TOR @ VAN 4–2 · 2026-10-31

TorontoTORMaple Leafs4

FinalOct 312026-10-31

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TOR	1	2	1	28
VAN	1	0	1	28

Rogers Arena

VancouverVANCanucks2

CallNo lean · 32% VAN

Star 1W. Nylander1G 1A
Star 2E. Pettersson0G 0A
Star 3A. Matthews1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

-192Moneyline+160-1.5 +124Puck line+1.5 -148O -125Total 6.5U +105-120RegulationTie +350 +220

Season odds

12%13%+1.9Playoffs0.0%0.0%±0.00.0%0.1%+0.1Cup0.0%0.0%±0.0

Story

– / 12

Result TOR 4–2Call No lean · TOR 68%Market TOR 64%xG 3.85–2.51 · deserved TOR 72%Swing Matthews +16 2nd 3:47Method

Goals and penalties with VAN win probability
Time	Event	VAN win before	VAN win after
1st 1:23	Goal TOR · W. Nylander	32%	20%
1st 6:38	TOR penalty · T. Stecher · tripping · 2 min
1st 10:02	TOR penalty · B. Duhaime · tripping · 2 min
1st 10:30	Goal VAN · B. Boeser (PP)	20%	34%
1st 11:01	VAN penalty · D. O'Connor · hooking · 2 min
1st 11:53	VAN penalty · J. Oleksiak · tripping · 2 min
2nd 3:47	Goal TOR · A. Matthews	36%	19%
2nd 12:34	Goal TOR · Z. MacEwen	18%	7%
2nd 14:23	TOR penalty · W. Nylander · hooking · 2 min
3rd 9:27	Goal VAN · M. Sasson	2%	12%
3rd 10:01	TOR penalty · M. Rielly · tripping · 2 min
3rd 18:24	Goal TOR · T. Blueger (EN)	3%	1%

On ice · final horn

TOR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
34A. MatthewsC	0:55	20:13	24	1	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	14-8
73T. BluegerC	0:55	15:24	23	1	1	2	2	3	0	3	1	4-2
88W. NylanderR	0:34	19:43	23	1	1	2	2	2	2	0	0	0-1
8C. TanevD	0:55	19:21	24	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	4	–
22J. McCabeD	0:55	23:19	27	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	5	–
41A. StolarzG		60:00	SA28GA2SV%.929xGA2.51GSAx+0.51

VAN6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	Hit	Blk	FO
23M. RossiC	0:55	17:04	21	0	0	0	4	5	0	1	5-5
40E. PetterssonC	0:55	21:09	23	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	7-18
74J. DeBruskL	0:55	17:26	21	0	0	0	3	6	1	1	–
6B. BoeserR	0:55	19:45	23	1	0	1	1	2	1	0	0-1
88J. LekkerimäkiR	0:55	19:00	21	0	1	1	4	7	3	1	–
17F. HronekD	0:55	26:57	29	0	1	1	2	4	1	1	–

Goals

1st
William Nylander(10)
N. Paul (4), J. McCabe (3)
xG 0.14backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 TOR1st 01:23+12.780%
Brock Boeser(5)PP
F. Hronek (11), J. Lekkerimäki (7)
xG 0.19wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 10:30+14.034%
2nd
Auston Matthews(11)
D. Raddysh (9), J. Roslovic (10)
xG 0.04snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 TOR2nd 03:47+16.581%
Zack MacEwen(2)
M. Rielly (11), T. Blueger (2)
xG 0.03slapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 TOR2nd 12:34+11.193%
3rd
Max Sasson(4)
B. Gallagher (2)
xG 0.19wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 TOR3rd 09:27+9.912%
Teddy Blueger(2)EN
W. Nylander (11), A. Stolarz (3)
xG 0.78wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 TOR3rd 18:24+2.499%

Shots

Shooters

TOR3.85 xG40 unblocked · 14 blocked40 unblocked · 14 blocked

VAN2.51 xG40 unblocked · 22 blocked40 unblocked · 22 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TORVAN4Goals23.85xG2.5128Shots2840Unblocked4054Attempts625High danger40/2Power play1/433Faceoffs2131Hits2622Blocks143Takeaways111Giveaways108PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
22J. McCabeJake McCabeD	23:19	0	1	1	0	2	0.00	0.00	0	5	0	0	—	0	+1
43D. RaddyshDarren RaddyshD	21:49	0	1	1	2	6	0.13	−0.13	2	0	1	4	—	0	0
34A. MatthewsAuston MatthewsC	20:13	1	0	1	2	5	0.38	+0.62	0	0	0	0	64%	0	+1
88W. NylanderWilliam NylanderR	19:43	1	1	2	2	2	0.20	+0.80	0	0	0	2	0%	2	+2
8C. TanevChris TanevD	19:21	0	0	0	1	2	0.01	−0.01	3	4	0	1	—	0	+2
95O. Ekman-LarssonOliver Ekman-LarssonD	18:22	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	−0.12	2	1	0	0	—	0	+1
44M. RiellyMorgan RiellyD	17:58	0	1	1	2	4	0.10	−0.10	0	1	0	0	—	2	+1
96J. RoslovicJack RoslovicC	17:42	0	1	1	1	1	0.20	−0.20	2	0	1	1	100%	0	0
20N. PaulNick PaulL	17:32	0	1	1	2	5	0.29	−0.29	2	1	0	0	33%	0	0
28T. StecherTroy StecherD	16:48	0	0	0	1	1	0.08	−0.08	1	2	0	0	—	2	+1
15C. SissonsColton SissonsC	15:51	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	2	0	0	65%	0	+1
73T. BluegerTeddy BluegerC	15:24	1	1	2	2	3	0.82	+0.18	3	1	1	1	67%	0	+2
92G. McKennaGavin McKennaL	13:01	0	0	0	3	5	0.44	−0.44	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
53E. CowanEaston CowanR	12:58	0	0	0	1	2	0.11	−0.11	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
24B. DuhaimeBrandon DuhaimeL	12:32	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	1	—	2	+1
81D. JoshuaDakota JoshuaC	11:00	0	0	0	5	6	0.64	−0.64	7	0	0	0	—	0	+1
71V. LettieriVinni LettieriC	10:43	0	0	0	1	1	0.15	−0.15	5	3	0	0	—	0	0
19Z. MacEwenZack MacEwenR	9:16	1	0	1	3	4	0.17	+0.83	1	0	0	0	100%	0	+1
41A. StolarzAnthony StolarzG	0:00	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
TOR total		4	8	12	28	53	3.85	+0.15	31	21	3	11	61%	8

