NYI @ OTT 1–2 · 2026-10-15

New YorkNYIIslanders1

Final/SOOct 152026-10-15

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
NYI	1	0	0	0	21
OTT	0	1	0	0	20

Canadian Tire Centre

OttawaOTTSenators2

CallNo lean · 63% OTT

Star 1L. Ullmark.952 SV%
Star 2S. Varlamov.950 SV%
Star 3S. Pinto0G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

+136Moneyline-162+1.5 -198Puck line-1.5 +164O -108Total 5.5U -112+185RegulationTie +310 +105+1151st period-150+2201st · 3-wayTie +167 +155

Season odds

16%18%+1.8Playoffs55%52%−2.60.1%0.1%±0.0Cup1.1%1.2%+0.1

Story

– / 9

Result OTT 2–1 SOCall No lean · OTT 63%Market OTT 60%xG 1.73–3.06 · deserved OTT 74%Swing Greig +25 2nd 15:43Method

Goals and penalties with OTT win probability
Time	Event	OTT win before	OTT win after
1st 19:48	Goal NYI · M. Maccelli	61%	41%
2nd 2:11	OTT penalty · T. Chabot · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 9:42	NYI penalty · L. Stanley · tripping · 2 min
2nd 12:56	NYI penalty · C. Ritchie · hooking · 2 min
2nd 15:43	Goal OTT · R. Greig	34%	59%
2nd 17:12	NYI penalty · A. Duclair · holding · 2 min
3rd 8:30	OTT penalty · N. Cousins · high sticking · 2 min
OT 1:52	NYI penalty · A. Pelech · hooking · 2 min
OT 4:01	OTT penalty · D. Cozens · tripping · 2 min

On ice · final horn

NYI4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
14B. HorvatC	1:22	22:58	26	0	0	0	4	7	0	2	1	9-7
21K. PalmieriC	0:35	16:48	21	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	–
63M. MaccelliL	0:35	18:02	22	1	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	–
48M. SchaeferD	0:35	29:05	31	0	0	0	3	10	0	0	1	–
40S. VarlamovG		64:36	SA20GA1SV%.950xGA3.06GSAx+2.06

OTT3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71R. GreigC	0:21	17:24	26	1	0	1	3	3	0	0	0	5-7
2A. ZubD	0:35	18:05	23	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	6	–
43T. KlevenD	0:35	20:56	25	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	1	–
35L. UllmarkG		64:36	SA21GA1SV%.952xGA1.73GSAx+0.73

Goals

1st
Matias Maccelli(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.01wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 NYI1st 19:48+20.059%
2nd
Ridly Greig(1)
W. Foegele (1), A. Zub (1)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 15:43+25.559%

Shootout

NYI

0–1

OTTWins

3 rounds · OTT first

NYI shootersUllmark 2/2 SV

B. SchennSavewristSave
Rd 10–0
D. BathersonSavesnapSave
B. HorvatSavewristSave
Rd 20–0
T. StützleMisswristMiss
Not neededRd 30–1
S. PintoWinnersnapGoalWinnerClip(opens nhl.com)

OTT shootersVarlamov 1/2 SV

Shots

Shooters

NYI1.73 xG36 unblocked · 16 blocked36 unblocked · 16 blocked

OTT3.06 xG33 unblocked · 16 blocked33 unblocked · 16 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NYIOTT1Goals11.73xG3.0621Shots2036Unblocked3352Attempts491High danger80/3Power play0/430Faceoffs2123Hits2216Blocks165Takeaways519Giveaways188PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
48M. SchaeferMatthew SchaeferD	29:29	0	0	3	10	0.24	−0.24	0	1	3	2	—	0	0
8L. StanleyLogan StanleyD	26:30	0	0	0	5	0.14	−0.14	4	5	0	1	—	2	+1
14B. HorvatBo HorvatC	23:22	0	0	4	7	0.30	−0.30	2	1	0	1	56%	0	+1
3A. PelechAdam PelechD	22:02	0	0	1	1	0.00	−0.00	2	2	0	1	—	2	0
6R. PulockRyan PulockD	20:31	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	0	2	0	3	—	0	0
51E. HeinemanEmil HeinemanL	18:30	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	2	0	0	0	0%	0	0
63M. MaccelliMatias MaccelliL	18:26	1	1	2	2	0.06	+0.94	0	0	1	1	—	0	+1
21K. PalmieriKyle PalmieriC	17:12	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
92S. HolmstromSimon HolmstromR	17:00	0	0	1	2	0.24	−0.24	0	0	0	2	—	0	0
10B. SchennBrayden SchennC	16:27	0	0	1	2	0.07	−0.07	2	0	0	1	50%	0	-1
44J. PageauJean-Gabriel PageauC	15:34	0	0	2	4	0.18	−0.18	3	1	0	1	70%	0	0
77T. DeAngeloTony DeAngeloD	15:04	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	1	—	0	-1
38V. EklundVictor EklundR	13:49	0	0	0	1	0.05	−0.05	2	1	0	0	—	0	0
81O. PalatOndrej PalatL	13:37	0	0	2	4	0.30	−0.30	1	0	0	0	0%	0	0
53C. CizikasCasey CizikasC	11:49	0	0	1	2	0.04	−0.04	3	0	1	2	50%	0	0
64C. RitchieCalum RitchieC	10:38	0	0	1	3	0.00	−0.00	0	0	0	2	67%	2	-1
4M. KesselMatthew KesselD	10:30	0	0	1	1	0.00	−0.00	1	0	0	1	—	0	0
11A. DuclairAnthony DuclairL	9:38	0	0	1	5	0.05	−0.05	0	0	0	0	—	2	0
NYI total		1	1	21	52	1.73	−0.73	23	14	5	19	59%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Maccelli+0.20

