CAR @ EDM 5–6 · 2026-10-22

CarolinaCARHurricanes5

Final/SOOct 222026-10-22

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
CAR	1	3	1	0	27
EDM	1	1	3	0	21

Rogers Place

EdmontonEDMOilers6

CallEDM50%mkt 45%+114Hit

Star 1C. McDavid2G 3A
Star 2L. Draisaitl2G 3A
Star 3R. Nugent-Hopkins1G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

-135Moneyline+114-1.5 +190Puck line+1.5 -230O -122Total 6.5U +102+125RegulationTie +320 +150

Season odds

93%95%+2.6Playoffs98%98%−0.49.9%11%+1.2Cup7.0%6.4%−0.6

Story

– / 17

Result EDM 6–5 SOCall EDM 50% Market CAR 55%xG 2.87–2.81 · deserved CAR 51%Swing McDavid +46 3rd 18:32Method

Goals and penalties with EDM win probability
Time	Event	EDM win before	EDM win after
1st 8:04	CAR penalty · N. Deslauriers · tripping · 2 min
1st 8:07	Goal EDM · L. Draisaitl (PP)	50%	67%
1st 10:24	EDM penalty · K. Kapanen · slashing · 2 min
1st 10:30	Goal CAR · J. Blake (PP)	67%	50%
1st 13:08	EDM penalty · T. Emberson · roughing · 2 min
2nd 0:30	Goal CAR · S. Aho	50%	31%
2nd 3:36	CAR penalty · J. Blake · too many men on the ice · 2 min
2nd 4:20	Goal EDM · R. Nugent-Hopkins (PP)	30%	50%
2nd 5:46	CAR penalty · J. Välimäki · tripping · 2 min
2nd 12:59	Goal CAR · S. Jarvis	50%	28%
2nd 17:53	Goal CAR · L. Stankoven	26%	10%
3rd 0:26	Goal EDM · C. McDavid	9%	24%
3rd 2:41	CAR penalty · S. Walker · slashing · 2 min
3rd 2:51	Goal EDM · L. Draisaitl (PP)	23%	50%
3rd 8:51	CAR penalty · S. Walker · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 17:20	Goal CAR · J. Välimäki	50%	6%
3rd 18:32	Goal EDM · C. McDavid	4%	50%

On ice · final horn

CAR3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
22L. StankovenC	0:54	18:11	24	1	0	1	5	7	0	1	1	7-11
27N. EhlersL	0:13	17:02	24	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	0	1-0
4S. GostisbehereD	0:12	15:23	23	0	2	2	1	1	0	2	1	–
32B. BussiG		64:58	SA21GA5SV%.762xGA2.81GSAx−2.19

EDM3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
42K. KapanenR	0:12	20:04	26	0	0	0	3	4	2	1	0	–
92V. PodkolzinR	0:14	18:03	28	0	0	0	3	6	0	4	0	–
2E. BouchardD	1:14	29:57	33	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	2	–
27D. LeviG		64:27	SA27GA5SV%.815xGA2.87GSAx−2.13

Goals

1st
Leon Draisaitl(9)PP
E. Bouchard (12), C. McDavid (21)
xG 0.02tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 EDM1st 08:07+16.667%
Jackson Blake(2)PP
S. Gostisbehere (6), S. Aho (9)
xG 0.26wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 10:30+16.950%
2nd
Sebastian Aho(7)
W. Carrier (7)
xG 0.14backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 CAR2nd 00:30+18.969%
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins(1)PP
C. McDavid (22), L. Draisaitl (9)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 04:20+19.850%
Seth Jarvis(1)
J. Martinook (3)
xG 0.21wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 CAR2nd 12:59+22.472%
Logan Stankoven(7)
N. Ehlers (6)
xG 0.19wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 CAR2nd 17:53+15.690%
3rd
Connor McDavid(7)
L. Draisaitl (10), J. Walman (1)
xG 0.10snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 CAR3rd 00:26+15.524%
Leon Draisaitl(10)PP
R. Nugent-Hopkins (1), C. McDavid (23)
xG 0.15wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–4 Tied3rd 02:51+27.250%
Juuso Välimäki(1)
J. Martinook (4), S. Gostisbehere (7)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–4 CAR3rd 17:20+43.894%
Connor McDavid(8)6v5
L. Draisaitl (11)
xG 0.02deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
5–5 Tied3rd 18:32+46.450%

Shootout

CAR

0–1

EDMWins

3 rounds · EDM first

CAR shootersLevi 1/1 SV

S. GostisbehereSavesnapSave
Rd 10–0
C. McDavidSavewristSave
A. SvechnikovMisswristMiss
Rd 20–0
L. DraisaitlSavesnapSave
S. JarvisMisswristMiss
Rd 30–1
R. Nugent-HopkinsWinnerwristGoalWinnerClip(opens nhl.com)

