FLA @ CBJ 7–3 · 2026-10-13

FloridaFLAPanthers7

FinalOct 132026-10-13

Team	1	2	3	SOG
FLA	0	4	3	28
CBJ	1	0	2	27

Nationwide Arena

ColumbusCBJBlue Jackets3

CallNo lean · 58% CBJ

Star 1B. Tkachuk3G 1A
Star 2M. Tkachuk0G 5A
Star 3C. Verhaeghe2G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

+114Moneyline-135+1.5 -230Puck line-1.5 +190O -130Total 5.5U +110+160RegulationTie +300 +125+1001st period-130+1901st · 3-wayTie +175 +172

Season odds

39%42%+3.4Playoffs41%34%−7.80.9%0.9%±0.0Cup0.8%0.8%±0.0

Story

– / 20

Result FLA 7–3Call No lean · CBJ 58%Market CBJ 56%xG 3.74–3.58 · deserved FLA 52%Swing Tkachuk +21 2nd 6:00Method

Goals and penalties with CBJ win probability
Time	Event	CBJ win before	CBJ win after
1st 9:54	FLA penalty · M. Tkachuk · hooking · 2 min
1st 14:11	Goal CBJ · K. Johnson	57%	74%
2nd 2:27	Goal FLA · B. Tkachuk	75%	56%
2nd 5:14	CBJ penalty · D. Severson · interference · 2 min
2nd 6:00	Goal FLA · B. Tkachuk (PP)	56%	35%
2nd 9:54	CBJ penalty · S. Monahan · hooking · 2 min
2nd 10:30	Goal FLA · B. Tkachuk (PP)	33%	16%
2nd 11:07	FLA penalty · G. Forsling · tripping · 2 min
2nd 11:19	FLA penalty · N. Mikkola · roughing · 2 min
2nd 11:19	CBJ penalty · C. Coyle · roughing · 2 min
2nd 13:44	CBJ penalty · M. Olivier · slashing · 5 min
2nd 13:44	CBJ penalty · M. Olivier · game misconduct · 10 min
2nd 17:50	Goal FLA · C. Verhaeghe (PP)	12%	4%
2nd 19:44	CBJ penalty · C. Soucy · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 1:20	Goal FLA · S. Reinhart (PP)	3%	1%
3rd 3:28	Goal FLA · C. Verhaeghe	0%	0%
3rd 10:11	CBJ penalty · D. Severson · hooking · 2 min
3rd 13:47	Goal CBJ · D. Mateychuk	0%	0%
3rd 14:09	Goal CBJ · C. Sillinger	0%	0%
3rd 17:43	Goal FLA · S. Reinhart (EN)	0%	0%

On ice · final horn

FLA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18S. LaffertyC	0:39	9:30	15	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	2	1-6
14B. ImamaL	0:39	10:00	14	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	–
21G. HathawayR	0:39	10:49	18	0	0	0	1	1	0	7	0	0-3
3S. JonesD	0:39	23:14	27	0	4	4	3	4	0	2	2	–
77N. MikkolaD	0:39	17:25	24	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	–
40A. SchmidG		60:00	SA27GA3SV%.889xGA3.58GSAx+0.58

CBJ5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
4C. SillingerC	0:39	16:05	22	1	0	1	1	2	0	2	2	1-1
58D. HeinenL	0:39	13:16	16	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	6-3
94R. LombergL	0:39	9:06	12	0	0	0	3	6	0	1	0	–
2J. ChristiansenD	0:39	16:31	21	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	–
44E. GudbransonD	0:39	18:32	25	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	–
73J. GreavesG		14:04	SA4GA0SV%1.000xGA0.87GSAx+0.87

