DAL @ NSH 1–2 · 2026-10-03

DallasDALStars1

FinalOct 32026-10-03

Team	1	2	3	SOG
DAL	1	0	0	30
NSH	2	0	0	26

Bridgestone Arena

NashvilleNSHPredators2

CallNo lean · 43% NSH

Star 1S. Stamkos1G 0A
Star 2J. Saros.967 SV%
Star 3R. O'Reilly0G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

-142Moneyline+120-1.5 +185Puck line+1.5 -225O +114Total 6.5U -135+115RegulationTie +310 +170-1351st period+105+1631st · 3-wayTie +175 +200

Season odds

65%74%+9.0Playoffs29%24%−4.74.6%3.0%−1.6Cup0.9%0.2%−0.7

Story

– / 7

Result NSH 2–1Call No lean · DAL 57%Market DAL 57%xG 2.10–2.11 · deserved NSH 50%Swing Hoglander +19 1st 15:49Method

Goals and penalties with NSH win probability
Time	Event	NSH win before	NSH win after
1st 0:47	Goal DAL · M. Heiskanen	43%	28%
1st 3:36	DAL penalty · A. Hyry · interference · 2 min
1st 4:46	Goal NSH · S. Stamkos (PP)	28%	43%
1st 13:53	DAL penalty · J. Robertson · slashing · 2 min
1st 15:49	Goal NSH · N. Hoglander (PP)	44%	63%
2nd 2:17	NSH penalty · R. Colton · slashing · 2 min
2nd 4:29	DAL penalty · E. Lindell · tripping · 2 min

On ice · final horn

DAL6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
24R. HintzC	1:30	16:03	20	0	0	0	2	6	0	4	0	7-4
53W. JohnstonC	2:02	22:50	22	0	1	1	2	8	0	0	2	2-8
21J. RobertsonL	1:36	18:50	19	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	2	–
96M. RantanenR	2:12	23:55	21	0	1	1	3	7	0	1	1	1-2
4M. HeiskanenD	1:28	24:35	26	1	0	1	5	8	0	0	1	–
55T. HarleyD	2:48	25:57	23	0	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	–

NSH5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
90R. O'ReillyC	1:23	19:53	23	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	1	9-4
91S. StamkosC	1:18	20:02	22	1	0	1	4	5	0	2	0	1-2
9F. ForsbergL	1:24	21:40	23	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	0-2
48N. PerbixD	0:55	18:39	23	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	2	–
76B. SkjeiD	0:53	18:05	24	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	2	–
74J. SarosG		59:57	SA30GA1SV%.967xGA2.10GSAx+1.10

Goals

1st
Miro Heiskanen(1)
M. Rantanen (1), W. Johnston (1)
xG 0.09wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 DAL1st 00:47+15.272%
Steven Stamkos(1)PP
R. O'Reilly (1), R. Josi (1)
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 04:46+15.743%
Nils Hoglander(1)PP
J. Ahcan (1), A. Kerfoot (1)
xG 0.03deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 NSH1st 15:49+18.863%

Shots

DAL2.10 xG47 unblocked · 18 blocked47 unblocked · 18 blocked

NSH2.11 xG39 unblocked · 13 blocked39 unblocked · 13 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

DALNSH1Goals22.10xG2.1130Shots2647Unblocked3965Attempts523High danger30/1Power play2/325Faceoffs2929Hits2113Blocks182Takeaways711Giveaways116PIM2

Skaters

Player

Player
55T. HarleyThomas HarleyD	25:57	0	0	0	2	6	0.10	−0.10	1	0	1	0	—	0	0
4M. HeiskanenMiro HeiskanenD	24:35	1	0	1	5	8	0.26	+0.74	0	1	0	0	—	0	+1
96M. RantanenMikko RantanenR	23:55	0	1	1	3	7	0.29	−0.29	1	1	1	0	33%	0	+1
53W. JohnstonWyatt JohnstonC	22:50	0	1	1	2	8	0.34	−0.34	0	2	0	0	20%	0	+1
23E. LindellEsa LindellD	19:11	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	2	0	1	—	2	+1
5N. LundkvistNils LundkvistD	19:01	0	0	0	2	4	0.05	−0.05	0	2	0	4	—	0	0
21J. RobertsonJason RobertsonL	18:50	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	1	0	0	1	—	2	0
18S. SteelSam SteelC	16:09	0	0	0	2	3	0.02	−0.02	1	0	0	0	100%	0	0
24R. HintzRoope HintzC	16:03	0	0	0	2	6	0.41	−0.41	4	0	0	2	64%	0	0
6L. BichselLian BichselD	15:12	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	−0.01	5	2	0	1	—	0	0
49J. HryckowianJustin HryckowianC	14:30	0	0	0	1	2	0.09	−0.09	2	1	0	0	71%	0	+1
57T. MyersTyler MyersD	14:27	0	0	0	1	3	0.05	−0.05	3	0	0	0	—	0	0
14J. BennJamie BennL	13:12	0	0	0	2	2	0.08	−0.08	2	0	0	0	0%	0	0
91T. SeguinTyler SeguinC	12:34	0	0	0	3	7	0.23	−0.23	0	0	0	0	40%	0	0
25A. HyryArttu HyryR	12:29	0	0	0	1	3	0.09	−0.09	2	0	0	0	63%	2	0
12R. FaksaRadek FaksaC	10:28	0	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	4	1	0	0	17%	0	0
10O. BäckOskar BäckC	9:38	0	0	0	2	2	0.02	−0.02	1	1	0	1	100%	0	0
15C. BlackwellColin BlackwellC	7:29	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	0%	0	0
DAL total		1	2	3	30	65	2.10	−1.10	29	13	2	10	46%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Rantanen+0.17

