STL @ OTT 7–2 · 2026-10-13

St. LouisSTLBlues7

FinalOct 132026-10-13

Team	1	2	3	SOG
STL	1	2	4	26
OTT	0	1	1	18

Canadian Tire Centre

OttawaOTTSenators2

CallNo lean · 43% OTT

Star 1P. Suter2G 1A
Star 2M. McTavish2G 1A
Star 3J. Neighbours2G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

-125Moneyline+105-1.5 +215Puck line+1.5 -265O -122Total 5.5U +102+130RegulationTie +310 +145-1201st period-110+1781st · 3-wayTie +172 +185

Season odds

54%68%+14.5Playoffs67%55%−12.40.7%1.6%+0.9Cup1.4%1.1%−0.3

Story

– / 18

Result STL 7–2Call No lean · STL 57%Market STL 53%xG 3.51–1.77 · deserved STL 79%Swing Suter +17 1st 14:28Method

Goals and penalties with OTT win probability
Time	Event	OTT win before	OTT win after
1st 4:15	OTT penalty · J. Spence · holding · 2 min
1st 13:28	STL penalty · C. Fowler · holding · 2 min
1st 14:28	Goal STL · P. Suter (SH)	44%	27%
1st 17:26	STL penalty · B. Carlo · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 3:31	STL penalty · C. Parayko · tripping · 2 min
2nd 13:20	Goal STL · J. Neighbours	23%	9%
2nd 14:06	OTT penalty · H. Stanley · holding · 2 min
2nd 17:52	Goal OTT · C. Giroux	8%	21%
2nd 18:25	Goal STL · M. McTavish	21%	7%
3rd 7:54	Goal STL · P. Suter	4%	1%
3rd 14:46	Goal STL · J. Neighbours	1%	1%
3rd 14:52	OTT penalty · W. Foegele · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
3rd 14:52	STL penalty · D. Peterson · fighting · 5 min
3rd 14:52	OTT penalty · J. Donovan · fighting · 5 min
3rd 15:33	Goal STL · M. McTavish (PP)	1%	1%
3rd 16:32	Goal STL · A. Jiricek	1%	1%
3rd 16:41	STL penalty · P. Broberg · hooking · 2 min
3rd 18:33	Goal OTT · F. Zetterlund (PP)	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

STL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
22P. SuterC	0:26	15:21	22	2	1	3	4	6	0	3	0	8-3
83M. McTavishC	0:25	15:29	22	2	1	3	6	9	0	1	1	4-9
29J. BerggrenR	0:27	13:29	20	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	0	–
6P. BrobergD	0:28	22:06	26	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	3	–
36A. JiricekD	0:27	15:04	20	1	0	1	3	5	0	0	1	–
30J. HoferG		59:28	SA18GA2SV%.889xGA1.77GSAx−0.23

OTT5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
24D. CozensC	0:25	17:21	24	0	0	0	2	4	0	3	0	4-8
20F. ZetterlundL	0:25	12:55	18	1	0	1	4	7	0	0	0	–
95A. BurakovskyL	0:25	14:53	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	–
10J. SpenceD	0:11	20:47	24	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	–
26C. YakemchukD	0:24	22:25	26	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	4	–
30S. ErssonG		59:18	SA26GA7SV%.731xGA3.51GSAx−3.49

Goals

1st
Pius Suter(1)SH
C. Parayko (1), P. Buchnevich (1)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 STL1st 14:28+17.573%
2nd
Jake Neighbours(1)
R. Thomas (1), D. Holloway (1)
xG 0.04wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 STL2nd 13:20+13.991%
Claude Giroux(1)
T. Stützle (1), D. Batherson (1)
xG 0.15wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 STL2nd 17:52+13.921%
Mason McTavish(1)
J. Berggren (1), C. McMichael (1)
xG 0.19backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 STL2nd 18:25+13.993%
3rd
Pius Suter(2)
R. Johnston (1), B. Carlo (1)
xG 0.03slapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 STL3rd 07:54+3.099%
Jake Neighbours(2)
P. Buchnevich (2), C. Fowler (1)
xG 0.20snapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–1 STL3rd 14:46+0.099%
Mason McTavish(2)PP
C. McMichael (2), P. Buchnevich (3)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
6–1 STL3rd 15:33+0.099%
Adam Jiricek(1)
P. Suter (1), M. McTavish (1)
xG 0.03snapClip(opens nhl.com)
7–1 STL3rd 16:32+0.099%
Fabian Zetterlund(1)PP
S. Halliday (1), S. Pinto (1)
xG 0.13wristClip(opens nhl.com)
7–2 STL3rd 18:33+0.01%

Shots

Shooters

STL3.51 xG41 unblocked · 13 blocked41 unblocked · 13 blocked

OTT1.77 xG26 unblocked · 16 blocked26 unblocked · 16 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

STLOTT7Goals23.51xG1.7726Shots1841Unblocked2654Attempts4211High danger31/3Power play1/432Faceoffs2418Hits1616Blocks135Takeaways518Giveaways1713PIM11

