ANA @ NYI 2–3 · 2026-10-20

AnaheimANADucks2

FinalOct 202026-10-20

Team	1	2	3	SOG
ANA	1	0	1	17
NYI	3	0	0	25

UBS Arena

New YorkNYIIslanders3

CallNo lean · 59% NYI

Star 1S. Holmstrom1G 0A
Star 2O. Palat1G 0A
Star 3V. Eklund1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

+130Moneyline-155+1.5 -192Puck line-1.5 +160O -130Total 5.5U +110+185RegulationTie +310 +105+1101st period-145+2151st · 3-wayTie +173 +158

Season odds

37%19%−17.9Playoffs13%22%+9.20.2%0.2%±0.0Cup0.1%0.2%+0.1

Story

– / 13

Result NYI 3–2Call No lean · NYI 59%Market NYI 59%xG 1.81–5.00 · deserved NYI 91%Swing Palat +17 1st 13:39Method

Goals and penalties with NYI win probability
Time	Event	NYI win before	NYI win after
1st 13:39	Goal NYI · O. Palat	58%	75%
1st 16:28	Goal NYI · V. Eklund	75%	87%
1st 17:18	Goal ANA · F. Vatrano	88%	75%
1st 17:59	ANA penalty · B. Sennecke · hooking · 2 min
1st 18:44	Goal NYI · S. Holmstrom (PP)	75%	88%
1st 19:28	NYI penalty · O. Palat · slashing · 2 min
2nd 0:31	ANA penalty · B. Sennecke · hooking · 2 min
2nd 9:13	ANA penalty · A. Greer · fighting · 5 min
2nd 9:13	NYI penalty · M. Chaffee · fighting · 5 min
2nd 18:48	ANA penalty · J. LaCombe · slashing · 2 min
3rd 8:59	ANA penalty · R. McQueen · tripping · 2 min
3rd 10:06	NYI penalty · M. Chaffee · too many men on the ice · 2 min
3rd 17:20	Goal ANA · A. Killorn	99%	95%

On ice · final horn

ANA6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
64M. GranlundC	1:55	20:35	23	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	1	11-10
91L. CarlssonC	2:06	20:44	23	0	2	2	2	4	0	0	1	4-6
17A. KillornL	1:49	15:45	19	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0-1
61C. GauthierL	2:03	17:28	23	0	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	1-0
45B. SenneckeR	2:07	24:44	22	0	0	0	3	7	4	1	2	–
2J. LaCombeD	2:01	27:55	31	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	2	–

NYI5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
14B. HorvatC	1:28	21:35	24	0	1	1	3	9	0	1	0	11-6
44J. PageauC	1:26	17:16	23	0	1	1	1	3	0	3	1	11-10
92S. HolmstromR	1:24	20:11	24	1	0	1	3	5	0	1	1	–
8L. StanleyD	2:07	20:00	21	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	–
48M. SchaeferD	2:07	26:20	24	0	1	1	1	5	0	0	0	–
30I. SorokinG		60:00	SA17GA2SV%.882xGA1.81GSAx−0.19

Goals

1st
Ondrej Palat(1)
J. Pageau (1), A. Duclair (1)
xG 0.15wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 NYI1st 13:39+16.975%
Victor Eklund(1)
B. Schenn (1), E. Heineman (1)
xG 0.33backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 NYI1st 16:28+12.587%
Frank Vatrano(1)
A. Greer (1), L. Carlsson (1)
xG 0.12backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 NYI1st 17:18+12.625%
Simon Holmstrom(1)PP
M. Schaefer (1), B. Horvat (1)
xG 0.11tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 NYI1st 18:44+12.688%
3rd
Alex Killorn(1)6v5
L. Carlsson (2), J. LaCombe (1)
xG 0.16wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 NYI3rd 17:20+4.55%

Shots

Shooters

ANA1.81 xG31 unblocked · 18 blocked31 unblocked · 18 blocked

NYI5.00 xG53 unblocked · 24 blocked53 unblocked · 24 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

ANANYI2Goals31.81xG5.0017Shots2531Unblocked5349Attempts771High danger80/2Power play1/421Faceoffs3122Hits1924Blocks185Takeaways213Giveaways1413PIM9

Skaters

Player

Player
2J. LaCombeJackson LaCombeD	27:55	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	2	0	2	—	2	+1
45B. SenneckeBeckett SenneckeR	24:44	0	0	0	3	7	0.30	−0.30	1	1	1	1	—	4	+1
55T. HindsTyson HindsD	22:43	0	0	0	2	2	0.09	−0.09	1	4	0	0	—	0	-1
91L. CarlssonLeo CarlssonC	20:44	0	2	2	2	4	0.17	−0.17	0	0	2	1	40%	0	+1
64M. GranlundMikael GranlundC	20:35	0	0	0	1	6	0.25	−0.25	0	1	1	2	52%	0	0
67T. LuneauTristan LuneauD	20:09	0	0	0	2	7	0.13	−0.13	0	2	0	0	—	0	0
14D. HellesonDrew HellesonD	19:25	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	−0.06	3	3	0	0	—	0	+1
61C. GauthierCutter GauthierL	17:28	0	0	0	2	7	0.20	−0.20	1	0	0	1	100%	0	0
17A. KillornAlex KillornL	15:45	1	0	1	1	2	0.19	+0.81	0	0	1	0	0%	0	0
47N. WarrenNoah WarrenD	15:36	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	4	3	0	0	—	0	-1
42T. WasheTim WasheC	14:35	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	5	1	0	0	42%	0	0
18A. GreerA.J. GreerL	12:09	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	1	—	5	+1
39J. MalottJeff MalottL	11:41	0	0	0	1	3	0.13	−0.13	0	2	0	0	—	0	0
12S. ColangeloSam ColangeloR	10:43	0	0	0	1	2	0.09	−0.09	1	0	0	2	—	0	-1
13N. NesterenkoNikita NesterenkoC	10:35	0	0	0	1	1	0.07	−0.07	1	1	0	1	—	0	-1
95R. McQueenRoger McQueenC	10:31	0	0	0	0	3	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	1	0%	2	-1
98P. MintyukovPavel MintyukovD	10:26	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	3	0	0	—	0	0
77F. VatranoFrank VatranoR	10:12	1	0	1	1	1	0.12	+0.88	1	0	0	0	0%	0	+1
ANA total		2	4	6	17	49	1.81	+0.19	22	24	5	12	40%	13

