NSH @ ANA 4–2 · 2026-11-11

NashvilleNSHPredators4

FinalNov 112026-11-11

Team	1	2	3	SOG
NSH	1	1	2	22
ANA	1	0	1	29

Honda Center

AnaheimANADucks2

CallNo lean · 59% ANA

Star 1J. Annunen.931 SV%
Star 2M. Granlund1G 1A
Star 3S. Wright1G 2A

Closing linesDraftKings

+124Moneyline-148+1.5 -198Puck line-1.5 +164O -142Total 6.5U +120+165RegulationTie +340 +110+1051st period-135+2001st · 3-wayTie +188 +158

Season odds

51%65%+13.6Playoffs52%46%−6.20.2%0.3%+0.1Cup0.3%0.3%±0.0

Story

– / 12

Result NSH 4–2Call No lean · ANA 59%Market ANA 58%xG 2.86–3.95 · deserved ANA 67%Swing Hoglander +24 2nd 16:02Method

Goals and penalties with ANA win probability
Time	Event	ANA win before	ANA win after
1st 8:08	Goal ANA · C. Gauthier	59%	74%
1st 8:29	Goal NSH · J. Struble	74%	59%
1st 9:57	NSH penalty · S. Stamkos · tripping · 2 min
2nd 12:27	ANA penalty · L. Carlsson · tripping · 2 min
2nd 16:02	Goal NSH · N. Hoglander	56%	32%
2nd 19:58	ANA penalty · A. Killorn · hooking · 2 min
3rd 8:05	Goal NSH · S. Wright	22%	6%
3rd 12:11	Goal ANA · M. Granlund	3%	17%
3rd 12:31	NSH penalty · N. Perbix · holding · 2 min
3rd 16:04	Goal NSH · S. Stamkos	10%	1%
3rd 17:08	ANA penalty · L. Brossoit · throwing equipment · 2 min
3rd 18:44	NSH penalty · A. Edstrom · interference · 2 min

On ice · final horn

NSH4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
14A. KerfootC	1:16	15:39	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1-5
18J. DruryC	1:37	18:29	20	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	9-9
48N. PerbixD	1:22	18:52	23	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	–
76B. SkjeiD	1:16	22:10	24	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	1	–
29J. AnnunenG		59:58	SA29GA2SV%.931xGA3.95GSAx+1.95

ANA6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
64M. GranlundC	1:16	20:44	25	1	1	2	4	8	0	0	0	9-10
91L. CarlssonC	1:32	20:40	25	0	0	0	2	7	2	2	1	9-7
61C. GauthierL	0:52	19:35	23	1	0	1	7	10	0	2	1	0-1
19T. TerryR	1:16	11:41	15	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	–
45B. SenneckeR	1:16	21:34	25	0	1	1	2	7	0	0	1	–
2J. LaCombeD	1:16	29:49	30	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	2	–

Goals

1st
Cutter Gauthier(16)
M. Granlund (16)
xG 0.18wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 ANA1st 08:08+15.574%
Jayden Struble(3)
S. Wright (2)
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 08:29+15.541%
2nd
Nils Hoglander(4)
J. Struble (1), S. Wright (3)
xG 0.10between-legsClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 NSH2nd 16:02+24.568%
3rd
Shane Wright(4)
N. Hoglander (5), R. Josi (19)
xG 0.05backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 NSH3rd 08:05+16.294%
Mikael Granlund(6)
B. Sennecke (13), D. Helleson (2)
xG 0.16slapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 NSH3rd 12:11+13.717%
Steven Stamkos(11)
M. Bourque (4), R. Josi (20)
xG 0.18wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 NSH3rd 16:04+9.199%

Shots

Shooters

NSH2.86 xG37 unblocked · 13 blocked37 unblocked · 13 blocked

ANA3.95 xG43 unblocked · 17 blocked43 unblocked · 17 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NSHANA4Goals22.86xG3.9522Shots2937Unblocked4350Attempts606High danger110/3Power play0/330Faceoffs2917Hits2517Blocks132Takeaways322Giveaways146PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
59R. JosiRoman JosiD	26:03	0	2	2	1	4	0.17	−0.17	1	2	1	0	—	0	+1
76B. SkjeiBrady SkjeiD	22:10	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	−0.03	1	1	1	3	—	0	-1
90R. O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyC	20:36	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	−0.10	1	0	0	0	64%	0	0
2A. WilsbyAdam WilsbyD	20:24	0	0	0	1	2	0.05	−0.05	0	1	0	1	—	0	+1
48N. PerbixNick PerbixD	18:52	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	0	1	0	2	—	2	-1
18J. DruryJack DruryC	18:29	0	0	0	1	1	0.09	−0.09	0	2	0	3	50%	0	-1
9F. ForsbergFilip ForsbergL	18:20	0	0	0	2	8	0.22	−0.22	1	0	0	2	—	0	+3
91S. StamkosSteven StamkosC	16:05	1	0	1	1	2	0.26	+0.74	0	1	0	1	73%	2	0
14A. KerfootAlexander KerfootC	15:39	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	0	0	0	17%	0	0
3J. StrubleJayden StrubleD	15:36	1	1	2	1	2	0.20	+0.80	2	0	0	0	—	0	+2
84A. EdstromAdam EdstromC	15:07	0	0	0	2	3	0.26	−0.26	3	1	0	0	—	2	-1
79R. ColtonRoss ColtonC	14:46	0	0	0	3	5	0.27	−0.27	2	0	0	3	—	0	-1
22M. BourqueMavrik BourqueC	14:03	0	1	1	1	1	0.01	−0.01	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
52D. HuntDaemon HuntD	13:42	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	3	0	1	—	0	+2
15S. WrightShane WrightC	13:01	1	2	3	4	6	0.42	+0.58	1	1	0	1	42%	0	+3
21N. HoglanderNils HoglanderL	13:00	1	1	2	3	6	0.45	+0.55	0	1	0	1	—	0	+3
51V. PinchukVitali PinchukC	9:53	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	−0.23	0	0	0	2	0%	0	0
49R. SchaeferReid SchaeferL	9:00	0	0	0	1	1	0.09	−0.09	2	0	0	1	—	0	0
NSH total		4	7	11	22	50	2.86	+1.14	17	14	2	22	51%	6

