COL @ CGY 7–3 · 2026-10-08

ColoradoCOLAvalanche7

FinalOct 82026-10-08

Team	1	2	3	SOG
COL	1	3	3	30
CGY	1	0	2	29

Scotiabank Saddledome

CalgaryCGYFlames3

CallNo lean · 28% CGY

Star 1C. Makar2G 1A
Star 2N. MacKinnon1G 2A
Star 3D. Toews2G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

-238Moneyline+195-1.5 +105Puck line+1.5 -125O +110Total 6.5U -130-140RegulationTie +360 +255-1901st period+145+1271st · 3-wayTie +185 +260

Season odds

99%99%+0.3Playoffs0.5%0.3%−0.221%19%−2.0Cup0.0%0.0%±0.0

Story

– / 17

Result COL 7–3Call No lean · COL 72%Market COL 69%xG 2.72–2.56 · deserved COL 53%Swing Toews +17 2nd 6:45Method

Goals and penalties with CGY win probability
Time	Event	CGY win before	CGY win after
1st 6:23	CGY penalty · A. Suniev · too many men on the ice · 2 min
1st 15:54	Goal COL · D. Toews	30%	16%
1st 17:30	Goal CGY · A. Klapka	16%	31%
1st 19:13	COL penalty · D. Toews · tripping · 2 min
2nd 0:23	CGY penalty · Z. Parekh · hooking · 2 min
2nd 6:45	Goal COL · D. Toews	33%	16%
2nd 9:16	Goal COL · C. Makar	15%	6%
2nd 11:39	Goal COL · N. MacKinnon	5%	2%
2nd 13:46	COL penalty · Z. L'Heureux · fighting · 5 min
2nd 13:46	CGY penalty · M. Coronato · fighting · 5 min
2nd 19:38	COL penalty · P. Kelly · interference · 2 min
3rd 0:17	CGY penalty · Z. Parekh · tripping · 2 min
3rd 5:35	Goal COL · C. Makar	1%	1%
3rd 6:34	Goal COL · J. Schwartz	1%	1%
3rd 7:17	Goal CGY · M. Backlund	1%	1%
3rd 8:28	Goal CGY · K. Bahl	1%	1%
3rd 9:41	Goal COL · J. Schwartz	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

COL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
9F. SvechkovC	0:28	11:55	16	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	1	5-4
71J. SchwartzL	0:26	13:51	18	2	0	2	2	3	0	0	0	1-0
13T. HughesR	0:29	16:26	19	0	1	1	6	10	0	1	0	3-3
27B. KulakD	0:27	18:42	23	0	2	2	0	3	0	0	3	–
47N. JuulsenD	0:29	16:35	22	0	1	1	0	0	0	3	2	–
41S. WedgewoodG		60:00	SA29GA3SV%.897xGA2.56GSAx−0.44

CGY5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
22R. StromeC	0:27	14:39	18	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-3
76M. PospisilC	0:24	14:46	19	0	0	0	2	3	0	3	0	9-4
29S. HonzekL	0:25	15:53	20	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	1	–
37Y. KuznetsovD	1:05	18:51	27	0	0	0	2	4	0	2	1	–
71S. NemecD	1:39	20:10	24	0	0	0	1	8	0	1	2	–
1D. CooleyG		60:00	SA30GA7SV%.767xGA2.72GSAx−4.28

Goals

1st
Devon Toews(1)
C. Makar (1), B. Nelson (1)
xG 0.11tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 COL1st 15:54+14.484%
Adam Klapka(1)
J. Castagna (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 17:30+14.731%
2nd
Devon Toews(2)
N. Juulsen (1), P. Kelly (1)
xG 0.02wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 COL2nd 06:45+16.884%
Cale Makar(1)
N. MacKinnon (1), B. Kulak (1)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 COL2nd 09:16+9.894%
Nathan MacKinnon(1)
Z. L'Heureux (1)
xG 0.05slapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 COL2nd 11:39+3.998%
3rd
Cale Makar(2)
N. MacKinnon (2), N. Kadri (1)
xG 0.06slapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–1 COL3rd 05:35+0.099%
Jaden Schwartz(1)
T. Hughes (1), B. Kulak (2)
xG 0.19snapClip(opens nhl.com)
6–1 COL3rd 06:34+0.099%
Mikael Backlund(1)
R. Strome (1)
xG 0.09tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
6–2 COL3rd 07:17+0.01%
Kevin Bahl(1)
J. Farabee (1), Y. Sharangovich (1)
xG 0.16wristClip(opens nhl.com)
6–3 COL3rd 08:28+0.01%
Jaden Schwartz(2)
F. Svechkov (1), B. Burns (1)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
7–3 COL3rd 09:41+0.099%

Shots

COL2.72 xG46 unblocked · 16 blocked46 unblocked · 16 blocked

CGY2.56 xG46 unblocked · 15 blocked46 unblocked · 15 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

COLCGY7Goals32.72xG2.5630Shots2946Unblocked4662Attempts616High danger50/3Power play0/241Faceoffs2918Hits2315Blocks165Takeaways323Giveaways189PIM11