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Vatrano+0.48

Greer+0.32

Killorn+0.26

Carlsson+0.17

Malott−0.24

Nesterenko−0.31

Colangelo−0.36

Washe−0.42

Gauthier−0.47

McQueen−0.54

Granlund−0.73

Sennecke−0.96

Defence

Hinds−0.01

Luneau−0.01

Warren−0.09

Mintyukov−0.15

Helleson−0.22

LaCombe−0.51

Goalie

Dostal+2.03

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Malott·Granlund·Sennecke	7:32	11	11	12	47.8%	4	0	0	0	0.35	1.09	24.1%	−0.74	0	5	0%
Greer·Washe·Vatrano	6:02	10	0	10	0.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.19	0.0%	−0.19	0	3	0%
Killorn·McQueen·Colangelo	5:53	8	6	7	46.2%	1	4	0	1	0.11	0.58	16.4%	−0.47	0	1	0%
Gauthier·Nesterenko·Carlsson	4:49	10	3	5	37.5%	2	4	0	1	0.10	0.29	26.1%	−0.19	1	0	100%
Occasional · 18 groups
Gauthier·Carlsson·Sennecke	2:29	5	7	1	87.5%	2	0	0	0	0.28	0.00	100.0%	+0.28	1	0	100%
Killorn·Granlund·Sennecke	1:35	3	1	3	25.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.14	0.0%	−0.14	1	1	50%
Nesterenko·Carlsson·Sennecke	1:32	6	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.06	16.4%	−0.05	0	0	—
Greer·Malott·Washe	1:12	2	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Gauthier·Carlsson·Colangelo	1:09	1	2	2	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.01	0.28	2.1%	−0.27	1	0	100%
Greer·Granlund·Sennecke	1:09	2	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	1	0%
Greer·Carlsson·Vatrano	1:01	3	2	0	100.0%	1	0	1	0	0.12	0.00	100.0%	+0.12	0	0	—
Washe·Sennecke·Vatrano	0:58	2	1	2	33.3%	1	2	0	0	0.03	0.21	12.7%	−0.18	0	0	—
Gauthier·Carlsson·McQueen	0:55	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Malott·McQueen·Colangelo	0:51	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	1	0%
Nesterenko·Granlund·Sennecke	0:45	4	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.20	0.0%	−0.20	1	0	100%
Nesterenko·Colangelo·Vatrano	0:45	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Killorn·Gauthier·Carlsson	0:43	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.0%	−0.00	0	0	—
Granlund·McQueen·Sennecke	0:41	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Gauthier·Granlund·Sennecke	0:37	1	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.22	0.0%	−0.22	0	0	—
Killorn·Washe·Colangelo	0:35	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Malott·Gauthier·Carlsson	0:34	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.12	0.00	100.0%	+0.12	0	0	—
Greer·Carlsson·Sennecke	0:34	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Other 34 brief groups	6:03		4	11	26.7%	2	2	0	0	0.22	0.61	26.8%	−0.38
ANA 5v5	48:24		45	62	42.1%	15	20	1	2	1.37	3.90	26.0%	−2.52

Goalies

Lukas Dostal

ANA · 57:19

Saves: 22/25
SV%: .880
GAA: 3.14
xGA: 5.00
GSAx: +2.00

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/20	.900	3.90	+1.90
Power play	4/5	.800	0.97	−0.03
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.13	+0.13
High danger	1/3	.333	2.06	+0.06

Ilya Sorokin

NYI · 60:00

Saves: 15/17
SV%: .882
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 1.81
GSAx: −0.19

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/17	.882	1.81	−0.19
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/1	.000	0.16	−0.84

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Anaheim Ducks

Minutes

27:55LaCombe
22:43Hinds
20:09Luneau
19:25Helleson
15:36Warren
10:26Mintyukov

24:44Sennecke
20:44Carlsson
20:35Granlund
17:28Gauthier
15:45Killorn
14:35Washe
12:09Greer
11:41Malott
10:43Colangelo
10:35Nesterenko
10:31McQueen
10:12Vatrano

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareANANYIGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

21–3140%

D 30%7–16N 53%9–8O 42%5–7 6 won into a shot

NYI attacks716ANA DZ 30% NYI OZ

Neutral98ANA NZ 53% NYI NZ

ANA attacks57ANA OZ 42% NYI DZ

31–2160%

D 58%7–5N 47%8–9O 70%16–7 7 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MintyukovD2 O1
LaCombeD7 O5
LuneauD4 O2
WarrenD4 O1
HellesonD6 O1
HindsD5 O0
GauthierD1 O4
CarlssonD1 O3
NesterenkoD1 O2
ColangeloD2 O1
McQueenD2 O0
GranlundD6 O3
VatranoD3 O0
GreerD4 O1
KillornD6 O2
SenneckeD5 O1
WasheD6 O0
MalottD7 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period