MIN @ FLA 3–1 · 2026-10-10

MinnesotaMINWild3

End P2 11:23Oct 102026-10-10

Team	1	2	3	SOG
MIN	2	1	0	16
FLA	0	1	0	17

Amerant Bank Arena

FloridaFLAPanthers1

CallNo lean · 50% FLA

Closing linesDraftKings

+114Moneyline-135+1.5 -230Puck line-1.5 +190O -122Total 5.5U +102+160RegulationTie +300 +120+1001st period-130+1951st · 3-wayTie +173 +167

Season oddsafter: next morning's run

86%…Playoffs49%…3.3%…Cup0.9%…

Story

– / 9

LiveCall No lean · FLA 50%Market FLA 56%xG 1.64–1.61 · deserved MIN 50%Swing Boldy +16 1st 0:53Method

Goals and penalties with FLA win probability
Time	Event	FLA win before	FLA win after
1st 0:53	Goal MIN · M. Boldy	50%	34%
1st 2:53	MIN penalty · M. McCarron · fighting · 5 min
1st 2:53	FLA penalty · B. Imama · fighting · 5 min
1st 5:52	FLA penalty · D. Kulikov · holding · 2 min
1st 6:18	Goal MIN · K. Kaprizov (PP)	34%	20%
1st 10:34	MIN penalty · J. Eriksson Ek · slashing · 2 min
2nd 2:18	Goal FLA · M. Tkachuk	16%	31%
2nd 5:00	Goal MIN · K. Kaprizov	30%	15%
2nd 13:30	MIN penalty · J. Brodin · holding · 2 min

On ice · now

MIN5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
14J. Eriksson EkC	0:16	13:11	14	0	1	1	1	3	2	1	0	9-4
12M. BoldyL	0:12	13:32	15	1	1	2	3	3	0	0	0	0-1
97K. KaprizovL	0:18	12:38	14	2	1	3	2	4	0	0	1	–
3O. MaattaD	0:39	16:15	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	–
25J. BrodinD	0:27	15:24	18	0	0	0	1	2	2	1	0	–
30J. WallstedtG		40:00	SA17GA1SV%.941xGA1.61GSAx+0.61

FLA0 skaters

Player		Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
	25J. MarkstromG		40:00	SA16GA3SV%.813xGA1.64GSAx−1.36

Goals

1st
Matt Boldy(1)
J. Spurgeon (1), K. Kaprizov (1)
xG 0.06snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 MIN1st 00:53+15.966%
Kirill Kaprizov(1)PP
M. Shabanov (1), Q. Hughes (1)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 MIN1st 06:18+13.880%
2nd
Matthew Tkachuk(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.14wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 MIN2nd 02:18+15.031%
Kirill Kaprizov(2)
M. Boldy (1), J. Eriksson Ek (1)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 MIN2nd 05:00+15.285%

Shots

MIN1.64 xG31 unblocked · 5 blocked31 unblocked · 5 blocked

FLA1.61 xG27 unblocked · 10 blocked27 unblocked · 10 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

MINFLA3Goals11.64xG1.6116Shots1731Unblocked2736Attempts373High danger41/1Power play0/223Faceoffs1819Hits2610Blocks52Takeaways514Giveaways69PIM7

Skaters

Player

Player
43Q. HughesQuinn HughesD	17:59	0	1	1	1	5	0.06	−0.06	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
3O. MaattaOlli MaattaD	16:15	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	3	—	0	+1
46J. SpurgeonJared SpurgeonD	16:02	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	−0.01	2	1	0	2	—	0	+2
25J. BrodinJonas BrodinD	15:24	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	1	0	0	3	—	2	0
12M. BoldyMatt BoldyL	13:32	1	1	2	3	3	0.18	+0.82	0	0	0	0	0%	0	+2
14J. Eriksson EkJoel Eriksson EkC	13:11	0	1	1	1	3	0.05	−0.05	1	0	0	0	69%	2	+2
97K. KaprizovKirill KaprizovL	12:38	2	1	3	2	4	0.43	+1.57	0	1	0	1	—	0	+1
20B. ColemanBlake ColemanL	11:24	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	−0.04	0	1	0	2	—	0	+1
22D. YurovDanila YurovR	10:00	0	0	0	1	2	0.16	−0.16	0	0	0	0	67%	0	0
49M. ShabanovMaxim ShabanovR	9:25	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
38R. HartmanRyan HartmanR	9:07	0	0	0	2	4	0.11	−0.11	1	0	0	1	30%	0	-1
10B. BrinkBobby BrinkR	8:13	0	0	0	2	2	0.06	−0.06	0	1	2	0	—	0	0
13Y. TreninYakov TreninC	8:12	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	2	1	0	0	—	0	0
48D. HuntDaemon HuntD	7:43	0	0	0	1	2	0.13	−0.13	0	1	0	0	—	0	-1
78N. SturmNico SturmC	7:23	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	2	0	0	0	100%	0	0
61R. LorenzRieger LorenzL	6:35	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	−0.28	2	0	0	1	—	0	-1
82D. SpacekDavid SpacekD	6:34	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	4	1	0	0	—	0	0
47M. McCarronMichael McCarronC	6:25	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	2	0	0	50%	5	0
MIN total		3	6	9	16	35	1.55	+1.45	19	10	2	13	56%	9

