STL @ MIN 4–5 · 2026-10-15

St. LouisSTLBlues4

FinalOct 152026-10-15

Team	1	2	3	SOG
STL	1	1	2	26
MIN	2	3	0	39

Grand Casino Arena

MinnesotaMINWild5

CallNo lean · 56% MIN

Star 1M. Boldy3G 1A
Star 2Q. Hughes0G 2A
Star 3J. Eriksson Ek0G 2A

Closing linesDraftKings

+120Moneyline-142+1.5 -218Puck line-1.5 +180O -135Total 5.5U +114+165RegulationTie +310 +115+1051st period-135+1951st · 3-wayTie +175 +167

Season odds

68%67%−1.2Playoffs88%90%+2.81.6%1.8%+0.2Cup3.7%3.9%+0.2

Story

– / 16

Result MIN 5–4Call No lean · MIN 56%Market MIN 57%xG 3.27–4.38 · deserved MIN 67%Swing Boldy +20 2nd 5:24Method

Goals and penalties with MIN win probability
Time	Event	MIN win before	MIN win after
1st 0:55	MIN penalty · B. Brink · interference · 2 min
1st 1:45	Goal STL · J. Berggren (PP)	56%	40%
1st 5:36	STL penalty · M. McTavish · high sticking · 2 min
1st 7:08	STL penalty · J. Neighbours · tripping · 2 min
1st 7:31	Goal MIN · M. Boldy (PP)	39%	56%
1st 11:17	Goal MIN · D. Yurov	56%	73%
1st 13:52	MIN penalty · Z. Bogosian · holding · 2 min
2nd 0:53	STL penalty · R. Thomas · holding · 2 min
2nd 4:57	Goal STL · M. McTavish	75%	55%
2nd 5:24	Goal MIN · M. Boldy	55%	75%
2nd 8:47	Goal MIN · K. Kaprizov	75%	89%
2nd 16:47	Goal MIN · M. Boldy	92%	98%
3rd 0:51	STL penalty · J. Neighbours · tripping · 2 min
3rd 15:29	STL penalty · J. Hofer · interference · 2 min
3rd 16:00	Goal STL · R. Thomas (SH)	99%	99%
3rd 19:45	Goal STL · D. Holloway	99%	99%

On ice · final horn

STL6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18R. ThomasC	0:48	22:49	27	1	1	2	3	3	2	0	1	14-11
83M. McTavishC	0:15	14:36	22	1	0	1	4	6	2	0	1	6-5
77C. McMichaelL	0:15	16:45	26	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	4-2
21J. SnuggerudR	0:55	20:28	24	0	0	0	3	7	0	1	2	0-1
17C. FowlerD	0:55	20:13	27	0	3	3	3	4	0	0	0	–
55C. ParaykoD	0:15	26:01	30	0	1	1	3	5	0	0	3	–

MIN5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
12M. BoldyL	2:04	24:51	21	3	1	4	8	13	0	0	1	1-4
20B. ColemanL	1:33	17:37	20	0	0	0	3	5	0	1	0	1-0
38R. HartmanR	0:15	13:48	19	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	5-4
25J. BrodinD	0:15	22:51	27	0	0	0	2	5	0	1	3	–
43Q. HughesD	0:15	25:17	22	0	2	2	5	5	0	0	0	–
30J. WallstedtG		59:49	SA26GA4SV%.846xGA3.27GSAx−0.73

Goals

1st
Jonatan Berggren(1)PP
C. Fowler (1), D. Dvorsky (1)
xG 0.24backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 STL1st 01:45+16.360%
Matt Boldy(1)PP
Q. Hughes (1), J. Eriksson Ek (1)
xG 0.13slapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 07:31+17.156%
Danila Yurov(1)
M. Shabanov (1), Y. Trenin (1)
xG 0.09wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 MIN1st 11:17+16.673%
2nd
Mason McTavish(1)
P. Suter (1), C. Parayko (1)
xG 0.14backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 04:57+19.445%
Matt Boldy(2)
J. Eriksson Ek (2), K. Kaprizov (1)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 MIN2nd 05:24+19.675%
Kirill Kaprizov(1)
Q. Hughes (2), M. Boldy (1)
xG 0.08tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 MIN2nd 08:47+13.889%
Matt Boldy(3)
K. Kaprizov (2), M. McCarron (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–5 MIN2nd 16:47+5.898%
3rd
Robert Thomas(1)SH
C. Fowler (2)
xG 0.48wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–5 MIN3rd 16:00+0.21%
Dylan Holloway(1)6v5
R. Thomas (1), C. Fowler (3)
xG 0.20wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–5 MIN3rd 19:45+0.11%

Shots

Shooters

STL3.27 xG36 unblocked · 15 blocked36 unblocked · 15 blocked

MIN4.38 xG56 unblocked · 15 blocked56 unblocked · 15 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

