VGK @ STL 2–6 · 2026-10-22

VegasVGKGolden Knights2

FinalOct 222026-10-22

Team	1	2	3	SOG
VGK	0	1	1	28
STL	2	1	3	31

Enterprise Center

St. LouisSTLBlues6

CallSTL51%mkt 47%+105Hit

Star 1J. Barron1G 3A
Star 2D. Holloway2G 1A
Star 3J. Hofer.929 SV%

Closing linesDraftKings

-125Moneyline+105-1.5 +200Puck line+1.5 -245O +114Total 6.5U -135+125RegulationTie +300 +155-1251st period-105+1761st · 3-wayTie +175 +183

Season odds

97%92%−5.8Playoffs64%78%+13.48.7%4.4%−4.3Cup1.7%2.5%+0.8

Story

– / 10

Result STL 6–2Call STL 51% Market VGK 53%xG 3.06–3.26 · deserved STL 53%Swing Buchnevich +17 1st 10:00Method

Goals and penalties with STL win probability
Time	Event	STL win before	STL win after
1st 8:29	VGK penalty · N. Hanifin · hooking · 2 min
1st 10:00	Goal STL · P. Buchnevich (PP)	51%	68%
1st 13:49	Goal STL · J. Barron	68%	82%
2nd 5:38	Goal VGK · B. Howden	86%	71%
2nd 8:30	Goal STL · M. McTavish	72%	87%
3rd 4:08	Goal VGK · J. Eichel	93%	79%
3rd 8:21	Goal STL · J. Snuggerud	82%	96%
3rd 10:29	Goal STL · D. Holloway	97%	100%
3rd 15:27	VGK penalty · J. Lauzon · roughing · 2 min
3rd 16:05	Goal STL · D. Holloway (PP)	100%	100%

On ice · final horn

VGK5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
48T. HertlC	0:52	14:20	19	0	0	0	2	3	0	4	2	7-3
24T. ConnellyL	0:36	13:53	18	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	–
42B. BowmanR	0:28	14:56	19	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	–
4R. AnderssonD	0:28	19:48	29	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	–
5J. LauzonD	0:28	18:15	25	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	1	–
33A. HillG		60:00	SA31GA6SV%.806xGA3.26GSAx−2.74

STL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
63J. NeighboursL	0:41	16:38	20	0	1	1	1	1	0	3	1	–
89P. BuchnevichL	1:00	17:14	20	1	0	1	3	3	0	0	1	–
15D. DvorskyR	0:34	15:05	19	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	0	4-8
17C. FowlerD	0:39	20:32	25	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	–
25B. CarloD	0:41	19:27	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	–
30J. HoferG		60:00	SA28GA2SV%.929xGA3.06GSAx+1.06

Goals

1st
Pavel Buchnevich(2)PP
J. Berggren (3), C. McMichael (5)
xG 0.47wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 STL1st 10:00+17.068%
Justin Barron(1)
A. Kaskimaki (1), O. Stenberg (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 STL1st 13:49+14.082%
2nd
Brett Howden(5)
N. Hanifin (3), A. Holtz (1)
xG 0.38wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 STL2nd 05:38+14.929%
Mason McTavish(6)
A. Jiricek (1), J. Barron (2)
xG 0.06tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 STL2nd 08:30+15.187%
3rd
Jack Eichel(6)
I. Barbashev (8), B. McNabb (7)
xG 0.11backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 STL3rd 04:08+14.821%
Jimmy Snuggerud(6)
D. Holloway (7), J. Barron (3)
xG 0.05wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 STL3rd 08:21+13.796%
Dylan Holloway(2)
R. Thomas (5), J. Barron (4)
xG 0.20wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–5 STL3rd 10:29+2.8100%
Dylan Holloway(3)PP
J. Neighbours (3), J. Snuggerud (2)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–6 STL3rd 16:05+0.0100%

Shots

Shooters

VGK3.06 xG48 unblocked · 15 blocked48 unblocked · 15 blocked

STL3.26 xG39 unblocked · 13 blocked39 unblocked · 13 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

VGKSTL2Goals63.06xG3.2628Shots3148Unblocked3963Attempts524High danger70/0Power play2/229Faceoffs3036Hits1313Blocks153Takeaways219Giveaways194PIM0

