SJS @ STL 3–2 · 2026-10-08

San JoseSJSSharks3

Final/OTOct 82026-10-08

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
SJS	0	1	1	1	27
STL	1	0	1	0	26

Enterprise Center

St. LouisSTLBlues2

CallNo lean · 65% STL

Star 1T. Toffoli1G 1A
Star 2D. Nurse1G 0A
Star 3M. McTavish0G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

+136Moneyline-162+1.5 -205Puck line-1.5 +170O -125Total 5.5U +105+185RegulationTie +310 +105+1101st period-145+2201st · 3-wayTie +173 +155

Season odds

6.8%9.0%+2.2Playoffs50%51%+1.20.0%0.0%±0.0Cup0.6%0.9%+0.3

Story

– / 11

Result SJS 3–2 OTCall No lean · STL 65%Market STL 60%xG 2.69–3.59 · deserved STL 65%Swing Nurse +56 OT 1:03Method

Goals and penalties with STL win probability
Time	Event	STL win before	STL win after
1st 3:52	Goal STL · C. McMichael	64%	78%
1st 7:28	SJS penalty · M. Kesselring · cross checking · 2 min
1st 10:30	STL penalty · A. Jiricek · tripping · 2 min
2nd 6:39	STL penalty · J. Hofer · tripping · 2 min
2nd 8:48	Goal SJS · T. Toffoli	80%	61%
2nd 14:21	STL penalty · C. Fowler · slashing · 2 min
2nd 16:14	SJS penalty · I. Stenberg · slashing · 2 min
2nd 19:55	STL penalty · B. Carlo · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
3rd 1:39	Goal STL · D. Dube (SH)	59%	83%
3rd 6:05	Goal SJS · C. Graf	85%	58%
OT 1:03	Goal SJS · D. Nurse	56%	0%

On ice · final horn

SJS3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
21A. WennbergC	1:03	20:00	23	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	11-9
41I. StenbergL	1:03	17:21	20	0	0	0	2	3	2	0	0	–
25D. NurseD	0:06	22:38	23	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	2	–
33A. NedeljkovicG		61:03	SA26GA2SV%.923xGA3.59GSAx+1.59

STL3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18R. ThomasC	1:03	20:37	25	0	0	0	2	6	0	1	1	12-11
77C. McMichaelL	0:07	16:08	28	1	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	0-3
6P. BrobergD	1:03	24:25	27	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	0	–
30J. HoferG		60:52	SA26GA2SV%.923xGA2.51GSAx+0.51

Goals

1st
Connor McMichael(1)
M. McTavish (1), J. Berggren (1)
xG 0.11tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 STL1st 03:52+14.178%
2nd
Tyler Toffoli(1)
M. Misa (1), J. Trouba (1)
xG 0.17wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 08:48+19.039%
3rd
Dillon Dube(1)SH
Unassisted
xG 0.09wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 STL3rd 01:39+24.183%
Collin Graf(1)
S. Dickinson (1), T. Toffoli (1)
xG 0.22snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 06:05+26.942%
OT
Darnell Nurse(1)
I. Stenberg (1), A. Wennberg (1)
xG 0.18wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 SJSOT 01:03+55.9100%

Shots

SJS2.69 xG38 unblocked · 13 blocked38 unblocked · 13 blocked

STL3.59 xG40 unblocked · 16 blocked40 unblocked · 16 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

