COL @ DAL 3–2 · 2026-10-13

ColoradoCOLAvalanche3

FinalOct 132026-10-13

Team	1	2	3	SOG
COL	1	2	0	25
DAL	1	0	1	26

American Airlines Center

DallasDALStars2

CallNo lean · 48% DAL

Star 1M. Necas2G 0A
Star 2R. Hintz1G 0A
Star 3M. Blackwood.923 SV%

Closing linesDraftKings

-102Moneyline-118+1.5 -270Puck line-1.5 +220O -130Total 5.5U +110+135RegulationTie +310 +140-1151st period-115+1851st · 3-wayTie +170 +176

Season odds

99%99%+0.4Playoffs87%81%−5.523%27%+3.7Cup3.9%2.9%−1.0

Story

– / 16

Result COL 3–2Call No lean · COL 52%Market DAL 52%xG 3.21–2.56 · deserved COL 61%Swing Necas +20 2nd 3:05Method

Goals and penalties with DAL win probability
Time	Event	DAL win before	DAL win after
1st 11:32	Goal COL · A. Lehkonen	48%	31%
1st 13:07	DAL penalty · C. Blackwell · roughing · 2 min
1st 13:07	COL penalty · S. Malinski · roughing · 2 min
1st 17:44	COL penalty · F. Svechkov · instigator · 2 min
1st 17:44	DAL penalty · R. Faksa · fighting · 5 min
1st 17:44	COL penalty · F. Svechkov · fighting · 5 min
1st 17:44	COL penalty · F. Svechkov · instigator misconduct · 10 min
1st 19:06	Goal DAL · T. Seguin (PP)	30%	48%
2nd 3:05	Goal COL · M. Necas	48%	29%
2nd 6:46	COL penalty · N. MacKinnon · fighting · 5 min
2nd 6:46	DAL penalty · R. Hintz · fighting · 5 min
2nd 14:18	DAL penalty · K. Capobianco · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 15:52	DAL penalty · R. Faksa · tripping · 2 min
2nd 16:14	Goal COL · M. Necas (PP)	25%	10%
3rd 3:17	Goal DAL · R. Hintz	6%	21%
3rd 4:50	DAL penalty · T. Harley · holding · 2 min

On ice · final horn

COL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
11B. NelsonC	1:00	19:39	26	0	0	0	5	5	0	0	3	5-8
29N. MacKinnonC	2:25	20:01	22	0	2	2	2	5	5	0	1	8-12
91N. KadriC	1:00	22:47	25	0	0	0	3	6	0	1	2	0-4
27B. KulakD	1:00	18:25	25	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	2	–
84B. BurnsD	1:12	20:03	22	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	–
39M. BlackwoodG		60:00	SA26GA2SV%.923xGA2.56GSAx+0.56

DAL6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
24R. HintzC	2:06	16:30	20	1	0	1	2	3	5	1	0	12-7
91T. SeguinC	1:52	17:17	20	1	1	2	7	8	0	2	0	3-2
21J. RobertsonL	2:04	22:18	24	0	1	1	2	5	0	1	0	–
96M. RantanenR	2:20	21:37	25	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1-0
4M. HeiskanenD	2:04	25:09	23	0	2	2	1	4	0	2	1	–
55T. HarleyD	1:55	25:53	24	0	0	0	0	5	2	2	0	–

Goals

1st
Artturi Lehkonen(1)
N. MacKinnon (1), J. Manson (1)
xG 0.13backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 COL1st 11:32+17.469%
Tyler Seguin(1)PP
J. Robertson (1), M. Heiskanen (1)
xG 0.09snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 19:06+18.848%
2nd
Martin Necas(1)
N. MacKinnon (2), N. Roy (1)
xG 0.08slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 COL2nd 03:05+19.771%
Martin Necas(2)PP
G. Landeskog (1), D. Toews (1)
xG 0.22snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 COL2nd 16:14+15.190%
3rd
Roope Hintz(1)
T. Seguin (1), M. Heiskanen (2)
xG 0.11snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 COL3rd 03:17+14.621%

Shots

Shooters

COL3.21 xG38 unblocked · 9 blocked38 unblocked · 9 blocked

DAL2.56 xG40 unblocked · 19 blocked40 unblocked · 19 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

COLDAL3Goals23.21xG2.5625Shots2638Unblocked4047Attempts598High danger51/3Power play1/120Faceoffs3618Hits2619Blocks93Takeaways421Giveaways1224PIM18

