CGY @ COL 2–5 · 2026-10-31

CalgaryCGYFlames2

FinalOct 312026-10-31

Team	1	2	3	SOG
CGY	0	1	1	27
COL	1	3	1	34

Ball Arena

ColoradoCOLAvalanche5

CallNo lean · 81% COL

Star 1C. Makar0G 4A
Star 2A. Lehkonen2G 0A
Star 3M. Necas1G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

+295Moneyline-375+1.5 +140Puck line-1.5 -166O -110Total 6.5U -110+425RegulationTie +425 -235

Season odds

2.3%4.4%+2.1Playoffs99%99%±0.00.0%0.0%±0.0Cup18%16%−2.2

Story

– / 9

Result COL 5–2Call No lean · COL 81%Market COL 77%xG 2.04–4.34 · deserved COL 84%Swing MacKinnon +11 1st 14:13Method

Goals and penalties with COL win probability
Time	Event	COL win before	COL win after
1st 14:13	Goal COL · N. MacKinnon	78%	89%
2nd 0:55	CGY penalty · R. Strome · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 2:37	Goal COL · M. Necas (PP)	89%	96%
2nd 5:48	Goal COL · A. Lehkonen	96%	99%
2nd 9:07	Goal COL · B. Nelson	99%	99%
2nd 10:50	Goal CGY · J. Farabee	99%	99%
3rd 1:59	Goal CGY · M. Pospisil	99%	98%
3rd 4:09	Goal COL · A. Lehkonen	98%	99%
3rd 13:36	CGY penalty · Y. Kuznetsov · high sticking double minor · 4 min

On ice · final horn

CGY5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
38J. CastagnaC	0:54	12:36	18	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	2-3
43A. KlapkaR	0:35	11:29	17	0	0	0	3	3	0	1	0	–
72M. TsyplakovR	0:35	10:11	14	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-1
37Y. KuznetsovD	0:35	18:44	23	0	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	–
71S. NemecD	0:38	23:06	27	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	–
35A. SergeevG		60:00	SA34GA5SV%.853xGA4.34GSAx−0.66

COL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
54G. BrindleyC	0:51	12:00	15	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	2	0-1
91N. KadriC	0:44	19:57	21	0	1	1	2	4	0	0	0	6-6
92G. LandeskogL	0:49	15:23	19	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	2-1
47N. JuulsenD	0:51	15:24	22	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	3	–
84B. BurnsD	0:49	17:28	21	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	1	–
39M. BlackwoodG		60:00	SA27GA2SV%.926xGA2.04GSAx+0.04

Goals

1st
Nathan MacKinnon(9)
C. Makar (9), M. Necas (11)
xG 0.02wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 COL1st 14:13+11.589%
2nd
Martin Necas(7)PP
N. Kadri (9), N. MacKinnon (15)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 COL2nd 02:37+7.096%
Artturi Lehkonen(11)
C. Makar (10), D. Toews (8)
xG 0.19snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–3 COL2nd 05:48+2.899%
Brock Nelson(4)
G. Landeskog (4), C. Makar (11)
xG 0.07tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
0–4 COL2nd 09:07+0.599%
Joel Farabee(5)
M. Backlund (3)
xG 0.04slapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 COL2nd 10:50+0.41%
3rd
Martin Pospisil(3)
R. Strome (3), Z. Parekh (4)
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 COL3rd 01:59+1.92%
Artturi Lehkonen(12)
C. Makar (12), D. Toews (9)
xG 0.07tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–5 COL3rd 04:09+1.699%

Shots

Shooters

CGY2.04 xG38 unblocked · 13 blocked38 unblocked · 13 blocked

COL4.34 xG45 unblocked · 13 blocked45 unblocked · 13 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CGYCOL2Goals52.04xG4.3427Shots3438Unblocked4551Attempts586High danger130/0Power play1/319Faceoffs3225Hits1313Blocks133Takeaways217Giveaways176PIM0