Pageau−0.03

Palat−0.13

Cizikas−0.17

Eklund−0.17

Schenn−0.24

Duclair−0.31

Holmstrom−0.33

Ritchie−0.43

Heineman−0.43

Palmieri−0.55

Horvat−0.73

Defence

Schaefer+0.05

Stanley−0.04

Kessel−0.04

DeAngelo−0.09

Pelech−0.15

Pulock−0.15

Goalie

Varlamov+2.09

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Maccelli·Horvat·Palmieri	11:00	18	8	13	38.1%	3	7	1	0	0.12	0.59	17.0%	−0.47	1	0	100%
Schenn·Ritchie·Eklund	5:55	10	4	6	40.0%	1	1	0	0	0.07	0.18	29.1%	−0.10	3	0	100%
Duclair·Palat·Pageau	5:23	10	8	1	88.9%	2	0	0	0	0.35	0.00	100.0%	+0.35	4	1	80%
Heineman·Cizikas·Holmstrom	5:08	11	3	4	42.9%	3	1	0	0	0.20	0.04	84.6%	+0.16	0	1	0%
Palat·Pageau·Holmstrom	4:10	5	8	1	88.9%	3	0	0	0	0.15	0.10	60.0%	+0.05	0	0	—
Heineman·Schenn·Eklund	3:36	5	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.05	0.00	100.0%	+0.05	0	0	—
Occasional · 10 groups
Heineman·Palat·Cizikas	1:30	2	2	1	66.7%	0	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	0	0	—
Duclair·Cizikas·Ritchie	1:19	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	1	0	100%
Maccelli·Horvat·Holmstrom	1:00	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Heineman·Schenn·Cizikas	0:56	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Palat·Pageau·Cizikas	0:46	1	3	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.12	0.00	100.0%	+0.12	0	0	—
Heineman·Ritchie·Eklund	0:40	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	100.0%	+0.00	0	0	—
Palat·Ritchie·Eklund	0:37	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.0%	−0.00	0	0	—
Heineman·Horvat·Holmstrom	0:35	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Heineman·Palmieri·Cizikas	0:30	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Schenn·Palmieri·Ritchie	0:19	2	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.16	0.0%	−0.16	0	0	—
Other 43 brief groups	6:36		5	1	83.3%	2	1	0	0	0.33	0.03	90.8%	+0.30
NYI 5v5	50:00		45	30	60.0%	17	13	1	1	1.44	1.11	56.5%	+0.33

Goalies

Semyon Varlamov

NYI · 65:00

Saves: 19/20
SV%: .950
GAA: 0.92
xGA: 3.06
GSAx: +2.06

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	13/14	.929	1.39	+0.39
Power play	6/6	1.000	1.68	+1.68
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/4	.750	1.56	+0.56

Linus Ullmark

OTT · 65:00

Saves: 20/21
SV%: .952
GAA: 0.92
xGA: 1.73
GSAx: +0.73

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/19	.947	1.55	+0.55
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.18	+0.18
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.25	+0.25

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

New York Islanders

Minutes

29:29Schaefer
26:30Stanley
22:02Pelech
20:31Pulock
15:04DeAngelo
10:30Kessel

23:22Horvat
18:30Heineman
18:26Maccelli
17:12Palmieri
17:00Holmstrom
16:27Schenn
15:34Pageau
13:49Eklund
13:37Palat
11:49Cizikas
10:38Ritchie
9:38Duclair

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNYIOTTGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

30–2159%

D 50%8–8N 71%12–5O 56%10–8 7 won into a shot

OTT attacks88NYI DZ 50% OTT OZ

Neutral125NYI NZ 71% OTT NZ

NYI attacks108NYI OZ 56% OTT DZ

21–3041%

D 44%8–10N 29%5–12O 50%8–8 1 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DeAngeloD0 O4
SchaeferD2 O6
StanleyD2 O2
KesselD1 O1
PelechD5 O2
PulockD6 O2
PalmieriD0 O4
DuclairD1 O5
MaccelliD0 O4
RitchieD0 O4
SchennD1 O4
PalatD1 O4
EklundD0 O3
PageauD5 O7
HorvatD2 O3
CizikasD1 O1
HolmstromD3 O1
HeinemanD5 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period