Skaters

Player

Player
3B. McNabbBrayden McNabbD	22:47	0	1	1	3	5	0.04	−0.04	2	1	1	0	—	0	0
27S. TheodoreShea TheodoreD	22:37	0	0	0	3	7	0.18	−0.18	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
15N. HanifinNoah HanifinD	21:09	0	1	1	0	4	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	3	—	2	-1
4R. AnderssonRasmus AnderssonD	19:48	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	−0.00	0	3	0	1	—	0	-2
49I. BarbashevIvan BarbashevL	18:52	0	1	1	0	3	0.37	−0.37	6	0	0	2	0%	0	0
5J. LauzonJeremy LauzonD	18:15	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	−0.00	4	1	0	3	—	2	-1
61M. StoneMark StoneR	16:46	0	0	0	3	6	0.27	−0.27	2	0	0	2	—	0	0
9J. EichelJack EichelC	16:46	1	0	1	3	6	0.40	+0.60	1	0	0	0	42%	0	0
71W. KarlssonWilliam KarlssonC	16:34	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	0	0	0	0	63%	0	0
21B. HowdenBrett HowdenC	15:53	1	0	1	4	4	0.58	+0.42	2	0	0	0	0%	0	0
52D. CoghlanDylan CoghlanD	15:28	0	0	0	1	2	0.00	−0.00	0	1	0	1	—	0	0
42B. BowmanBraeden BowmanR	14:56	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	−0.06	0	0	1	2	—	0	-1
48T. HertlTomas HertlC	14:20	0	0	0	2	3	0.17	−0.17	4	2	0	0	70%	0	0
10A. HoltzAlexander HoltzR	14:04	0	1	1	5	10	0.73	−0.73	1	0	0	1	—	0	0
24T. ConnellyTrevor ConnellyL	13:53	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	−0.05	1	0	0	3	—	0	0
26N. DowdNic DowdC	11:56	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	−0.07	3	1	0	0	25%	0	-2
17M. GatcombMarc GatcombC	11:56	0	0	0	2	2	0.06	−0.06	3	1	0	0	—	0	-2
36R. LavoieRaphael LavoieC	11:51	0	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	6	0	1	0	0%	0	-1
VGK total		2	4	6	28	63	3.06	−1.06	36	11	3	19	49%	4

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Howden7.4

Eichel7.3

Barbashev6.6

Holtz5.7

Karlsson4.9

Gatcomb4.9

Hertl4.5

Stone4.0

Dowd3.6

Lavoie3.5

Bowman3.3

Connelly3.2

Defence

Hanifin6.0

McNabb5.4

Coghlan5.0

Andersson4.8

Theodore4.5

Lauzon2.3

Goalie

Hill2.3

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Barbashev·Eichel·Stone	14:02	18	19	9	67.9%	7	6	1	1	0.53	0.38	58.1%	+0.15	2	2	50%
Howden·Karlsson·Holtz	12:09	17	19	7	73.1%	10	5	1	1	1.33	0.29	82.2%	+1.04	3	5	38%
Connelly·Hertl·Bowman	6:45	10	6	3	66.7%	2	1	0	0	0.21	0.03	85.6%	+0.17	1	0	100%
Connelly·Lavoie·Hertl	5:42	8	6	8	42.9%	4	6	0	0	0.12	0.76	13.2%	−0.64	1	0	100%
Gatcomb·Dowd·Bowman	4:47	7	4	5	44.4%	1	2	0	1	0.09	0.26	25.8%	−0.17	1	2	33%
Gatcomb·Dowd·Lavoie	3:45	5	4	6	40.0%	2	4	0	1	0.23	0.35	39.5%	−0.12	1	2	33%
Occasional · 7 groups
Gatcomb·Howden·Lavoie	1:09	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Barbashev·Karlsson·Holtz	0:55	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Barbashev·Dowd·Stone	0:45	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Barbashev·Hertl·Bowman	0:41	1	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Howden·Karlsson·Bowman	0:36	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Barbashev·Gatcomb·Dowd	0:32	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Barbashev·Eichel·Bowman	0:30	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.11	0.00	100.0%	+0.11	0	0	—
Other 40 brief groups	5:33		3	5	37.5%	1	3	0	0	0.23	0.43	35.1%	−0.20
VGK 5v5	57:51		62	47	56.9%	27	28	2	4	2.85	2.52	53.0%	+0.33

Goalies

Adin Hill

VGK · 60:00

Saves: 25/31
SV%: .806
GAA: 6.00
xGA: 3.26
GSAx: −2.74

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	24/28	.857	2.52	−1.48
Power play	1/3	.333	0.74	−1.26
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	5/7	.714	1.58	−0.42

Joel Hofer

STL · 60:00

Saves: 26/28
SV%: .929
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 3.06
GSAx: +1.06

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	25/27	.926	2.85	+0.85
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.21	+0.21
High danger	2/3	.667	1.00	+0.00

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Vegas Golden Knights

Minutes

22:47McNabb
22:37Theodore
21:09Hanifin
19:48Andersson
18:15Lauzon
15:28Coghlan

18:52Barbashev
16:46Stone
16:46Eichel
16:34Karlsson
15:53Howden
14:56Bowman
14:20Hertl
14:04Holtz
13:53Connelly
11:56Dowd
11:56Gatcomb
11:51Lavoie

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareVGKSTLGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

29–3049%

D 40%10–15N 44%8–10O 69%11–5 9 won into a shot

STL attacks1015VGK DZ 40% STL OZ

Neutral810VGK NZ 44% STL NZ

VGK attacks115VGK OZ 69% STL DZ

30–2951%

D 31%5–11N 56%10–8O 60%15–10 9 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

HanifinD3 O3
CoghlanD3 O3
TheodoreD6 O3
McNabbD6 O2
LauzonD7 O2
AnderssonD7 O1
HertlD0 O2
ConnellyD0 O1
BarbashevD2 O2
LavoieD2 O2
StoneD3 O2
EichelD3 O2
BowmanD3 O2
HoltzD5 O3
GatcombD4 O2
DowdD5 O2
HowdenD6 O3
KarlssonD7 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period