STLMIN4Goals53.27xG4.3826Shots3936Unblocked5651Attempts715High danger91/2Power play1/538Faceoffs2919Hits2315Blocks154Takeaways418Giveaways1510PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
55C. ParaykoColton ParaykoD	26:01	0	1	1	3	5	0.14	−0.14	0	3	0	1	—	0	+1
81D. HollowayDylan HollowayL	23:15	1	0	1	3	6	0.36	+0.64	3	1	1	1	—	0	+1
18R. ThomasRobert ThomasC	22:49	1	1	2	3	3	1.00	+0.00	0	1	0	0	56%	2	+2
6P. BrobergPhilip BrobergD	22:26	0	0	0	0	4	0.01	−0.01	0	1	0	1	—	0	0
21J. SnuggerudJimmy SnuggerudR	20:28	0	0	0	3	7	0.27	−0.27	1	1	0	2	0%	0	+1
17C. FowlerCam FowlerD	20:13	0	3	3	3	4	0.30	−0.30	0	0	1	1	—	0	-1
77C. McMichaelConnor McMichaelL	16:45	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	−0.06	0	0	0	1	67%	0	-2
25B. CarloBrandon CarloD	16:43	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	0	—	0	-2
72J. BarronJustin BarronD	16:14	0	0	0	2	3	0.15	−0.15	0	2	0	5	—	0	-1
36A. JiricekAdam JiricekD	15:43	0	0	0	1	2	0.06	−0.06	0	4	0	2	—	0	+1
29J. BerggrenJonatan BerggrenR	15:13	1	0	1	2	3	0.25	+0.75	0	0	1	1	—	0	-2
22P. SuterPius SuterC	15:09	0	1	1	0	2	0.03	−0.03	1	0	0	1	50%	0	+1
83M. McTavishMason McTavishC	14:36	1	0	1	4	6	0.40	+0.60	0	1	0	0	55%	2	-1
63J. NeighboursJake NeighboursL	13:40	0	0	0	1	3	0.13	−0.13	4	0	0	1	0%	4	+1
15D. DvorskyDalibor DvorskyR	11:22	0	1	1	1	1	0.12	−0.12	0	0	0	0	73%	0	-1
32D. PetersonDylan PetersonC	8:12	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	4	0	0	0	—	0	-1
52Z. DeanZach DeanC	7:27	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	1	0	50%	0	-1
49R. JohnstonRoss JohnstonL	6:22	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	4	0	0	1	—	0	-1
STL total		4	7	11	26	51	3.27	+0.73	19	15	4	18	57%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Thomas+1.00

Berggren+0.47

Holloway+0.46

McTavish+0.40

Suter+0.27

Dvorsky−0.06

Johnston−0.22

McMichael−0.26

Dean−0.27

Peterson−0.30

Snuggerud−0.35

Neighbours−0.46

Defence

Fowler+0.71

Parayko+0.25

Barron+0.25

Jiricek+0.14

Broberg−0.16

Carlo−0.20

Goalie

Hofer−1.56

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Holloway·Thomas·Snuggerud	14:39	17	13	18	41.9%	8	8	0	0	0.83	0.86	49.2%	−0.03	2	2	50%
McMichael·McTavish·Berggren	7:54	15	9	5	64.3%	6	3	0	2	0.36	0.34	51.5%	+0.02	2	1	67%
Neighbours·Suter·Dvorsky	7:36	15	6	3	66.7%	1	3	0	1	0.08	0.17	30.7%	−0.10	3	4	43%
Johnston·Peterson·Dean	5:37	9	1	4	20.0%	1	3	0	1	0.00	0.47	0.8%	−0.47	0	0	—
Occasional · 4 groups
Holloway·McTavish·Snuggerud	1:25	4	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	1	0%
Holloway·Thomas·Suter	0:39	5	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.20	0.00	100.0%	+0.20	0	0	—
McMichael·Dvorsky·Berggren	0:38	2	0	4	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	0	0	—
Neighbours·Suter·McTavish	0:08	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	1	0	0.14	0.00	100.0%	+0.14	0	0	—
Other 40 brief groups	6:18		0	12	0.0%	0	6	0	0	0.00	0.36	0.0%	−0.36
STL 5v5	44:54		33	47	41.3%	18	25	1	4	1.61	2.29	41.3%	−0.68

Goalies

Joel Hofer

STL · 57:27

Saves: 34/39
SV%: .872
GAA: 5.22
xGA: 3.42
GSAx: −1.58

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/25	.840	2.29	−1.71
Power play	13/14	.929	1.13	+0.13
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	6/7	.857	1.27	+0.27

Jesper Wallstedt

MIN · 59:49

Saves: 22/26
SV%: .846
GAA: 4.01
xGA: 3.27
GSAx: −0.73

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	17/19	.895	1.82	−0.18
Power play	4/5	.800	0.75	−0.25
Shorthanded	1/2	.500	0.70	−0.30
High danger	2/5	.400	1.53	−1.47

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

St. Louis Blues

Minutes

26:01Parayko
22:26Broberg
20:13Fowler
16:43Carlo
16:14Barron
15:43Jiricek

23:15Holloway
22:49Thomas
20:28Snuggerud
16:45McMichael
15:13Berggren
15:09Suter
14:36McTavish
13:40Neighbours
11:22Dvorsky
8:12Peterson
7:27Dean
6:22Johnston

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareSTLMINGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

38–2957%

D 46%13–15N 52%11–10O 78%14–4 4 won into a shot

MIN attacks1315STL DZ 46% MIN OZ

Neutral1110STL NZ 52% MIN NZ

STL attacks144STL OZ 78% MIN DZ

29–3843%

D 22%4–14N 48%10–11O 54%15–13 11 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JiricekD2 O6
ParaykoD3 O4
FowlerD4 O4
BrobergD3 O3
BarronD3 O2
CarloD4 O0
HollowayD1 O6
McTavishD2 O6
SnuggerudD1 O5
McMichaelD3 O6
BerggrenD3 O5
DvorskyD3 O5
ThomasD4 O5
NeighboursD5 O6
JohnstonD0 O0
DeanD1 O0
PetersonD2 O0
SuterD7 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period