BUF @ MTL 3–4 · 2026-10-13

BuffaloBUFSabres3

Final/SOOct 132026-10-13

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
BUF	1	0	2	0	16
MTL	1	2	0	0	38

Centre Bell

MontréalMTLCanadiens4

CallNo lean · 59% MTL

Star 1L. Hutson1G 1A
Star 2A. Texier0G 0A
Star 3O. Zellweger2G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

+130Moneyline-155+1.5 -192Puck line-1.5 +160O -105Total 6.5U -115+185RegulationTie +310 +105+1101st period-145+2051st · 3-wayTie +180 +149

Season odds

63%56%−6.6Playoffs47%48%+0.82.4%1.5%−0.9Cup1.1%1.2%+0.1

Story

– / 16

Result MTL 4–3 SOCall No lean · MTL 59%Market MTL 59%xG 2.20–3.29 · deserved MTL 69%Swing Zellweger +28 3rd 5:25Method

Goals and penalties with MTL win probability
Time	Event	MTL win before	MTL win after
1st 2:16	Goal BUF · O. Zellweger	59%	42%
1st 8:25	MTL penalty · C. Kreider · too many men on the ice · 2 min
1st 12:36	BUF penalty · O. Zellweger · tripping · 2 min
1st 13:33	BUF penalty · L. Crevier · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
1st 14:28	Goal MTL · L. Hutson (PP)	39%	58%
1st 15:15	MTL penalty · K. Dach · holding · 2 min
2nd 1:19	Goal MTL · C. Caufield	57%	75%
2nd 1:47	MTL penalty · C. Kreider · holding the stick · 2 min
2nd 6:56	MTL penalty · A. Newhook · hooking · 2 min
2nd 14:42	BUF penalty · J. Danforth · interference · 2 min
2nd 19:10	Goal MTL · J. Anderson	80%	93%
3rd 4:24	Goal BUF · J. Norris	95%	82%
3rd 5:25	Goal BUF · O. Zellweger	83%	55%
3rd 9:12	MTL penalty · J. Anderson · unsportsmanlike conduct · 2 min
3rd 9:12	BUF penalty · P. Krebs · unsportsmanlike conduct · 2 min
OT 4:27	MTL penalty · J. Slafkovský · holding · 2 min

On ice · final horn

BUF4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71R. McLeodC	0:17	14:21	24	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14-7
72T. ThompsonC	1:04	22:25	25	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	1	5-11
6Z. BensonL	0:32	19:35	22	0	1	1	0	1	0	3	1	0-1
22J. QuinnR	0:32	19:00	20	0	0	0	3	4	0	2	0	1-0
1U. LuukkonenG		64:59	SA37GA3SV%.919xGA3.29GSAx+0.29

MTL3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71J. EvansC	0:32	13:41	18	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	6-11
21K. GuhleD	0:32	25:24	30	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	0	–
45A. CarrierD	0:32	21:54	29	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	3	–
32J. FowlerG		64:59	SA16GA3SV%.813xGA2.20GSAx−0.80

Goals

1st
Olen Zellweger(1)
M. Samuelsson (1), B. Malenstyn (1)
xG 0.02snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 BUF1st 02:16+16.358%
Lane Hutson(1)PP
J. Slafkovský (1), C. Caufield (1)
xG 0.10snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 14:28+18.458%
2nd
Cole Caufield(1)
J. Slafkovský (2), N. Suzuki (1)
xG 0.09snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 MTL2nd 01:19+18.275%
Josh Anderson(1)
L. Hutson (1), Z. Bolduc (1)
xG 0.09snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 MTL2nd 19:10+13.493%
3rd
Josh Norris(1)
D. Gilbert (1), B. Malenstyn (2)
xG 0.03snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 MTL3rd 04:24+12.918%
Olen Zellweger(2)
Z. Benson (1), M. Samuelsson (2)
xG 0.02snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 05:25+27.745%

Shootout

BUF

1–3

MTLWins

3 rounds · MTL first

BUF shootersFowler 0/1 SV

T. ThompsonGoalsnapGoal
Rd 11–1
C. CaufieldGoalsnapGoalClip(opens nhl.com)
Not neededRd 21–2
A. TexierGoalsnapGoalClip(opens nhl.com)
Not neededRd 31–3
Z. BolducWinnerbackhandGoalWinner

MTL shootersLuukkonen 0/3 SV

Shots

Shooters

BUF2.20 xG26 unblocked · 16 blocked26 unblocked · 16 blocked

MTL3.29 xG48 unblocked · 9 blocked48 unblocked · 9 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFMTL3Goals32.20xG3.2916Shots3826Unblocked4842Attempts575High danger60/5Power play1/333Faceoffs3224Hits229Blocks164Takeaways317Giveaways188PIM12

