WSH @ TBL 1–3 · 2026-10-03

WashingtonWSHCapitals1

FinalOct 32026-10-03

Team	1	2	3	SOG
WSH	0	1	0	21
TBL	2	0	1	30

Benchmark International Arena

Tampa BayTBLLightning3

CallNo lean · 68% TBL

Star 1A. Vasilevskiy.952 SV%
Star 2B. Hagel0G 2A
Star 3E. Lilleberg0G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

+170Moneyline-205+1.5 -148Puck line-1.5 +124O +105Total 6.5U -125+225RegulationTie +340 -120+1251st period-165+2351st · 3-wayTie +185 +133

Season odds

51%67%+16.7Playoffs61%89%+28.02.4%3.4%+1.0Cup4.2%10%+5.8

Story

– / 16

Result TBL 3–1Call No lean · TBL 68%Market TBL 65%xG 2.62–4.48 · deserved TBL 78%Swing D'Astous +13 1st 2:26Method

Goals and penalties with TBL win probability
Time	Event	TBL win before	TBL win after
1st 2:26	Goal TBL · C. D'Astous	67%	81%
1st 8:35	WSH penalty · J. Sourdif · holding · 2 min
1st 16:30	Goal TBL · C. Geekie	81%	91%
1st 18:02	TBL penalty · R. McDonagh · holding · 2 min
2nd 2:43	WSH penalty · A. Protas · tripping · 2 min
2nd 7:04	Goal WSH · J. Sourdif	93%	82%
2nd 13:54	TBL penalty · E. Lilleberg · fighting · 5 min
2nd 13:54	WSH penalty · V. Desharnais · fighting · 5 min
2nd 14:56	TBL penalty · P. Holmberg · unsportsmanlike conduct · 2 min
2nd 14:56	WSH penalty · J. Chychrun · unsportsmanlike conduct · 2 min
3rd 0:32	TBL penalty · Z. Girgensons · roughing · 2 min
3rd 0:32	WSH penalty · T. Wilson · roughing · 2 min
3rd 8:57	TBL penalty · B. Point · holding · 2 min
3rd 12:56	WSH penalty · M. Fehérváry · roughing · 2 min
3rd 17:55	Goal TBL · J. Guentzel (EN)	97%	99%
3rd 17:55	WSH penalty · T. Wilson · misconduct · 10 min

On ice · final horn

WSH6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
17D. StromeC	1:47	18:02	17	0	0	1	3	0	2	1	5-7
80P. DuboisC	1:19	18:34	22	0	0	1	5	0	2	0	4-12
8A. OvechkinL	1:19	13:34	16	0	0	0	4	0	3	1	–
9R. LeonardR	0:27	14:10	17	0	0	3	6	0	3	0	–
25J. KyrouR	1:19	14:45	17	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	–
6J. ChychrunD	1:19	27:11	27	1	1	2	8	2	0	1	–

TBL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
28Z. GirgensonsC	0:36	14:27	21	0	0	0	1	2	2	4	3	10-5
38B. HagelL	2:05	22:07	22	0	2	2	6	10	0	0	0	1-0
86N. KucherovR	3:18	22:46	20	0	1	1	3	6	0	0	0	1-0
77V. HedmanD	0:35	13:34	19	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	4	–
90J. MoserD	0:35	19:23	22	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	–
88A. VasilevskiyG		60:00	SA21GA1SV%.952xGA2.62GSAx+1.62

Goals

1st
Charle-Edouard D'Astous(1)
B. Hagel (1), J. Guentzel (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 TBL1st 02:26+13.481%
Conor Geekie(1)
B. Hagel (2), J. Guentzel (2)
xG 0.05wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 TBL1st 16:30+10.291%
2nd
Justin Sourdif(1)
J. Chychrun (1), B. Jenner (1)
xG 0.01tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 TBL2nd 07:04+10.818%
3rd
Jake Guentzel(1)EN
N. Kucherov (1), J. Carlson (1)
xG 0.75wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 TBL3rd 17:55+2.999%

Shots

WSH2.62 xG41 unblocked · 20 blocked41 unblocked · 20 blocked

TBL4.48 xG49 unblocked · 14 blocked49 unblocked · 14 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

WSHTBL1Goals32.62xG4.4821Shots3041Unblocked4961Attempts635High danger80/2Power play0/318Faceoffs3024Hits3014Blocks203Takeaways512Giveaways2025PIM13

