OTT @ TOR 3–2 · 2026-10-03

OttawaOTTSenators3

FinalOct 32026-10-03

Team	1	2	3	SOG
OTT	1	1	1	29
TOR	0	2	0	29

Scotiabank Arena

TorontoTORMaple Leafs2

CallNo lean · 42% TOR

Star 1T. Chabot1G 1A
Star 2C. Giroux0G 2A
Star 3K. Marchenko1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

-105Moneyline-115+1.5 -270Puck line-1.5 +220O +110Total 6.5U -130+135RegulationTie +320 +140-1151st period-115+1801st · 3-wayTie +175 +180

Season odds

65%70%+4.5Playoffs24%11%−12.55.4%3.1%−2.3Cup0.7%0.1%−0.6

Story

– / 15

Result OTT 3–2Call No lean · OTT 58%Market TOR 51%xG 4.27–3.19 · deserved OTT 67%Swing Halliday +32 3rd 9:46Method

Goals and penalties with TOR win probability
Time	Event	TOR win before	TOR win after
1st 18:51	Goal OTT · T. Chabot	44%	26%
2nd 0:33	Goal TOR · A. Matthews	25%	44%
2nd 6:40	OTT penalty · C. Giroux · slashing · 2 min
2nd 7:06	Goal TOR · K. Marchenko (PP)	44%	66%
2nd 10:01	TOR penalty · E. Cowan · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 12:40	Goal OTT · M. Amadio	68%	45%
2nd 14:44	TOR penalty · K. Marchenko · slashing · 2 min
2nd 17:48	OTT penalty · T. Stützle · tripping · 2 min
3rd 0:00	TOR penalty · E. Cowan · roughing · 2 min
3rd 0:00	OTT penalty · S. Pinto · roughing · 2 min
3rd 2:52	OTT penalty · T. Kleven · roughing · 2 min
3rd 7:46	TOR penalty · K. Marchenko · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 9:46	Goal OTT · S. Halliday	46%	14%
3rd 9:52	TOR penalty · J. Roslovic · tripping · 2 min
3rd 14:20	OTT penalty · W. Eklund · interference · 2 min

On ice · final horn

OTT5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18T. StützleC	0:31	22:51	28	0	1	1	2	4	2	3	1	10-5
22M. AmadioR	0:31	19:13	27	1	0	1	1	4	0	2	1	–
28C. GirouxR	0:31	18:17	29	0	2	2	4	4	2	1	0	10-2
43T. KlevenD	2:49	21:43	29	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	2	–
72T. ChabotD	1:47	27:06	30	1	1	2	2	5	0	0	7	–
35L. UllmarkG		60:00	SA29GA2SV%.931xGA3.19GSAx+1.19

TOR6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
15C. SissonsC	0:04	14:24	22	0	0	4	5	0	2	0	4-2
96J. RoslovicC	0:31	14:49	20	0	0	2	6	2	1	0	0-1
20N. PaulL	0:31	17:03	23	0	0	2	5	0	2	0	4-6
53E. CowanR	0:31	12:07	19	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	–
44M. RiellyD	0:31	18:23	26	1	1	1	2	0	0	2	–
95O. Ekman-LarssonD	0:31	17:08	25	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	–

Goals

1st
Thomas Chabot(1)
C. Giroux (1), S. Pinto (1)
xG 0.02wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 OTT1st 18:51+17.974%
2nd
Auston Matthews(1)
M. Rielly (1), W. Nylander (1)
xG 0.09tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 00:33+18.344%
Kirill Marchenko(1)PP
D. Raddysh (1), J. Tavares (1)
xG 0.11backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 TOR2nd 07:06+21.566%
Michael Amadio(1)
T. Stützle (1), T. Chabot (1)
xG 0.27wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 12:40+23.455%
3rd
Stephen Halliday(1)
F. Zetterlund (1), C. Giroux (2)
xG 0.06snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 OTT3rd 09:46+31.686%

Shots

OTT4.27 xG44 unblocked · 10 blocked44 unblocked · 10 blocked

TOR3.19 xG48 unblocked · 20 blocked48 unblocked · 20 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

OTTTOR3Goals24.27xG3.1929Shots2944Unblocked4854Attempts688High danger50/4Power play1/437Faceoffs2829Hits1820Blocks101Takeaways415Giveaways1910PIM10