Skaters

Player

Player
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	28:22	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	−0.01	0	0	1	2	—	0	-1
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	26:38	0	2	2	0	2	0.00	0.00	3	1	2	3	—	0	+1
8O. ZellwegerOlen ZellwegerD	25:49	2	0	2	4	7	0.06	+1.94	1	1	0	0	—	2	+1
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	22:26	0	0	0	1	7	0.27	−0.27	0	1	1	1	31%	0	+1
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	19:40	0	0	0	1	2	0.44	−0.44	1	0	0	0	38%	0	-1
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	19:36	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	3	1	0	0	0%	0	0
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	19:01	0	0	0	3	4	0.34	−0.34	2	0	0	2	100%	0	0
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	17:23	0	0	0	2	3	0.31	−0.31	1	1	0	4	—	0	0
20J. KulichJiri KulichC	16:51	0	0	0	2	3	0.28	−0.28	1	0	0	0	0%	0	-1
73Z. MetsaZach MetsaD	14:58	0	0	0	1	3	0.20	−0.20	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	14:22	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	67%	0	-1
94K. HeleniusKonsta HeleniusC	14:15	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	1	—	0	-1
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	13:12	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	−0.04	1	0	0	2	—	2	0
46L. CrevierLouis CrevierD	12:43	0	0	0	1	3	0.07	−0.07	1	0	0	0	—	2	0
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	11:55	0	2	2	0	1	0.00	0.00	5	1	0	1	100%	0	+2
9J. NorrisJosh NorrisC	11:51	1	0	1	1	1	0.03	+0.97	2	0	0	0	60%	0	+2
15J. DanforthJustin DanforthR	9:58	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	0	1	0	0	50%	2	+2
44D. GilbertDennis GilbertD	8:41	0	1	1	0	1	0.15	−0.15	1	0	0	1	—	0	+1
BUF total		3	6	9	16	42	2.20	+0.80	24	7	4	17	51%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Norris+0.62

Benson+0.51

Malenstyn0.00

Quinn−0.25

Ostlund−0.28

McLeod−0.29

Danforth−0.31

Krebs−0.39

Doan−0.40

Helenius−0.40

Thompson−0.41

Kulich−0.45

Defence

Zellweger+0.85

Gilbert+0.30

Samuelsson+0.20

Metsa−0.10

Crevier−0.14

Power−0.44

Goalie

Luukkonen+0.31

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Benson·Ostlund·Quinn	9:20	15	6	2	75.0%	3	1	0	0	0.67	0.03	95.9%	+0.64	3	0	100%
Kulich·McLeod·Helenius	7:09	13	1	8	11.1%	1	7	0	1	0.11	0.35	23.2%	−0.25	0	4	0%
Krebs·Thompson·Doan	6:56	10	4	7	36.4%	1	1	0	0	0.01	0.36	3.6%	−0.35	0	2	0%
Malenstyn·Norris·Danforth	6:26	10	5	6	45.5%	3	3	2	0	0.24	0.24	50.3%	+0.00	0	4	0%
Kulich·Thompson·Doan	4:09	7	2	8	20.0%	1	5	0	0	0.21	0.34	38.7%	−0.13	0	1	0%
Occasional · 9 groups
Krebs·McLeod·Helenius	1:53	7	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.08	0.0%	−0.08	0	0	—
Malenstyn·Helenius·Danforth	1:00	1	3	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
Benson·Ostlund·Doan	0:59	6	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	0	0	—
Krebs·Ostlund·Doan	0:46	5	1	2	33.3%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Krebs·Ostlund·Quinn	0:44	4	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Malenstyn·Krebs·Danforth	0:41	2	3	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	1	0	100%
Kulich·Thompson·Helenius	0:39	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Benson·Thompson·Doan	0:37	7	5	0	100.0%	2	0	1	0	0.22	0.00	100.0%	+0.22	0	0	—
Krebs·Thompson·Quinn	0:30	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	1	0	100%
Other 32 brief groups	3:32		3	2	60.0%	1	2	0	0	0.22	0.15	58.9%	+0.07
BUF 5v5	45:21		34	41	45.3%	13	25	3	2	1.77	1.72	50.8%	+0.05

Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 65:00

Saves: 35/38
SV%: .921
GAA: 2.77
xGA: 3.29
GSAx: +0.29

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	27/29	.931	2.56	+0.56
Power play	5/6	.833	0.68	−0.32
Shorthanded	3/3	1.000	0.05	+0.05
High danger	5/5	1.000	1.19	+1.19

Jacob Fowler

MTL · 65:00

Saves: 13/16
SV%: .813
GAA: 2.77
xGA: 2.20
GSAx: −0.80

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	10/13	.769	1.77	−1.23
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.43	+0.43
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	4/4	1.000	1.00	+1.00

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

28:22Power
26:38Samuelsson
25:49Zellweger
14:58Metsa
12:43Crevier
8:41Gilbert

22:26Thompson
19:40Ostlund
19:36Benson
19:01Quinn
17:23Doan
16:51Kulich
14:22McLeod
14:15Helenius
13:12Krebs
11:55Malenstyn
11:51Norris
9:58Danforth

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFMTLGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

33–3251%

D 62%18–11N 30%6–14O 56%9–7 3 won into a shot

MTL attacks1811BUF DZ 62% MTL OZ

Neutral614BUF NZ 30% MTL NZ

BUF attacks97BUF OZ 56% MTL DZ

32–3349%

D 44%7–9N 70%14–6O 38%11–18 8 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

GilbertD1 O1
MetsaD1 O1
CrevierD2 O1
PowerD6 O5
ZellwegerD11 O4
SamuelssonD9 O1
QuinnD0 O5
OstlundD0 O3
BensonD0 O3
ThompsonD5 O5
KrebsD2 O1
DoanD4 O0
HeleniusD4 O0
McLeodD6 O1
MalenstynD7 O1
DanforthD7 O1
NorrisD6 O0
KulichD8 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period