Skaters

Player

Player
8C. MakarCale MakarD	22:17	2	1	3	2	2	0.13	+1.88	0	0	1	1	—	0	+2
42J. MansonJosh MansonD	20:27	0	0	0	2	6	0.16	−0.16	2	3	0	2	—	0	0
84B. BurnsBrent BurnsD	20:00	0	1	1	2	6	0.05	−0.05	0	2	0	1	—	0	0
7D. ToewsDevon ToewsD	18:54	2	0	2	3	4	0.13	+1.87	0	0	0	2	—	2	+3
27B. KulakBrett KulakD	18:42	0	2	2	0	3	0.01	−0.01	0	3	0	0	—	0	+2
29N. MacKinnonNathan MacKinnonC	18:42	1	2	3	2	4	0.29	+0.71	0	0	1	2	59%	0	+2
62A. LehkonenArtturi LehkonenL	17:22	0	0	0	1	1	0.06	−0.06	2	1	0	1	—	0	+2
88M. NecasMartin NecasC	17:18	0	0	0	2	5	0.22	−0.22	0	0	1	0	—	0	0
91N. KadriNazem KadriC	17:14	0	1	1	2	3	0.10	−0.10	0	0	1	3	40%	0	+1
47N. JuulsenNoah JuulsenD	16:35	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	2	0	2	—	0	+1
13T. HughesT.J. HughesR	16:26	0	1	1	6	10	0.41	−0.41	1	0	1	0	50%	0	+2
11B. NelsonBrock NelsonC	15:35	0	1	1	1	1	0.04	−0.04	2	0	0	1	59%	0	0
92G. LandeskogGabriel LandeskogL	14:09	0	0	0	1	2	0.14	−0.14	2	1	0	2	—	0	0
10N. RoyNicolas RoyC	14:03	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	−0.28	2	0	0	1	67%	0	+1
71J. SchwartzJaden SchwartzL	13:51	2	0	2	2	3	0.25	+1.75	0	0	0	0	100%	0	+2
9F. SvechkovFedor SvechkovC	11:55	0	1	1	0	2	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	3	56%	0	+2
17P. KellyParker KellyC	11:34	0	1	1	2	4	0.21	−0.21	2	1	0	1	100%	2	0
68Z. L'HeureuxZachary L'HeureuxL	10:56	0	1	1	2	3	0.23	−0.23	2	0	0	1	—	5	0
COL total		7	13	20	30	62	2.72	+4.28	18	14	5	23	59%	9

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

MacKinnon+1.29

Schwartz+1.15

Svechkov+0.37

L'Heureux+0.36

Hughes+0.29

Nelson−0.08

Roy−0.23

Landeskog−0.31

Kelly−0.31

Lehkonen−0.33

Necas−0.35

Kadri−0.48

Defence

Makar+0.98

Toews+0.64

Juulsen+0.27

Kulak+0.22

Burns+0.06

Manson+0.02

Goalie

Wedgewood−0.42

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Lehkonen·MacKinnon·Kadri	12:08	16	7	17	29.2%	5	7	2	0	0.47	0.94	33.1%	−0.47	1	2	33%
Landeskog·Nelson·Necas	10:43	14	8	12	40.0%	5	5	1	1	0.28	0.26	51.9%	+0.02	4	1	80%
Schwartz·Svechkov·Hughes	10:22	16	13	10	56.5%	8	1	2	0	0.49	0.12	80.5%	+0.37	4	2	67%
L'Heureux·Roy·Kelly	9:00	15	10	11	47.6%	4	7	1	1	0.50	0.52	49.1%	−0.02	1	1	50%
Occasional · 6 groups
Schwartz·Roy·Hughes	1:00	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Roy·Kelly·MacKinnon	0:49	1	3	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	0	0	—
Lehkonen·Landeskog·Nelson	0:47	1	3	2	60.0%	1	1	0	0	0.10	0.15	40.3%	−0.05	0	1	0%
L'Heureux·Roy·Necas	0:41	1	6	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.23	0.00	100.0%	+0.23	0	0	—
MacKinnon·Necas·Kadri	0:39	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	1	0%
Landeskog·Svechkov·Hughes	0:37	3	3	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
COL 5v5	52:11		58	55	51.3%	27	24	7	3	2.39	2.18	52.3%	+0.21

Goalies

Scott Wedgewood

COL · 60:00

Saves: 26/29
SV%: .897
xGA: 2.56
GSAx: −0.44

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/25	.880	2.20	−0.80
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.12	+0.12
Shorthanded	3/3	1.000	0.24	+0.24
High danger	3/4	.750	0.88	−0.12

Devin Cooley

CGY · 60:00

Saves: 23/30
SV%: .767
xGA: 2.72
GSAx: −4.28

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/28	.750	2.54	−4.46
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.18	+0.18
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.00	+0.00
High danger	3/4	.750	1.05	+0.05

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Colorado Avalanche

Minutes

22:17Makar
20:27Manson
20:00Burns
18:54Toews
18:42Kulak
16:35Juulsen

18:42MacKinnon
17:22Lehkonen
17:18Necas
17:14Kadri
16:26Hughes
15:35Nelson
14:09Landeskog
14:03Roy
13:51Schwartz
11:55Svechkov
11:34Kelly
10:56L'Heureux

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCOLCGY

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MakarD3 O5
KulakD4 O3
ToewsD4 O3
JuulsenD3 O2
BurnsD2 O0
MansonD2 O0
NecasD2 O6
HughesD2 O5
NelsonD3 O5
SchwartzD3 O5
SvechkovD2 O4
LandeskogD3 O3
RoyD1 O1
L'HeureuxD1 O1
MacKinnonD3 O2
KellyD2 O1
KadriD3 O1
LehkonenD5 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period