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Wright8.6

Hoglander8.6

Bourque5.9

Stamkos5.8

Pinchuk5.0

Schaefer4.9

Drury4.5

Colton4.0

Forsberg4.0

Edstrom3.0

O'Reilly2.7

Kerfoot2.5

Defence

Struble8.4

Josi5.4

Hunt5.4

Wilsby4.3

Skjei3.3

Perbix2.1

Goalie

Annunen7.7

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Drury·Colton·Edstrom	10:43	17	9	9	50.0%	5	2	0	1	0.32	0.33	49.2%	−0.01	2	3	40%
Forsberg·Hoglander·Wright	10:05	13	14	9	60.9%	7	6	3	0	0.99	0.35	73.8%	+0.64	2	0	100%
Bourque·O'Reilly·Stamkos	9:10	14	1	7	12.5%	1	5	1	1	0.18	0.85	17.7%	−0.66	0	2	0%
Schaefer·Kerfoot·Pinchuk	6:31	10	2	10	16.7%	1	5	0	0	0.10	0.48	17.2%	−0.38	1	1	50%
Occasional · 9 groups
Kerfoot·Colton·O'Reilly	1:19	1	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	0	—
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Stamkos	1:12	3	4	1	80.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.07	0.0%	−0.07	2	0	100%
Schaefer·Drury·Edstrom	1:05	2	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.19	0.01	93.9%	+0.18	0	0	—
Colton·Edstrom·O'Reilly	0:47	4	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Kerfoot·O'Reilly·Stamkos	0:47	1	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	100.0%	+0.07	1	0	100%
Forsberg·Wright·Pinchuk	0:46	2	2	1	66.7%	1	1	0	0	0.15	0.21	41.4%	−0.06	0	0	—
Schaefer·Pinchuk·O'Reilly	0:37	3	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.20	0.00	100.0%	+0.20	0	0	—
Forsberg·Drury·Edstrom	0:35	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Forsberg·Kerfoot·Pinchuk	0:32	4	3	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.23	0.00	100.0%	+0.23	0	0	—
Other 32 brief groups	4:59		6	2	75.0%	2	1	0	0	0.27	0.14	65.9%	+0.13
NSH 5v5	49:08		45	45	50.0%	21	22	4	2	2.69	2.56	51.2%	+0.13

Goalies

Justus Annunen

NSH · 59:58

Saves: 27/29
SV%: .931
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 3.95
GSAx: +1.95

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	20/22	.909	2.56	+0.56
Power play	6/6	1.000	1.13	+1.13
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.26	+0.26
High danger	7/9	.778	2.13	+0.13

Laurent Brossoit

ANA · 58:44

Saves: 18/22
SV%: .818
GAA: 4.09
xGA: 2.86
GSAx: −1.14

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	17/21	.810	2.69	−1.31
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.17	+0.17
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/5	.600	1.07	−0.93

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Nashville Predators

Minutes

26:03Josi
22:10Skjei
20:24Wilsby
18:52Perbix
15:36Struble
13:42Hunt

20:36O'Reilly
18:29Drury
18:20Forsberg
16:05Stamkos
15:39Kerfoot
15:07Edstrom
14:46Colton
14:03Bourque
13:01Wright
13:00Hoglander
9:53Pinchuk
9:00Schaefer

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNSHANAGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

30–2951%

D 47%9–10N 55%12–10O 50%9–9 6 won into a shot

ANA attacks910NSH DZ 47% ANA OZ

Neutral1210NSH NZ 55% ANA NZ

NSH attacks99NSH OZ 50% ANA DZ

29–3049%

D 50%9–9N 45%10–12O 53%10–9 4 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JosiD3 O6
StrubleD1 O2
WilsbyD3 O4
PerbixD2 O2
HuntD1 O1
SkjeiD3 O0
ForsbergD0 O4
StamkosD2 O5
O'ReillyD2 O4
HoglanderD0 O2
WrightD0 O2
BourqueD1 O2
SchaeferD0 O1
PinchukD1 O1
ColtonD3 O2
EdstromD4 O3
KerfootD5 O2
DruryD5 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period