CHI @ BUF 3–4 · 2026-10-03

ChicagoCHIBlackhawks3

FinalOct 32026-10-03

Team	1	2	3	SOG
CHI	2	1	0	15
BUF	1	1	2	28

KeyBank Center

BuffaloBUFSabres4

CallNo lean · 71% BUF

Star 1J. Kulich1G 0A
Star 2J. Quinn1G 0A
Star 3R. Dahlin1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

+190Moneyline-230+1.5 -130Puck line-1.5 +110O -102Total 6.5U -118+250RegulationTie +350 -135+1451st period-190+2551st · 3-wayTie +193 +120

Season odds

16%0.3%−15.7Playoffs57%70%+13.20.3%0.0%−0.3Cup4.5%3.5%−1.0

Story

– / 12

Result BUF 4–3Call No lean · BUF 71%Market BUF 68%xG 2.35–4.18 · deserved BUF 78%Swing Dahlin +33 3rd 6:10Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 7:59	Goal CHI · R. Donato	70%	54%
1st 11:24	Goal CHI · T. Bertuzzi	52%	35%
1st 16:24	Goal BUF · J. Quinn	32%	51%
2nd 5:41	Goal BUF · T. Thompson	46%	67%
2nd 11:39	BUF penalty · J. Doan · hooking · 2 min
2nd 16:05	CHI penalty · O. Moore · interference · 2 min
2nd 18:18	Goal CHI · O. Moore	64%	38%
3rd 0:53	CHI penalty · P. Kane · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 6:10	Goal BUF · R. Dahlin	30%	62%
3rd 11:51	CHI penalty · C. Smith · tripping · 2 min
3rd 11:58	BUF penalty · Z. Benson · tripping · 2 min
3rd 13:20	Goal BUF · J. Kulich	60%	92%

On ice · final horn

CHI6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
16A. FrondellC	0:58	16:06	23	0	2	2	1	1	0	1	0	6-10
91F. NazarC	0:22	19:58	26	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	1	6-10
59T. BertuzziL	0:56	16:18	19	1	0	1	1	1	0	2	0	–
80R. KantserovR	1:46	18:48	22	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	5-3
88P. KaneR	1:48	19:01	22	0	0	0	0	5	2	0	0	–
55A. LevshunovD	0:22	24:40	24	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	2	–

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19P. KrebsC	1:01	13:42	18	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	0	–
20J. KulichC	1:07	13:31	19	1	0	1	1	4	0	1	0	7-2
94K. HeleniusC	0:50	14:39	20	0	0	0	3	6	0	2	0	–
23M. SamuelssonD	0:13	24:11	26	0	1	1	1	2	0	2	2	–
46L. CrevierD	1:08	17:08	23	0	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	–
1U. LuukkonenG		60:00	SA15GA3SV%.800xGA2.35GSAx−0.65

Goals

1st
Ryan Donato(1)
A. Vlasic (1), N. Lardis (1)
xG 0.21wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 CHI1st 07:59+16.546%
Tyler Bertuzzi(1)
A. Frondell (1), T. Teravainen (1)
xG 0.04wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 CHI1st 11:24+17.465%
Jack Quinn(1)
Z. Metsa (1)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 CHI1st 16:24+18.151%
2nd
Tage Thompson(1)
L. Crevier (1), J. Norris (1)
xG 0.06tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 05:41+21.067%
Oliver Moore(1)
A. Frondell (2), A. Vlasic (2)
xG 0.16wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 CHI2nd 18:18+26.662%
3rd
Rasmus Dahlin(1)
P. Krebs (1), M. Samuelsson (1)
xG 0.14snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 06:10+32.662%
Jiri Kulich(1)
O. Power (1), T. Thompson (1)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 BUF3rd 13:20+31.692%