Skaters

Player

Player
72T. ChabotThomas ChabotD	27:06	1	1	2	2	5	0.10	+0.90	0	7	0	1	—	0	+2
18T. StützleTim StützleC	22:51	0	1	1	2	4	0.16	−0.16	3	1	0	0	67%	2	+1
10J. SpenceJordan SpenceD	22:30	0	0	0	2	3	0.11	−0.11	0	0	0	2	—	0	0
43T. KlevenTyler KlevenD	21:43	0	0	0	1	1	0.00	−0.00	3	2	0	1	—	2	0
12S. PintoShane PintoC	20:27	0	1	1	4	7	0.37	−0.37	4	0	0	1	47%	2	+1
22M. AmadioMichael AmadioR	19:13	1	0	1	1	4	0.50	+0.50	2	1	0	1	—	0	+1
33N. MatinpaloNikolas MatinpaloD	18:48	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	1	1	0	2	—	0	0
28C. GirouxClaude GirouxR	18:17	0	2	2	4	4	0.13	−0.13	1	0	0	3	83%	2	+1
19D. BathersonDrake BathersonR	18:02	0	0	0	2	5	0.24	−0.24	2	0	0	0	—	0	0
26C. YakemchukCarter YakemchukD	17:50	0	0	0	1	2	0.11	−0.11	0	2	1	0	—	0	+1
24D. CozensDylan CozensC	16:17	0	0	0	2	4	0.20	−0.20	2	0	0	0	38%	0	0
27W. EklundWilliam EklundL	16:16	0	0	0	4	7	1.74	−1.74	1	0	0	1	—	2	0
37W. FoegeleWarren FoegeleL	13:01	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	0	0%	0	+1
20F. ZetterlundFabian ZetterlundL	12:06	0	1	1	1	1	0.06	−0.06	1	0	0	1	100%	0	+1
34S. HallidayStephen HallidayC	10:07	1	0	1	2	5	0.38	+0.62	0	2	0	1	67%	0	+1
21N. CousinsNick CousinsC	7:21	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	2	0	1	—	0	0
42H. HodgsonHayden HodgsonR	5:10	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	−0.16	4	0	0	0	—	0	0
85J. SandersonJake SandersonD	4:29	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	0	—	0	0
OTT total		3	6	9	29	54	4.27	−1.27	29	19	1	15	57%	10

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Halliday+1.00

Amadio+0.47

Zetterlund+0.43

Giroux+0.17

Stützle+0.16

Batherson+0.05

Eklund+0.03

Hodgson−0.16

Cousins−0.17

Pinto−0.21

Foegele−0.31

Cozens−0.34

Defence

Chabot+1.27

Yakemchuk+0.04

Sanderson−0.02

Matinpalo−0.02

Spence−0.03

Kleven−0.44

Goalie

Ullmark+1.21

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Pinto·Amadio·Giroux	7:46	14	10	9	52.6%	5	6	1	1	0.20	0.23	46.6%	−0.03	1	5	17%
Foegele·Stützle·Batherson	6:40	11	4	10	28.6%	2	4	0	0	0.03	0.46	6.8%	−0.42	2	0	100%
Zetterlund·Eklund·Cozens	6:14	9	1	3	25.0%	1	2	0	0	0.07	0.11	41.4%	−0.03	1	0	100%
Cousins·Halliday·Hodgson	4:01	6	0	11	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.36	0.0%	−0.36	1	0	100%
Foegele·Stützle·Amadio	2:50	5	4	2	66.7%	1	2	1	0	0.56	0.31	64.0%	+0.24	0	0	—
Stützle·Amadio·Giroux	1:57	6	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	1	1	50%
Eklund·Cozens·Batherson	1:22	6	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	1	0	100%
Occasional · 7 groups
Eklund·Halliday·Batherson	0:41	1	4	0	100.0%	3	0	0	0	1.17	0.00	100.0%	+1.17	0	0	—
Pinto·Cousins·Batherson	0:40	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Cozens·Batherson·Giroux	0:40	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.0%	−0.00	0	0	—
Eklund·Cozens·Giroux	0:37	2	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.19	0.0%	−0.19	0	0	—
Eklund·Pinto·Batherson	0:33	3	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Cousins·Cozens·Hodgson	0:31	1	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.10	0.0%	−0.10	0	0	—
Zetterlund·Pinto·Giroux	0:30	1	2	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.09	0.00	100.0%	+0.09	0	1	0%
OTT 5v5	42:24		31	50	38.3%	17	24	2	1	2.85	1.99	58.8%	+0.86

Goalies

Linus Ullmark

OTT · 60:00

Saves: 27/29
SV%: .931
xGA: 3.19
GSAx: +1.19

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	24/25	.960	2.26	+1.26
Power play	2/3	.667	0.93	−0.07
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.00	+0.00
High danger	3/3	1.000	1.15	+1.15

Sergei Bobrovsky

TOR · 58:50

Saves: 26/29
SV%: .897
xGA: 4.27
GSAx: +1.27

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/21	.857	3.00	+0.00
Power play	7/7	1.000	1.27	+1.27
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.00	+0.00
High danger	4/5	.800	2.43	+1.43

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Ottawa Senators

Minutes

27:06Chabot
22:30Spence
21:43Kleven
18:48Matinpalo
17:50Yakemchuk
4:29Sanderson

22:51Stützle
20:27Pinto
19:13Amadio
18:17Giroux
18:02Batherson
16:17Cozens
16:16Eklund
13:01Foegele
12:06Zetterlund
10:07Halliday
7:21Cousins
5:10Hodgson

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareOTTTOR

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

YakemchukD0 O6
ChabotD4 O4
SandersonD0 O0
SpenceD4 O1
KlevenD7 O0
MatinpaloD9 O0
CozensD0 O6
FoegeleD0 O3
BathersonD1 O4
EklundD1 O4
HodgsonD0 O1
CousinsD0 O0
ZetterlundD2 O2
StützleD5 O5
HallidayD1 O1
AmadioD8 O3
PintoD9 O2
GirouxD12 O3

Shift starts · darker = later period