SJS @ NSH 3–2 · 2026-10-15

San JoseSJSSharks3

Final/SOOct 152026-10-15

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
SJS	1	0	1	0	32
NSH	0	0	2	0	34

Bridgestone Arena

NashvilleNSHPredators2

CallNo lean · 52% NSH

Star 1J. Saros.938 SV%
Star 2S. Stamkos1G 0A
Star 3M. Celebrini0G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

+110Moneyline-130+1.5 -218Puck line-1.5 +180O +102Total 6.5U -122+160RegulationTie +320 +115+1001st period-130+1901st · 3-wayTie +180 +164

Season odds

16%19%+3.7Playoffs13%11%−2.40.1%0.1%±0.0Cup0.1%0.0%−0.1

Story

– / 12

Result SJS 3–2 SOCall No lean · NSH 52%Market NSH 55%xG 3.95–4.08 · deserved NSH 52%Swing Stamkos +50 3rd 19:59Method

Goals and penalties with NSH win probability
Time	Event	NSH win before	NSH win after
1st 2:51	NSH penalty · N. Hague · fighting · 5 min
1st 2:51	SJS penalty · Z. Ostapchuk · fighting · 5 min
1st 5:30	Goal SJS · M. Marchment	52%	35%
1st 12:06	NSH penalty · N. Hague · hooking · 2 min
1st 14:52	SJS penalty · Z. Ostapchuk · high sticking double minor · 4 min
2nd 6:46	SJS penalty · I. Chernyshov · interference · 2 min
2nd 9:35	NSH penalty · R. Schaefer · hooking · 2 min
2nd 18:40	NSH penalty · R. Schaefer · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 4:28	Goal SJS · W. Smith	22%	7%
3rd 8:03	SJS penalty · S. Dickinson · tripping · 2 min
3rd 9:05	Goal NSH · R. O'Reilly (PP)	4%	18%
3rd 19:59	Goal NSH · S. Stamkos	1%	51%

On ice · final horn

SJS3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
2W. SmithC	0:52	19:39	22	1	0	1	5	7	0	0	0	0-1
71M. CelebriniC	1:03	23:30	26	0	0	0	3	6	0	1	0	8-7
6S. DickinsonD	0:52	24:30	25	0	0	0	1	4	2	1	5	–
33A. NedeljkovicG		64:51	SA33GA2SV%.939xGA3.76GSAx+1.76

NSH3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
14A. KerfootC	0:52	19:54	23	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	2-3
18J. DruryC	0:40	16:56	23	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	8-6
59R. JosiD	1:21	28:22	27	0	1	1	7	12	0	0	0	–
74J. SarosG		62:39	SA32GA2SV%.938xGA3.44GSAx+1.44

Goals

1st
Mason Marchment(1)
T. Toffoli (1), A. Wennberg (1)
xG 0.21wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 SJS1st 05:30+16.665%
3rd
Will Smith(1)
M. Kesselring (1), I. Chernyshov (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 SJS3rd 04:28+15.493%
Ryan O'Reilly(1)PP
J. Marchessault (1), R. Josi (1)
xG 0.29backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 SJS3rd 09:05+13.918%
Steven Stamkos(1)6v5
F. Forsberg (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 19:59+50.351%

Shootout

SJSWins

1–0

NSH

3 rounds · NSH first

SJS shootersSaros 1/2 SV

I. StenbergSavewristSave
Rd 10–0
R. O'ReillyCrossbarbackhandCrossbar
M. CelebriniWinnerwristGoalWinnerClip(opens nhl.com)
Rd 21–0
F. ForsbergSavebackhandSave
Not neededRd 31–0
R. ColtonSavewristSave

NSH shootersNedeljkovic 2/2 SV

Shots

Shooters

SJS3.95 xG51 unblocked · 21 blocked51 unblocked · 21 blocked

NSH4.08 xG58 unblocked · 23 blocked58 unblocked · 23 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

SJSNSH2Goals23.95xG4.0832Shots3451Unblocked5872Attempts8111High danger60/3Power play1/431Faceoffs3513Hits2023Blocks212Takeaways417Giveaways1213PIM11

Skaters

Player

Player
6S. DickinsonSam DickinsonD	24:39	0	0	0	1	4	0.05	−0.05	1	5	0	1	—	2	-1
65J. TroubaJacob TroubaD	24:33	0	0	0	1	3	0.02	−0.02	1	2	0	0	—	0	-1
71M. CelebriniMacklin CelebriniC	23:39	0	0	0	3	6	0.67	−0.67	1	0	0	5	53%	0	0
21A. WennbergAlexander WennbergC	21:54	0	1	1	0	1	0.16	−0.16	0	2	0	1	39%	0	0
2W. SmithWill SmithC	19:48	1	0	1	5	7	0.56	+0.44	0	0	0	2	0%	0	+1
44K. SherwoodKiefer SherwoodL	19:16	0	0	0	5	9	1.05	−1.05	3	1	0	1	—	0	0
7M. KesselringMichael KesselringD	18:58	0	1	1	1	6	0.05	−0.05	0	1	0	1	—	0	+1
9D. OrlovDmitry OrlovD	18:36	0	0	0	2	3	0.01	−0.01	1	2	0	1	—	0	0
42L. CagnoniLuca CagnoniD	16:35	0	0	0	2	6	0.05	−0.05	0	1	0	1	—	0	+1
27M. MarchmentMason MarchmentL	15:39	1	0	1	2	6	0.30	+0.70	0	1	1	1	0%	0	+1
5N. AllanNolan AllanD	15:28	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	−0.03	2	3	0	0	—	0	+2
51C. GrafCollin GrafR	14:53	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	−0.07	0	1	0	0	33%	0	-1
41I. StenbergIvar StenbergL	14:01	0	0	0	1	4	0.32	−0.32	0	0	1	1	—	0	0
73T. ToffoliTyler ToffoliC	13:32	0	1	1	3	6	0.16	−0.16	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
77M. MisaMichael MisaC	13:02	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	0	0	0	0	55%	0	0
23B. GoodrowBarclay GoodrowC	12:01	0	0	0	4	4	0.31	−0.31	1	3	0	0	—	0	0
92I. ChernyshovIgor ChernyshovL	11:10	0	1	1	0	2	0.10	−0.10	0	0	0	1	—	2	+1
63Z. OstapchukZack OstapchukC	10:14	0	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	3	0	0	0	58%	9	0
SJS total		2	4	6	32	72	3.95	−1.95	13	22	2	17	47%	13

