MIN @ TBL 2–3 · 2026-10-08

MinnesotaMINWild2

FinalOct 82026-10-08

Team	1	2	3	SOG
MIN	0	2	0	36
TBL	2	1	0	35

Benchmark International Arena

Tampa BayTBLLightning3

CallNo lean · 58% TBL

Star 1J. Carlson2G 0A
Star 2D. Hildeby.944 SV%
Star 3J. Wallstedt.914 SV%

Closing linesDraftKings

+120Moneyline-142+1.5 -205Puck line-1.5 +170O +110Total 6.5U -130+170RegulationTie +320 +110+1101st period-145+2051st · 3-wayTie +175 +158

Season odds

89%86%−3.8Playoffs95%97%+1.74.1%3.3%−0.8Cup13%15%+2.0

Story

– / 10

Result TBL 3–2Call No lean · TBL 58%Market TBL 57%xG 2.72–3.37 · deserved TBL 61%Swing Cirelli +16 1st 5:26Method

Goals and penalties with TBL win probability
Time	Event	TBL win before	TBL win after
1st 5:26	Goal TBL · A. Cirelli	58%	73%
1st 6:02	Goal TBL · J. Carlson	74%	85%
1st 12:34	MIN penalty · J. Brodin · interference · 2 min
2nd 2:32	Goal MIN · Q. Hughes	88%	75%
2nd 4:02	MIN penalty · M. McCarron · holding · 2 min
2nd 4:55	Goal TBL · J. Carlson (PP)	76%	89%
2nd 8:11	TBL penalty · M. Crozier · hooking · 2 min
2nd 12:27	TBL penalty · P. Holmberg · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 14:01	Goal MIN · B. Coleman (PP)	91%	78%
2nd 14:52	MIN penalty · Z. Bogosian · holding · 2 min

On ice · final horn

MIN6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	Hit	Blk	FO
14J. Eriksson EkC	2:35	21:16	20	0	0	0	6	7	0	1	11-10
12M. BoldyL	2:03	22:14	20	0	0	0	3	8	4	4	–
97K. KaprizovL	2:03	23:07	19	0	1	1	0	0	1	1	–
49M. ShabanovR	0:57	16:36	15	0	0	0	3	6	0	1	–
43Q. HughesD	2:38	32:36	22	1	1	2	4	6	0	0	–
46J. SpurgeonD	2:36	24:54	26	0	1	1	3	6	2	5	–

TBL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71A. CirelliC	1:58	19:25	21	1	0	1	4	6	0	0	0	9-12
38B. HagelL	1:58	22:55	21	0	1	1	3	7	0	0	1	–
86N. KucherovR	2:02	20:55	19	0	2	2	1	9	0	0	0	–
27R. McDonaghD	2:00	17:16	19	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	–
81E. CernakD	2:01	19:32	24	0	1	1	1	4	0	1	0	–
35D. HildebyG		59:37	SA36GA2SV%.944xGA2.72GSAx+0.72

Goals

1st
Anthony Cirelli(1)
E. Cernak (1), B. Hagel (1)
xG 0.06tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 TBL1st 05:26+15.673%
John Carlson(1)
N. Kucherov (1), B. Point (1)
xG 0.02wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 TBL1st 06:02+11.985%
2nd
Quinn Hughes(1)
B. Brink (1), J. Spurgeon (1)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 TBL2nd 02:32+13.025%
John Carlson(2)PP
N. Kucherov (2), J. Guentzel (1)
xG 0.08slapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 TBL2nd 04:55+13.189%
Blake Coleman(1)PP
K. Kaprizov (1), Q. Hughes (1)
xG 0.05wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 TBL2nd 14:01+13.522%

Shots

MIN2.72 xG47 unblocked · 15 blocked47 unblocked · 15 blocked

TBL3.37 xG50 unblocked · 20 blocked50 unblocked · 20 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

MINTBL2Goals32.72xG3.3736Shots3547Unblocked5062Attempts707High danger61/2Power play1/329Faceoffs2224Hits1220Blocks154Takeaways314Giveaways106PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
43Q. HughesQuinn HughesD	32:36	1	1	2	4	6	0.08	+0.92	0	0	0	3	—	0	0
46J. SpurgeonJared SpurgeonD	24:54	0	1	1	3	6	0.03	−0.03	2	5	0	0	—	0	+1
97K. KaprizovKirill KaprizovL	23:07	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	1	—	0	-1
25J. BrodinJonas BrodinD	23:00	0	0	0	2	3	0.02	−0.02	0	2	1	1	—	2	-1
12M. BoldyMatt BoldyL	22:14	0	0	0	3	8	0.40	−0.40	4	4	1	0	—	0	0
14J. Eriksson EkJoel Eriksson EkC	21:16	0	0	0	6	7	0.57	−0.57	0	0	0	1	52%	0	0
24Z. BogosianZach BogosianD	19:29	0	0	0	4	5	0.08	−0.08	0	1	1	3	—	2	0
49M. ShabanovMaxim ShabanovR	16:36	0	0	0	3	6	0.52	−0.52	0	1	0	0	—	0	-1
20B. ColemanBlake ColemanL	14:20	1	0	1	6	7	0.48	+0.52	1	0	0	1	0%	0	0
13Y. TreninYakov TreninC	12:47	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	−0.11	4	0	0	1	—	0	-1
10B. BrinkBobby BrinkR	12:01	0	1	1	1	1	0.01	−0.01	1	1	0	0	—	0	+1
22D. YurovDanila YurovR	11:23	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	4	2	1	1	67%	0	-1
38R. HartmanRyan HartmanR	11:15	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	−0.03	1	0	0	0	50%	0	+1
78N. SturmNico SturmC	10:56	0	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	2	1	0	0	80%	0	-1
17M. FolignoMarcus FolignoL	10:54	0	0	0	1	2	0.23	−0.23	3	0	0	0	—	0	+1
47M. McCarronMichael McCarronC	10:50	0	0	0	1	3	0.08	−0.08	1	0	0	0	63%	2	-1
48D. HuntDaemon HuntD	10:03	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
82D. SpacekDavid SpacekD	8:23	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	0	2	0	2	—	0	-1
MIN total		2	4	6	36	62	2.72	−0.72	24	20	4	14	57%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Coleman+0.46

