MIN @ EDM 3–4 · 2026-10-20

MinnesotaMINWild3

Final/OTOct 202026-10-20

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
MIN	1	0	2	0	30
EDM	1	2	0	1	32

Rogers Place

EdmontonEDMOilers4

CallNo lean · 55% EDM

Star 1E. Bouchard1G 1A
Star 2K. Kaprizov1G 1A
Star 3L. Draisaitl2G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

+114Moneyline-135+1.5 -225Puck line-1.5 +185O +100Total 6.5U -120+160RegulationTie +310 +120+1001st period-130+1901st · 3-wayTie +185 +159

Season odds

94%94%−0.2Playoffs98%98%+0.45.5%5.3%−0.2Cup8.2%7.0%−1.2

Story

– / 15

Result EDM 4–3 OTCall No lean · EDM 55%Market EDM 56%xG 4.42–4.29 · deserved MIN 52%Swing Bouchard +48 OT 3:32Method

Goals and penalties with EDM win probability
Time	Event	EDM win before	EDM win after
1st 3:32	Goal MIN · J. Eriksson Ek	55%	38%
1st 18:37	MIN penalty · D. Spacek · interference · 2 min
1st 19:33	MIN penalty · M. Boldy · hooking · 2 min
1st 19:57	Goal EDM · L. Draisaitl (PP)	35%	54%
2nd 1:03	Goal EDM · L. Draisaitl (PP)	54%	72%
2nd 3:58	MIN penalty · R. Hartman · tripping · 2 min
2nd 6:01	Goal EDM · M. Joseph	73%	87%
2nd 8:26	EDM penalty · M. Joseph · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 9:42	EDM penalty · C. Murphy · tripping · 2 min
2nd 15:39	MIN penalty · J. Brodin · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 0:51	EDM penalty · M. Ekholm · interference · 2 min
3rd 10:30	Goal MIN · K. Kaprizov	97%	85%
3rd 13:07	Goal MIN · R. Hartman	88%	52%
OT 1:59	MIN penalty · B. Brink · too many men on the ice · 2 min
OT 3:32	Goal EDM · E. Bouchard (PP)	52%	100%

On ice · final horn

MIN3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
14J. Eriksson EkC	0:39	22:45	25	1	0	1	8	11	0	0	1	13-15
24Z. BogosianD	1:33	21:16	28	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	–
25J. BrodinD	0:10	28:13	33	0	1	1	3	5	2	0	1	–
30J. WallstedtG		63:32	SA31GA3SV%.903xGA4.16GSAx+1.16

EDM4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
29L. DraisaitlC	1:33	24:06	29	2	0	2	4	7	0	0	0	11-9
97C. McDavidC	1:33	25:31	29	0	2	2	4	6	0	2	1	6-4
18Z. HymanL	1:33	23:07	27	0	0	0	3	6	0	2	0	–
2E. BouchardD	1:33	28:17	31	0	1	1	2	8	0	0	0	–
27D. LeviG		63:28	SA30GA3SV%.900xGA4.42GSAx+1.42

Goals

1st
Joel Eriksson Ek(1)
K. Kaprizov (1), M. Boldy (1)
xG 0.26snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 MIN1st 03:32+16.262%
Leon Draisaitl(1)PP
C. McDavid (1), E. Bouchard (1)
xG 0.11snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 19:57+19.154%
2nd
Leon Draisaitl(2)PP
C. McDavid (2), V. Podkolzin (1)
xG 0.23snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 EDM2nd 01:03+18.572%
Mathieu Joseph(1)
A. Formenton (1), O. Michaels (1)
xG 0.32backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 EDM2nd 06:01+14.087%
3rd
Kirill Kaprizov(1)
M. Boldy (2), J. Brodin (1)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 EDM3rd 10:30+12.015%
Ryan Hartman(1)
B. Brink (1), Q. Hughes (1)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 13:07+35.748%
OT
Evan Bouchard(1)PP
C. McDavid (3)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 EDMOT 03:32+48.1100%

Shots

Shooters

MIN4.42 xG45 unblocked · 14 blocked45 unblocked · 14 blocked

EDM4.29 xG46 unblocked · 10 blocked46 unblocked · 10 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

