SEA @ TBL 3–4 · 2026-10-15

SeattleSEAKraken3

Final/OTOct 152026-10-15

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
SEA	1	0	2	0	27
TBL	1	1	1	1	35

Benchmark International Arena

Tampa BayTBLLightning4

CallNo lean · 71% TBL

Star 1V. Hedman1G 0A
Star 2B. Hagel2G 0A
Star 3D. James0G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

+225Moneyline-278+1.5 -112Puck line-1.5 -108O +110Total 6.5U -130+300RegulationTie +360 -160+1501st period-200+2651st · 3-wayTie +180 +121

Season odds

43%34%−8.4Playoffs96%95%−0.30.2%0.1%−0.1Cup14%13%−0.7

Story

– / 13

Result TBL 4–3 OTCall No lean · TBL 71%Market TBL 72%xG 2.77–4.16 · deserved TBL 71%Swing Hedman +42 OT 2:07Method

Goals and penalties with TBL win probability
Time	Event	TBL win before	TBL win after
1st 5:43	Goal SEA · R. Winterton	70%	54%
1st 10:00	SEA penalty · S. Wright · hooking · 2 min
1st 16:53	Goal TBL · B. Hagel	49%	68%
1st 19:53	SEA penalty · B. Catton · holding · 2 min
2nd 3:38	Goal TBL · B. Hagel	67%	83%
2nd 10:14	TBL penalty · P. Holmberg · tripping · 2 min
2nd 13:20	TBL penalty · E. Lilleberg · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 15:38	SEA penalty · B. Meyers · tripping · 2 min
3rd 2:47	TBL penalty · D. James · interference · 2 min
3rd 2:54	Goal SEA · J. McCann (PP)	86%	63%
3rd 9:58	Goal TBL · I. Mikheyev	61%	90%
3rd 15:41	Goal SEA · M. Beniers	94%	59%
OT 2:07	Goal TBL · V. Hedman	58%	100%

On ice · final horn

SEA3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
51S. WrightC	0:14	12:39	19	0	0	0	4	5	2	0	2	4-3
11M. SamoskevichR	0:35	13:48	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
41R. EvansD	1:18	26:50	31	0	0	0	2	4	0	3	1	–
31P. GrubauerG		62:07	SA34GA3SV%.912xGA3.94GSAx+0.94

TBL3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71A. CirelliC	0:15	18:19	27	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	10-12
29P. HolmbergR	0:22	14:04	19	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	1	1-3
77V. HedmanD	0:12	17:13	25	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	–
88A. VasilevskiyG		62:07	SA27GA3SV%.889xGA2.77GSAx−0.23

Goals

1st
Ryan Winterton(1)
F. Gaudreau (1)
xG 0.08backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 SEA1st 05:43+16.446%
Brandon Hagel(1)
B. Point (1), J. Guentzel (1)
xG 0.30wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 16:53+18.768%
2nd
Brandon Hagel(2)
A. Cirelli (1), D. James (1)
xG 0.09snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 TBL2nd 03:38+16.583%
3rd
Jared McCann(1)PP
J. Eberle (1), C. Stephenson (1)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 02:54+23.637%
Ilya Mikheyev(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.13wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 TBL3rd 09:58+28.690%
Matty Beniers(1)
V. Dunn (1)
xG 0.12tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 15:41+34.841%
OT
Victor Hedman(1)
P. Holmberg (1)
xG 0.22backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 TBLOT 02:07+41.7100%

Shots

Shooters

SEA2.77 xG40 unblocked · 7 blocked40 unblocked · 7 blocked

TBL4.16 xG49 unblocked · 12 blocked49 unblocked · 12 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

SEATBL3Goals42.77xG4.1627Shots3540Unblocked4947Attempts615High danger81/3Power play0/335Faceoffs2515Hits3012Blocks74Takeaways614Giveaways196PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
29V. DunnVince DunnD	28:24	0	1	1	1	4	0.17	−0.17	1	1	2	1	—	0	0
6A. LarssonAdam LarssonD	27:18	0	0	0	2	5	0.06	−0.06	1	1	0	1	—	0	0
41R. EvansRyker EvansD	26:50	0	0	0	2	4	0.02	−0.02	3	1	0	3	—	0	-2
89F. GaudreauFrederick GaudreauC	17:52	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	2	50%	0	+1
7J. EberleJordan EberleR	17:25	0	1	1	1	1	0.08	−0.08	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
9C. StephensonChandler StephensonC	17:16	0	1	1	0	2	0.08	−0.08	0	0	0	0	63%	0	0
10M. BeniersMatty BeniersC	16:53	1	0	1	2	4	0.31	+0.69	0	0	0	0	59%	0	+1
28J. MahuraJosh MahuraD	16:27	0	0	0	1	1	0.00	−0.00	2	0	0	0	—	0	0
74B. McMannBobby McMannC	16:24	0	0	0	1	2	0.00	−0.00	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
19J. McCannJared McCannL	16:21	1	0	1	3	5	0.36	+0.64	0	0	1	1	—	0	+1
26R. WintertonRyan WintertonC	15:18	1	0	1	4	6	0.59	+0.41	0	1	0	1	—	0	+1
59B. MeyersBen MeyersC	14:25	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	0	1	1	83%	2	+1
11M. SamoskevichMackie SamoskevichR	13:48	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
51S. WrightShane WrightC	12:39	0	0	0	4	5	0.63	−0.63	0	2	0	0	57%	2	-4
27B. CattonBerkly CattonC	12:26	0	0	0	2	3	0.28	−0.28	1	0	0	2	25%	2	-3
46V. OttavainenVille OttavainenD	11:16	0	0	0	1	2	0.01	−0.01	1	1	0	1	—	0	0
84K. KakkoKaapo KakkoR	11:14	0	0	0	1	1	0.00	−0.00	2	0	0	1	—	0	-2
62B. MontourBrandon MontourD	8:05	0	0	0	2	2	0.18	−0.18	0	2	0	0	—	0	-1
SEA total		3	4	7	27	47	2.77	+0.23	15	11	4	14	58%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Winterton+0.60

