SJS @ OTT 6–2 · 2026-10-22

San JoseSJSSharks6

FinalOct 222026-10-22

Team	1	2	3	SOG
SJS	1	3	2	28
OTT	1	0	1	43

Canadian Tire Centre

OttawaOTTSenators2

CallNo lean · 57% OTT

Star 1Y. Askarov.953 SV%
Star 2F. Zetterlund0G 1A
Star 3J. Trouba1G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

+114Moneyline-135+1.5 -218Puck line-1.5 +180O -102Total 6.5U -118+165RegulationTie +310 +120+1001st period-130+1901st · 3-wayTie +183 +163

Season odds

19%22%+3.7Playoffs61%62%+0.70.0%0.1%+0.1Cup1.7%1.6%−0.1

Story

– / 13

Result SJS 6–2Call No lean · OTT 57%Market OTT 56%xG 3.77–4.55 · deserved OTT 61%Swing Toffoli +22 2nd 9:13Method

Goals and penalties with OTT win probability
Time	Event	OTT win before	OTT win after
1st 6:16	Goal OTT · T. Stützle	56%	73%
1st 11:04	Goal SJS · N. Allan	73%	56%
1st 16:11	OTT penalty · M. Amadio · tripping · 2 min
2nd 7:48	OTT penalty · J. Sanderson · tripping · 2 min
2nd 9:13	Goal SJS · T. Toffoli (PP)	55%	33%
2nd 11:08	SJS penalty · D. Nurse · roughing · 2 min
2nd 12:00	Goal SJS · C. Graf (SH)	32%	14%
2nd 13:18	Goal SJS · J. Trouba	14%	5%
2nd 17:43	SJS penalty · D. Orlov · holding · 2 min
3rd 6:24	Goal OTT · J. Spence	1%	6%
3rd 16:05	SJS penalty · M. Celebrini · tripping · 2 min
3rd 16:31	Goal SJS · Z. Ostapchuk (SH) (EN)	1%	0%
3rd 19:43	Goal SJS · I. Stenberg (EN)	0%	0%

On ice · final horn

SJS5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
10T. DellandreaC	0:17	15:26	22	0	1	1	2	4	0	5	1	9-5
23B. GoodrowC	0:17	13:41	20	0	1	1	1	2	0	2	0	–
63Z. OstapchukC	0:17	11:00	19	1	0	1	2	3	0	1	1	2-6
25D. NurseD	0:54	21:52	23	0	1	1	0	1	2	2	0	–
65J. TroubaD	0:25	23:47	26	1	1	2	1	3	0	0	2	–
30Y. AskarovG		60:00	SA43GA2SV%.953xGA4.55GSAx+2.55

OTT5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
21N. CousinsC	0:17	9:15	16	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	–
34S. HallidayC	0:17	15:20	20	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	3	2-6
22M. AmadioR	0:17	13:55	18	0	0	0	1	4	2	4	0	–
33N. MatinpaloD	0:17	16:53	22	0	1	1	1	4	0	0	0	–
43T. KlevenD	0:17	17:02	23	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	–
30S. ErssonG		56:40	SA26GA4SV%.846xGA2.50GSAx−1.50

Goals

1st
Tim Stützle(7)6v5
D. Batherson (4), W. Foegele (3)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 OTT1st 06:16+16.073%
Nolan Allan(2)
D. Orlov (3)
xG 0.14snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 11:04+16.844%
2nd
Tyler Toffoli(4)PP
K. Sherwood (3), J. Trouba (4)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 SJS2nd 09:13+22.367%
Collin Graf(2)SH
T. Dellandrea (1), S. Dickinson (2)
xG 0.20wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 SJS2nd 12:00+17.186%
Jacob Trouba(2)
C. Graf (1), D. Nurse (1)
xG 0.24snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 SJS2nd 13:18+8.995%
3rd
Jordan Spence(1)
F. Zetterlund (3), N. Matinpalo (2)
xG 0.13wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 SJS3rd 06:24+5.06%
Zack Ostapchuk(1)SHEN
B. Goodrow (1)
xG 0.41snapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–2 SJS3rd 16:31+0.2100%
Ivar Stenberg(3)EN
K. Sherwood (4), M. Misa (4)
xG 0.86wristClip(opens nhl.com)
6–2 SJS3rd 19:43+0.0100%

Shots

Shooters

SJS3.77 xG44 unblocked · 11 blocked44 unblocked · 11 blocked

OTT4.55 xG69 unblocked · 22 blocked69 unblocked · 22 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

