VAN @ CAR 2–7 · 2026-10-08

VancouverVANCanucks2

FinalOct 82026-10-08

Team	1	2	3	SOG
VAN	0	1	1	20
CAR	3	3	1	33

Lenovo Center

CarolinaCARHurricanes7

CallNo lean · 83% CAR

Star 1L. Stankoven3G 0A
Star 2S. Walker0G 4A
Star 3A. Svechnikov2G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

+270Moneyline-340+1.5 +110Puck line-1.5 -130O -102Total 6.5U -118+340RegulationTie +390 -185+1801st period-245+2951st · 3-wayTie +195 +106

Season odds

0.1%0.1%±0.0Playoffs95%96%+1.70.0%0.0%±0.0Cup14%16%+2.6

Story

– / 16

Result CAR 7–2Call No lean · CAR 83%Market CAR 76%xG 2.27–4.98 · deserved CAR 86%Swing Miller +9 1st 1:18Method

Goals and penalties with CAR win probability
Time	Event	CAR win before	CAR win after
1st 1:18	Goal CAR · K. Miller	82%	91%
1st 3:27	CAR penalty · K. Miller · holding · 2 min
1st 5:52	VAN penalty · D. O'Connor · tripping · 2 min
1st 7:11	Goal CAR · A. Svechnikov (PP)	91%	96%
1st 9:20	VAN penalty · L. Karlsson · hooking · 2 min
1st 9:25	Goal CAR · A. Svechnikov (PP)	96%	99%
1st 19:08	CAR penalty · J. Kotkaniemi · interference · 2 min
2nd 3:20	Goal CAR · M. Jankowski	99%	99%
2nd 4:03	Goal VAN · J. DeBrusk	99%	99%
2nd 12:13	CAR penalty · J. Chatfield · interference · 2 min
2nd 13:13	Goal CAR · L. Stankoven (SH)	99%	99%
2nd 17:16	VAN penalty · M. Sasson · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 19:02	Goal CAR · L. Stankoven (PP)	99%	99%
3rd 1:06	CAR penalty · J. Chatfield · tripping · 2 min
3rd 11:36	Goal CAR · L. Stankoven	99%	99%
3rd 13:04	Goal VAN · J. DeBrusk	99%	99%

On ice · final horn

VAN5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
63M. SassonC	0:15	13:46	18	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	7-1
18D. O'ConnorL	0:15	12:48	16	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	–
6B. BoeserR	0:15	18:15	22	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	–
8Z. BuiumD	1:26	23:49	24	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	–
90V. ManciniD	0:25	15:24	18	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	–
31L. MeriläinenG		20:00	SA15GA1SV%.933xGA1.76GSAx+0.76

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
28W. CarrierL	0:15	12:48	17	0	1	1	1	3	0	3	0	–
48J. MartinookL	1:18	15:47	20	0	0	0	2	5	0	2	0	0-1
37A. SvechnikovR	0:59	15:19	17	2	0	2	4	6	0	2	0	–
4S. GostisbehereD	1:04	19:29	21	0	2	2	2	6	0	0	0	–
26S. WalkerD	0:47	21:23	26	0	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	–
52P. KochetkovG		60:00	SA20GA2SV%.900xGA2.27GSAx+0.27

Goals

1st
K'Andre Miller(1)
W. Carrier (1), S. Walker (1)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 CAR1st 01:18+8.791%
Andrei Svechnikov(1)PP
S. Gostisbehere (1), J. Blake (1)
xG 0.13backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 CAR1st 07:11+5.396%
Andrei Svechnikov(2)PP
J. Blake (2), S. Gostisbehere (2)
xG 0.22snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–3 CAR1st 09:25+2.599%
2nd
Mark Jankowski(1)
J. Kotkaniemi (1)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–4 CAR2nd 03:20+0.699%
Jake DeBrusk(1)
J. Lekkerimäki (1), E. Pettersson (1)
xG 0.46wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 CAR2nd 04:03+0.51%
Logan Stankoven(1)SH
S. Walker (2), S. Aho (1)
xG 0.25snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–5 CAR2nd 13:13+0.299%
Logan Stankoven(2)PP
T. Hall (1), S. Walker (3)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–6 CAR2nd 19:02+0.099%
3rd
Logan Stankoven(3)
T. Hall (2), S. Walker (4)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–7 CAR3rd 11:36+0.099%
Jake DeBrusk(2)
E. Pettersson (2), Z. Buium (1)
xG 0.13wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–7 CAR3rd 13:04+0.01%

Shots

VAN2.27 xG29 unblocked · 12 blocked29 unblocked · 12 blocked

CAR4.98 xG46 unblocked · 8 blocked46 unblocked · 8 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