Eberle+0.42

McCann+0.41

Beniers+0.36

Gaudreau+0.24

Samoskevich−0.10

Meyers−0.18

Kakko−0.20

Wright−0.26

Stephenson−0.28

Catton−0.40

McMann−0.43

Defence

Montour+0.13

Dunn+0.09

Ottavainen+0.09

Mahura−0.03

Evans−0.20

Larsson−0.34

Goalie

Grubauer+0.18

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Winterton·Meyers·Gaudreau	10:43	16	7	5	58.3%	3	0	1	0	0.62	0.08	88.1%	+0.54	0	6	0%
McCann·Beniers·Samoskevich	10:23	15	8	8	50.0%	4	6	1	0	0.44	0.65	40.4%	−0.21	0	1	0%
Stephenson·McMann·Eberle	10:22	16	10	16	38.5%	5	11	0	0	0.12	0.69	14.9%	−0.57	2	3	40%
Catton·Wright·Kakko	8:03	14	10	10	50.0%	5	6	0	2	0.79	0.76	51.0%	+0.03	3	1	75%
Occasional · 5 groups
McCann·Beniers·Wright	1:11	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Winterton·Gaudreau·Samoskevich	0:45	3	2	1	66.7%	1	1	0	0	0.01	0.08	8.6%	−0.08	0	0	—
Stephenson·McMann·Gaudreau	0:38	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	2	0%
Catton·Samoskevich·Kakko	0:36	1	2	1	66.7%	2	0	0	0	0.18	0.09	66.6%	+0.09	0	0	—
Catton·Wright·McMann	0:21	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	0	0	—
Other 38 brief groups	6:51		3	3	50.0%	3	1	0	0	0.15	0.06	70.0%	+0.08
SEA 5v5	49:53		42	46	47.7%	23	26	2	3	2.30	2.54	47.5%	−0.24

Goalies

Philipp Grubauer

SEA · 62:07

Saves: 31/35
SV%: .886
GAA: 3.86
xGA: 4.16
GSAx: +0.16

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	25/29	.862	3.34	−0.66
Power play	6/6	1.000	0.81	+0.81
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	6/8	.750	1.82	−0.18

Andrei Vasilevskiy

TBL · 62:07

Saves: 24/27
SV%: .889
GAA: 2.90
xGA: 2.77
GSAx: −0.23

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/24	.917	2.36	+0.36
Power play	2/3	.667	0.40	−0.60
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	5/5	1.000	0.96	+0.96

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Seattle Kraken

Minutes

28:24Dunn
27:18Larsson
26:50Evans
16:27Mahura
11:16Ottavainen
8:05Montour

17:52Gaudreau
17:25Eberle
17:16Stephenson
16:53Beniers
16:24McMann
16:21McCann
15:18Winterton
14:25Meyers
13:48Samoskevich
12:39Wright
12:26Catton
11:14Kakko

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareSEATBLGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

35–2558%

D 56%15–12N 60%12–8O 62%8–5 7 won into a shot

TBL attacks1512SEA DZ 56% TBL OZ

Neutral128SEA NZ 60% TBL NZ

SEA attacks85SEA OZ 62% TBL DZ

25–3542%

D 38%5–8N 40%8–12O 44%12–15 4 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MahuraD2 O1
LarssonD5 O2
MontourD3 O0
DunnD7 O4
OttavainenD4 O0
EvansD7 O2
KakkoD1 O5
WrightD1 O5
CattonD2 O5
EberleD3 O4
McCannD2 O2
BeniersD2 O2
McMannD5 O4
SamoskevichD1 O0
StephensonD6 O4
WintertonD6 O0
MeyersD8 O0
GaudreauD9 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period