SJSOTT6Goals23.77xG4.5528Shots4344Unblocked6955Attempts917High danger61/2Power play0/330Faceoffs3827Hits2022Blocks114Takeaways524Giveaways146PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
65J. TroubaJacob TroubaD	23:47	1	1	2	1	3	0.24	+0.76	0	2	1	4	—	0	+3
71M. CelebriniMacklin CelebriniC	23:11	0	0	0	2	2	0.23	−0.23	1	3	0	1	38%	2	0
25D. NurseDarnell NurseD	21:52	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	−0.01	2	0	0	2	—	2	+1
6S. DickinsonSam DickinsonD	19:47	0	1	1	1	2	0.04	−0.04	1	1	1	1	—	0	+1
51C. GrafCollin GrafR	19:32	1	1	2	3	6	0.60	+0.40	1	2	1	0	29%	0	+2
44K. SherwoodKiefer SherwoodL	18:39	0	2	2	3	4	0.12	−0.12	5	2	0	1	100%	0	0
7M. KesselringMichael KesselringD	18:12	0	0	0	1	2	0.03	−0.03	0	0	0	4	—	0	-1
2W. SmithWill SmithC	16:54	0	0	0	3	5	0.30	−0.30	0	1	0	2	0%	0	+1
9D. OrlovDmitry OrlovD	16:51	0	1	1	1	3	0.03	−0.03	3	0	0	4	—	2	+1
5N. AllanNolan AllanD	16:34	1	0	1	3	6	0.18	+0.82	4	2	1	0	—	0	+2
10T. DellandreaTy DellandreaC	15:26	0	1	1	2	4	0.06	−0.06	5	1	0	1	64%	0	+1
77M. MisaMichael MisaC	14:21	0	1	1	1	2	0.14	−0.14	0	1	0	1	53%	0	0
27M. MarchmentMason MarchmentL	14:15	0	0	0	1	2	0.13	−0.13	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
41I. StenbergIvar StenbergL	13:58	1	0	1	1	1	0.86	+0.14	0	0	0	2	—	0	0
23B. GoodrowBarclay GoodrowC	13:41	0	1	1	1	2	0.00	−0.00	2	0	0	1	—	0	+1
73T. ToffoliTyler ToffoliC	11:06	1	0	1	1	4	0.14	+0.86	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
63Z. OstapchukZack OstapchukC	11:00	1	0	1	2	3	0.44	+0.56	1	1	0	0	25%	0	+1
92I. ChernyshovIgor ChernyshovL	4:54	0	0	0	1	3	0.22	−0.22	2	1	0	0	—	0	+1
SJS total		6	10	16	28	55	3.77	+2.23	27	17	4	24	44%	6

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Graf8.2

Sherwood7.8

Toffoli6.6

Dellandrea6.4

Goodrow6.3

Chernyshov5.7

Smith5.4

Misa4.9

Ostapchuk4.3

Stenberg3.4

Marchment2.9

Celebrini1.7

Defence

Trouba8.1

Allan7.9

Dickinson5.4

Orlov4.5

Nurse3.3

Kesselring2.3

Goalie

Askarov8.4

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Stenberg·Sherwood·Misa	10:09	14	9	15	37.5%	4	4	0	0	0.19	0.60	24.0%	−0.41	3	5	38%
Smith·Celebrini·Graf	8:14	11	6	18	25.0%	4	7	0	0	0.56	0.62	47.3%	−0.06	2	2	50%
Dellandrea·Goodrow·Ostapchuk	6:45	13	5	10	33.3%	4	6	0	0	0.10	0.45	18.5%	−0.35	0	2	0%
Chernyshov·Smith·Celebrini	4:37	7	5	6	45.5%	3	2	1	0	0.43	0.53	44.7%	−0.10	1	1	50%
Marchment·Toffoli·Graf	3:39	7	6	5	54.5%	1	2	0	0	0.06	0.51	10.0%	−0.45	2	3	40%
Marchment·Dellandrea·Toffoli	2:57	4	5	2	71.4%	2	2	0	0	0.13	0.06	66.5%	+0.06	1	1	50%
Marchment·Celebrini·Toffoli	2:28	3	0	7	0.0%	0	6	0	1	0.00	0.43	0.0%	−0.43	0	0	—
Sherwood·Goodrow·Ostapchuk	1:45	5	3	1	75.0%	1	1	0	0	0.03	0.02	61.7%	+0.01	1	0	100%
Occasional · 4 groups
Stenberg·Smith·Celebrini	0:42	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Marchment·Sherwood·Misa	0:36	4	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Marchment·Dellandrea·Celebrini	0:36	1	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.25	0.0%	−0.25	0	0	—
Marchment·Smith·Graf	0:34	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Other 36 brief groups	5:27		5	5	50.0%	4	3	1	0	0.56	0.12	82.2%	+0.44
SJS 5v5	48:29		45	73	38.1%	23	34	2	1	2.07	3.59	36.5%	−1.52

Goalies

Yaroslav Askarov

SJS · 60:00

Saves: 41/43
SV%: .953
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 4.55
GSAx: +2.55

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	33/35	.943	3.73	+1.73
Power play	8/8	1.000	0.81	+0.81
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/3	1.000	1.30	+1.30

Samuel Ersson

OTT · 56:40

Saves: 22/26
SV%: .846
GAA: 4.24
xGA: 2.50
GSAx: −1.50

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/23	.913	2.07	+0.07
Power play	1/2	.500	0.23	−0.77
Shorthanded	0/1	.000	0.20	−0.80
High danger	3/5	.600	1.11	−0.89

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

San Jose Sharks

Minutes

23:47Trouba
21:52Nurse
19:47Dickinson
18:12Kesselring
16:51Orlov
16:34Allan

23:11Celebrini
19:32Graf
18:39Sherwood
16:54Smith
15:26Dellandrea
14:21Misa
14:15Marchment
13:58Stenberg
13:41Goodrow
11:06Toffoli
11:00Ostapchuk
4:54Chernyshov

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareSJSOTTGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

30–3844%

D 50%17–17N 47%7–8O 32%6–13 6 won into a shot

OTT attacks1717SJS DZ 50% OTT OZ

Neutral78SJS NZ 47% OTT NZ

SJS attacks613SJS OZ 32% OTT DZ

38–3056%

D 68%13–6N 53%8–7O 50%17–17 15 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

OrlovD3 O4
AllanD3 O2
NurseD4 O1
KesselringD5 O1
TroubaD6 O1
DickinsonD7 O0
MarchmentD3 O5
SmithD3 O4
GrafD4 O5
ToffoliD4 O4
ChernyshovD1 O1
CelebriniD4 O3
StenbergD5 O4
GoodrowD3 O1
DellandreaD3 O1
OstapchukD3 O1
MisaD6 O4
SherwoodD6 O3

Shift starts · darker = later period