CAR @ PHI 3–2 · 2026-10-03

CarolinaCARHurricanes3

Final/OTOct 32026-10-03

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
CAR	1	0	1	1	40
PHI	1	1	0	0	18

Xfinity Mobile Arena

PhiladelphiaPHIFlyers2

CallNo lean · 47% PHI

Star 1S. Gostisbehere1G 0A
Star 2S. Aho2G 1A
Star 3O. Tippett1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

-130Moneyline+110-1.5 +190Puck line+1.5 -230O -130Total 5.5U +110+130RegulationTie +300 +150-1301st period+100+1701st · 3-wayTie +173 +193

Season odds

65%91%+25.9Playoffs34%20%−13.75.9%11%+5.4Cup1.4%0.3%−1.1

Story

– / 13

Result CAR 3–2 OTCall No lean · CAR 53%Market CAR 54%xG 4.35–2.65 · deserved CAR 76%Swing Gostisbehere +49 OT 2:51Method

Goals and penalties with PHI win probability
Time	Event	PHI win before	PHI win after
1st 0:10	Goal CAR · S. Aho	47%	32%
1st 8:03	Goal PHI · O. Tippett	31%	48%
1st 12:21	CAR penalty · J. Kotkaniemi · holding · 2 min
1st 13:31	PHI penalty · T. Konecny · hooking · 2 min
1st 18:54	CAR penalty · S. Aho · slashing · 2 min
2nd 7:20	Goal PHI · M. Michkov	48%	70%
2nd 12:48	PHI penalty · N. Seeler · hooking · 2 min
3rd 3:45	PHI penalty · M. Michkov · holding · 2 min
3rd 4:59	Goal CAR · S. Aho (PP)	78%	49%
3rd 8:01	CAR penalty · J. Chatfield · roughing · 2 min
3rd 18:34	CAR penalty · S. Gostisbehere · slashing · 2 min
OT 1:35	PHI penalty · O. Tippett · slashing · 2 min
OT 2:51	Goal CAR · S. Gostisbehere (PP)	49%	0%

On ice · final horn

CAR4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
20S. AhoC	2:06	20:30	24	2	0	2	6	10	2	0	0	10-5
37A. SvechnikovR	2:05	17:50	20	0	2	2	4	11	0	1	0	–
53J. BlakeR	1:16	18:43	19	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	1	–
4S. GostisbehereD	1:16	15:39	19	0	0	0	3	6	2	0	1	–
52P. KochetkovG		62:51	SA18GA2SV%.889xGA2.65GSAx+0.65

PHI3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
52N. AcciariC	0:43	15:53	19	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	2	6-8
6T. SanheimD	2:12	27:05	29	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	1	–
24N. SeelerD	0:45	18:07	23	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	–
53J. WollG		62:48	SA39GA2SV%.949xGA4.23GSAx+2.23

Goals

1st
Sebastian Aho(1)
W. Carrier (1), A. Svechnikov (1)
xG 0.03snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 CAR1st 00:10+15.868%
Owen Tippett(1)
T. Zegras (1)
xG 0.11snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 08:03+16.948%
2nd
Matvei Michkov(1)
T. Konecny (1), C. Dvorak (1)
xG 0.23wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 PHI2nd 07:20+21.570%
3rd
Sebastian Aho(2)PP
N. Ehlers (1), A. Svechnikov (2)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 04:59+29.851%
OT
Shayne Gostisbehere(1)PP
J. Blake (1), S. Aho (1)
xG 0.12slapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 CAROT 02:51+49.0100%

