NYI @ DAL 3–6 · 2026-10-25

New YorkNYIIslanders3

FinalOct 252026-10-25

Team	1	2	3	SOG
NYI	1	2	0	19
DAL	2	1	3	38

American Airlines Center

DallasDALStars6

CallNo lean · 63% DAL

Star 1J. Robertson2G 0A
Star 2W. Johnston1G 1A
Star 3T. Seguin1G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

+154Moneyline-185+1.5 -166Puck line-1.5 +140O +110Total 5.5U -130+225RegulationTie +300 -110+1251st period-165+2451st · 3-wayTie +165 +148

Season odds

21%13%−7.5Playoffs92%93%+0.80.1%0.1%±0.0Cup5.5%5.3%−0.2

Story

– / 16

Result DAL 6–3Call No lean · DAL 63%Market DAL 63%xG 1.95–3.91 · deserved DAL 80%Swing Johnston +27 3rd 4:10Method

Goals and penalties with DAL win probability
Time	Event	DAL win before	DAL win after
1st 8:04	DAL penalty · L. Bichsel · tripping · 2 min
1st 11:31	Goal DAL · T. Seguin	62%	78%
1st 13:19	DAL penalty · K. Capobianco · unsportsmanlike conduct · 2 min
1st 13:19	NYI penalty · M. Chaffee · roughing · 2 min
1st 13:43	Goal NYI · M. Schaefer	78%	62%
1st 14:32	Goal DAL · J. Robertson	62%	78%
2nd 4:01	Goal NYI · K. Palmieri	79%	61%
2nd 9:07	NYI penalty · L. Stanley · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 10:52	Goal DAL · J. Hryckowian (PP)	60%	80%
2nd 14:05	NYI penalty · A. Pelech · hooking · 2 min
2nd 14:32	DAL penalty · M. Heiskanen · holding · 2 min
2nd 17:45	Goal NYI · B. Schenn	82%	59%
2nd 18:30	DAL penalty · N. Lundkvist · holding · 2 min
3rd 4:10	Goal DAL · W. Johnston	58%	85%
3rd 9:45	Goal DAL · J. Robertson	88%	98%
3rd 13:02	Goal DAL · M. Rantanen	99%	99%

On ice · final horn

NYI5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
14B. HorvatC	0:03	19:18	24	0	2	2	2	4	0	0	2	7-5
32K. MacLeanC	1:00	10:37	16	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	–
38V. EklundR	0:10	14:23	20	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	1	–
4M. KesselD	1:25	14:02	18	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	–
77T. DeAngeloD	0:35	17:14	23	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	–
30I. SorokinG		59:57	SA38GA6SV%.842xGA3.91GSAx−2.09

DAL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
14J. BennL	0:59	12:15	17	0	1	1	1	4	0	0	0	–
25A. HyryR	1:00	16:01	22	0	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	6-5
43M. SeminoffR	0:13	8:53	13	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	0	–
5N. LundkvistD	1:18	18:20	21	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	–
6L. BichselD	1:24	18:10	20	0	1	1	0	1	2	1	1	–
29J. OettingerG		60:00	SA19GA3SV%.842xGA1.95GSAx−1.05

Goals

1st
Tyler Seguin(3)
J. Benn (2), R. Hintz (4)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 DAL1st 11:31+16.278%
Matthew Schaefer(2)
B. Horvat (6)
xG 0.09snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 13:43+16.638%
Jason Robertson(4)
Unassisted
xG 0.25wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 DAL1st 14:32+16.778%
2nd
Kyle Palmieri(3)
R. Pulock (1), B. Horvat (7)
xG 0.03backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 04:01+18.739%
Justin Hryckowian(1)PP
T. Harley (5), W. Johnston (6)
xG 0.27backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 DAL2nd 10:52+20.780%
Brayden Schenn(3)
A. Duclair (2), E. Heineman (3)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied2nd 17:45+23.341%
3rd
Wyatt Johnston(2)
N. Lundkvist (3), J. Kiviranta (1)
xG 0.17wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 DAL3rd 04:10+26.785%
Jason Robertson(5)
T. Seguin (3), R. Hintz (5)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–5 DAL3rd 09:45+10.098%
Mikko Rantanen(6)
L. Bichsel (1)
xG 0.08wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–6 DAL3rd 13:02+0.799%

