MIN @ WPG 2–5 · 2026-10-13

MinnesotaMINWild2

FinalOct 132026-10-13

Team	1	2	3	SOG
MIN	2	0	0	21
WPG	2	1	2	25

Canada Life Centre

WinnipegWPGJets5

CallMIN50%mkt 50%-110Miss

Star 1M. Scheifele1G 2A
Star 2C. Perfetti2G 0A
Star 3N. Pionk0G 2A

Closing linesDraftKings

-110Moneyline-110+1.5 -278Puck line-1.5 +225O +110Total 6.5U -130+135RegulationTie +300 +150-1151st period-115+1801st · 3-wayTie +176 +180

Season odds

91%88%−3.2Playoffs25%29%+4.44.0%3.7%−0.3Cup0.0%0.1%+0.1

Story

– / 11

Result WPG 5–2Call MIN 50% Market WPG 50%xG 2.70–2.61 · deserved MIN 52%Swing Perfetti +24 2nd 16:36Method

Goals and penalties with WPG win probability
Time	Event	WPG win before	WPG win after
1st 1:50	Goal WPG · C. Perfetti	50%	66%
1st 8:47	Goal MIN · K. Kaprizov	67%	50%
1st 9:37	WPG penalty · N. Niederreiter · slashing · 2 min
1st 17:54	Goal WPG · M. Scheifele	50%	69%
1st 18:38	Goal MIN · K. Kaprizov	69%	50%
2nd 5:24	WPG penalty · C. Perfetti · hooking · 2 min
2nd 16:05	MIN penalty · B. Brink · hooking · 2 min
2nd 16:36	Goal WPG · C. Perfetti (PP)	50%	74%
2nd 17:28	MIN penalty · D. Hunt · holding · 2 min
3rd 4:06	Goal WPG · K. Connor	78%	93%
3rd 14:42	Goal WPG · C. Koepke	99%	100%

On ice · final horn

MIN5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
13Y. TreninC	0:13	12:28	14	0	0	0	2	3	0	6	0	–
19T. PitlickC	0:22	8:13	12	0	0	0	1	3	0	6	0	–
47M. McCarronC	0:36	15:14	16	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	5-6
25J. BrodinD	0:25	21:39	23	0	1	1	1	1	0	2	2	–
82D. SpacekD	0:26	15:51	19	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	–
31C. PickardG		60:00	SA25GA5SV%.800xGA2.61GSAx−2.39

WPG5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
13G. VilardiC	0:14	18:53	15	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	1-3
61V. BjörckC	0:10	14:18	15	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	2-7
62N. NiederreiterR	0:15	12:55	16	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	–
24H. FleuryD	0:36	14:19	18	0	0	0	3	5	0	2	0	–
77T. BauerD	0:15	11:03	16	0	0	0	1	3	0	3	1	–
74S. SkinnerG		60:00	SA21GA2SV%.905xGA2.70GSAx+0.70

Goals

1st
Cole Perfetti(1)
N. Pionk (1), M. Scheifele (1)
xG 0.02tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 WPG1st 01:50+16.166%
Kirill Kaprizov(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.35batClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 08:47+17.150%
Mark Scheifele(1)
N. Pionk (2), K. Connor (1)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 WPG1st 17:54+18.869%
Kirill Kaprizov(2)
Q. Hughes (1), J. Brodin (1)
xG 0.09tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied1st 18:38+18.950%
2nd
Cole Perfetti(2)PP
G. Vilardi (1), M. Scheifele (2)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 WPG2nd 16:36+24.574%
3rd
Kyle Connor(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.14wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 WPG3rd 04:06+15.093%
Cole Koepke(1)
V. Namestnikov (1)
xG 0.15wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–5 WPG3rd 14:42+0.8100%

Shots

Shooters

MIN2.70 xG39 unblocked · 19 blocked39 unblocked · 19 blocked

WPG2.61 xG39 unblocked · 19 blocked39 unblocked · 19 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