EDM shootersBussi 2/3 SV

Shots

Shooters

CAR2.87 xG42 unblocked · 12 blocked42 unblocked · 12 blocked

EDM2.81 xG38 unblocked · 16 blocked38 unblocked · 16 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CAREDM5Goals52.87xG2.8127Shots2142Unblocked3854Attempts546High danger41/2Power play3/532Faceoffs2930Hits1716Blocks128Takeaways420Giveaways2110PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
74J. SlavinJaccob SlavinD	25:49	0	0	0	1	3	0.00	−0.00	0	3	0	0	—	0	-1
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	24:21	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	−0.15	1	0	0	3	—	0	0
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	23:45	0	0	0	5	7	0.34	−0.34	2	1	1	2	—	4	+1
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	22:07	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	2	3	2	2	—	0	-1
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	22:06	1	1	2	3	4	0.48	+0.52	3	0	0	1	63%	0	0
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	18:47	0	0	0	1	3	0.03	−0.03	2	0	1	3	—	0	0
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	18:13	1	0	1	5	7	0.58	+0.42	1	1	0	2	39%	0	+1
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	17:36	1	0	1	4	4	0.39	+0.61	0	0	1	1	—	0	+1
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	17:27	0	1	1	0	2	0.00	0.00	5	1	0	1	—	0	0
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	17:04	0	1	1	1	2	0.07	−0.07	0	0	1	0	100%	0	+1
4S. GostisbehereShayne GostisbehereD	15:25	0	2	2	1	2	0.07	−0.07	2	1	0	0	—	0	+2
24S. JarvisSeth JarvisR	15:15	1	0	1	3	4	0.48	+0.52	4	0	0	1	—	0	+1
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	15:07	0	2	2	0	2	0.02	−0.02	4	0	0	1	20%	0	+1
8J. VälimäkiJuuso VälimäkiD	14:17	1	0	1	1	3	0.12	+0.88	0	0	0	2	—	2	+3
82J. KotkaniemiJesperi KotkaniemiC	13:34	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	1	0	67%	0	+1
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	11:22	0	0	0	2	4	0.05	−0.05	0	0	1	1	0%	0	0
44N. DeslauriersNicolas DeslauriersL	9:38	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	−0.02	2	3	0	0	—	2	0
76S. Brind'AmourSkyler Brind'AmourC	8:10	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	−0.05	2	0	0	0	60%	0	0
CAR total		5	7	12	27	54	2.87	+2.13	30	14	8	20	52%	8

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Martinook7.9

Aho7.4

Jarvis7.2

Stankoven6.9

Blake6.6

Ehlers6.4

Carrier6.3

Kotkaniemi5.2

Deslauriers5.1

Brind'Amour5.0

Robinson3.8

Svechnikov3.0

Defence

Gostisbehere8.1

Välimäki7.2

Chatfield4.9

Miller3.6

Walker3.0

Slavin2.9

Goalie

Bussi2.8

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Carrier·Aho·Svechnikov	12:34	19	13	10	56.5%	6	5	1	1	0.37	0.52	41.3%	−0.16	1	1	50%
Ehlers·Stankoven·Blake	12:25	20	11	8	57.9%	7	4	1	0	0.66	0.40	62.1%	+0.26	1	2	33%
Martinook·Kotkaniemi·Jarvis	9:27	18	10	3	76.9%	6	0	2	0	0.76	0.00	100.0%	+0.76	4	1	80%
Deslauriers·Robinson·Brind'Amour	6:07	10	6	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.08	0.00	100.0%	+0.08	3	0	100%
Occasional · 8 groups
Carrier·Kotkaniemi·Svechnikov	1:25	4	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Deslauriers·Aho·Svechnikov	0:40	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Carrier·Stankoven·Svechnikov	0:37	3	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.24	0.0%	−0.24	0	0	—
Deslauriers·Robinson·Aho	0:37	4	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	0	0	—
Martinook·Stankoven·Blake	0:35	6	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.10	0.00	100.0%	+0.10	0	0	—
Ehlers·Deslauriers·Stankoven	0:35	1	0	4	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Carrier·Martinook·Robinson	0:31	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Martinook·Stankoven·Jarvis	0:30	3	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Other 36 brief groups	6:06		0	6	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.15	0.0%	−0.15
CAR 5v5	52:09		44	34	56.4%	21	11	4	1	2.00	1.35	59.7%	+0.65

Goalies

Brandon Bussi

CAR · 65:00

Saves: 16/21
SV%: .762
GAA: 4.62
xGA: 2.81
GSAx: −2.19

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	11/13	.846	1.60	−0.40
Power play	4/7	.571	1.21	−1.79
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.00	+0.00
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.93	+0.93

Devon Levi

EDM · 64:29

Saves: 22/27
SV%: .815
GAA: 4.65
xGA: 2.87
GSAx: −2.13

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	19/23	.826	2.27	−1.73
Power play	2/3	.667	0.41	−0.59
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.18	+0.18
High danger	2/5	.400	1.19	−1.81

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

25:49Slavin
24:21Miller
23:45Walker
22:07Chatfield
15:25Gostisbehere
14:17Välimäki

22:06Aho
18:47Svechnikov
18:13Stankoven
17:36Blake
17:27Carrier
17:04Ehlers
15:15Jarvis
15:07Martinook
13:34Kotkaniemi
11:22Robinson
9:38Deslauriers
8:10Brind'Amour

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCAREDMGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

32–2952%

D 44%7–9N 48%13–14O 67%12–6 6 won into a shot

EDM attacks79CAR DZ 44% EDM OZ

Neutral1314CAR NZ 48% EDM NZ

CAR attacks126CAR OZ 67% EDM DZ

29–3248%

D 33%6–12N 52%14–13O 56%9–7 6 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

GostisbehereD1 O3
VälimäkiD1 O3
WalkerD2 O4
MillerD2 O2
SlavinD4 O0
ChatfieldD4 O0
DeslauriersD0 O3
Brind'AmourD0 O3
KotkaniemiD1 O4
JarvisD1 O4
EhlersD2 O4
AhoD1 O3
SvechnikovD1 O2
BlakeD2 O3
CarrierD1 O1
RobinsonD4 O3
MartinookD5 O3
StankovenD3 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period