovD3 O2
GudasD2 O1
MikkolaD2 O1
ForslingD7 O3
EkbladD8 O2
ReinhartD3 O7
VerhaegheD4 O7
B. TkachukD2 O4
M. TkachukD2 O3
HathawayD1 O1
SchwindtD1 O1
BennettD3 O2
ImamaD1 O0
VilmanisD4 O2
EllerD5 O1
LuostarinenD7 O2
LundellD7 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period