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Kaprizov+1.35

Boldy+0.97

Shabanov+0.26

Brink+0.18

McCarron+0.04

Lorenz−0.08

Trenin−0.11

Yurov−0.14

Sturm−0.15

Coleman−0.25

Hartman−0.27

Eriksson Ek−0.38

Defence

Spurgeon+0.32

Hunt+0.02

Spacek0.00

Maatta−0.07

Hughes−0.12

Brodin−0.36

Goalie

Wallstedt+0.62

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Boldy·Kaprizov·Eriksson Ek	9:07	11	6	11	35.3%	3	6	1	0	0.27	0.47	36.6%	−0.20	2	1	67%
Coleman·Hartman·Shabanov	7:04	9	7	6	53.8%	4	2	0	0	0.13	0.17	43.2%	−0.04	1	1	50%
Lorenz·Brink·Yurov	6:04	8	9	5	64.3%	2	1	0	0	0.51	0.12	81.1%	+0.39	2	0	100%
Trenin·McCarron·Sturm	4:42	8	3	5	37.5%	3	3	0	0	0.09	0.08	55.4%	+0.02	1	2	33%
Occasional · 4 groups
Coleman·Yurov·Shabanov	0:35	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.20	0.0%	−0.20	0	0	—
Coleman·Trenin·Sturm	0:34	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Boldy·Coleman·Eriksson Ek	0:06	1	1	0	100.0%	1	0	1	0	0.06	0.00	100.0%	+0.06	0	0	—
Lorenz·Hartman·Shabanov	0:05	1	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	1	0.00	0.23	0.0%	−0.23	0	0	—
Other 23 brief groups	2:45		2	1	66.7%	1	0	0	0	0.11	0.04	73.5%	+0.07
MIN 5v5	31:02		28	31	47.5%	14	15	2	1	1.18	1.30	47.5%	−0.12

Goalies

Jesper Wallstedt

MIN · 40:00

Saves: 16/17
SV%: .941
xGA: 1.61
GSAx: +0.61

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/16	.938	1.45	+0.45
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.16	+0.16
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	4/4	1.000	0.72	+0.72

Jacob Markstrom

FLA · 40:00

Saves: 13/16
SV%: .813
xGA: 1.64
GSAx: −1.36

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	13/15	.867	1.49	−0.51
Power play	0/1	.000	0.15	−0.85
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/2	.500	0.48	−0.52

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Minnesota Wild

Minutes

17:59Hughes
16:15Maatta
16:02Spurgeon
15:24Brodin
7:43Hunt
6:34Spacek

13:32Boldy
13:11Eriksson Ek
12:38Kaprizov
11:24Coleman
10:00Yurov
9:25Shabanov
9:07Hartman
8:13Brink
8:12Trenin
7:23Sturm
6:35Lorenz
6:25McCarron

Matchups

Now

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareMINFLAGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

23–1856%

D 60%6–4N 60%12–8O 45%5–6 3 won into a shot

FLA attacks64MIN DZ 60% FLA OZ

Neutral128MIN NZ 60% FLA NZ

MIN attacks56MIN OZ 45% FLA DZ

18–2344%

D 55%6–5N 40%8–12O 40%4–6 7 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

HughesD0 O5
SpurgeonD3 O5
HuntD0 O0
SpacekD0 O0
MaattaD3 O2
BrodinD4 O0
Eriksson EkD1 O3
LorenzD0 O2
KaprizovD1 O2
BrinkD0 O1
BoldyD1 O2
YurovD0 O1
ShabanovD1 O2
ColemanD2 O1
HartmanD1 O0
TreninD2 O1
SturmD2 O1
McCarronD4 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period