CAR @ VAN 6–3 · 2026-10-20

CarolinaCARHurricanes6

FinalOct 202026-10-20

Team	1	2	3	SOG
CAR	2	1	3	44
VAN	2	1	0	17

Rogers Arena

VancouverVANCanucks3

CallNo lean · 22% VAN

Star 1N. Ehlers2G 1A
Star 2J. Blake0G 3A
Star 3L. Meriläinen.884 SV%

Closing linesDraftKings

-298Moneyline+240-1.5 -118Puck line+1.5 -102O -105Total 6.5U -115-165RegulationTie +380 +300-2151st period+160+1141st · 3-wayTie +190 +280

Season odds

90%93%+2.6Playoffs0.0%0.0%±0.07.7%9.9%+2.2Cup0.0%0.0%±0.0

Story

– / 16

Result CAR 6–3Call No lean · CAR 78%Market CAR 73%xG 4.57–1.62 · deserved CAR 90%Swing Deslauriers +22 3rd 4:07Method

Goals and penalties with VAN win probability
Time	Event	VAN win before	VAN win after
1st 4:44	Goal CAR · L. Stankoven	23%	12%
1st 10:10	Goal VAN · L. Karlsson	12%	24%
1st 12:09	Goal CAR · N. Ehlers	24%	12%
1st 19:05	CAR penalty · S. Gostisbehere · hooking · 2 min
1st 19:58	Goal VAN · J. Lekkerimäki (PP)	13%	26%
2nd 2:26	Goal CAR · N. Deslauriers	27%	13%
2nd 7:02	VAN penalty · L. Karlsson · hooking · 2 min
2nd 10:48	VAN penalty · M. Sasson · hooking · 2 min
2nd 13:07	Goal VAN · A. Bains	12%	29%
2nd 16:01	VAN penalty · D. O'Connor · delaying game face off violation · 2 min
2nd 16:55	VAN penalty · E. Pettersson · ps throwing object at puck
2nd 18:47	CAR penalty · S. Walker · interference · 2 min
3rd 4:07	Goal CAR · N. Deslauriers	33%	11%
3rd 10:22	Goal CAR · N. Ehlers	9%	1%
3rd 11:03	VAN penalty · F. Chytil · high sticking double minor · 4 min
3rd 17:57	Goal CAR · L. Stankoven (EN)	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
48J. MartinookL	0:58	12:35	19	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5-6
50E. RobinsonL	0:57	13:14	19	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0	–
36F. Unger SörumR	1:00	12:45	16	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	1-0
4S. GostisbehereD	0:13	17:40	20	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	–
8J. VälimäkiD	0:36	11:29	15	0	1	1	1	4	0	1	2	–
52P. KochetkovG		60:00	SA17GA3SV%.824xGA1.62GSAx−1.38

VAN5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18D. O'ConnorL	0:59	16:26	22	0	0	0	2	3	2	2	0	2-5
92L. OhgrenL	0:59	11:08	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-1
88J. LekkerimäkiR	0:58	15:51	20	1	0	1	3	5	0	0	0	–
8Z. BuiumD	1:17	15:22	19	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	–
25E. PetterssonD	1:17	21:04	22	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	4	–
31L. MeriläinenG		59:11	SA43GA5SV%.884xGA3.86GSAx−1.14

Goals

1st
Logan Stankoven(1)
J. Blake (1), J. Välimäki (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 CAR1st 04:44+10.788%
Linus Karlsson(1)
E. Pettersson (1), J. DeBrusk (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 10:10+11.524%
Nikolaj Ehlers(1)
J. Blake (2), L. Stankoven (1)
xG 0.14wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 CAR1st 12:09+11.988%
Jonathan Lekkerimäki(1)PP
J. DeBrusk (2), B. Boeser (1)
xG 0.16wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied1st 19:58+13.326%
2nd
Nicolas Deslauriers(1)
J. Kotkaniemi (1)
xG 0.08wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 CAR2nd 02:26+13.987%
Arshdeep Bains(1)
M. Sasson (1), Z. Buium (1)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied2nd 13:07+16.929%
3rd
Nicolas Deslauriers(2)
B. Nadeau (1), K. Miller (1)
xG 0.15wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 CAR3rd 04:07+21.989%
Nikolaj Ehlers(2)
Unassisted
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
5–3 CAR3rd 10:22+7.299%
Logan Stankoven(2)EN
N. Ehlers (1), J. Blake (3)
xG 0.71wristClip(opens nhl.com)
6–3 CAR3rd 17:57+0.099%

Shots

Shooters

CAR4.57 xG64 unblocked · 14 blocked64 unblocked · 14 blocked

VAN1.62 xG28 unblocked · 10 blocked28 unblocked · 10 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARVAN6Goals34.57xG1.6244Shots1764Unblocked2878Attempts385High danger30/5Power play1/229Faceoffs3210Hits2610Blocks142Takeaways416Giveaways174PIM10

