COL @ TOR 6–3 · 2026-11-10

ColoradoCOLAvalanche6

FinalNov 102026-11-10

Team	1	2	3	SOG
COL	2	1	3	28
TOR	1	1	1	31

Scotiabank Arena

TorontoTORMaple Leafs3

CallNo lean · 34% TOR

Star 1G. Landeskog2G 0A
Star 2J. Roslovic1G 1A
Star 3D. Toews1G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

-175Moneyline+145-1.5 +140Puck line+1.5 -166O -122Total 6.5U +102-105RegulationTie +330 +195-1451st period+110+1461st · 3-wayTie +183 +212

Season odds

99%99%+0.3Playoffs5.4%5.0%−0.416%17%+1.0Cup0.0%0.0%±0.0

Story

– / 12

Result COL 6–3Call No lean · COL 66%Market COL 62%xG 4.13–2.32 · deserved COL 79%Swing Landeskog +25 3rd 5:02Method

Goals and penalties with TOR win probability
Time	Event	TOR win before	TOR win after
1st 3:33	Goal TOR · D. Raddysh	34%	50%
1st 16:09	Goal COL · B. Nelson	54%	36%
1st 17:26	Goal COL · G. Landeskog	36%	20%
2nd 3:31	Goal COL · D. Toews	20%	9%
2nd 7:05	TOR penalty · B. Duhaime · hooking · 2 min
2nd 13:12	TOR penalty · G. McKenna · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 17:30	COL penalty · M. Necas · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 19:31	Goal TOR · E. Cowan	6%	17%
3rd 4:11	Goal TOR · J. Roslovic	15%	40%
3rd 5:02	Goal COL · G. Landeskog	41%	15%
3rd 17:15	Goal COL · A. Lehkonen	5%	1%
3rd 17:30	Goal COL · M. Necas (EN)	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

COL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
11B. NelsonC	0:15	14:55	20	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	1	5-6
71J. SchwartzL	0:15	12:59	17	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	–
13T. HughesR	0:15	13:48	15	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-1
27B. KulakD	0:45	20:35	27	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	1	–
70S. MalinskiD	0:45	19:50	26	0	1	1	2	5	0	1	2	–
39M. BlackwoodG		59:26	SA31GA3SV%.903xGA2.32GSAx−0.68

TOR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
81D. JoshuaC	0:15	11:03	15	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	0-1
20N. PaulL	0:15	15:34	20	0	1	1	2	4	0	0	0	5-4
92G. McKennaL	0:18	13:14	17	0	1	1	1	2	2	0	1	–
28T. StecherD	1:04	19:16	25	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	–
36D. MermisD	1:04	15:31	21	0	0	0	3	6	0	2	1	–
72S. BobrovskyG		59:50	SA27GA5SV%.815xGA3.21GSAx−1.79

Goals

1st
Darren Raddysh(1)
A. Matthews (17), J. Roslovic (11)
xG 0.01slapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 TOR1st 03:33+15.950%
Brock Nelson(5)
T. Hughes (6), J. Schwartz (6)
xG 0.05wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 16:09+18.264%
Gabriel Landeskog(6)
N. Roy (4), C. Makar (17)
xG 0.41backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 COL1st 17:26+15.780%
2nd
Devon Toews(6)
L. O'Connor (2), P. Kelly (5)
xG 0.01snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 COL2nd 03:31+11.091%
Easton Cowan(7)
G. McKenna (7), N. Paul (5)
xG 0.05wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 COL2nd 19:31+11.617%
3rd
Jack Roslovic(9)
E. Cowan (9), D. Raddysh (11)
xG 0.17backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 04:11+24.940%
Gabriel Landeskog(7)
N. Kadri (10), S. Malinski (8)
xG 0.18wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 COL3rd 05:02+25.485%
Artturi Lehkonen(13)
C. Makar (18), D. Toews (12)
xG 0.19wristClip(opens nhl.com)
5–3 COL3rd 17:15+4.299%
Martin Necas(10)EN
Unassisted
xG 0.92backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
6–3 COL3rd 17:30+0.099%

Shots

Shooters

COL4.13 xG41 unblocked · 18 blocked41 unblocked · 18 blocked

TOR2.32 xG46 unblocked · 16 blocked46 unblocked · 16 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