Goals

1st
Kent Johnson(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.35wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 CBJ1st 14:11+17.174%
2nd
Brady Tkachuk(1)
M. Tkachuk (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 02:27+18.844%
Brady Tkachuk(2)PP
M. Tkachuk (2), S. Jones (1)
xG 0.08tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 FLA2nd 06:00+21.465%
Brady Tkachuk(3)PP
S. Reinhart (1), M. Tkachuk (3)
xG 0.36wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 FLA2nd 10:30+17.384%
Carter Verhaeghe(1)PP
B. Tkachuk (1), M. Tkachuk (4)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 FLA2nd 17:50+8.196%
3rd
Sam Reinhart(1)PP
M. Tkachuk (5), S. Jones (2)
xG 0.10tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
5–1 FLA3rd 01:20+2.199%
Carter Verhaeghe(2)
L. Eller (1), S. Jones (3)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
6–1 FLA3rd 03:28+0.0100%
Denton Mateychuk(1)
D. Severson (1), V. Nichushkin (1)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
6–2 FLA3rd 13:47+0.00%
Cole Sillinger(1)
C. Coyle (1), D. Severson (2)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
6–3 FLA3rd 14:09+0.00%
Sam Reinhart(2)EN
A. Lundell (1), S. Jones (4)
xG 0.37snapClip(opens nhl.com)
7–3 FLA3rd 17:43+0.0100%

Shots

Shooters

FLA3.74 xG46 unblocked · 19 blocked46 unblocked · 19 blocked

CBJ3.58 xG45 unblocked · 14 blocked45 unblocked · 14 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

FLACBJ7Goals33.74xG3.5828Shots2746Unblocked4565Attempts597High danger74/6Power play0/230Faceoffs3624Hits1614Blocks194Takeaways321Giveaways156PIM25

Skaters

Player

Player
3S. JonesSeth JonesD	23:14	0	4	4	3	4	0.10	−0.10	2	2	1	3	—	0	+1
5A. EkbladAaron EkbladD	21:27	0	0	0	2	5	0.08	−0.08	0	2	1	1	—	0	-2
42G. ForslingGustav ForslingD	19:36	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	0	0	1	2	—	2	-2
13S. ReinhartSam ReinhartC	19:24	2	1	3	7	8	1.05	+0.95	0	2	0	1	42%	0	+2
27E. LuostarinenEetu LuostarinenC	18:47	0	0	0	1	3	0.14	−0.14	0	1	0	3	33%	0	-1
15A. LundellAnton LundellC	18:34	0	1	1	1	4	0.29	−0.29	0	1	0	1	57%	0	-2
23C. VerhaegheCarter VerhaegheC	18:24	2	0	2	3	12	0.43	+1.57	0	1	0	1	100%	0	+1
77N. MikkolaNiko MikkolaD	17:25	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	3	—	2	+2
19M. TkachukMatthew TkachukL	17:20	0	5	5	1	5	0.02	−0.02	0	0	1	1	—	2	0
20L. EllerLars EllerC	16:31	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	73%	0	+1
8B. TkachukBrady TkachukL	16:19	3	1	4	4	8	0.67	+2.33	1	0	0	0	20%	0	0
26U. BalinskisUvis BalinskisD	16:19	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	4	0	0	2	—	0	0
9S. BennettSam BennettC	15:48	0	0	0	1	2	0.05	−0.05	0	0	0	0	50%	0	+1
95S. VilmanisSandis VilmanisL	13:25	0	0	0	1	4	0.31	−0.31	4	0	0	0	—	0	-2
7D. KulikovDmitry KulikovD	13:08	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	−0.07	1	2	0	1	—	0	+1
21G. HathawayGarnet HathawayR	10:49	0	0	0	1	1	0.15	−0.15	7	0	0	0	0%	0	0
14B. ImamaBokondji ImamaL	10:00	0	0	0	1	1	0.06	−0.06	2	0	0	1	—	0	0
18S. LaffertySam LaffertyC	9:30	0	0	0	2	3	0.33	−0.33	2	2	0	0	14%	0	0
FLA total		7	13	20	28	65	3.74	+3.26	24	13	4	21	45%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Tkachuk+2.38