VANCAR2Goals72.27xG4.9820Shots3329Unblocked4641Attempts542High danger110/4Power play3/325Faceoffs1920Hits188Blocks125Takeaways513Giveaways266PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
17F. HronekFilip HronekD	23:52	0	0	0	1	3	0.09	−0.09	2	2	0	0	—	0	-2
8Z. BuiumZeev BuiumD	23:49	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	1	—	0	+1
5T. WillanderTom WillanderD	20:28	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	0	—	0	-1
40E. PetterssonElias PetterssonC	20:20	0	2	2	1	1	0.12	−0.12	2	0	0	0	35%	0	+1
23M. RossiMarco RossiC	18:55	0	0	0	3	5	0.13	−0.13	2	0	0	1	83%	0	-2
74J. DeBruskJake DeBruskL	18:44	2	0	2	4	7	0.86	+1.14	1	0	1	0	—	0	+1
6B. BoeserBrock BoeserR	18:15	0	0	0	1	2	0.15	−0.15	0	0	0	1	—	0	-2
88J. LekkerimäkiJonathan LekkerimäkiR	17:20	0	1	1	3	5	0.22	−0.22	1	0	0	0	—	0	+2
25E. PetterssonElias PetterssonD	16:57	0	0	0	3	4	0.12	−0.12	1	1	1	1	—	0	+1
94L. KarlssonLinus KarlssonC	15:43	0	0	0	2	2	0.12	−0.12	0	0	0	2	67%	2	0
90V. ManciniVictor ManciniD	15:24	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	−0.04	2	1	1	0	—	0	+1
4J. OleksiakJamie OleksiakD	14:48	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	0	0	0	1	—	0	-3
47P. CotterPaul CotterL	14:36	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	−0.20	4	0	1	1	—	0	-1
63M. SassonMax SassonC	13:46	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	1	3	88%	2	0
92L. OhgrenLiam OhgrenL	13:09	0	0	0	1	3	0.19	−0.19	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
18D. O'ConnorDrew O'ConnorL	12:48	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	2	—	2	-1
13A. BainsArshdeep BainsL	9:38	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	0	-2
54A. RätyAatu RätyC	8:36	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	−0.01	1	0	0	0	57%	0	-2
VAN total		2	4	6	20	41	2.27	−0.27	20	7	5	13	57%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

DeBrusk+1.38

Lekkerimäki+0.50

Pettersson+0.38

Rossi−0.12

Cotter−0.30

Boeser−0.31

Räty−0.37

Bains−0.43

Ohgren−0.50

O'Connor−0.51

Sasson−0.56

Karlsson−0.67

Defence

Pettersson+0.10

Mancini−0.14

Buium−0.17

Hronek−0.17

Willander−0.30

Oleksiak−0.38

Goalie

Lankinen−2.76

Meriläinen+0.77

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
DeBrusk·Pettersson·Lekkerimäki	12:14	19	7	9	43.8%	5	5	2	0	0.75	0.77	49.2%	−0.02	2	3	40%
Cotter·Rossi·Boeser	6:46	12	5	3	62.5%	3	1	0	1	0.26	0.24	51.7%	+0.02	2	0	100%
Ohgren·Sasson·Karlsson	6:31	9	1	7	12.5%	1	4	0	0	0.01	1.05	1.2%	−1.04	1	0	100%
Bains·O'Connor·Räty	5:29	8	0	7	0.0%	0	5	0	1	0.00	0.43	0.0%	−0.43	0	1	0%
O'Connor·Sasson·Boeser	5:13	7	3	7	30.0%	1	5	0	0	0.13	0.41	24.2%	−0.28	1	2	33%
Cotter·Rossi·Karlsson	4:55	7	3	4	42.9%	1	1	0	0	0.11	0.45	20.0%	−0.34	0	0	—
Occasional · 2 groups
Bains·Ohgren·Räty	1:29	5	1	4	20.0%	0	4	0	1	0.01	0.32	1.6%	−0.32	0	0	—
Cotter·Pettersson·Lekkerimäki	0:37	5	2	1	66.7%	1	0	0	0	0.09	0.00	100.0%	+0.09	0	0	—
VAN 5v5	48:32		27	43	38.6%	13	26	2	3	1.38	3.70	27.1%	−2.32

Goalies

Kevin Lankinen

VAN · 39:42

Saves: 12/18
SV%: .667
xGA: 3.22
GSAx: −2.78

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	9/11	.818	1.94	−0.06
Power play	3/6	.500	1.03	−1.97
Shorthanded	0/1	.000	0.25	−0.75
High danger	3/7	.429	1.76	−2.24

Leevi Meriläinen

VAN · 20:00

Saves: 14/15
SV%: .933
xGA: 1.76
GSAx: +0.76

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	14/15	.933	1.76	+0.76
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.74	+0.74

Pyotr Kochetkov

CAR · 60:00

Saves: 18/20
SV%: .900
xGA: 2.27
GSAx: +0.27

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	11/13	.846	1.38	−0.62
Power play	7/7	1.000	0.89	+0.89
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/1	.000	0.64	−0.36

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Vancouver Canucks

Minutes

23:52Hronek
23:49Buium
20:28Willander
16:57E. Pettersson
15:24Mancini
14:48Oleksiak

20:20E. Pettersson
18:55Rossi
18:44DeBrusk
18:15Boeser
17:20Lekkerimäki
15:43Karlsson
14:36Cotter
13:46Sasson
13:09Ohgren
12:48O'Connor
9:38Bains
8:36Räty

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareVANCAR

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

WillanderD1 O3
BuiumD3 O4
OleksiakD1 O1
ManciniD1 O0
E. PetterssonD2 O0
HronekD5 O2
BoeserD2 O6
RossiD0 O4
CotterD0 O2
OhgrenD0 O2
KarlssonD0 O1
DeBruskD3 O3
RätyD2 O2
LekkerimäkiD3 O3
BainsD3 O2
SassonD2 O1
E. PetterssonD4 O2
O'ConnorD4 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period