MINWPG2Goals52.70xG2.6121Shots2539Unblocked3958Attempts583High danger40/2Power play1/229Faceoffs2134Hits2219Blocks196Takeaways218Giveaways134PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
43Q. HughesQuinn HughesD	28:25	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	1	2	—	0	0
12M. BoldyMatt BoldyL	22:20	0	0	0	1	6	0.19	−0.19	2	0	3	2	75%	0	+2
25J. BrodinJonas BrodinD	21:39	0	1	1	1	1	0.03	−0.03	2	2	0	1	—	0	0
97K. KaprizovKirill KaprizovL	20:02	2	0	2	3	5	0.56	+1.44	0	0	0	0	—	0	+2
24Z. BogosianZach BogosianD	19:50	0	0	0	1	3	0.06	−0.06	2	1	0	2	—	0	-2
14J. Eriksson EkJoel Eriksson EkC	18:16	0	0	0	3	9	0.35	−0.35	1	2	1	1	43%	0	+2
3O. MaattaOlli MaattaD	17:27	0	0	0	0	3	0.01	−0.01	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
82D. SpacekDavid SpacekD	15:51	0	0	0	2	3	0.01	−0.01	0	0	1	1	—	0	-1
47M. McCarronMichael McCarronC	15:14	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	2	2	0	0	45%	0	-1
49M. ShabanovMaxim ShabanovR	15:06	0	0	0	1	2	0.10	−0.10	2	1	0	0	—	0	-1
10B. BrinkBobby BrinkR	14:55	0	0	0	2	4	0.21	−0.21	0	0	0	2	—	2	-2
38R. HartmanRyan HartmanR	14:50	0	0	0	0	4	0.21	−0.21	1	2	0	0	67%	0	-2
20B. ColemanBlake ColemanL	14:35	0	0	0	1	3	0.04	−0.04	6	1	0	3	—	0	-1
22D. YurovDanila YurovR	14:28	0	0	0	2	3	0.44	−0.44	0	1	0	1	78%	0	-1
48D. HuntDaemon HuntD	12:47	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	2	3	0	1	—	2	-1
13Y. TreninYakov TreninC	12:28	0	0	0	2	3	0.29	−0.29	6	0	0	1	—	0	-1
61R. LorenzRieger LorenzL	11:03	0	0	0	1	3	0.16	−0.16	2	1	0	0	—	0	-2
19T. PitlickTyler PitlickC	8:13	0	0	0	1	3	0.04	−0.04	6	0	0	1	—	0	-1
MIN total		2	2	4	21	58	2.70	−0.70	34	17	6	18	58%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Kaprizov+1.13

Yurov+0.04

Pitlick−0.03

Hartman−0.10

Eriksson Ek−0.21

Lorenz−0.25

Trenin−0.25

Shabanov−0.27

Coleman−0.29

McCarron−0.33

Boldy−0.37

Brink−0.51

Defence

Hughes+0.15

Brodin+0.14

Hunt−0.17

Bogosian−0.23

Spacek−0.24

Maatta−0.24

Goalie

Pickard−2.38

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Boldy·Kaprizov·Eriksson Ek	12:43	16	12	6	66.7%	5	1	2	0	0.69	0.09	88.1%	+0.59	4	2	67%
Coleman·Yurov·Shabanov	9:18	13	12	9	57.1%	5	5	0	1	0.55	0.44	55.3%	+0.10	0	0	—
Lorenz·Brink·Hartman	8:26	10	12	7	63.2%	3	4	0	2	0.35	0.52	40.5%	−0.17	1	1	50%
Trenin·Pitlick·McCarron	7:32	12	7	11	38.9%	2	5	0	1	0.19	0.34	36.0%	−0.15	2	1	67%
Occasional · 9 groups
Coleman·Brink·Hartman	1:30	3	0	5	0.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	0	0	—
Kaprizov·Brink·Hartman	1:12	3	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.21	0.04	83.6%	+0.17	1	0	100%
Trenin·McCarron·Brink	1:00	4	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.15	0.00	100.0%	+0.15	0	0	—
Boldy·Coleman·Yurov	0:57	3	1	2	33.3%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Boldy·Kaprizov·Hartman	0:47	4	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.10	0.0%	−0.10	0	1	0%
Boldy·Eriksson Ek·Shabanov	0:47	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Trenin·McCarron·Hartman	0:45	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Boldy·Trenin·McCarron	0:35	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Lorenz·McCarron·Shabanov	0:35	1	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Other 32 brief groups	7:11		1	4	20.0%	1	1	0	0	0.05	0.32	12.4%	−0.27
MIN 5v5	53:18		49	49	50.0%	18	21	2	4	2.19	2.03	51.9%	+0.16

Goalies

Calvin Pickard

MIN · 60:00

Saves: 20/25
SV%: .800
GAA: 5.00
xGA: 2.61
GSAx: −2.39

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	17/21	.810	2.03	−1.97
Power play	1/2	.500	0.55	−0.45
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.03	+0.03
High danger	1/4	.250	0.69	−2.31

Stuart Skinner

WPG · 60:00

Saves: 19/21
SV%: .905
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 2.70
GSAx: +0.70

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/18	.889	2.19	+0.19
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.51	+0.51
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	0.96	−0.04

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Minnesota Wild

Minutes

28:25Hughes
21:39Brodin
19:50Bogosian
17:27Maatta
15:51Spacek
12:47Hunt

22:20Boldy
20:02Kaprizov
18:16Eriksson Ek
15:14McCarron
15:06Shabanov
14:55Brink
14:50Hartman
14:35Coleman
14:28Yurov
12:28Trenin
11:03Lorenz
8:13Pitlick

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareMINWPGGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

29–2158%

D 65%11–6N 50%6–6O 57%12–9 8 won into a shot

WPG attacks116MIN DZ 65% WPG OZ

Neutral66MIN NZ 50% WPG NZ

MIN attacks129MIN OZ 57% WPG DZ

21–2942%

D 43%9–12N 50%6–6O 35%6–11 6 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

SpacekD1 O2
HuntD2 O1
BogosianD2 O0
BrodinD5 O3
HughesD4 O2
MaattaD4 O0
Eriksson EkD2 O6
KaprizovD3 O7
BoldyD3 O6
HartmanD1 O3
BrinkD1 O3
PitlickD1 O2
YurovD0 O1
ShabanovD0 O1
ColemanD1 O1
TreninD2 O2
LorenzD1 O1
McCarronD3 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period