DET @ SEA 3–4 · 2026-10-20

DetroitDETRed Wings3

Final/SOOct 202026-10-20

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
DET	0	0	3	0	24
SEA	1	2	0	0	27

Climate Pledge Arena

SeattleSEAKraken4

CallNo lean · 52% SEA

Star 1B. McMann0G 0A
Star 2B. Montour1G 0A
Star 3M. Samoskevich1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

-122Moneyline+102-1.5 +210Puck line+1.5 -258O -105Total 6.5U -115+135RegulationTie +310 +140-1201st period-110+1731st · 3-wayTie +185 +176

Season odds

11%11%−0.7Playoffs31%41%+10.20.1%0.2%+0.1Cup0.1%0.2%+0.1

Story

– / 14

Result SEA 4–3 SOCall No lean · SEA 52%Market DET 53%xG 2.47–2.76 · deserved SEA 55%Swing DeBrincat +48 3rd 19:43Method

Goals and penalties with SEA win probability
Time	Event	SEA win before	SEA win after
1st 6:45	Goal SEA · M. Samoskevich	52%	69%
1st 7:03	SEA penalty · S. Wright · hooking · 2 min
1st 14:43	DET penalty · B. Chiarot · slashing · 2 min
2nd 0:34	DET penalty · C. Mazur · too many men on the ice · 2 min
2nd 1:37	DET penalty · A. Sandin-Pellikka · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
2nd 3:22	Goal SEA · R. Evans (PP)	71%	86%
2nd 16:01	Goal SEA · B. Montour	90%	97%
3rd 6:25	Goal DET · V. Arvidsson	99%	95%
3rd 7:01	SEA penalty · R. Evans · interference · 2 min
3rd 7:24	Goal DET · L. Raymond (PP)	95%	82%
3rd 11:43	SEA penalty · R. Winterton · slashing · 2 min
3rd 18:35	SEA penalty · C. Stephenson · roughing · 2 min
3rd 19:43	Goal DET · A. DeBrincat (PP)	99%	51%
2OT 0:00	DET penalty · L. Raymond · cross checking · 2 min

On ice · final horn

DET3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
23L. RaymondL	1:18	24:08	27	1	1	2	4	9	0	0	0	–
93A. DeBrincatR	0:31	23:49	28	1	1	2	5	13	0	0	1	–
53M. SeiderD	0:35	28:28	27	0	0	0	2	6	0	2	2	–
80D. TarasovG		62:58	SA27GA3SV%.889xGA2.76GSAx−0.24

SEA3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
10M. BeniersC	0:56	17:38	23	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	2	7-4
19J. McCannL	0:17	17:05	21	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	2	–
62B. MontourD	2:11	30:44	29	1	0	1	3	6	0	1	1	–
31P. GrubauerG		64:48	SA24GA3SV%.875xGA2.47GSAx−0.53

Goals

1st
Mackie Samoskevich(1)
C. Stephenson (1)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 SEA1st 06:45+16.469%
2nd
Ryker Evans(1)PP
Unassisted
xG 0.17wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 SEA2nd 03:22+14.586%
Brandon Montour(1)
B. Catton (1)
xG 0.09snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–3 SEA2nd 16:01+6.797%
3rd
Viktor Arvidsson(1)
E. Finnie (1), A. Johansson (1)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 SEA3rd 06:25+4.15%
Lucas Raymond(1)PP
A. DeBrincat (1), D. Larkin (1)
xG 0.14wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 SEA3rd 07:24+13.618%
Alex DeBrincat(1)PP6v4
D. Larkin (2), L. Raymond (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 19:43+48.449%

Shootout

DET

1–2

SEAWins

4 rounds · sudden death · SEA first

DET shootersGrubauer 3/4 SV

L. RaymondSavewristSave
Rd 10–0
M. BeniersSavewristSave
A. DeBrincatSavewristSave
Rd 20–0
B. CattonSavewristSave
V. ArvidssonGoalwristGoal
Rd 31–1
F. GaudreauGoalwristGoal
D. LarkinSavewristSave
Rd 41–2
B. McMannWinnerwristGoalWinnerClip(opens nhl.com)

SEA shootersTarasov 2/4 SV

Shots

Shooters

DET2.47 xG52 unblocked · 22 blocked52 unblocked · 22 blocked

SEA2.76 xG37 unblocked · 17 blocked37 unblocked · 17 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

DETSEA3Goals32.47xG2.7624Shots2752Unblocked3774Attempts543High danger62/4Power play1/330Faceoffs3424Hits1317Blocks228Takeaways617Giveaways158PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
53M. SeiderMoritz SeiderD	28:28	0	0	0	2	6	0.02	−0.02	2	2	0	3	—	0	-1
23L. RaymondLucas RaymondL	24:08	1	1	2	4	9	0.58	+0.42	0	0	0	0	—	2	0
93A. DeBrincatAlex DeBrincatR	23:49	1	1	2	5	13	0.43	+0.57	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
58E. FinnieEmmitt FinnieC	23:20	0	1	1	1	2	0.17	−0.17	0	1	3	1	63%	0	+1
71D. LarkinDylan LarkinC	23:02	0	2	2	6	12	0.26	−0.26	1	1	2	3	37%	0	0
33V. ArvidssonViktor ArvidssonL	20:49	1	0	1	3	7	0.41	+0.59	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
8B. ChiarotBen ChiarotD	19:43	0	0	0	0	3	0.01	−0.01	0	2	1	0	—	2	-2
72J. FaulkJustin FaulkD	18:42	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	4	0	0	—	0	0
28M. Brandsegg-NygårdMichael Brandsegg-NygårdR	15:59	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	7	0	2	3	—	0	0
27M. RasmussenMichael RasmussenC	15:49	0	0	0	1	3	0.13	−0.13	1	1	0	2	100%	0	-2
18A. CoppAndrew CoppC	15:27	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	36%	0	-2
44A. Sandin-PellikkaAxel Sandin-PellikkaD	14:35	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	0	—	2	0
20A. JohanssonAlbert JohanssonD	13:28	0	0	0	1	3	0.06	−0.06	0	2	0	0	—	0	+1
34C. MazurCarter MazurL	13:07	0	0	0	0	5	0.27	−0.27	3	0	0	2	—	0	-2
42A. JohanssonAnton JohanssonD	12:16	0	1	1	1	4	0.05	−0.05	2	1	0	0	—	0	0
24A. EnglundAndreas EnglundD	11:26	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	2	0	0	—	0	0
55K. KolesarKeegan KolesarR	8:51	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	4	0	0	1	—	0	0
15S. DriesSheldon DriesC	8:22	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	−0.08	1	0	0	1	67%	0	0
DET total		3	6	9	24	74	2.47	+0.53	24	17	8	16	47%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