Skaters

Player

Player
6J. ChychrunJakob ChychrunD	27:11	0	1	1	2	8	0.25	−0.25	0	1	0	0	—	2	-1
44C. HutsonCole HutsonD	21:03	0	0	0	1	5	0.06	−0.06	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
80P. DuboisPierre-Luc DuboisC	18:34	0	0	0	1	5	0.06	−0.06	2	0	0	0	25%	0	-2
42M. FehérváryMartin FehérváryD	18:11	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	2	0	1	—	2	-1
17D. StromeDylan StromeC	18:02	0	0	0	1	3	0.50	−0.50	2	1	0	0	42%	0	-1
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	17:53	0	0	0	2	5	0.51	−0.51	2	0	0	0	0%	0	0
43T. WilsonTom WilsonR	17:49	0	0	0	2	5	0.18	−0.18	3	1	0	0	—	12	-1
27T. LiljegrenTimothy LiljegrenD	17:11	0	0	0	1	3	0.07	−0.07	0	3	0	1	—	0	-1
73V. DesharnaisVincent DesharnaisD	15:25	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	4	0	0	2	—	5	0
21A. ProtasAliaksei ProtasL	15:21	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	—	2	-1
22B. JennerBoone JennerC	14:57	0	1	1	3	4	0.19	−0.19	0	2	0	0	38%	0	0
25J. KyrouJordan KyrouR	14:45	0	0	0	1	4	0.04	−0.04	0	1	1	1	—	0	-2
3M. RoyMatt RoyD	14:22	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	−0.23	2	0	1	2	—	0	0
9R. LeonardRyan LeonardR	14:10	0	0	0	3	6	0.14	−0.14	3	0	1	2	—	0	0
8A. OvechkinAlex OvechkinL	13:34	0	0	0	0	4	0.01	−0.01	3	0	0	1	—	0	-1
34J. SourdifJustin SourdifC	12:24	1	0	1	1	3	0.17	+0.83	0	0	0	0	100%	2	0
72A. BeauvillierAnthony BeauvillierR	11:37	0	0	0	2	3	0.20	−0.20	2	1	0	0	—	0	0
62I. ProtasIlya ProtasL	9:55	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	0	50%	0	0
WSH total		1	2	3	21	61	2.62	−1.62	24	14	3	11	38%	25

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Sourdif+0.28

Jenner−0.02

Beauvillier−0.10

Protas−0.16

Leonard−0.18

Kyrou−0.23

Ovechkin−0.26

Strome−0.33

Tuch−0.34

Wilson−0.36

Dubois−0.51

Protas−0.52

Defence

Chychrun+0.17

Liljegren+0.11

Hutson−0.17

Roy−0.22

Fehérváry−0.30

Desharnais−0.30

Goalie

Lindgren+1.31

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Dubois·Wilson·Tuch	8:29	12	10	8	55.6%	2	4	0	0	0.23	0.53	30.3%	−0.30	0	1	0%
Ovechkin·Strome·Leonard	7:22	11	5	11	31.3%	1	3	0	0	0.01	0.88	1.2%	−0.87	4	0	100%
Jenner·Sourdif·Beauvillier	6:56	12	3	8	27.3%	3	5	1	1	0.17	0.29	36.9%	−0.12	0	1	0%
Protas·Protas·Kyrou	6:03	8	6	9	40.0%	3	5	0	0	0.25	0.26	49.3%	−0.01	1	2	33%
Occasional · 12 groups
Strome·Jenner·Leonard	1:00	4	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.05	0.06	45.4%	−0.01	0	0	—
Protas·Dubois·Kyrou	0:59	2	3	2	60.0%	0	1	0	1	0.23	0.16	58.7%	+0.07	0	0	—
Jenner·Leonard·Beauvillier	0:52	1	3	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.17	0.00	100.0%	+0.17	0	0	—
Dubois·Kyrou·Wilson	0:49	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Ovechkin·Dubois·Tuch	0:46	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Sourdif·Leonard·Tuch	0:46	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Protas·Jenner·Beauvillier	0:43	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	1	0%
Dubois·Kyrou·Tuch	0:42	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Protas·Strome·Kyrou	0:40	5	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
Jenner·Dubois·Wilson	0:33	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
Strome·Jenner·Beauvillier	0:31	4	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Protas·Protas·Wilson	0:30	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
WSH 5v5	43:36		40	46	46.5%	13	24	1	2	1.33	2.47	35.1%	−1.13

Goalies

Charlie Lindgren

WSH · 57:36

Saves: 27/29
SV%: .931
xGA: 3.29
GSAx: +1.29

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	24/26	.923	2.58	+0.58
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.71	+0.71
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/2	1.000	1.11	+1.11

Andrei Vasilevskiy

TBL · 60:00

Saves: 20/21
SV%: .952
xGA: 2.62
GSAx: +1.62

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	17/18	.944	2.33	+1.33
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.22	+0.22
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.06	+0.06
High danger	2/2	1.000	1.05	+1.05

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Washington Capitals

Minutes

27:11Chychrun
21:03Hutson
18:11Fehérváry
17:11Liljegren
15:25Desharnais
14:22Roy

18:34Dubois
18:02Strome
17:53Tuch
17:49Wilson
15:21A. Protas
14:57Jenner
14:45Kyrou
14:10Leonard
13:34Ovechkin
12:24Sourdif
11:37Beauvillier
9:55I. Protas

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareWSHTBL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

ChychrunD3 O8
HutsonD1 O2
RoyD3 O1
FehérváryD4 O2
DesharnaisD3 O0
LiljegrenD4 O0
OvechkinD0 O7
StromeD0 O5
LeonardD0 O3
DuboisD2 O4
KyrouD3 O3
SourdifD0 O0
I. ProtasD2 O2
WilsonD4 O3
TuchD2 O1
BeauvillierD2 O0
A. ProtasD4 O2
JennerD3 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period