Bäck−0.10

Faksa−0.11

Blackwell−0.16

Johnston−0.19

Hyry−0.22

Hintz−0.28

Benn−0.29

Steel−0.32

Hryckowian−0.32

Seguin−0.37

Robertson−0.57

Defence

Heiskanen+0.48

Lundkvist−0.02

Bichsel−0.07

Harley−0.20

Myers−0.20

Lindell−0.34

Goalie

DeSmith+0.13

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Hryckowian·Johnston·Rantanen	8:16	10	6	12	33.3%	3	9	1	0	0.37	0.64	36.9%	−0.26	2	1	67%
Robertson·Hintz·Seguin	5:44	9	5	6	45.5%	2	5	0	0	0.08	0.49	14.6%	−0.41	0	2	0%
Steel·Johnston·Rantanen	5:42	9	10	4	71.4%	4	1	0	0	0.23	0.08	74.7%	+0.15	1	0	100%
Benn·Steel·Hyry	5:25	7	3	2	60.0%	2	1	0	0	0.11	0.08	57.8%	+0.03	0	4	0%
Bäck·Faksa·Blackwell	5:06	9	3	2	60.0%	3	0	0	0	0.09	0.06	58.8%	+0.03	0	2	0%
Benn·Robertson·Hintz	4:02	7	5	2	71.4%	1	1	0	0	0.10	0.05	68.3%	+0.05	2	0	100%
Robertson·Johnston·Rantanen	3:35	6	4	2	66.7%	2	0	0	0	0.21	0.00	100.0%	+0.21	2	0	100%
Hryckowian·Seguin·Hyry	3:05	6	2	8	20.0%	0	2	0	0	0.12	0.26	32.2%	−0.14	2	1	67%
Occasional · 7 groups
Benn·Hintz·Seguin	1:27	2	3	1	75.0%	1	1	0	0	0.07	0.02	76.6%	+0.05	1	0	100%
Steel·Hryckowian·Hyry	1:07	3	3	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.12	0.00	100.0%	+0.12	0	0	—
Robertson·Hintz·Rantanen	0:48	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Bäck·Blackwell·Johnston	0:41	4	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Bäck·Johnston·Rantanen	0:36	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
Faksa·Hryckowian·Seguin	0:32	3	4	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.05	0.00	100.0%	+0.05	0	0	—
Steel·Hintz·Rantanen	0:30	2	2	1	66.7%	0	1	0	0	0.05	0.01	90.2%	+0.04	0	0	—
DAL 5v5	51:15		56	47	54.4%	23	23	1	0	1.62	1.79	47.5%	−0.17

Goalies

Casey DeSmith

DAL · 58:24

Saves: 24/26
SV%: .923
xGA: 2.11
GSAx: +0.11

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/23	1.000	1.79	+1.79
Power play	1/3	.333	0.32	−1.68
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/2	.500	0.54	−0.46

Juuse Saros

NSH · 59:57

Saves: 29/30
SV%: .967
xGA: 2.10
GSAx: +1.10

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/24	.958	1.63	+0.63
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.47	+0.47
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.00	+0.00
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.54	+0.54

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Dallas Stars

Minutes

25:57Harley
24:35Heiskanen
19:11Lindell
19:01Lundkvist
15:12Bichsel
14:27Myers

23:55Rantanen
22:50Johnston
18:50Robertson
16:09Steel
16:03Hintz
14:30Hryckowian
13:12Benn
12:34Seguin
12:29Hyry
10:28Faksa
9:38Bäck
7:29Blackwell

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareDALNSH

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

HarleyD1 O5
HeiskanenD6 O8
LundkvistD1 O3
LindellD4 O2
MyersD5 O0
BichselD5 O0
RantanenD1 O5
JohnstonD1 O5
HintzD2 O4
RobertsonD2 O4
HryckowianD2 O4
SeguinD3 O3
BlackwellD0 O0
BennD4 O3
SteelD3 O1
HyryD4 O2
FaksaD5 O0
BäckD5 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period