MINEDM3Goals44.42xG4.2930Shots3245Unblocked4659Attempts5614High danger100/3Power play3/537Faceoffs3018Hits1810Blocks142Takeaways220Giveaways1610PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
43Q. HughesQuinn HughesD	31:18	0	1	1	3	9	0.28	−0.28	0	0	0	0	—	0	+3
25J. BrodinJonas BrodinD	28:13	0	1	1	3	5	0.09	−0.09	0	1	0	4	—	2	+2
14J. Eriksson EkJoel Eriksson EkC	22:45	1	0	1	8	11	1.65	−0.65	0	0	0	1	46%	0	0
12M. BoldyMatt BoldyL	22:31	0	2	2	3	7	0.92	−0.92	1	0	1	2	0%	2	+1
97K. KaprizovKirill KaprizovL	21:49	1	1	2	3	6	0.62	+0.38	0	0	0	2	—	0	+2
24Z. BogosianZach BogosianD	21:16	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	0	1	0	2	—	0	-1
48D. HuntDaemon HuntD	18:02	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	1	—	0	0
20B. ColemanBlake ColemanL	17:36	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	−0.13	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
22D. YurovDanila YurovR	14:55	0	0	0	0	3	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	70%	0	+1
49M. ShabanovMaxim ShabanovR	14:26	0	0	0	1	2	0.00	−0.00	1	1	0	2	—	0	0
13Y. TreninYakov TreninC	14:17	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	6	2	0	1	0%	0	0
10B. BrinkBobby BrinkR	13:44	0	1	1	1	1	0.03	−0.03	0	1	0	0	100%	0	+1
47M. McCarronMichael McCarronC	13:36	0	0	0	5	5	0.12	−0.12	3	0	0	2	60%	0	0
38R. HartmanRyan HartmanR	12:29	1	0	1	1	4	0.30	+0.70	2	0	0	0	69%	2	0
26M. KierstedMatt KierstedD	10:54	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	−0.07	2	2	1	1	—	0	0
82D. SpacekDavid SpacekD	10:29	0	0	0	1	1	0.10	−0.10	0	1	0	0	—	2	0
78N. SturmNico SturmC	10:10	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	−0.09	0	0	0	0	33%	0	0
19T. PitlickTyler PitlickC	5:16	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	0	0	0	—	0	0
MIN total		3	6	9	30	59	4.42	−1.42	18	10	2	19	55%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Kaprizov+1.39

Eriksson Ek+1.07

Boldy+0.55

Hartman+0.39

Brink+0.14

Trenin−0.20

Pitlick−0.24

Shabanov−0.25

Yurov−0.30

Sturm−0.31

McCarron−0.40

Coleman−0.40

Defence

Hughes+0.45

Kiersted−0.04

Brodin−0.04

Spacek−0.16

Hunt−0.35

Bogosian−0.56

Goalie

Wallstedt+0.32

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Boldy·Kaprizov·Eriksson Ek	14:55	18	28	8	77.8%	15	5	1	0	2.79	0.69	80.1%	+2.10	6	4	60%
Coleman·Brink·Hartman	9:43	15	4	10	28.6%	2	4	1	0	0.21	0.41	33.4%	−0.21	1	3	25%
Trenin·Yurov·Shabanov	8:12	10	6	8	42.9%	2	4	0	0	0.10	0.36	22.6%	−0.25	1	1	50%
Pitlick·McCarron·Sturm	4:57	7	2	7	22.2%	2	6	0	0	0.02	0.68	2.3%	−0.66	0	1	0%
Trenin·McCarron·Sturm	2:50	3	3	1	75.0%	2	1	0	0	0.12	0.01	94.6%	+0.11	0	0	—
Occasional · 5 groups
Boldy·Trenin·Yurov	0:46	2	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.0%	−0.00	0	0	—
Kaprizov·Yurov·Shabanov	0:43	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Coleman·Yurov·Shabanov	0:39	1	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Boldy·Kaprizov·Yurov	0:14	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	1	0	0.16	0.00	100.0%	+0.16	0	0	—
Boldy·Eriksson Ek·Hartman	0:03	1	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	1	0.00	0.48	0.0%	−0.48	0	0	—
Other 35 brief groups	5:12		5	5	50.0%	4	2	0	0	0.17	0.15	53.0%	+0.02
MIN 5v5	48:14		50	44	53.2%	28	24	3	1	3.57	2.82	55.8%	+0.74

Goalies

Jesper Wallstedt

MIN · 63:32

Saves: 28/32
SV%: .875
GAA: 3.78
xGA: 4.29
GSAx: +0.29

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/24	.958	2.82	+1.82
Power play	5/8	.625	1.46	−1.54
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	5/7	.714	2.02	+0.02

Devon Levi

EDM · 63:28

Saves: 27/30
SV%: .900
GAA: 2.84
xGA: 4.42
GSAx: +1.42

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	25/28	.893	3.57	+0.57
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.86	+0.86
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	10/13	.769	2.91	−0.09

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Minnesota Wild

Minutes

31:18Hughes
28:13Brodin
21:16Bogosian
18:02Hunt
10:54Kiersted
10:29Spacek

22:45Eriksson Ek
22:31Boldy
21:49Kaprizov
17:36Coleman
14:55Yurov
14:26Shabanov
14:17Trenin
13:44Brink
13:36McCarron
12:29Hartman
10:10Sturm
5:16Pitlick

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareMINEDMGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

37–3055%

D 61%19–12N 53%10–9O 47%8–9 4 won into a shot

EDM attacks1912MIN DZ 61% EDM OZ

Neutral109MIN NZ 53% EDM NZ

MIN attacks89MIN OZ 47% EDM DZ

30–3745%

D 53%9–8N 47%9–10O 39%12–19 6 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

SpacekD1 O2
HuntD2 O1
KierstedD1 O0
HughesD8 O5
BogosianD6 O1
BrodinD11 O4
KaprizovD3 O7
Eriksson EkD3 O6
BoldyD3 O6
YurovD1 O3
ShabanovD1 O3
HartmanD2 O2
PitlickD1 O0
TreninD2 O1
BrinkD3 O2
SturmD2 O0
ColemanD5 O2
McCarronD5 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period