BUF @ SJS 2–0 · 2026-10-27

BuffaloBUFSabres2

FinalOct 272026-10-27

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	0	1	1	41
SJS	0	0	0	23

SAP Center at San Jose

San JoseSJSSharks0

CallNo lean · 40% SJS

Star 1C. Ellis1.000 SV%
Star 2Y. Askarov.975 SV%
Star 3O. Zellweger1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

-148Moneyline+124-1.5 +164Puck line+1.5 -198O -142Total 6.5U +120+105RegulationTie +330 +175-1351st period+105+1571st · 3-wayTie +190 +190

Season odds

52%53%+0.4Playoffs16%15%−0.61.8%1.4%−0.4Cup0.0%0.0%±0.0

Story

– / 8

Result BUF 2–0Call No lean · BUF 60%Market BUF 58%xG 4.59–2.92 · deserved BUF 75%Swing Zellweger +18 2nd 0:50Method

Goals and penalties with SJS win probability
Time	Event	SJS win before	SJS win after
1st 1:45	BUF penalty · L. Crevier · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
1st 1:56	SJS penalty · M. Marchment · slashing · 2 min
1st 12:53	BUF penalty · L. Crevier · interference · 2 min
2nd 0:50	Goal BUF · O. Zellweger	41%	24%
2nd 11:09	SJS penalty · T. Dellandrea · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 19:33	BUF penalty · Z. Benson · holding · 2 min
3rd 2:49	SJS penalty · A. Gaudette · holding · 2 min
3rd 19:05	Goal BUF · Z. Benson (EN)	2%	1%

On ice · final horn

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19P. KrebsC	0:09	10:04	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-1
48T. KozakC	0:08	11:14	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3-2
22J. QuinnR	0:59	19:28	19	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	–
8O. ZellwegerD	0:27	22:01	27	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	2	–
26R. DahlinD	0:54	26:19	26	0	0	0	2	5	0	4	0	–
92C. EllisG		60:00	SA23GA0SV%1.000xGA2.92GSAx+2.92

SJS5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
23B. GoodrowC	0:55	10:28	14	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	–
63Z. OstapchukC	0:55	10:40	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7-3
81A. GaudetteR	0:55	10:21	13	0	0	0	1	3	2	1	1	0-3
6S. DickinsonD	0:55	17:58	21	0	0	0	1	5	0	2	2	–
7M. KesselringD	0:55	16:25	21	0	0	0	3	7	0	3	3	–
30Y. AskarovG		59:26	SA40GA1SV%.975xGA3.68GSAx+2.68

Goals

2nd
Olen Zellweger(3)
K. Helenius (2), O. Power (8)
xG 0.04snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 BUF2nd 00:50+17.676%
3rd
Zach Benson(1)EN
T. Thompson (5), O. Power (9)
xG 0.92wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 BUF3rd 19:05+1.499%

Shots

Shooters

BUF4.59 xG54 unblocked · 14 blocked54 unblocked · 14 blocked

SJS2.92 xG41 unblocked · 23 blocked41 unblocked · 23 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFSJS2Goals04.59xG2.9241Shots2354Unblocked4168Attempts647High danger60/3Power play0/326Faceoffs3216Hits3523Blocks145Takeaways86Giveaways216PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	26:19	0	0	0	2	5	0.03	−0.03	4	0	0	1	—	0	0
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	24:49	0	2	2	1	3	0.06	−0.06	1	3	0	2	—	0	+2
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	24:05	0	0	0	3	8	0.50	−0.50	0	4	0	1	—	0	+1
8O. ZellwegerOlen ZellwegerD	22:01	1	0	1	2	6	0.10	+0.90	0	2	0	0	—	0	+1
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	19:28	0	0	0	3	4	0.31	−0.31	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	18:55	0	0	0	1	3	0.15	−0.15	1	0	0	0	40%	0	+1
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	17:52	1	0	1	5	6	1.22	−0.22	2	0	1	0	—	2	+2
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	17:10	0	1	1	6	7	0.49	−0.49	0	2	0	0	58%	0	0
9J. NorrisJosh NorrisC	16:02	0	0	0	2	4	0.31	−0.31	2	3	0	0	40%	0	0
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	15:49	0	0	0	1	2	0.09	−0.09	1	0	0	0	0%	0	0
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	13:19	0	0	0	4	5	0.32	−0.32	1	3	3	0	—	0	+1
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	13:19	0	0	0	3	3	0.14	−0.14	0	0	0	0	50%	0	0
17J. ZuckerJason ZuckerL	12:04	0	0	0	6	8	0.84	−0.84	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
94K. HeleniusKonsta HeleniusC	11:44	0	1	1	0	2	0.01	−0.01	1	1	0	0	20%	0	+1
48T. KozakTyson KozakC	11:14	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	60%	0	0
73Z. MetsaZach MetsaD	10:37	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	10:04	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	1	0%	0	0
46L. CrevierLouis CrevierD	9:11	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	1	0	1	1	—	4	0
BUF total		2	4	6	41	68	4.59	−2.59	16	20	5	6	45%	6