Skaters

Player

Player
7D. ToewsDevon ToewsD	25:11	0	1	1	4	5	0.29	−0.29	2	1	0	1	—	0	0
88M. NecasMartin NecasC	23:24	2	0	2	2	2	0.30	+1.70	0	0	0	1	—	0	+2
91N. KadriNazem KadriC	22:47	0	0	0	3	6	0.54	−0.54	1	2	0	1	0%	0	-1
84B. BurnsBrent BurnsD	20:03	0	0	0	2	5	0.07	−0.07	0	0	1	2	—	0	+1
29N. MacKinnonNathan MacKinnonC	20:01	0	2	2	2	5	0.55	−0.55	0	0	0	2	40%	5	+2
62A. LehkonenArtturi LehkonenL	19:45	1	0	1	1	3	0.17	+0.83	0	2	0	3	0%	0	+2
11B. NelsonBrock NelsonC	19:39	0	0	0	5	5	0.47	−0.47	0	3	0	0	38%	0	0
70S. MalinskiSam MalinskiD	19:07	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	—	2	-1
42J. MansonJosh MansonD	19:01	0	1	1	1	1	0.09	−0.09	4	1	0	3	—	0	+1
27B. KulakBrett KulakD	18:25	0	0	0	1	2	0.06	−0.06	1	2	0	2	—	0	+1
92G. LandeskogGabriel LandeskogL	16:29	0	1	1	1	2	0.09	−0.09	2	1	0	1	100%	0	0
13T. HughesT.J. HughesR	13:05	0	0	0	1	4	0.27	−0.27	2	1	0	0	0%	0	0
71J. SchwartzJaden SchwartzL	13:02	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	0	1	0	1	—	0	0
17P. KellyParker KellyC	12:49	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	−0.07	3	1	0	1	0%	0	-1
47N. JuulsenNoah JuulsenD	12:36	0	0	0	1	2	0.09	−0.09	1	2	2	1	—	0	0
9F. SvechkovFedor SvechkovC	11:24	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	0	33%	17	0
10N. RoyNicolas RoyC	9:50	0	1	1	0	1	0.16	−0.16	2	1	0	0	80%	0	-1
COL total		3	6	9	25	47	3.21	−0.21	18	19	3	20	36%	24

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Necas+0.99

MacKinnon+0.94

Lehkonen+0.39

Landeskog+0.37

Nelson−0.08

Roy−0.13

Hughes−0.14

Schwartz−0.22

Kelly−0.30

Kadri−0.41

Svechkov−0.50

Defence

Juulsen+0.10

Toews+0.07

Kulak−0.01

Malinski−0.03

Manson−0.15

Burns−0.40

Goalie

Blackwood+0.58

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Lehkonen·MacKinnon·Necas	10:45	17	10	6	62.5%	4	3	2	0	0.32	0.09	78.9%	+0.23	2	3	40%
Landeskog·Nelson·Kadri	8:46	13	12	12	50.0%	8	4	0	0	0.71	0.71	50.0%	+0.00	1	2	33%
Schwartz·Svechkov·Hughes	4:23	6	4	9	30.8%	0	2	0	0	0.07	0.22	25.1%	−0.15	1	1	50%
Occasional · 14 groups
Svechkov·Roy·Kelly	2:39	3	2	2	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.01	0.01	51.5%	+0.00	1	0	100%
Roy·Kelly·Hughes	2:10	3	1	6	14.3%	1	2	0	0	0.01	0.23	5.8%	−0.22	1	2	33%
MacKinnon·Necas·Kadri	2:04	4	1	3	25.0%	1	1	0	0	0.01	0.18	5.8%	−0.17	1	0	100%
Schwartz·Svechkov·Kelly	1:52	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
Lehkonen·Necas·Kadri	1:45	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Schwartz·Landeskog·Nelson	1:38	3	1	2	33.3%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.08	12.4%	−0.07	0	0	—
Roy·Kelly·Kadri	1:16	2	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.11	0.0%	−0.11	0	2	0%
Lehkonen·Nelson·Necas	1:13	8	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Lehkonen·Landeskog·Nelson	1:10	2	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	1	0%
Roy·Nelson·Kelly	0:46	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Schwartz·Roy·Kelly	0:42	1	3	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.22	0.00	100.0%	+0.22	0	0	—
Lehkonen·Nelson·Kadri	0:40	6	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Svechkov·Kelly·Hughes	0:38	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Schwartz·Kelly·Hughes	0:37	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Other 39 brief groups	6:08		1	4	20.0%	0	4	0	0	0.01	0.34	2.1%	−0.33
COL 5v5	49:12		37	48	43.5%	17	18	2	1	1.42	1.97	41.9%	−0.55

Goalies

Mackenzie Blackwood

COL · 60:00

Saves: 24/26
SV%: .923
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 2.56
GSAx: +0.56

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	20/21	.952	2.20	+1.20
Power play	3/4	.750	0.32	−0.68
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.04	+0.04
High danger	3/3	1.000	0.99	+0.99

Jake Oettinger

DAL · 58:58

Saves: 22/25
SV%: .880
GAA: 3.05
xGA: 2.74
GSAx: −0.26

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	17/19	.895	1.70	−0.30
Power play	5/6	.833	1.04	+0.04
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	4/5	.800	1.27	+0.27

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Colorado Avalanche

Minutes

25:11Toews
20:03Burns
19:07Malinski
19:01Manson
18:25Kulak
12:36Juulsen

23:24Necas
22:47Kadri
20:01MacKinnon
19:45Lehkonen
19:39Nelson
16:29Landeskog
13:05Hughes
13:02Schwartz
12:49Kelly
11:24Svechkov
9:50Roy

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCOLDALGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

20–3636%

D 41%11–16N 33%4–8O 29%5–12 3 won into a shot

DAL attacks1116COL DZ 41% DAL OZ

Neutral48COL NZ 33% DAL NZ

COL attacks512COL OZ 29% DAL DZ

36–2064%

D 71%12–5N 67%8–4O 59%16–11 11 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JuulsenD0 O1
BurnsD2 O1
MansonD4 O1
KulakD5 O1
MalinskiD4 O0
ToewsD7 O2
MacKinnonD2 O5
NecasD2 O5
SvechkovD1 O3
HughesD3 O4
KadriD4 O4
KellyD4 O4
SchwartzD2 O1
RoyD3 O2
LandeskogD4 O2
LehkonenD6 O3
NelsonD7 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period