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Nylander8.0

MacEwen7.4

Matthews7.0

Paul6.2

McKenna5.6

Joshua5.6

Sissons5.5

Lettieri4.8

Roslovic4.7

Blueger4.2

Duhaime3.3

Cowan3.1

Defence

Raddysh6.7

McCabe6.4

Rielly6.4

Tanev6.3

Ekman-Larsson5.3

Stecher4.6

Goalie

Stolarz5.6

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Matthews·Roslovic·Nylander	11:04	17	9	7	56.3%	3	5	1	1	0.23	0.31	42.8%	−0.08	3	1	75%
Duhaime·Blueger·MacEwen	6:50	16	8	2	80.0%	3	0	1	0	0.20	0.00	100.0%	+0.20	2	0	100%
McKenna·Sissons·Joshua	6:35	10	10	5	66.7%	7	2	0	0	0.83	0.06	93.6%	+0.77	2	0	100%
Paul·Lettieri·Cowan	5:59	8	4	12	25.0%	1	4	0	0	0.22	0.19	54.3%	+0.03	0	1	0%
Occasional · 13 groups
McKenna·Matthews·Roslovic	2:04	3	2	4	33.3%	1	1	0	0	0.01	0.06	18.9%	−0.05	1	0	100%
Paul·Cowan·Nylander	1:45	5	0	5	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.23	0.0%	−0.23	1	0	100%
Sissons·Lettieri·Joshua	1:31	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	1	0%
Paul·Sissons·Joshua	0:58	3	2	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	100.0%	+0.07	1	0	100%
Paul·Lettieri·Blueger	0:56	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Paul·Sissons·Cowan	0:46	1	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	1	0%
Duhaime·Matthews·MacEwen	0:44	6	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.12	0.00	100.0%	+0.12	0	0	—
Paul·Duhaime·Lettieri	0:44	2	2	1	66.7%	1	0	0	0	0.16	0.00	98.0%	+0.15	0	1	0%
Paul·Joshua·Roslovic	0:43	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Blueger·MacEwen·Cowan	0:37	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Sissons·Joshua·MacEwen	0:32	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Paul·McKenna·Cowan	0:32	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Sissons·Joshua·Nylander	0:05	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	1	0	0.14	0.00	100.0%	+0.14	0	0	—
Other 42 brief groups	6:28		2	7	22.2%	2	5	0	0	0.16	0.49	24.3%	−0.33
TOR 5v5	48:53		44	48	47.8%	23	20	3	1	2.17	1.41	60.6%	+0.76

Goalies

Anthony Stolarz

TOR · 60:00

Saves: 26/28
SV%: .929
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 2.51
GSAx: +0.51

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	19/20	.950	1.44	+0.44
Power play	7/8	.875	1.07	+0.07
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/4	.500	0.84	−1.16

Leevi Meriläinen

VAN · 58:15

Saves: 24/27
SV%: .889
GAA: 3.09
xGA: 3.07
GSAx: +0.07

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	20/23	.870	2.17	−0.83
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.90	+0.90
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/3	1.000	0.83	+0.83

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Toronto Maple Leafs

Minutes

23:19McCabe
21:49Raddysh
19:21Tanev
18:22Ekman-Larsson
17:58Rielly
16:48Stecher

20:13Matthews
19:43Nylander
17:42Roslovic
17:32Paul
15:51Sissons
15:24Blueger
13:01McKenna
12:58Cowan
12:32Duhaime
11:00Joshua
10:43Lettieri
9:16MacEwen
0:00Stolarz

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTORVANGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

33–2161%

D 50%10–10N 69%11–5O 67%12–6 6 won into a shot

VAN attacks1010TOR DZ 50% VAN OZ

Neutral115TOR NZ 69% VAN NZ

TOR attacks126TOR OZ 67% VAN DZ

21–3339%

D 33%6–12N 31%5–11O 50%10–10 6 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

RaddyshD1 O3
Ekman-LarssonD1 O0
StecherD1 O0
RiellyD4 O2
McCabeD7 O3
TanevD7 O1
RoslovicD1 O5
McKennaD0 O4
NylanderD1 O3
JoshuaD1 O3
MacEwenD0 O2
MatthewsD3 O3
DuhaimeD2 O2
CowanD1 O1
PaulD3 O2
BluegerD5 O2
LettieriD3 O0
SissonsD7 O3

Shift starts · darker = later period