BUF @ LAK 3–2 · 2026-10-31

BuffaloBUFSabres3

FinalOct 312026-10-31

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	1	1	1	31
LAK	0	1	1	29

Crypto.com Arena

Los AngelesLAKKings2

CallNo lean · 47% LAK

Star 1T. Thompson2G 0A
Star 2J. Quinn1G 1A
Star 3C. Perry1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

-135Moneyline+114-1.5 +185Puck line+1.5 -225O -135Total 5.5U +114+120RegulationTie +300 +165

Season odds

54%57%+3.0Playoffs55%49%−5.71.3%1.2%−0.1Cup0.7%0.7%±0.0

Story

– / 16

Result BUF 3–2Call No lean · BUF 53%Market BUF 55%xG 2.33–4.00 · deserved LAK 76%Swing Thompson +37 3rd 13:40Method

Goals and penalties with LAK win probability
Time	Event	LAK win before	LAK win after
1st 5:24	LAK penalty · C. Perry · slashing · 2 min
1st 6:35	Goal BUF · J. Quinn (PP)	47%	30%
1st 15:11	LAK penalty · J. Edmundson · slashing · 2 min
1st 15:11	BUF penalty · J. Norris · slashing · 2 min
1st 17:53	BUF penalty · R. Dahlin · slashing · 2 min
2nd 8:46	LAK penalty · B. Dumoulin · slashing · 2 min
2nd 12:48	BUF penalty · L. Crevier · holding · 2 min
2nd 15:38	Goal BUF · T. Thompson	24%	10%
2nd 17:14	BUF penalty · R. McLeod · slashing · 2 min
2nd 17:24	Goal LAK · C. Perry (PP)	9%	24%
2nd 19:20	BUF penalty · R. Dahlin · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 1:29	Goal LAK · A. Lee	22%	48%
3rd 13:29	LAK penalty · M. Anderson · tripping · 2 min
3rd 13:40	Goal BUF · T. Thompson (PP)	48%	11%
3rd 16:21	BUF penalty · T. Thompson · roughing · 2 min
OT 0:00	BUF penalty · P. Krebs · slashing · 2 min

On ice · final horn

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19P. KrebsC	1:31	15:41	20	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	1	4-7
72T. ThompsonC	1:39	20:09	24	2	0	2	8	13	2	0	1	5-9
6Z. BensonL	1:10	23:20	29	0	2	2	4	7	0	1	2	–
23M. SamuelssonD	2:05	25:59	26	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	8	–
25O. PowerD	2:06	27:12	28	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	4	–
1U. LuukkonenG		60:00	SA29GA2SV%.931xGA4.00GSAx+2.00

LAK6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
10A. PanarinL	3:39	24:50	24	0	0	0	3	10	0	0	0	–
14A. LaferriereR	0:41	23:13	26	0	0	0	3	12	0	4	1	3-6
55Q. ByfieldR	1:28	22:15	25	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	15-6
90C. PerryR	2:38	19:42	24	1	0	1	9	13	2	1	1	–
64E. GustafssonD	1:23	21:35	24	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	2	–
92B. ClarkeD	2:32	20:07	24	0	1	1	1	8	0	2	2	–

Goals

1st
Jack Quinn(8)PP
Z. Benson (10), R. Dahlin (6)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 BUF1st 06:35+16.270%
2nd
Tage Thompson(9)
Z. Benson (11), M. Samuelsson (7)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 BUF2nd 15:38+14.790%
Corey Perry(1)PP
T. Moore (3), B. Clarke (7)
xG 0.59deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 BUF2nd 17:24+14.724%
3rd
Andre Lee(1)
S. Laughton (3), J. Armia (3)
xG 0.25tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 01:29+26.148%
Tage Thompson(10)PP
J. Quinn (6), R. Dahlin (7)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 BUF3rd 13:40+36.989%