DeBrincat+1.08

Arvidsson+0.93

Raymond+0.26

Larkin+0.22

Finnie+0.06

Dries−0.13

Kolesar−0.21

Copp−0.35

Rasmussen−0.38

Brandsegg-Nygård−0.42

Mazur−0.45

Defence

Faulk+0.19

Johansson+0.08

Johansson+0.04

Englund−0.04

Sandin-Pellikka−0.20

Seider−0.25

Chiarot−0.31

Goalie

Tarasov−0.22

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Mazur·Copp·Rasmussen	10:03	18	8	13	38.1%	2	8	0	2	0.41	0.59	41.0%	−0.18	2	4	33%
Finnie·Brandsegg-Nygård·DeBrincat	9:00	14	6	5	54.5%	2	2	0	0	0.07	0.20	26.2%	−0.13	2	3	40%
Raymond·Arvidsson·Larkin	8:40	12	16	4	80.0%	5	2	0	0	0.48	0.35	57.6%	+0.13	2	2	50%
Occasional · 12 groups
Arvidsson·Finnie·DeBrincat	4:38	6	11	2	84.6%	3	1	1	0	0.29	0.01	95.8%	+0.28	1	0	100%
Raymond·Larkin·Brandsegg-Nygård	3:05	6	5	1	83.3%	3	0	0	0	0.10	0.00	100.0%	+0.10	0	1	0%
Raymond·Dries·Kolesar	1:45	3	2	1	66.7%	0	1	0	0	0.02	0.01	74.1%	+0.01	0	0	—
Dries·Kolesar·DeBrincat	1:21	3	2	1	66.7%	0	0	0	0	0.08	0.00	100.0%	+0.08	1	0	100%
Dries·Rasmussen·Kolesar	0:48	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Dries·Brandsegg-Nygård·Kolesar	0:43	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Mazur·Dries·Kolesar	0:40	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Dries·Larkin·Kolesar	0:40	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Arvidsson·Finnie·Brandsegg-Nygård	0:37	5	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.29	0.0%	−0.29	0	0	—
Copp·Rasmussen·Kolesar	0:35	4	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Raymond·Finnie·Kolesar	0:35	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Raymond·Larkin·DeBrincat	0:34	5	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.01	0.23	4.9%	−0.22	0	0	—
Other 39 brief groups	4:47		1	7	12.5%	0	5	0	0	0.01	0.26	2.4%	−0.25
DET 5v5	48:31		54	41	56.8%	16	22	1	2	1.49	1.96	43.2%	−0.47

Goalies

Daniil Tarasov

DET · 62:58

Saves: 24/27
SV%: .889
GAA: 2.86
xGA: 2.76
GSAx: −0.24

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/23	.913	2.03	+0.03
Power play	3/4	.750	0.73	−0.27
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	1.17	+0.17

Philipp Grubauer

SEA · 64:48

Saves: 21/24
SV%: .875
GAA: 2.78
xGA: 2.47
GSAx: −0.53

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/17	.941	1.73	+0.73
Power play	5/7	.714	0.74	−1.26
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.52	+0.52

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Detroit Red Wings

Minutes

28:28Seider
19:43Chiarot
18:42Faulk
14:35Sandin-Pellikka
13:28A. Johansson
12:16A. Johansson
11:26Englund

24:08Raymond
23:49DeBrincat
23:20Finnie
23:02Larkin
20:49Arvidsson
15:59Brandsegg-Nygård
15:49Rasmussen
15:27Copp
13:07Mazur
8:51Kolesar
8:22Dries

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareDETSEAGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

30–3447%

D 46%11–13N 47%8–9O 48%11–12 7 won into a shot

SEA attacks1113DET DZ 46% SEA OZ

Neutral89DET NZ 47% SEA NZ

DET attacks1112DET OZ 48% SEA DZ

34–3053%

D 52%12–11N 53%9–8O 54%13–11 6 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

FaulkD3 O3
A. JohanssonD1 O1
A. JohanssonD1 O0
EnglundD2 O0
SeiderD5 O3
Sandin-PellikkaD4 O2
ChiarotD6 O1
ArvidssonD2 O5
RaymondD2 O5
DeBrincatD3 O4
CoppD4 O4
KolesarD1 O1
LarkinD5 O4
RasmussenD5 O4
DriesD2 O1
MazurD3 O2
Brandsegg-NygårdD4 O3
FinnieD5 O3

Shift starts · darker = later period