Skaters

Player

Player
71S. NemecSimon NemecD	23:06	0	0	0	1	1	0.03	−0.03	1	1	1	2	—	0	-1
7K. BahlKevin BahlD	23:02	0	0	0	1	3	0.09	−0.09	5	0	1	1	—	0	-1
28Z. WhitecloudZach WhitecloudD	20:32	0	0	0	1	2	0.03	−0.03	2	2	0	1	—	0	-2
11M. BacklundMikael BacklundC	19:03	0	1	1	5	6	0.06	−0.06	1	0	1	0	47%	0	0
37Y. KuznetsovYan KuznetsovD	18:44	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	2	0	0	1	—	4	+1
19Z. ParekhZayne ParekhD	18:04	0	1	1	0	3	0.03	−0.03	0	2	0	2	—	0	+1
17Y. SharangovichYegor SharangovichC	17:52	0	0	0	3	8	0.44	−0.44	0	1	0	1	—	0	-1
86J. FarabeeJoel FarabeeL	17:34	1	0	1	3	6	0.49	+0.51	0	2	0	1	0%	0	0
55J. MiddletonJake MiddletonD	16:51	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	4	0	0	2	—	0	-2
27M. CoronatoMatt CoronatoR	15:33	0	0	0	2	3	0.18	−0.18	0	0	0	0	100%	0	0
61A. SunievAydar SunievL	15:23	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	0	1	0	0	—	0	-1
76M. PospisilMartin PospisilC	14:36	1	0	1	2	2	0.25	+0.75	6	0	0	0	27%	0	0
16M. FrostMorgan FrostC	14:18	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	2	0	0	2	36%	0	-1
92M. GridinMatvei GridinR	13:36	0	0	0	2	2	0.16	−0.16	1	0	0	1	—	0	0
38J. CastagnaJonathan CastagnaC	12:36	0	0	0	1	2	0.06	−0.06	0	1	0	2	40%	0	-1
22R. StromeRyan StromeC	11:48	0	1	1	1	3	0.09	−0.09	0	0	0	0	0%	2	0
43A. KlapkaAdam KlapkaR	11:29	0	0	0	3	3	0.07	−0.07	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
72M. TsyplakovMaxim TsyplakovR	10:11	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	0	1	0	0	0%	0	-1
CGY total		2	3	5	27	51	2.04	−0.04	25	11	3	16	37%	6

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Farabee7.3

Pospisil7.0

Strome6.2

Backlund6.0

Gridin5.1

Tsyplakov4.3

Coronato4.1

Castagna4.0

Klapka3.6

Frost3.5

Sharangovich3.2

Suniev3.1

Defence

Parekh6.4

Whitecloud3.6

Middleton3.5

Nemec3.3

Bahl3.2

Kuznetsov0.7

Goalie

Sergeev4.1

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Farabee·Backlund·Coronato	13:58	21	13	11	54.2%	7	7	1	1	0.60	0.80	43.1%	−0.19	2	6	25%
Suniev·Frost·Sharangovich	11:30	18	9	11	45.0%	4	6	0	1	0.13	0.87	13.1%	−0.73	0	1	0%
Strome·Pospisil·Gridin	9:17	19	9	9	50.0%	6	6	1	1	0.53	0.59	47.4%	−0.06	3	1	75%
Castagna·Klapka·Tsyplakov	9:09	14	9	13	40.9%	3	4	0	1	0.13	0.85	12.8%	−0.73	1	3	25%
Occasional · 8 groups
Frost·Sharangovich·Gridin	0:52	5	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.23	0.00	100.0%	+0.23	0	0	—
Suniev·Castagna·Klapka	0:52	4	1	2	33.3%	1	2	0	0	0.02	0.07	22.3%	−0.05	0	0	—
Frost·Strome·Gridin	0:49	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Sharangovich·Pospisil·Gridin	0:43	4	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.18	0.01	96.7%	+0.18	0	0	—
Suniev·Strome·Pospisil	0:35	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Castagna·Klapka·Gridin	0:34	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Suniev·Backlund·Sharangovich	0:32	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Suniev·Frost·Strome	0:32	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Other 31 brief groups	4:55		4	1	80.0%	3	1	0	0	0.18	0.06	75.5%	+0.12
CGY 5v5	54:18		49	48	50.5%	25	27	2	4	2.01	3.25	38.3%	−1.24

Goalies

Arsenii Sergeev

CGY · 60:00

Saves: 29/34
SV%: .853
GAA: 5.00
xGA: 4.34
GSAx: −0.66

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/27	.852	3.25	−0.75
Power play	6/7	.857	1.09	+0.09
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	9/11	.818	2.64	+0.64

Mackenzie Blackwood

COL · 60:00

Saves: 25/27
SV%: .926
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 2.04
GSAx: +0.04

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/25	.920	2.01	+0.01
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.02	+0.02
High danger	3/4	.750	1.17	+0.17

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Calgary Flames

Minutes

23:06Nemec
23:02Bahl
20:32Whitecloud
18:44Kuznetsov
18:04Parekh
16:51Middleton

19:03Backlund
17:52Sharangovich
17:34Farabee
15:33Coronato
15:23Suniev
14:36Pospisil
14:18Frost
13:36Gridin
12:36Castagna
11:48Strome
11:29Klapka
10:11Tsyplakov

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCGYCOLGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

19–3237%

D 29%6–15N 48%10–11O 33%3–6 4 won into a shot

COL attacks615CGY DZ 29% COL OZ

Neutral1011CGY NZ 48% COL NZ

CGY attacks36CGY OZ 33% COL DZ

32–1963%

D 67%6–3N 52%11–10O 71%15–6 7 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

KuznetsovD2 O4
ParekhD2 O4
MiddletonD5 O0
WhitecloudD6 O1
NemecD6 O0
BahlD7 O0
GridinD1 O3
StromeD1 O2
FrostD1 O0
PospisilD3 O2
KlapkaD2 O1
SunievD1 O0
TsyplakovD3 O1
SharangovichD3 O0
CastagnaD3 O0
FarabeeD7 O2
CoronatoD6 O1
BacklundD8 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period