Shots

Shooters

BUF2.33 xG41 unblocked · 21 blocked41 unblocked · 21 blocked

LAK4.00 xG49 unblocked · 32 blocked49 unblocked · 32 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFLAK3Goals22.33xG4.0031Shots2941Unblocked4962Attempts814High danger82/3Power play1/519Faceoffs3415Hits2832Blocks214Takeaways28Giveaways1414PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	27:12	0	0	0	0	4	0.16	−0.16	0	4	1	1	—	0	0
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	25:59	0	1	1	1	3	0.03	−0.03	0	8	1	1	—	0	+1
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	23:21	0	2	2	2	2	0.04	−0.04	0	1	0	0	—	4	+1
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	23:20	0	2	2	4	7	0.21	−0.21	1	2	0	0	—	0	0
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	20:09	2	0	2	8	13	0.80	+1.20	0	1	0	0	36%	2	+1
8O. ZellwegerOlen ZellwegerD	19:51	0	0	0	1	5	0.02	−0.02	0	4	0	1	—	0	-1
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	18:14	0	0	0	3	6	0.17	−0.17	0	1	1	1	0%	0	0
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	17:31	1	1	2	2	4	0.09	+0.91	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	15:41	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	−0.23	5	1	0	1	36%	2	+1
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	14:25	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	1	1	0	57%	2	0
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	13:22	0	0	0	3	3	0.16	−0.16	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	12:54	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	0	—	0	-1
48T. KozakTyson KozakC	11:27	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	4	0	0	20%	0	-1
46L. CrevierLouis CrevierD	10:26	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	−0.01	0	1	0	0	—	2	-1
73Z. MetsaZach MetsaD	10:22	0	0	0	2	3	0.05	−0.05	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
9J. NorrisJosh NorrisC	9:12	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	−0.02	1	1	0	0	50%	2	0
17J. ZuckerJason ZuckerL	8:47	0	0	0	1	2	0.23	−0.23	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
10S. CarrickSam CarrickC	7:37	0	0	0	4	4	0.12	−0.12	4	0	0	1	100%	0	0
BUF total		3	6	9	31	62	2.33	+0.67	15	30	4	8	36%	14

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Thompson8.1

Quinn8.0

Benson7.9

Doan5.5

Carrick5.0

Kozak5.0

Norris4.9

Zucker4.7

Malenstyn3.4

Ostlund3.3

McLeod2.8

Krebs2.1

Defence

Samuelsson7.6

Dahlin5.1

Power4.6

Zellweger4.5

Metsa3.9

Crevier3.1

Goalie

Luukkonen7.8

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Benson·Krebs·Thompson	11:27	18	10	18	35.7%	6	8	1	0	0.41	0.47	46.8%	−0.06	4	2	67%
Ostlund·Quinn·Doan	10:54	16	17	13	56.7%	8	4	0	0	0.33	0.55	37.4%	−0.22	0	1	0%
Zucker·Norris·McLeod	7:33	12	8	10	44.4%	1	3	0	0	0.23	0.43	34.3%	−0.21	2	3	40%
Malenstyn·Carrick·Kozak	6:29	10	4	13	23.5%	3	1	0	0	0.08	0.18	31.2%	−0.10	0	1	0%
Occasional · 5 groups
Benson·Thompson·Ostlund	1:03	5	1	2	33.3%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Thompson·Ostlund·Doan	0:47	4	1	4	20.0%	0	1	0	0	0.02	0.22	8.9%	−0.20	0	0	—
Krebs·Thompson·Doan	0:42	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Malenstyn·Norris·McLeod	0:32	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Benson·Malenstyn·Kozak	0:03	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.25	0.0%	−0.25	0	0	—
Other 38 brief groups	5:04		3	3	50.0%	3	2	0	0	0.11	0.16	39.8%	−0.06
BUF 5v5	44:34		44	66	40.0%	21	22	1	1	1.18	2.28	34.1%	−1.10

Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 60:00

Saves: 27/29
SV%: .931
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 4.00
GSAx: +2.00

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/23	.957	2.94	+1.94
Power play	4/5	.800	1.03	+0.03
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.03	+0.03
High danger	3/5	.600	2.13	+0.13

Anton Forsberg

LAK · 58:05

Saves: 28/31
SV%: .903
GAA: 3.10
xGA: 2.11
GSAx: −0.89

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/22	.955	1.24	+0.24
Power play	7/9	.778	0.87	−1.13
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/2	.500	0.52	−0.48

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

27:12Power
25:59Samuelsson
23:21Dahlin
19:51Zellweger
10:26Crevier
10:22Metsa

23:20Benson
20:09Thompson
18:14Ostlund
17:31Quinn
15:41Krebs
14:25McLeod
13:22Doan
12:54Malenstyn
11:27Kozak
9:12Norris
8:47Zucker
7:37Carrick

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFLAKGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

19–3436%

D 27%6–16N 40%6–9O 44%7–9 7 won into a shot

LAK attacks616BUF DZ 27% LAK OZ

Neutral69BUF NZ 40% LAK NZ

BUF attacks79BUF OZ 44% LAK DZ

34–1964%

D 56%9–7N 60%9–6O 73%16–6 8 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DahlinD2 O5
MetsaD1 O0
SamuelssonD4 O2
CrevierD2 O0
ZellwegerD2 O0
PowerD6 O1
ThompsonD1 O6
KrebsD1 O4
QuinnD0 O1
BensonD6 O6
ZuckerD3 O2
CarrickD1 O0
DoanD1 O0
OstlundD1 O0
NorrisD4 O2
KozakD5 O0
MalenstynD6 O0
McLeodD8 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period