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Toffoli+0.49

Marchment+0.45

Smith+0.38

Goodrow+0.02

Sherwood−0.21

Stenberg−0.24

Wennberg−0.25

Misa−0.30

Graf−0.32

Celebrini−0.35

Chernyshov−0.39

Ostapchuk−0.57

Defence

Kesselring+0.51

Allan+0.20

Trouba0.00

Dickinson−0.07

Orlov−0.10

Cagnoni−0.12

Goalie

Nedeljkovic+2.11

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Marchment·Wennberg·Toffoli	9:54	15	14	12	53.8%	5	5	1	0	0.53	0.25	68.2%	+0.28	2	4	33%
Chernyshov·Smith·Celebrini	8:26	12	8	7	53.3%	3	3	1	0	0.36	0.58	38.6%	−0.22	1	2	33%
Stenberg·Sherwood·Misa	6:56	11	12	6	66.7%	5	4	0	0	0.32	0.29	52.5%	+0.03	3	2	60%
Goodrow·Ostapchuk·Graf	3:43	8	5	6	45.5%	4	3	0	0	0.16	0.15	52.3%	+0.01	2	3	40%
Occasional · 10 groups
Sherwood·Ostapchuk·Graf	2:47	3	0	6	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.17	0.0%	−0.17	0	0	—
Sherwood·Goodrow·Ostapchuk	1:35	4	2	3	40.0%	2	0	0	0	0.06	0.02	78.3%	+0.04	0	1	0%
Smith·Goodrow·Celebrini	1:13	3	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.18	0.00	100.0%	+0.18	0	0	—
Marchment·Sherwood·Misa	0:59	5	1	2	33.3%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	1	0%
Marchment·Sherwood·Wennberg	0:57	4	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Chernyshov·Ostapchuk·Graf	0:49	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Smith·Celebrini·Misa	0:49	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	1	0	100%
Smith·Celebrini·Graf	0:48	1	3	3	50.0%	1	2	0	0	0.05	0.07	43.5%	−0.01	0	0	—
Wennberg·Goodrow·Graf	0:45	2	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	1	0%
Goodrow·Celebrini·Graf	0:40	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Other 35 brief groups	4:25		6	2	75.0%	3	0	0	0	0.14	0.12	54.5%	+0.02
SJS 5v5	44:46		54	51	51.4%	24	20	2	0	1.81	1.71	51.5%	+0.11

Goalies

Alex Nedeljkovic

SJS · 65:00

Saves: 32/34
SV%: .941
GAA: 1.85
xGA: 4.08
GSAx: +2.08

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	28/29	.966	3.15	+2.15
Power play	4/5	.800	0.93	−0.07
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	1.56	+0.56

Juuse Saros

NSH · 62:48

Saves: 30/32
SV%: .938
GAA: 1.91
xGA: 3.44
GSAx: +1.44

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	25/27	.926	2.61	+0.61
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.60	+0.60
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.23	+0.23
High danger	4/5	.800	1.70	+0.70

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

San Jose Sharks

Minutes

24:39Dickinson
24:33Trouba
18:58Kesselring
18:36Orlov
16:35Cagnoni
15:28Allan

23:39Celebrini
21:54Wennberg
19:48Smith
19:16Sherwood
15:39Marchment
14:53Graf
14:01Stenberg
13:32Toffoli
13:02Misa
12:01Goodrow
11:10Chernyshov
10:14Ostapchuk

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareSJSNSHGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

31–3547%

D 45%13–16N 47%8–9O 50%10–10 7 won into a shot

NSH attacks1316SJS DZ 45% NSH OZ

Neutral89SJS NZ 47% NSH NZ

SJS attacks1010SJS OZ 50% NSH DZ

35–3153%

D 50%10–10N 53%9–8O 55%16–13 5 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

CagnoniD0 O3
OrlovD4 O4
AllanD2 O0
KesselringD4 O1
TroubaD9 O1
DickinsonD10 O1
MisaD2 O5
StenbergD2 O5
SmithD3 O5
ToffoliD4 O4
CelebriniD4 O4
ChernyshovD2 O2
MarchmentD4 O3
SherwoodD6 O3
OstapchukD4 O1
WennbergD7 O3
GoodrowD7 O1
GrafD8 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period