Skaters

Player

Player
17C. FowlerCam FowlerD	22:15	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	−0.01	0	1	1	3	—	2	+1
6P. BrobergPhilip BrobergD	22:06	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	0	3	0	2	—	2	+3
55C. ParaykoColton ParaykoD	19:33	0	1	1	1	1	0.12	−0.12	0	1	0	1	—	2	+1
25B. CarloBrandon CarloD	18:28	0	1	1	0	2	0.02	−0.02	1	1	0	0	—	2	+1
72J. BarronJustin BarronD	18:28	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	2	3	0	1	—	0	+2
89P. BuchnevichPavel BuchnevichL	18:23	0	3	3	1	6	0.33	−0.33	0	2	0	2	—	0	+2
18R. ThomasRobert ThomasC	17:53	0	1	1	1	1	0.05	−0.05	1	1	0	1	64%	0	0
63J. NeighboursJake NeighboursL	16:05	2	0	2	3	3	0.26	+1.74	1	2	0	2	—	0	+2
15D. DvorskyDalibor DvorskyR	16:00	0	0	0	1	3	0.21	−0.21	0	0	0	1	60%	0	+1
81D. HollowayDylan HollowayL	15:57	0	1	1	1	4	0.15	−0.15	1	0	0	0	0%	0	-1
21J. SnuggerudJimmy SnuggerudR	15:46	0	0	0	2	4	0.44	−0.44	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
83M. McTavishMason McTavishC	15:29	2	1	3	6	9	0.71	+1.29	1	1	0	1	31%	0	+2
22P. SuterPius SuterC	15:21	2	1	3	4	6	0.48	+1.52	3	0	0	0	73%	0	+3
36A. JiricekAdam JiricekD	15:04	1	0	1	3	5	0.26	+0.74	0	1	0	1	—	0	+2
77C. McMichaelConnor McMichaelL	14:24	0	2	2	0	2	0.30	−0.30	0	0	0	0	100%	0	+1
29J. BerggrenJonatan BerggrenR	13:29	0	1	1	1	2	0.15	−0.15	0	0	2	0	—	0	+1
49R. JohnstonRoss JohnstonL	9:18	0	1	1	1	1	0.00	−0.00	4	0	2	1	—	0	+1
32D. PetersonDylan PetersonC	8:57	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	4	0	0	1	—	5	+1
STL total		7	14	21	26	54	3.51	+3.49	18	16	5	17	57%	13

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Suter+1.89

McTavish+1.53

Neighbours+1.43

Buchnevich+0.79

McMichael+0.62

Berggren+0.42

Johnston+0.39

Thomas+0.29

Dvorsky−0.02

Peterson−0.16

Holloway−0.25

Snuggerud−0.33

Defence

Jiricek+0.53

Parayko+0.27

Barron+0.25

Broberg−0.03

Carlo−0.08

Fowler−0.13

Goalie

Hofer−0.22

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Holloway·Thomas·Snuggerud	11:10	17	13	13	50.0%	3	6	0	1	0.64	0.80	44.4%	−0.16	1	3	25%
Neighbours·Buchnevich·Dvorsky	8:44	15	5	6	45.5%	3	3	1	0	0.48	0.12	80.1%	+0.36	0	3	0%
McMichael·McTavish·Berggren	7:53	12	11	6	64.7%	6	1	1	0	0.79	0.09	89.9%	+0.70	2	1	67%
Johnston·Suter·Peterson	6:20	12	5	3	62.5%	2	0	1	0	0.17	0.03	86.8%	+0.14	0	2	0%
Occasional · 8 groups
Holloway·McTavish·Snuggerud	1:03	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Johnston·Peterson·Dvorsky	0:51	1	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	100.0%	+0.00	0	0	—
Neighbours·Dvorsky·Berggren	0:47	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.19	0.0%	−0.19	0	0	—
Johnston·Suter·Berggren	0:42	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	1	0	100%
McMichael·Dvorsky·Berggren	0:34	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Neighbours·McTavish·Snuggerud	0:31	1	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Neighbours·Thomas·Snuggerud	0:21	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	1	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	0	0	—
Suter·McTavish·Snuggerud	0:16	1	2	0	100.0%	1	0	1	0	0.06	0.00	100.0%	+0.06	1	0	100%
Other 38 brief groups	6:20		2	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.16	0.00	100.0%	+0.16
STL 5v5	45:32		41	33	55.4%	19	12	5	1	2.34	1.23	65.6%	+1.11

Goalies

Joel Hofer

STL · 59:28

Saves: 16/18
SV%: .889
GAA: 2.02
xGA: 1.77
GSAx: −0.23

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	12/13	.923	1.28	+0.28
Power play	3/4	.750	0.32	−0.68
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.17	+0.17
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.57	+0.57

Samuel Ersson

OTT · 59:18

Saves: 19/26
SV%: .731
GAA: 7.08
xGA: 3.51
GSAx: −3.49

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	14/19	.737	2.55	−2.45
Power play	4/5	.800	0.75	−0.25
Shorthanded	1/2	.500	0.21	−0.79
High danger	6/9	.667	2.27	−0.73

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

St. Louis Blues

Minutes

22:15Fowler
22:06Broberg
19:33Parayko
18:28Carlo
18:28Barron
15:04Jiricek

18:23Buchnevich
17:53Thomas
16:05Neighbours
16:00Dvorsky
15:57Holloway
15:46Snuggerud
15:29McTavish
15:21Suter
14:24McMichael
13:29Berggren
9:18Johnston
8:57Peterson

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareSTLOTTGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

32–2457%

D 57%12–9N 53%10–9O 63%10–6 3 won into a shot

OTT attacks129STL DZ 57% OTT OZ

Neutral109STL NZ 53% OTT NZ

STL attacks106STL OZ 63% OTT DZ

24–3243%

D 38%6–10N 47%9–10O 43%9–12 2 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JiricekD0 O4
BarronD1 O1
ParaykoD6 O3
BrobergD6 O3
FowlerD7 O2
CarloD8 O0
BerggrenD1 O2
McMichaelD1 O2
McTavishD1 O2
SnuggerudD3 O4
HollowayD3 O3
JohnstonD2 O1
PetersonD2 O0
DvorskyD2 O0
BuchnevichD4 O1
NeighboursD3 O0
ThomasD6 O2
SuterD6 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period