Skaters

Player

Player
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	21:49	0	1	1	2	5	0.10	−0.10	0	0	0	0	—	0	+2
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	20:39	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	−0.01	0	1	0	0	—	0	+1
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	20:30	0	3	3	6	7	0.54	−0.54	1	0	0	1	0%	0	+4
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	20:11	0	0	0	2	4	0.06	−0.06	1	2	1	0	—	2	+2
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	20:01	0	0	0	4	11	0.66	−0.66	0	0	0	1	68%	0	-1
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	19:04	0	0	0	6	13	0.44	−0.44	0	0	0	2	0%	0	-1
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	18:57	2	1	3	5	8	1.20	+0.80	0	1	0	1	50%	0	+3
74J. SlavinJaccob SlavinD	18:51	0	0	0	3	4	0.12	−0.12	0	2	0	2	—	0	+1
4S. GostisbehereShayne GostisbehereD	17:40	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	−0.06	0	1	0	1	—	2	+1
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	17:10	2	1	3	4	4	0.31	+1.69	0	0	0	3	—	0	+3
82J. KotkaniemiJesperi KotkaniemiC	14:14	0	1	1	1	1	0.20	−0.20	0	0	1	3	10%	0	+2
29B. NadeauBradly NadeauL	14:09	0	1	1	1	1	0.08	−0.08	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	13:14	0	0	0	1	2	0.09	−0.09	2	0	0	1	—	0	+1
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	13:05	0	0	0	4	4	0.28	−0.28	3	0	0	0	—	0	-1
36F. Unger SörumFelix Unger SörumR	12:45	0	0	0	2	4	0.05	−0.05	0	0	0	0	100%	0	-1
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	12:35	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	−0.03	0	0	0	0	45%	0	0
8J. VälimäkiJuuso VälimäkiD	11:29	0	1	1	1	4	0.11	−0.11	1	2	0	0	—	0	+1
44N. DeslauriersNicolas DeslauriersL	10:44	2	0	2	2	2	0.23	+1.77	2	0	0	0	—	0	+2
CAR total		6	9	15	44	78	4.57	+1.43	10	9	2	15	48%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Ehlers+1.78

Blake+1.36

Deslauriers+1.12

Stankoven+0.67

Nadeau+0.36

Kotkaniemi+0.25

Aho−0.18

Carrier−0.19

Svechnikov−0.24

Robinson−0.25

Martinook−0.28

Unger Sörum−0.32

Defence

Slavin+0.24

Välimäki+0.16

Chatfield−0.08

Miller−0.09

Gostisbehere−0.22

Walker−0.35

Goalie

Kochetkov−1.37

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Carrier·Aho·Svechnikov	10:30	14	18	8	69.2%	10	4	0	1	0.61	0.30	67.5%	+0.32	3	0	100%
Ehlers·Stankoven·Blake	9:59	16	15	6	71.4%	9	2	2	0	0.75	0.07	91.4%	+0.68	6	2	75%
Nadeau·Deslauriers·Kotkaniemi	9:14	11	3	11	21.4%	3	3	2	0	0.31	0.48	39.5%	−0.17	1	1	50%
Martinook·Robinson·Unger Sörum	7:58	13	6	3	66.7%	4	1	0	0	0.12	0.09	56.1%	+0.03	2	1	67%
Occasional · 6 groups
Nadeau·Stankoven·Unger Sörum	1:22	2	2	1	66.7%	2	1	0	1	0.01	0.03	30.7%	−0.02	0	0	—
Deslauriers·Martinook·Robinson	0:56	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Carrier·Kotkaniemi·Blake	0:43	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Carrier·Martinook·Stankoven	0:37	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Robinson·Aho·Svechnikov	0:34	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.11	0.0%	−0.11	0	1	0%
Robinson·Stankoven·Blake	0:26	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	1	0	0.11	0.00	100.0%	+0.11	0	0	—
Other 35 brief groups	3:59		5	3	62.5%	4	3	0	0	0.37	0.22	62.9%	+0.15
CAR 5v5	46:18		51	33	60.7%	33	15	5	2	2.29	1.30	63.8%	+0.99

Goalies

Pyotr Kochetkov

CAR · 60:00

Saves: 14/17
SV%: .824
GAA: 3.00
xGA: 1.62
GSAx: −1.38

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	14/16	.875	1.37	−0.63
Power play	0/1	.000	0.18	−0.82
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.07	+0.07
High danger	2/3	.667	0.49	−0.51

Leevi Meriläinen

VAN · 59:11

Saves: 38/43
SV%: .884
GAA: 5.07
xGA: 3.86
GSAx: −1.14

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	29/34	.853	2.52	−2.48
Power play	8/8	1.000	1.31	+1.31
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.03	+0.03
High danger	3/3	1.000	0.82	+0.82

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

21:49Miller
20:39Chatfield
20:11Walker
18:51Slavin
17:40Gostisbehere
11:29Välimäki

20:30Blake
20:01Aho
19:04Svechnikov
18:57Stankoven
17:10Ehlers
14:14Kotkaniemi
14:09Nadeau
13:14Robinson
13:05Carrier
12:45Unger Sörum
12:35Martinook
10:44Deslauriers

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARVANGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

29–3248%

D 36%5–9N 41%7–10O 57%17–13 12 won into a shot

VAN attacks59CAR DZ 36% VAN OZ

Neutral710CAR NZ 41% VAN NZ

CAR attacks1713CAR OZ 57% VAN DZ

32–2952%

D 43%13–17N 59%10–7O 64%9–5 1 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

GostisbehereD1 O8
MillerD2 O5
VälimäkiD1 O3
WalkerD2 O4
SlavinD4 O2
ChatfieldD4 O1
AhoD0 O8
SvechnikovD0 O8
EhlersD2 O9
BlakeD1 O8
StankovenD2 O7
Unger SörumD1 O4
NadeauD1 O3
CarrierD1 O2
DeslauriersD1 O1
KotkaniemiD1 O1
MartinookD3 O2
RobinsonD3 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period