Brink+0.38

Kaprizov+0.16

Yurov+0.09

Boldy−0.04

Shabanov−0.18

Hartman−0.18

Trenin−0.22

Foligno−0.25

Sturm−0.27

Eriksson Ek−0.29

McCarron−0.51

Defence

Hughes+0.66

Spurgeon+0.36

Spacek+0.04

Hunt−0.19

Brodin−0.28

Bogosian−0.40

Goalie

Wallstedt+0.39

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Boldy·Kaprizov·Eriksson Ek	9:32	11	5	9	35.7%	3	3	0	0	0.33	0.28	53.7%	+0.05	3	0	100%
Kaprizov·Yurov·Shabanov	5:29	7	3	9	25.0%	3	2	0	1	0.09	0.09	50.3%	+0.00	1	0	100%
Foligno·Brink·Hartman	5:09	7	4	12	25.0%	2	7	1	0	0.03	0.55	5.9%	−0.51	1	1	50%
Boldy·Coleman·Eriksson Ek	5:08	7	11	3	78.6%	6	0	0	0	0.29	0.01	96.2%	+0.28	0	2	0%
Trenin·McCarron·Sturm	4:13	5	5	4	55.6%	2	3	0	1	0.18	0.31	36.9%	−0.13	1	1	50%
Foligno·McCarron·Sturm	3:32	5	1	6	14.3%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.28	0.0%	−0.28	1	2	33%
Coleman·Hartman·Shabanov	2:27	3	1	4	20.0%	1	3	0	0	0.00	0.59	0.6%	−0.59	1	0	100%
Trenin·Brink·Yurov	2:14	4	2	1	66.7%	2	1	0	0	0.03	0.12	18.5%	−0.09	0	0	—
Occasional · 10 groups
Trenin·Brink·Hartman	1:01	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	1	0	100%
Foligno·Yurov·Shabanov	0:58	1	5	0	100.0%	3	0	0	0	0.50	0.00	100.0%	+0.50	0	0	—
Coleman·Trenin·Shabanov	0:57	2	1	2	33.3%	1	2	0	0	0.02	0.02	39.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Kaprizov·Trenin·Yurov	0:48	2	2	1	66.7%	1	1	0	0	0.05	0.02	70.6%	+0.03	0	0	—
Coleman·Kaprizov·Shabanov	0:47	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.13	0.00	100.0%	+0.13	0	0	—
Boldy·Kaprizov·Yurov	0:38	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Trenin·Eriksson Ek·Brink	0:37	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.18	0.00	100.0%	+0.18	0	0	—
Foligno·Kaprizov·McCarron	0:35	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.07	0.0%	−0.07	0	0	—
McCarron·Sturm·Shabanov	0:34	2	3	1	75.0%	1	1	0	0	0.04	0.04	51.5%	+0.00	0	0	—
Kaprizov·Hartman·Shabanov	0:30	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
MIN 5v5	50:13		49	60	45.0%	28	29	1	2	1.90	2.56	42.6%	−0.66

Goalies

Jesper Wallstedt

MIN · 59:03

Saves: 32/35
SV%: .914
xGA: 3.37
GSAx: +0.37

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	27/29	.931	2.56	+0.56
Power play	3/4	.750	0.56	−0.44
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.24	+0.24
High danger	4/4	1.000	1.02	+1.02

Dennis Hildeby

TBL · 59:37

Saves: 34/36
SV%: .944
xGA: 2.72
GSAx: +0.72

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	31/32	.969	2.18	+1.18
Power play	3/4	.750	0.54	−0.46
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	6/6	1.000	1.30	+1.30

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Minnesota Wild

Minutes

32:36Hughes
24:54Spurgeon
23:00Brodin
19:29Bogosian
10:03Hunt
8:23Spacek

23:07Kaprizov
22:14Boldy
21:16Eriksson Ek
16:36Shabanov
14:20Coleman
12:47Trenin
12:01Brink
11:23Yurov
11:15Hartman
10:56Sturm
10:54Foligno
10:50McCarron

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareMINTBL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

HughesD1 O4
SpurgeonD4 O4
HuntD1 O1
SpacekD1 O1
BogosianD3 O2
BrodinD4 O1
KaprizovD0 O5
HartmanD0 O3
Eriksson EkD3 O5
ShabanovD1 O3
TreninD1 O2
BrinkD1 O2
BoldyD3 O4
YurovD1 O1
FolignoD3 O2
ColemanD3 O1
SturmD4 O2
McCarronD5 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period