COLTOR6Goals34.13xG2.3228Shots3141Unblocked4659Attempts628High danger40/2Power play0/130Faceoffs3214Hits2616Blocks184Takeaways114Giveaways112PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
8C. MakarCale MakarD	23:23	0	2	2	1	4	0.05	−0.05	0	2	1	0	—	0	+1
7D. ToewsDevon ToewsD	22:06	1	1	2	2	2	0.06	+0.94	0	0	1	1	—	0	+5
29N. MacKinnonNathan MacKinnonC	20:38	0	0	0	3	6	0.54	−0.54	0	0	0	3	65%	0	+1
27B. KulakBrett KulakD	20:35	0	0	0	1	3	0.03	−0.03	0	1	0	2	—	0	-1
70S. MalinskiSam MalinskiD	19:50	0	1	1	2	5	0.05	−0.05	1	2	0	2	—	0	+3
88M. NecasMartin NecasC	19:30	1	0	1	2	4	0.95	+0.05	1	0	0	1	—	2	+1
62A. LehkonenArtturi LehkonenL	18:52	1	0	1	4	6	0.73	+0.27	0	1	0	1	—	0	+2
84B. BurnsBrent BurnsD	16:11	0	0	0	1	3	0.01	−0.01	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
91N. KadriNazem KadriC	15:51	0	1	1	5	7	0.38	−0.38	1	0	1	0	25%	0	+1
92G. LandeskogGabriel LandeskogL	15:16	2	0	2	4	7	0.85	+1.15	1	0	1	0	0%	0	0
11B. NelsonBrock NelsonC	14:55	1	0	1	1	1	0.05	+0.95	0	1	0	0	45%	0	+1
25L. O'ConnorLogan O'ConnorR	13:56	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	3	0	0	—	0	0
13T. HughesT.J. HughesR	13:48	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	0%	0	+1
17P. KellyParker KellyC	13:46	0	1	1	1	4	0.00	−0.00	1	1	0	1	100%	0	0
47N. JuulsenNoah JuulsenD	13:34	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	5	3	0	1	—	0	-1
71J. SchwartzJaden SchwartzL	12:59	0	1	1	0	2	0.04	−0.04	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
9F. SvechkovFedor SvechkovC	11:47	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	2	0	1	54%	0	+1
10N. RoyNicolas RoyC	11:37	0	1	1	1	4	0.39	−0.39	0	0	0	0	0%	0	0
COL total		6	10	16	28	59	4.13	+1.87	14	16	4	14	48%	2

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Landeskog8.6

Roy7.2

Lehkonen7.0

Nelson7.0

Hughes7.0

Kadri7.0

O'Connor6.3

Schwartz5.0

Svechkov4.6

Kelly3.9

MacKinnon3.4

Necas1.7

Defence

Toews8.0

Makar7.8

Malinski6.1

Juulsen6.1

Burns5.2

Kulak3.0

Goalie

Blackwood4.0

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Lehkonen·MacKinnon·Necas	13:11	20	12	14	46.2%	6	8	1	0	0.95	0.73	56.6%	+0.22	2	5	29%
Landeskog·Roy·Kadri	10:16	16	16	8	66.7%	8	7	2	1	1.29	0.36	78.3%	+0.93	1	3	25%
Svechkov·Kelly·O'Connor	9:31	14	8	14	36.4%	3	3	1	0	0.02	0.28	6.2%	−0.27	2	2	50%
Schwartz·Nelson·Hughes	8:47	14	6	8	42.9%	1	3	1	0	0.05	0.13	25.7%	−0.09	3	1	75%
Occasional · 10 groups
Kelly·MacKinnon·O'Connor	0:53	2	0	4	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Landeskog·Necas·Kadri	0:52	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	0	0	—
Lehkonen·MacKinnon·O'Connor	0:45	2	1	3	25.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	0	0	—
MacKinnon·Necas·Kadri	0:45	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	1	0	100%
Nelson·Kelly·O'Connor	0:45	1	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.24	0.0%	−0.24	0	0	—
Lehkonen·Svechkov·O'Connor	0:33	3	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.02	0.04	33.9%	−0.02	0	0	—
Svechkov·Kelly·Hughes	0:33	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Lehkonen·Schwartz·Nelson	0:30	1	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Landeskog·Roy·MacKinnon	0:26	5	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.17	0.0%	−0.17	0	0	—
Kelly·Necas·O'Connor	0:01	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
Other 33 brief groups	5:28		4	2	66.7%	3	2	0	0	0.17	0.08	67.4%	+0.09
COL 5v5	53:16		49	61	44.5%	23	30	5	3	2.53	2.32	52.2%	+0.21

Goalies

Mackenzie Blackwood

COL · 59:26

Saves: 28/31
SV%: .903
GAA: 3.03
xGA: 2.32
GSAx: −0.68

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	27/30	.900	2.32	−0.68
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.00	+0.00
High danger	3/4	.750	0.71	−0.29

Sergei Bobrovsky

TOR · 59:50

Saves: 22/27
SV%: .815
GAA: 5.01
xGA: 3.21
GSAx: −1.79

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	19/24	.792	2.78	−2.22
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.43	+0.43
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/6	.500	1.55	−1.45

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Colorado Avalanche

Minutes

23:23Makar
22:06Toews
20:35Kulak
19:50Malinski
16:11Burns
13:34Juulsen

20:38MacKinnon
19:30Necas
18:52Lehkonen
15:51Kadri
15:16Landeskog
14:55Nelson
13:56O'Connor
13:48Hughes
13:46Kelly
12:59Schwartz
11:47Svechkov
11:37Roy

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCOLTORGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

30–3248%

D 48%12–13N 55%12–10O 40%6–9 6 won into a shot

TOR attacks1213COL DZ 48% TOR OZ

Neutral1210COL NZ 55% TOR NZ

COL attacks69COL OZ 40% TOR DZ

32–3052%

D 60%9–6N 45%10–12O 52%13–12 10 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JuulsenD2 O2
MakarD4 O4
BurnsD4 O3
ToewsD4 O2
MalinskiD3 O1
KulakD4 O1
HughesD1 O3
NelsonD2 O3
SchwartzD1 O2
KellyD2 O2
O'ConnorD2 O2
SvechkovD2 O2
KadriD3 O2
MacKinnonD4 O3
LandeskogD3 O1
LehkonenD4 O2
RoyD3 O1
NecasD4 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period