SJS @ MTL 4–3 · 2026-10-20

San JoseSJSSharks4

Final/OTOct 202026-10-20

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
SJS	1	0	2	1	30
MTL	1	2	0	0	34

Centre Bell

MontréalMTLCanadiens3

CallNo lean · 66% MTL

Star 1M. Celebrini2G 1A
Star 2J. Slafkovský1G 1A
Star 3W. Smith0G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

+185Moneyline-225+1.5 -130Puck line-1.5 +110O -122Total 6.5U +102+255RegulationTie +350 -135+1351st period-180+2351st · 3-wayTie +190 +133

Season odds

20%19%−1.0Playoffs50%44%−5.20.1%0.0%−0.1Cup1.6%1.3%−0.3

Story

– / 18

Result SJS 4–3 OTCall No lean · MTL 66%Market MTL 67%xG 3.06–3.25 · deserved MTL 53%Swing Celebrini +56 OT 2:13Method

Goals and penalties with MTL win probability
Time	Event	MTL win before	MTL win after
1st 10:45	SJS penalty · T. Dellandrea · holding the stick · 2 min
1st 13:49	Goal SJS · M. Celebrini	64%	46%
1st 16:38	Goal MTL · N. Suzuki	45%	64%
1st 17:22	SJS penalty · M. Misa · holding · 2 min
2nd 1:49	Goal MTL · J. Slafkovský	63%	80%
2nd 11:57	MTL penalty · J. Slafkovský · roughing · 2 min
2nd 11:57	SJS penalty · B. Goodrow · roughing · 2 min
2nd 11:57	MTL penalty · K. Guhle · roughing · 2 min
2nd 11:57	SJS penalty · Z. Ostapchuk · roughing · 2 min
2nd 14:03	Goal MTL · C. Caufield	82%	93%
2nd 17:27	MTL penalty · A. Texier · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 5:36	Goal SJS · M. Misa	96%	85%
3rd 9:33	MTL penalty · A. Xhekaj · unsportsmanlike conduct · 2 min
3rd 9:33	SJS penalty · M. Kesselring · roughing · 2 min
3rd 9:33	MTL penalty · A. Xhekaj · roughing · 2 min
3rd 11:09	Goal SJS · T. Toffoli (PP)	89%	58%
OT 1:53	MTL penalty · J. Dobes · interference · 2 min
OT 2:13	Goal SJS · M. Celebrini (PP)	56%	0%

On ice · final horn

SJS4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
2W. SmithC	0:54	18:50	21	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	–
71M. CelebriniC	0:20	23:07	24	1	1	2	5	6	0	1	2	8-15
27M. MarchmentL	0:20	15:06	18	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	1	0-1
41I. StenbergL	0:20	17:44	21	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	2	1-0
33A. NedeljkovicG		62:13	SA34GA3SV%.912xGA3.25GSAx+0.25

MTL3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71J. EvansC	0:20	13:59	19	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	3-6
21K. GuhleD	0:20	22:51	26	0	0	0	3	6	2	2	0	–
45A. CarrierD	0:20	22:13	25	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	–
75J. DobesG		62:02	SA29GA3SV%.897xGA2.96GSAx−0.04

Goals

1st
Macklin Celebrini(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.19snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 SJS1st 13:49+18.154%
Nick Suzuki(1)
J. Slafkovský (1), L. Hutson (1)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 16:38+18.864%
2nd
Juraj Slafkovský(1)
C. Caufield (1)
xG 0.24snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 MTL2nd 01:49+17.080%
Cole Caufield(1)
N. Suzuki (1), P. Danault (1)
xG 0.33snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 MTL2nd 14:03+11.793%
3rd
Michael Misa(1)
K. Sherwood (1)
xG 0.23snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 MTL3rd 05:36+11.015%
Tyler Toffoli(1)PP
M. Celebrini (1), J. Trouba (1)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 11:09+30.942%
OT
Macklin Celebrini(2)PP
I. Stenberg (1), W. Smith (1)
xG 0.10snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 SJSOT 02:13+56.2100%

Shots

Shooters

SJS3.06 xG40 unblocked · 10 blocked40 unblocked · 10 blocked

MTL3.25 xG56 unblocked · 21 blocked56 unblocked · 21 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

SJSMTL4Goals33.06xG3.2530Shots3440Unblocked5650Attempts778High danger52/3Power play0/232Faceoffs3022Hits1521Blocks104Takeaways521Giveaways1710PIM12