Tkachuk+1.41

Verhaeghe+1.35

Reinhart+1.11

Lundell+0.28

Eller+0.12

Imama−0.01

Lafferty−0.04

Hathaway−0.18

Vilmanis−0.24

Bennett−0.31

Luostarinen−0.48

Defence

Jones+0.42

Balinskis+0.19

Kulikov+0.11

Ekblad−0.15

Mikkola−0.32

Forsling−0.44

Goalie

Schmid+0.61

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Vilmanis·Lundell·Luostarinen	9:55	14	8	9	47.1%	2	4	0	2	0.43	0.63	40.2%	−0.21	3	2	60%
Reinhart·Eller·Verhaeghe	9:43	12	11	14	44.0%	5	7	1	0	0.29	1.01	22.6%	−0.72	0	1	0%
Imama·Lafferty·Hathaway	7:59	13	8	13	38.1%	6	5	0	0	0.62	0.26	70.8%	+0.37	0	1	0%
Tkachuk·Tkachuk·Bennett	7:58	16	11	5	68.8%	4	2	1	0	0.24	0.53	31.1%	−0.29	2	0	100%
Occasional · 4 groups
Vilmanis·Eller·Verhaeghe	0:42	1	4	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.33	0.00	100.0%	+0.33	0	0	—
Imama·Tkachuk·Bennett	0:39	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Tkachuk·Tkachuk·Lundell	0:35	1	1	2	33.3%	0	2	0	1	0.07	0.19	26.1%	−0.12	0	0	—
Reinhart·Verhaeghe·Hathaway	0:33	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Other 33 brief groups	5:26		3	1	75.0%	0	1	0	0	0.05	0.02	76.6%	+0.04
FLA 5v5	43:30		47	44	51.6%	18	21	2	3	2.03	2.63	43.6%	−0.60

Goalies

Akira Schmid

FLA · 60:00

Saves: 24/27
SV%: .889
GAA: 3.00
xGA: 3.58
GSAx: +0.58

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/24	.875	3.20	+0.20
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.27	+0.27
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.11	+0.11
High danger	5/6	.833	1.95	+0.95

Cam Talbot

CBJ · 47:33

Saves: 17/23
SV%: .739
GAA: 7.57
xGA: 2.50
GSAx: −3.50

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	13/15	.867	1.33	−0.67
Power play	3/7	.429	1.17	−2.83
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.00	+0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	0.94	−0.06

Jet Greaves

CBJ · 14:04

Saves: 4/4
SV%: 1.000
GAA: 0.00
xGA: 0.87
GSAx: +0.87

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	3/3	1.000	0.70	+0.70
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.17	+0.17
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.36	+0.36

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Florida Panthers

Minutes

23:14Jones
21:27Ekblad
19:36Forsling
17:25Mikkola
16:19Balinskis
13:08Kulikov

19:24Reinhart
18:47Luostarinen
18:34Lundell
18:24Verhaeghe
17:20M. Tkachuk
16:31Eller
16:19B. Tkachuk
15:48Bennett
13:25Vilmanis
10:49Hathaway
10:00Imama
9:30Lafferty

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareFLACBJGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

30–3645%

D 41%9–13N 55%12–10O 41%9–13 7 won into a shot

CBJ attacks913FLA DZ 41% CBJ OZ

Neutral1210FLA NZ 55% CBJ NZ

FLA attacks913FLA OZ 41% CBJ DZ

36–3055%

D 59%13–9N 45%10–12O 59%13–9 11 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JonesD4 O6
BalinskisD1 O3
KulikovD2 O2
EkbladD6 O3
ForslingD4 O1
MikkolaD3 O0
M. TkachukD1 O5
B. TkachukD1 O5
VerhaegheD1 O3
VilmanisD1 O3
ReinhartD3 O3
BennettD1 O1
EllerD3 O2
LaffertyD1 O0
ImamaD1 O0
LundellD5 O4
HathawayD3 O1
LuostarinenD5 O3

Shift starts · darker = later period