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Thompson7.6

Helenius7.1

Norris6.5

Zucker5.6

McLeod5.3

Malenstyn5.2

Krebs5.0

Kozak3.9

Doan3.0

Quinn2.6

Ostlund2.4

Benson2.3

Defence

Zellweger7.8

Power7.3

Samuelsson6.5

Metsa4.9

Dahlin4.5

Crevier1.4

Goalie

Ellis8.8

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Ostlund·Quinn·Doan	12:34	17	8	14	36.4%	6	8	0	0	0.51	0.96	34.7%	−0.45	2	0	100%
Benson·Thompson·Helenius	9:33	16	15	8	65.2%	9	3	0	0	0.47	0.27	63.1%	+0.19	5	3	63%
Zucker·Norris·McLeod	8:51	16	14	10	58.3%	10	3	0	0	0.94	0.25	79.2%	+0.70	3	4	43%
Malenstyn·Krebs·Kozak	7:28	15	11	9	55.0%	5	1	0	0	0.37	0.54	40.7%	−0.17	1	3	25%
Occasional · 5 groups
Benson·Norris·Thompson	1:09	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	2	0%
Benson·Thompson·Ostlund	0:52	4	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.13	0.00	100.0%	+0.13	0	0	—
Krebs·Kozak·Quinn	0:48	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Malenstyn·Norris·McLeod	0:30	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Benson·Malenstyn·Helenius	0:09	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	1	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	0	0	—
Other 37 brief groups	7:14		6	8	42.9%	2	4	0	0	0.48	0.19	71.4%	+0.29
BUF 5v5	49:08		56	50	52.8%	33	19	1	0	2.95	2.22	57.1%	+0.73

Goalies

Colten Ellis

BUF · 60:00

Saves: 23/23
SV%: 1.000
GAA: 0.00
xGA: 2.92
GSAx: +2.92

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	20/20	1.000	2.48	+2.48
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.43	+0.43
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.00	+0.00
High danger	3/3	1.000	1.34	+1.34

Yaroslav Askarov

SJS · 59:26

Saves: 39/40
SV%: .975
GAA: 1.01
xGA: 3.68
GSAx: +2.68

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	33/34	.971	2.97	+1.97
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.50	+0.50
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.21	+0.21
High danger	5/5	1.000	1.24	+1.24

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

26:19Dahlin
24:49Power
24:05Samuelsson
22:01Zellweger
10:37Metsa
9:11Crevier

19:28Quinn
18:55Ostlund
17:52Benson
17:10Thompson
16:02Norris
15:49Doan
13:19Malenstyn
13:19McLeod
12:04Zucker
11:44Helenius
11:14Kozak
10:04Krebs

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFSJSGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

26–3245%

D 29%6–15N 62%8–5O 50%12–12 8 won into a shot

SJS attacks615BUF DZ 29% SJS OZ

Neutral85BUF NZ 62% SJS NZ

BUF attacks1212BUF OZ 50% SJS DZ

32–2655%

D 50%12–12N 38%5–8O 71%15–6 10 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DahlinD5 O6
CrevierD2 O1
SamuelssonD8 O6
ZellwegerD4 O2
MetsaD2 O0
PowerD6 O2
ThompsonD4 O7
QuinnD0 O3
BensonD4 O7
DoanD0 O2
OstlundD0 O2
HeleniusD3 O4
ZuckerD4 O2
McLeodD4 O2
KrebsD3 O1
KozakD3 O1
MalenstynD6 O1
NorrisD8 O3

Shift starts · darker = later period