Skaters

Player

Player
65J. TroubaJacob TroubaD	23:08	0	1	1	1	2	0.01	−0.01	5	4	0	7	—	0	-1
71M. CelebriniMacklin CelebriniC	23:07	2	1	3	6	7	0.61	+1.39	1	1	2	3	35%	0	-1
7M. KesselringMichael KesselringD	20:31	0	0	0	1	4	0.20	−0.20	0	0	0	1	—	2	-1
25D. NurseDarnell NurseD	20:20	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	2	1	0	—	0	0
6S. DickinsonSam DickinsonD	20:15	0	0	0	0	4	0.01	−0.01	1	2	1	1	—	0	-1
2W. SmithWill SmithC	18:50	0	1	1	1	3	0.22	−0.22	0	0	0	1	—	0	-1
41I. StenbergIvar StenbergL	17:44	0	1	1	3	4	0.28	−0.28	0	2	0	0	100%	0	0
9D. OrlovDmitry OrlovD	17:33	0	0	0	2	2	0.01	−0.01	0	2	0	1	—	0	+1
92I. ChernyshovIgor ChernyshovL	17:02	0	0	0	1	2	0.01	−0.01	0	1	0	1	—	0	-1
5N. AllanNolan AllanD	16:52	0	0	0	2	2	0.02	−0.02	2	0	0	4	—	0	0
44K. SherwoodKiefer SherwoodL	16:14	0	1	1	2	3	0.04	−0.04	7	1	0	0	0%	0	0
51C. GrafCollin GrafR	15:50	0	0	0	3	5	0.41	−0.41	0	3	0	0	67%	0	0
27M. MarchmentMason MarchmentL	15:06	0	0	0	2	3	0.38	−0.38	1	1	0	0	0%	0	0
77M. MisaMichael MisaC	14:09	1	0	1	3	4	0.54	+0.46	0	0	0	1	36%	2	0
73T. ToffoliTyler ToffoliC	12:18	1	0	1	1	2	0.17	+0.83	0	1	0	0	100%	0	0
10T. DellandreaTy DellandreaC	11:37	0	0	0	1	1	0.06	−0.06	2	1	0	0	75%	2	0
23B. GoodrowBarclay GoodrowC	11:32	0	0	0	1	2	0.09	−0.09	0	0	0	0	—	2	0
63Z. OstapchukZack OstapchukC	10:51	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	0	80%	2	0
SJS total		4	5	9	30	50	3.06	+0.94	22	21	4	20	52%	10

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Celebrini+1.73

Toffoli+0.52

Stenberg+0.50

Sherwood+0.28

Misa+0.17

Graf+0.11

Ostapchuk−0.18

Chernyshov−0.21

Smith−0.23

Marchment−0.24

Goodrow−0.24

Dellandrea−0.37

Defence

Nurse+0.17

Trouba+0.12

Orlov+0.08

Kesselring0.00

Dickinson−0.15

Allan−0.20

Goalie

Nedeljkovic+0.27

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Chernyshov·Smith·Celebrini	14:04	19	11	15	42.3%	7	7	1	2	0.86	0.71	55.0%	+0.16	2	4	33%
Stenberg·Sherwood·Misa	11:54	17	14	22	38.9%	10	13	1	1	0.72	1.22	37.1%	−0.50	1	2	33%
Marchment·Toffoli·Graf	10:28	15	10	17	37.0%	4	5	0	0	0.66	0.56	54.0%	+0.10	2	1	67%
Dellandrea·Goodrow·Ostapchuk	8:15	13	6	14	30.0%	3	6	0	0	0.17	0.39	30.2%	−0.22	0	6	0%
Occasional · 4 groups
Chernyshov·Dellandrea·Celebrini	0:46	4	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Stenberg·Sherwood·Celebrini	0:41	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.06	0.00	100.0%	+0.06	0	0	—
Celebrini·Misa·Graf	0:38	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Dellandrea·Goodrow·Graf	0:32	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Other 35 brief groups	4:55		2	1	66.7%	1	1	0	0	0.01	0.04	18.0%	−0.03
SJS 5v5	52:13		44	72	37.9%	25	32	2	3	2.48	2.92	45.9%	−0.44

Goalies

Alex Nedeljkovic

SJS · 62:13

Saves: 31/34
SV%: .912
GAA: 2.89
xGA: 3.25
GSAx: +0.25

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	29/32	.906	2.92	−0.08
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.15	+0.15
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.18	+0.18
High danger	0/3	.000	1.06	−1.94

Jakub Dobes

MTL · 62:02

Saves: 26/30
SV%: .867
GAA: 3.87
xGA: 3.06
GSAx: −0.94

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	24/26	.923	2.66	+0.66
Power play	1/3	.333	0.40	−1.60
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.00	+0.00
High danger	4/7	.571	1.54	−1.46

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

San Jose Sharks

Minutes

23:08Trouba
20:31Kesselring
20:20Nurse
20:15Dickinson
17:33Orlov
16:52Allan

23:07Celebrini
18:50Smith
17:44Stenberg
17:02Chernyshov
16:14Sherwood
15:50Graf
15:06Marchment
14:09Misa
12:18Toffoli
11:37Dellandrea
11:32Goodrow
10:51Ostapchuk

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareSJSMTLGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

32–3052%

D 52%15–14N 44%8–10O 60%9–6 6 won into a shot

MTL attacks1514SJS DZ 52% MTL OZ

Neutral810SJS NZ 44% MTL NZ

SJS attacks96SJS OZ 60% MTL DZ

30–3248%

D 40%6–9N 56%10–8O 48%14–15 10 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

OrlovD3 O2
KesselringD3 O1
AllanD3 O1
NurseD4 O1
TroubaD8 O3
DickinsonD7 O2
MarchmentD1 O5
ToffoliD1 O3
CelebriniD3 O5
SmithD3 O4
SherwoodD2 O2
GrafD2 O2
MisaD2 O2
StenbergD2 O2
ChernyshovD4 O3
GoodrowD7 O0
OstapchukD7 O0
DellandreaD8 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period