Shots

CHI2.35 xG30 unblocked · 8 blocked30 unblocked · 8 blocked

BUF4.18 xG51 unblocked · 13 blocked51 unblocked · 13 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CHIBUF3Goals42.35xG4.1815Shots2830Unblocked5138Attempts646High danger80/2Power play0/329Faceoffs3218Hits2913Blocks84Takeaways318Giveaways226PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
55A. LevshunovArtyom LevshunovD	24:40	0	0	0	2	5	0.17	−0.17	0	2	0	1	—	0	-1
44W. KaiserWyatt KaiserD	22:58	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	−0.09	2	2	0	2	—	0	-2
72A. VlasicAlex VlasicD	22:33	0	2	2	0	2	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	2	—	0	+3
28I. ColeIan ColeD	20:37	0	0	0	1	1	0.03	−0.03	1	2	1	0	—	0	+2
91F. NazarFrank NazarC	19:58	0	0	0	2	3	0.44	−0.44	0	1	1	3	38%	0	-2
88P. KanePatrick KaneR	19:01	0	0	0	0	5	0.26	−0.26	0	0	0	0	—	2	-2
80R. KantserovRoman KantserovR	18:48	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	−0.03	2	0	0	2	63%	0	-1
59T. BertuzziTyler BertuzziL	16:18	1	0	1	1	1	0.04	+0.96	2	0	0	4	—	0	+1
16A. FrondellAnton FrondellC	16:06	0	2	2	1	1	0.10	−0.10	1	0	1	1	38%	0	+2
12J. GreenwayJordan GreenwayL	15:55	0	0	0	2	4	0.18	−0.18	0	1	0	2	—	0	0
20R. GreeneRyan GreeneC	15:36	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	−0.25	0	0	0	0	57%	0	0
22C. SmithCole SmithR	15:09	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	0	1	0	—	2	0
38E. Del MastroEthan Del MastroD	15:01	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	−0.04	2	2	0	0	—	0	-2
86T. TeravainenTeuvo TeravainenC	14:22	0	1	1	1	3	0.21	−0.21	0	1	0	0	—	0	+2
14K. KorchinskiKevin KorchinskiD	11:21	0	0	0	2	2	0.05	−0.05	0	0	0	1	—	0	-2
11O. MooreOliver MooreC	9:30	1	0	1	1	1	0.16	+0.84	1	0	0	0	80%	2	0
8R. DonatoRyan DonatoC	9:25	1	0	1	1	3	0.21	+0.79	1	0	0	0	0%	0	-1
76N. LardisNick LardisL	7:41	0	1	1	1	1	0.08	−0.08	2	0	0	0	—	0	-1
CHI total		3	6	9	15	38	2.35	+0.65	18	11	4	18	48%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Frondell+0.69

Donato+0.41

Moore+0.28

Bertuzzi+0.21

Teravainen−0.13

Lardis−0.16

Greene−0.31

Greenway−0.32

Nazar−0.32

Kantserov−0.42

Smith−0.53

Kane−0.58

Defence

Vlasic+0.31

Cole+0.13

Kaiser+0.04

Levshunov−0.10

Del Mastro−0.18

Korchinski−0.34

Goalie

Knight+0.20

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Nazar·Kantserov·Kane	13:56	19	8	15	34.8%	2	8	0	1	0.63	0.89	41.3%	−0.27	2	2	50%
Greenway·Greene·Smith	12:27	19	8	21	27.6%	3	7	0	0	0.32	0.91	26.3%	−0.58	1	4	20%
Bertuzzi·Frondell·Teravainen	11:16	17	6	8	42.9%	3	2	1	0	0.15	0.84	15.3%	−0.69	3	2	60%
Lardis·Donato·Moore	5:51	12	4	8	33.3%	3	6	1	2	0.31	0.74	29.7%	−0.43	1	3	25%
Occasional · 2 groups
Greenway·Greene·Kantserov	1:12	5	2	2	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.18	0.11	63.4%	+0.08	0	0	—
Donato·Moore·Nazar	0:36	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	2	0%
CHI 5v5	50:54		32	58	35.6%	13	25	3	3	1.89	3.59	34.5%	−1.70

Goalies

Spencer Knight

CHI · 59:01

Saves: 24/28
SV%: .857
xGA: 4.18
GSAx: +0.18

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/27	.852	3.98	−0.02
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.19	+0.19
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	4/5	.800	1.69	+0.69

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 60:00

Saves: 12/15
SV%: .800
xGA: 2.35
GSAx: −0.65

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	11/14	.786	1.96	−1.04
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.39	+0.39
High danger	2/4	.500	1.15	−0.85

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Chicago Blackhawks

Minutes

24:40Levshunov
22:58Kaiser
22:33Vlasic
20:37Cole
15:01Del Mastro
11:21Korchinski

19:58Nazar
19:01Kane
18:48Kantserov
16:18Bertuzzi
16:06Frondell
15:55Greenway
15:36Greene
15:09Smith
14:22Teravainen
9:30Moore
9:25Donato
7:41Lardis

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCHIBUF

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

LevshunovD1 O3
Del MastroD0 O1
KorchinskiD0 O1
KaiserD3 O3
VlasicD7 O2
ColeD8 O1
KaneD2 O4
BertuzziD2 O3
KantserovD2 O3
FrondellD3 O3
TeravainenD5 O3
NazarD6 O4
LardisD3 O1
DonatoD4 O1
GreenwayD4 O1
SmithD4 O1
GreeneD4 O1
MooreD5 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period