Shots

Shooters

NYI1.95 xG30 unblocked · 14 blocked30 unblocked · 14 blocked

DAL3.91 xG50 unblocked · 16 blocked50 unblocked · 16 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NYIDAL3Goals61.95xG3.9119Shots3830Unblocked5044Attempts662High danger100/3Power play1/222Faceoffs1829Hits916Blocks144Takeaways117Giveaways136PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
48M. SchaeferMatthew SchaeferD	26:16	1	0	1	1	6	0.26	+0.74	0	1	0	3	—	0	0
8L. StanleyLogan StanleyD	20:51	0	0	0	1	3	0.01	−0.01	1	1	0	0	—	2	-1
3A. PelechAdam PelechD	19:23	0	0	0	2	2	0.01	−0.01	2	1	0	1	—	2	0
14B. HorvatBo HorvatC	19:18	0	2	2	2	4	0.33	−0.33	0	2	0	0	58%	0	0
6R. PulockRyan PulockD	19:06	0	1	1	0	2	0.01	−0.01	2	2	0	1	—	0	-1
92S. HolmstromSimon HolmstromR	18:57	0	0	0	1	3	0.33	−0.33	0	1	0	2	—	0	0
77T. DeAngeloTony DeAngeloD	17:14	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	3	2	—	0	-2
21K. PalmieriKyle PalmieriC	16:58	1	0	1	3	6	0.41	+0.59	0	1	0	2	—	0	-1
10B. SchennBrayden SchennC	16:10	1	0	1	2	2	0.21	+0.79	5	1	0	1	63%	0	-2
81O. PalatOndrej PalatL	15:17	0	0	0	2	2	0.10	−0.10	2	0	0	2	—	0	0
51E. HeinemanEmil HeinemanL	15:00	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	4	2	0	0	—	0	-2
11A. DuclairAnthony DuclairL	14:37	0	1	1	1	1	0.05	−0.05	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
38V. EklundVictor EklundR	14:23	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	4	1	0	0	—	0	0
4M. KesselMatthew KesselD	14:02	0	0	0	2	5	0.07	−0.07	0	0	1	0	—	0	0
44J. PageauJean-Gabriel PageauC	13:21	0	0	0	2	2	0.14	−0.14	1	0	0	1	50%	0	0
53C. CizikasCasey CizikasC	11:27	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	1	50%	0	0
26M. ChaffeeMitchell ChaffeeR	11:22	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	1	—	2	0
32K. MacLeanKyle MacLeanC	10:37	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	3	0	0	0	—	0	0
NYI total		3	5	8	19	44	1.95	+1.05	29	13	4	17	55%	6

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Schenn7.0

Horvat6.8

Palmieri6.6

Duclair6.2

Pageau5.5

Palat5.5

Heineman5.1

Eklund4.0

MacLean3.6

Holmstrom3.2

Cizikas3.1

Chaffee2.7

Defence

Schaefer7.4

Pulock7.3

Kessel3.2

DeAngelo2.7

Pelech1.7

Stanley1.5

Goalie

Sorokin2.9

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Horvat·Palmieri·Holmstrom	9:48	16	12	18	40.0%	4	9	1	2	0.57	1.15	33.1%	−0.58	2	1	67%
MacLean·Cizikas·Chaffee	8:35	15	2	7	22.2%	1	5	0	0	0.02	0.41	3.6%	−0.40	0	2	0%
Heineman·Schenn·Eklund	5:46	9	2	5	28.6%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.27	1.0%	−0.26	0	1	0%
Duclair·Palat·Pageau	5:25	11	2	5	28.6%	2	5	0	0	0.03	0.13	19.1%	−0.10	1	1	50%
Duclair·Heineman·Schenn	5:07	10	4	8	33.3%	4	4	1	2	0.27	0.52	34.2%	−0.25	0	1	0%
Palat·Pageau·Eklund	4:02	10	4	1	80.0%	1	1	0	0	0.09	0.03	77.3%	+0.06	0	1	0%
Occasional · 6 groups
Horvat·Eklund·Holmstrom	1:20	5	2	3	40.0%	0	1	0	0	0.11	0.05	68.7%	+0.06	0	0	—
Palat·Horvat·Palmieri	0:46	3	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.07	0.0%	−0.07	0	0	—
Palat·Schenn·Eklund	0:45	5	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
Schenn·MacLean·Chaffee	0:44	5	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.11	0.10	53.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Palat·Palmieri·Pageau	0:37	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Pageau·Cizikas·Chaffee	0:33	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Other 41 brief groups	6:16		6	5	54.5%	2	4	0	0	0.10	0.44	17.9%	−0.34
NYI 5v5	49:44		36	60	37.5%	15	35	2	4	1.30	3.22	28.8%	−1.92

Goalies

Ilya Sorokin

NYI · 59:57

Saves: 32/38
SV%: .842
GAA: 6.01
xGA: 3.91
GSAx: −2.09

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	31/36	.861	3.59	−1.41
Power play	0/1	.000	0.32	−0.68
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.00	+0.00
High danger	3/7	.429	2.11	−1.89

Jake Oettinger

DAL · 60:00

Saves: 16/19
SV%: .842
GAA: 3.00
xGA: 1.95
GSAx: −1.05

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	13/16	.813	1.39	−1.61
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.32	+0.32
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.25	+0.25
High danger	1/2	.500	0.39	−0.61

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

New York Islanders

Minutes

26:16Schaefer
20:51Stanley
19:23Pelech
19:06Pulock
17:14DeAngelo
14:02Kessel

19:18Horvat
18:57Holmstrom
16:58Palmieri
16:10Schenn
15:17Palat
15:00Heineman
14:37Duclair
14:23Eklund
13:21Pageau
11:27Cizikas
11:22Chaffee
10:37MacLean

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNYIDALGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

22–1855%

D 57%8–6N 53%10–9O 57%4–3 4 won into a shot

DAL attacks86NYI DZ 57% DAL OZ

Neutral109NYI NZ 53% DAL NZ

NYI attacks43NYI OZ 57% DAL DZ

18–2245%

D 43%3–4N 47%9–10O 43%6–8 5 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

SchaeferD1 O2
KesselD1 O1
DeAngeloD3 O2
PulockD3 O1
StanleyD2 O0
PelechD4 O1
PalmieriD1 O4
HorvatD1 O3
SchennD1 O2
HolmstromD3 O4
PalatD2 O1
DuclairD2 O1
HeinemanD2 O1
EklundD1 O0
CizikasD2 O0
MacLeanD2 O0
ChaffeeD2 O0
PageauD4 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period