Shots

CAR4.35 xG62 unblocked · 17 blocked62 unblocked · 17 blocked

PHI2.65 xG29 unblocked · 14 blocked29 unblocked · 14 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARPHI3Goals24.35xG2.6540Shots1862Unblocked2979Attempts435High danger62/4Power play0/432Faceoffs3113Hits2914Blocks174Takeaways320Giveaways148PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
74J. SlavinJaccob SlavinD	24:47	0	0	0	1	4	0.04	−0.04	0	4	0	0	—	0	+1
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	24:10	0	0	0	4	6	0.21	−0.21	0	3	1	1	—	0	-1
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	23:17	0	0	0	0	4	0.11	−0.11	3	1	2	1	—	0	-1
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	22:50	0	0	0	2	5	0.07	−0.07	0	1	0	2	—	2	+1
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	20:30	2	1	3	6	10	0.66	+1.34	0	0	0	2	67%	2	0
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	18:43	0	1	1	2	4	0.20	−0.20	0	1	0	1	—	0	0
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	17:50	0	2	2	4	11	0.84	−0.84	1	0	0	2	—	0	0
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	17:10	0	0	0	4	6	0.65	−0.65	0	0	0	1	25%	0	0
11J. StaalJordan StaalC	16:35	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	1	0	0	1	52%	0	0
4S. GostisbehereShayne GostisbehereD	15:39	1	0	1	4	7	0.29	+0.71	0	1	0	0	—	2	-1
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	15:16	0	0	0	3	4	0.16	−0.16	1	1	0	2	100%	0	0
71T. HallTaylor HallL	14:30	0	0	0	2	3	0.09	−0.09	1	0	0	1	—	0	0
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	13:38	0	1	1	1	1	0.00	−0.00	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	12:49	0	1	1	2	3	0.76	−0.76	4	1	0	2	—	0	0
77M. JankowskiMark JankowskiL	12:01	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	−0.07	0	0	0	1	50%	0	-1
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	11:44	0	0	0	2	5	0.15	−0.15	1	0	0	1	—	0	-1
82J. KotkaniemiJesperi KotkaniemiC	11:19	0	0	0	1	1	0.00	−0.00	1	0	0	0	—	2	-1
6M. ReillyMike ReillyD	10:36	0	0	0	1	3	0.02	−0.02	0	1	1	1	—	0	-1
CAR total		3	6	9	40	79	4.35	−1.35	13	14	4	20	51%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Aho+1.42

Carrier+0.73

Blake+0.36

Svechnikov+0.34

Ehlers+0.27

Martinook−0.08

Jankowski−0.16

Kotkaniemi−0.26

Robinson−0.28

Hall−0.29

Staal−0.36

Stankoven−0.39

Defence

Slavin+0.45

Gostisbehere+0.37

Walker+0.01

Reilly−0.06

Chatfield−0.08

Miller−0.18

Goalie

Kochetkov+0.67

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Hall·Stankoven·Blake	11:12	15	16	9	64.0%	10	7	0	0	0.98	0.76	56.3%	+0.22	5	1	83%
Carrier·Aho·Svechnikov	10:26	16	16	4	80.0%	7	2	1	1	1.01	0.21	82.5%	+0.79	1	2	33%
Ehlers·Martinook·Staal	8:42	12	12	7	63.2%	7	4	0	0	0.21	0.30	40.9%	−0.09	5	2	71%
Robinson·Jankowski·Kotkaniemi	8:04	11	12	3	80.0%	3	1	0	1	0.29	0.23	55.5%	+0.06	3	1	75%
Occasional · 5 groups
Robinson·Staal·Kotkaniemi	0:52	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Robinson·Stankoven·Kotkaniemi	0:51	2	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Ehlers·Martinook·Aho	0:33	4	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Martinook·Staal·Blake	0:32	1	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.03	0.01	73.5%	+0.02	0	0	—
Carrier·Martinook·Jankowski	0:31	1	2	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.69	0.00	100.0%	+0.69	0	0	—
CAR 5v5	48:07		64	31	67.4%	31	15	1	2	3.34	1.74	65.8%	+1.60

Goalies

Pyotr Kochetkov

CAR · 62:51

Saves: 16/18
SV%: .889
xGA: 2.65
GSAx: +0.65

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	13/15	.867	1.74	−0.26
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.91	+0.91
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	1.33	+0.33

Joseph Woll

PHI · 62:48

Saves: 37/40
SV%: .925
xGA: 4.35
GSAx: +1.35

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	30/31	.968	3.34	+2.34
Power play	5/7	.714	0.90	−1.10
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.12	+0.12
High danger	3/4	.750	1.64	+0.64

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

24:47Slavin
24:10Walker
23:17Miller
22:50Chatfield
15:39Gostisbehere
10:36Reilly

20:30Aho
18:43Blake
17:50Svechnikov
17:10Stankoven
16:35Staal
15:16Martinook
14:30Hall
13:38Ehlers
12:49Carrier
12:01Jankowski
11:44Robinson
11:19Kotkaniemi

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARPHI

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

GostisbehereD0 O7
ReillyD0 O4
MillerD2 O5
WalkerD2 O4
SlavinD4 O1
ChatfieldD5 O1
HallD1 O7
BlakeD2 O8
StankovenD1 O6
StaalD5 O8
EhlersD2 O5
JankowskiD1 O3
RobinsonD1 O3
KotkaniemiD1 O3
MartinookD4 O5
AhoD2 O2
SvechnikovD2 O1
CarrierD2 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period