SJSSTL3Goals22.69xG3.5927Shots2638Unblocked4051Attempts567High danger50/4Power play0/230Faceoffs3137Hits2416Blocks133Takeaways421Giveaways164PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
65J. TroubaJacob TroubaD	23:43	0	1	1	4	6	0.12	−0.12	4	1	0	2	—	0	0
25D. NurseDarnell NurseD	22:38	1	0	1	2	3	0.19	+0.81	1	2	0	3	—	0	+1
21A. WennbergAlexander WennbergC	20:00	0	1	1	1	2	0.17	−0.17	0	0	0	0	55%	0	+1
9D. OrlovDmitry OrlovD	18:20	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	3	0	2	—	0	0
27M. MarchmentMason MarchmentL	18:07	0	0	0	3	5	0.18	−0.18	1	1	1	3	0%	0	-1
44K. SherwoodKiefer SherwoodL	17:57	0	0	0	1	3	0.02	−0.02	10	1	0	1	—	0	0
41I. StenbergIvar StenbergL	17:21	0	1	1	2	3	0.24	−0.24	0	0	0	2	—	2	+1
7M. KesselringMichael KesselringD	16:56	0	0	0	2	4	0.04	−0.04	1	0	1	1	—	2	0
42L. CagnoniLuca CagnoniD	16:06	0	0	0	2	5	0.04	−0.04	0	1	1	1	—	0	0
92I. ChernyshovIgor ChernyshovL	15:56	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
73T. ToffoliTyler ToffoliC	15:51	1	1	2	4	5	0.66	+0.34	1	0	0	0	—	0	+1
6S. DickinsonSam DickinsonD	15:43	0	1	1	0	2	0.01	−0.01	4	1	0	1	—	0	0
2W. SmithWill SmithC	15:33	0	0	0	1	5	0.34	−0.34	1	1	0	0	36%	0	-2
77M. MisaMichael MisaC	15:14	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	45%	0	+2
51C. GrafCollin GrafR	14:16	1	0	1	3	3	0.42	+0.58	2	1	0	1	50%	0	+1
10T. DellandreaTy DellandreaC	12:31	0	0	0	1	3	0.06	−0.06	2	1	0	0	60%	0	0
63Z. OstapchukZack OstapchukC	12:30	0	0	0	1	2	0.21	−0.21	4	0	0	1	83%	0	0
23B. GoodrowBarclay GoodrowC	10:27	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	1	0	1	—	0	0
SJS total		3	6	9	27	51	2.69	+0.31	37	14	3	20	49%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Graf+0.64

Toffoli+0.59

Misa+0.50

Stenberg+0.01

Wennberg−0.10

Sherwood−0.21

Dellandrea−0.23

Goodrow−0.23

Ostapchuk−0.25

Smith−0.38

Marchment−0.40

Chernyshov−0.49

Defence

Nurse+0.55

Dickinson+0.24

Orlov−0.01

Trouba−0.03

Cagnoni−0.11

Kesselring−0.40

Goalie

Nedeljkovic+1.61

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Marchment·Chernyshov·Smith	11:27	15	7	15	31.8%	2	5	0	1	0.40	1.15	25.7%	−0.75	4	1	80%
Stenberg·Sherwood·Wennberg	10:16	14	11	5	68.8%	7	4	0	0	0.47	0.66	41.4%	−0.19	1	4	20%
Toffoli·Misa·Graf	8:58	12	9	12	42.9%	6	5	1	0	0.45	0.42	52.1%	+0.04	1	0	100%
Dellandrea·Goodrow·Ostapchuk	8:13	13	5	5	50.0%	1	2	0	0	0.09	0.47	16.9%	−0.37	0	3	0%
Occasional · 5 groups
Stenberg·Dellandrea·Ostapchuk	1:20	4	1	4	20.0%	1	1	0	0	0.19	0.04	84.5%	+0.16	0	0	—
Sherwood·Misa·Graf	1:08	3	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Wennberg·Toffoli·Graf	0:41	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Ostapchuk·Toffoli·Graf	0:35	1	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.01	0.19	3.7%	−0.19	0	0	—
Stenberg·Dellandrea·Wennberg	0:35	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
SJS 5v5	47:56		39	47	45.3%	21	19	2	1	1.93	2.97	39.4%	−1.03

Goalies

Alex Nedeljkovic

SJS · 61:03

Saves: 24/26
SV%: .923
xGA: 3.59
GSAx: +1.59

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	19/20	.950	3.10	+2.10
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.15	+0.15
Shorthanded	3/4	.750	0.34	−0.66
High danger	4/4	1.000	1.26	+1.26

Joel Hofer

STL · 60:52

Saves: 24/27
SV%: .889
xGA: 2.69
GSAx: −0.31

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	19/22	.864	2.11	−0.89
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.58	+0.58
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	4/7	.571	1.32	−1.68

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

San Jose Sharks

Minutes

23:43Trouba
22:38Nurse
18:20Orlov
16:56Kesselring
16:06Cagnoni
15:43Dickinson

20:00Wennberg
18:07Marchment
17:57Sherwood
17:21Stenberg
15:56Chernyshov
15:51Toffoli
15:33Smith
15:14Misa
14:16Graf
12:31Dellandrea
12:30Ostapchuk
10:27Goodrow

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareSJSSTL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

CagnoniD0 O4
DickinsonD3 O3
OrlovD4 O2
KesselringD4 O2
TroubaD7 O4
NurseD7 O1
ChernyshovD1 O6
MarchmentD1 O5
SmithD1 O5
MisaD0 O3
ToffoliD2 O4
StenbergD3 O3
WennbergD6 O4
SherwoodD4 O2
GrafD3 O1
DellandreaD4 O0
GoodrowD5 O0
OstapchukD5 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period